Newcastle United's team badge Manchester City's team badge

Newcastle United v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 17:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Eddie Howe and Josep Guardiola i Sala take on one another in the English Premier League on Saturday evening, as Newcastle United face Manchester City at the St. James' Park. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Newcastle and Man City will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
32%
3.40
24%
3.25
5%
Draw
26%
3.80
9%
3.70
1%
Man City
42%
2.00
16%
2.05
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.00
7%
7.00
Man City 1-0
10%
10.008.50
Man City 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
8.50
Newcastle 1-0
8%
15.00
36%
11.00
Newcastle 2-1
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
10%
Man City 2-0
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
15.00
25%
12.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Newcastle 2-0
5%
21.00
24%
15.00
Man City 3-1
4%
17.00
19%
13.00
Man City 3-0
3%
21.00
19%
15.00
12%
Newcastle 3-1
3%
29.00
26%
19.00
Man City 3-2
3%
23.00
21%
17.00
11%
Newcastle 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
21.00
Newcastle 3-0
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.67
7%
1.67
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
2.20
10%
2.10
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20
10%
2.25
2%
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.67
9%
1.75
No 1st Goal
4%
15.00
25%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.62
3%
1.60
1%
BTTS - No
46%
2.20
5%
2.20
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.00
20%
5.25
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.40
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.60
20%
3.60
3%
Home/draw
58%
1.80
18%
1.73
2%
Away/draw
68%
1.30
7%
1.33
1%
Home/away
74%
1.25
3%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.22
2%
1.22
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
4.33
8%
4.00
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2.75
8%
2.60
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.44
3%
1.44
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5.00
9%
4.60
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.17
3%
1.17
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.06
1%
1.06
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.03
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15.00
25%
11.00
Home DNB
50%
2.50
25%
2.38
6%
Away DNB
60%
1.50
13%
1.53
3%
Newcastle win to nil
17%
7.00
27%
-
Man City win to nil
22%
3.75
13%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
15%
6.00
26%
5.00
4%
Newcastle / Man City
4%
23.00
12%
17.00
11%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Newcastle
11%
8.50
21%
7.00
Draw / Man City
16%
5.50
8%
5.00
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.50
8%
5.50
Man City / Newcastle
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Man City / Man City
26%
3.20
20%
3.20
2%
Man City / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league. Newcastle are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Newcastle have conceded 10 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Man City lay in 2nd place on 22 points in the Premier League league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal118211526 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
2
Man City117131522 
Nov 22
Feb 21
-
-
3
Chelsea116231020 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 4
Apr 11
4
Sunderland11542419 
Mar 21
Dec 14
Dec 6
Jan 1
5
Spurs11533918 
Dec 2
Feb 11
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
6
A Villa11533318 
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
l
 
1-0A
7
Man Utd11533118 
Mar 4
Dec 26
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
8
Liverpool11605118 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
9
Bournemouth11533-118 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
May 17
10
C Palace11452517 
Jan 4
Apr 11
Mar 21
Dec 14
11
Brighton11443216 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
12
Brentford11515016 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
May 9
w
 
0-1F
13
Everton11434-115 
Feb 28
Nov 29
w
 
2-0F
May 2
14
Newcastle11335-312 
-
-
Feb 21
Nov 22
15
Fulham11326-411 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Feb 11
Dec 2
16
Leeds11326-1011 
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 29
Feb 28
17
Burnley11317-810 
Dec 6
Dec 30
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
18
West Ham11317-1010 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Dec 20
Mar 14
19
Nottm Forest11236-109 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
Mar 4
Dec 27
20
Wolves11029-182 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Man City have not lost to Newcastle in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
33
42
Games: Scored
16 / 25
20 / 25
Clean sheets
5 / 25
9 / 25
NEW
7
D
6
MCI
12
League games at Man City since 1994
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
64
13
Games: Scored
22 / 25
11 / 25
Clean sheets
14 / 25
3 / 25
NEW
1
D
4
MCI
20
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's defensive record is to be admired, Josep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive English Premier League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Newcastle United makes sense in this context.

Newcastle 14th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Newcastle have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Man City have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
NEW
MCI
33%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score3
2
Scored first6
9
Goals scored11
23
Avg. goals scored1
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
NEW
MCI
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded14
8
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+17%

Newcastle v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11415
N Pope N WoltemadeD BurnD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK11
1
-
D Burn DEF111
4
1
S Tonali MID111
-
A Elanga FWD11
-
H Barnes FWD111
-
B Guimarães MID1031
3
-
J Murphy FWD1021
-
W Osula FWD101
-
S Botman DEF9
-
K Trippier DEF9
1
-
Joelinton MID9
2
-
M Thiaw DEF8
1
-
L Miley MID81
-
N Woltemade FWD84
-
A Gordon FWD7
1
T Livramento  DEF61
-
F Schär DEF6
-
J Ramsey MID5
1
-
L Hall DEF4
-
J Willock MID3
-
J Lascelles DEF2
-
A Ramsdale GLK1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111433
E HaalandE HaalandJ DokuN González 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF11
-
B Silva MID112
2
-
J Doku FWD1113
-
E Haaland FWD11141
-
N. O'Reilly DEF1012
2
-
N González  MID101
3
-
T Reijnders MID1012
2
-
M Nunes DEF911
1
-
P Foden FWD911
3
-
G Donnarumma GLK8
2
-
S Sávio FWD81
1
-
O Bobb FWD81
-
J Gvardiol DEF71
-
Rodri MID6
-
R Cherki FWD612
-
O Marmoush FWD61
-
J Stones DEF5
-
R Lewis DEF51
-
N Aké  DEF5
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
R Nouri DEF4
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Kovacic MID1
-