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Arda v HJK Helsinki : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 24th Jul, 17:00 BST, Arena Arda, Kardzhali

It's a long trek for Toni Koskela's HJK Helsinki side on Thursday evening, as they travel to the Arena Arda for a Europa Conference tie with Alexander Tunchev's Arda. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Europa Conference matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Arda and HJK Helsinki 3 goals or less combined during this Europa Conference game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arda are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

	Arda	HJK Helsinki
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Arda will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that HJK Helsinki will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
1 home / away league games	=0 Arda’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-65 HJK Helsinki have scored 65% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.0 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	2.5 conceded

Games scored	0		14
Failed to score	2		6
Scored first	0		13
Goals scored	0		43
Avg. goals scored	0		2.2
Avg. shots per game	6		11
Avg. shots per goal	0		5
Conversion rate for	0		19
Avg. XG for	0		0.1
KickOff rating		+40%

Games conceded	2		14
Clean sheets	0		6
Conceded first	2		6
Goals conceded	6		24
Avg. goals conceded	3		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		7
Conversion rate against	26%		15%
Avg. XG against	0		2.1
KickOff rating		+1%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Nijhuis GLK	2			-
K Kouassivi-Benissan DEF	2			-
V Tikkanen DEF	2			-
M Ylitolva DEF	2			-
G Antzoulas DEF	2	1		-
B Lyons-Foster DEF	2			-
K. Simojoki DEF	2			-
A Ring MID	2		1	-
L Lingman MID	2	1		-
G Kanellopoulos MID	2			-
B Michel FWD	2		1	1 -
T Pukki FWD	2			-
K Meriluoto FWD	2			-
M Boamah DEF	1			-
O Hannula MID	1			-
J Kallinen MID	1			1
P. Mentu MID	1		1	-
S Hostikka FWD	1	2		1 -

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arda 41%	2.20	2.38
Draw 27%	3.25	3.25
HJK Helsinki 32%	2.88	3.10
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	6.50
Arda 1-0 12%	6.50	6.50
HJK Helsinki 1-0 10%	8.00	7.50
Draw 0-0 9%	8.00	7.50
Arda 2-1 8%	10.00	9.00
Arda 2-0 8%	10.00	10.00
HJK Helsinki 2-1 7%	12.00	11.00
HJK Helsinki 2-0 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw 2-2 5%	19.00	15.00
Arda 3-1 4%	21.00	17.00
Arda 3-0 3%	21.00	19.00
HJK Helsinki 3-1 3%	29.00	23.00
Arda 3-2 2%	34.00	26.00
HJK Helsinki 3-0 2%	34.00	26.00
HJK Helsinki 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.25	2.25
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1.62	1.60
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.80	1.91
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.38	2.25
No 1st Goal 5%	8.00	7.00
BTTS - Yes 49%	2.00	2.00
BTTS - No 51%	1.73	1.75
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50	5.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	5.00	4.50
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.00	6.50
Home/draw 68%	1.33	1.36
Away/draw 59%	1.55	1.57
Home/away 73%	1.25	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.40	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2.75	2.70
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4.33	4.00
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.20	1.20
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	8.00	8.50
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.06	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12.00	17.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.02	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.07	1.08

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arda HJK Helsinki
Results by League Table

	TEAM	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	HJK Helsinki	Jul 24	Jul 31	-	-
2	NSI	-	-	w 5-0F	l 4-0A
3	Arda	-	-	Jul 31	Jul 24

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arda		0 - 4		Beer Sheva
H	Arda		0 - 2		Beer Sheva

Arda v HJK Helsinki : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

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