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FC Lugano v Celje : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 7th Aug, 19:30 BST, Stockhorn Arena, Thun

FC Lugano and their manager Mattia Croci-Torti will be aiming to beat Albert Riera Ortega and his Celje side on Thursday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Stockhorn Arena in the Europa Conference. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a sound selection is published below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.

Best Tip: FC Lugano to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this Europa Conference fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for FC Lugano to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Celje, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but FC Lugano to win is the bet come Thursday evening.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think FC Lugano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
FC Lugano 61%	4/7	3/5
Draw 20%	16/5	10/3
Celje 18%	15/4	4/1
FC Lugano 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Draw 1-1 9%	15/2	7/1
FC Lugano 2-0 9%	15/2	15/2
FC Lugano 1-0 9%	8/1	7/1
FC Lugano 3-1 7%	11/1	10/1
FC Lugano 3-0 6%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Celje 2-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Celje 1-0 4%	16/1	14/1
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1	12/1
FC Lugano 3-2 4%	20/1	16/1
FC Lugano 4-1 4%	20/1	16/1
FC Lugano 4-0 3%	20/1	18/1
Celje 2-0 2%	28/1	20/1
FC Lugano 4-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	3/5	4/7
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	13/10	5/4
Home 1st Goal 56%	1/2	1/2
Away 1st Goal 42%	13/8	9/5
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	11/1
BTTS - Yes 58%	4/6	4/6
BTTS - No 42%	11/10	11/10
BTTS - Home Win 31%	21/10	19/10
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 11%	15/2	13/2
Home/draw 82%	1/6	1/6
Away/draw 39%	5/4	13/10
Home/away 80%	2/9	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	7/2	10/3
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	6/4	29/20
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1/2	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	10/3	16/5
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1/5	1/5
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	13/2	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/14	1/14
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/100	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	12/1
Home DNB 75%	1/4	1/4
Away DNB 33%	11/4	27/10
FC Lugano win to nil 30%	7/4	-
Celje win to nil 8%	9/1	-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano 35%	13/10	11/8
FC Lugano / Celje 2%	40/1	28/1
FC Lugano / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw / FC Lugano 18%	15/4	17/5
Draw / Celje 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Celje / FC Lugano 4%	20/1	16/1
Celje / Celje 10%	7/1	13/2
Celje / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Europa Conference table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	FC Lugano Celje
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS			HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celje									Aug 7	Aug 14	-	-
2	FC Lugano									-	-	Aug 14	Aug 7

Win / draw / win form

FC Lugano have not lost in 6 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 19

Conceded

12 / 19

Clean sheets

7 / 19

Failed to score

8 / 19

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
FC Lugano	0 - 0	CFR Cluj
FC Lugano	4 - 3	Celje
FC Lugano	2 - 2	Paphos
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Gent
FC Lugano	3 - 0	HJK Helsinki
FC Lugano	3 - 3	Besiktas
FC Lugano	1 - 2	P. Belgrade
FC Lugano	3 - 4	Fenerbahce
FC Lugano	0 - 2	Besiktas
FC Lugano	1 - 3	Brugge
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Bodø
FC Lugano	0 - 1	Union SG
FC Lugano	0 - 2	Beer Sheva
FC Lugano	0 - 1	Kobenhavn
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Malmö
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
FC Lugano	1 - 0	Beer Sheva
FC Lugano	3 - 2	Plzen
FC Lugano	1 - 2	Steaua

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	FC Lugano	0 - 0	CFR Cluj
H	FC Lugano	0 - 0	CFR Cluj
H	FC Lugano	4 - 3	Celje
A	FC Lugano	0 - 1	Celje
H	FC Lugano	2 - 2	Paphos
A	FC Lugano	2 - 1	L. Warsaw
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	Gent
A	FC Lugano	1 - 4	Backa Topola
A	FC Lugano	1 - 0	M.Boleslav
H	FC Lugano	3 - 0	HJK Helsinki
A	FC Lugano	1 - 5	Besiktas
H	FC Lugano	3 - 3	Besiktas
H	FC Lugano	1 - 2	P. Belgrade
A	FC Lugano	1 - 0	P. Belgrade
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Fenerbahce
H	FC Lugano	3 - 4	Fenerbahce
H	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Besiktas
A	FC Lugano	2 - 5	Bodø
A	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Brugge
H	FC Lugano	1 - 3	Brugge

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 16

Conceded

13 / 16

Clean sheets

3 / 16

Failed to score

4 / 16

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEK Larnaca	2 - 1	Celje
Sabah	2 - 3	Celje
Fiorentina	2 - 2	Celje
FC Lugano	4 - 3	Celje
Apoel	0 - 2	Celje
Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
Real Betis	2 - 1	Celje
V. Guimaraes	3 - 1	Celje
Pyunik Yerevan	1 - 0	Celje
Shamrock	2 - 1	Celje
S. Bratislava	5 - 0	Celje
Flora Tallinn	0 - 5	Celje
M. Tel-Aviv	4 - 1	Celje
Neman Grodno	1 - 4	Celje
V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Celje
Ararat-Armenia	0 - 0	Celje

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Celje	1 - 2	AEK Larnaca
H	Celje	1 - 1	AEK Larnaca
H	Celje	2 - 3	Sabah
A	Celje	3 - 2	Sabah
A	Celje	2 - 2	Fiorentina
H	Celje	1 - 2	Fiorentina
A	Celje	3 - 4	FC Lugano
H	Celje	1 - 0	FC Lugano
A	Celje	2 - 0	Apoel
H	Celje	2 - 2	Apoel
H	Celje	3 - 2	TNS
A	Celje	0 - 2	Paphos
H	Celje	3 - 3	Jagiellonia
A	Celje	1 - 2	Real Betis
H	Celje	5 - 1	Istanbul
A	Celje	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
H	Celje	4 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
A	Celje	0 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
A	Celje	1 - 2	Shamrock
H	Celje	1 - 0	Shamrock

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for FC Lugano in their meeting with Celje, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 32 consecutive Europa Conference outings.

	FC Lugano 6th	Celje 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that FC Lugano will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Celje will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
19 home / away league games	-9 FC Lugano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+52 Celje have scored 52% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season

LUG

37%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		18
Failed to score	8		2
Scored first	8		8
Goals scored	19		37
Avg. goals scored	1		1.9
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	11		6
Conversion rate for	9		18
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.8
KickOff rating		+37%

15%

better

LUG

view stats

Games conceded	14		17
Clean sheets	5		3
Conceded first	10		12
Goals conceded	29		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+15%