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Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Bialystok : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Feb, 17:45 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Fiorentina and Jagiellonia Bialystok take on one another at the Artemio Franchi on Thursday evening, with both Paolo Vanoli and Adrian Siemieniec hoping for success in the Europa Conference. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Europa Conference match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Fiorentina to win

As the stadium fills and the Fiorentina players prepare themselves for this match, the bookies have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Artemio Franchi has not been a successful away day for Jagiellonia in the past, and we expect more of the same come Thursday evening. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
64%
1.501.50
Draw
20%
4.334.50
Jagiellonia
16%
6.006.00
Fiorentina 2-0
11%
7.507.50
Fiorentina 1-0
10%
7.507.50
Fiorentina 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Draw 1-1
9%
8.008.00
Fiorentina 3-0
8%
11.0010.00
Fiorentina 3-1
7%
12.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0013.00
Jagiellonia 1-0
5%
17.0015.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0015.00
Jagiellonia 2-1
4%
19.0015.00
Fiorentina 4-0
4%
19.0015.00
Fiorentina 4-1
4%
21.0017.00
Fiorentina 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Jagiellonia 2-0
2%
34.0026.00
Fiorentina 4-2
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.701.65
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.15
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.441.40
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.883.20
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
47%
1.911.91
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.203.10
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.505.50
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11.009.50
Home/draw
84%
1.131.13
Away/draw
36%
2.502.60
Home/away
80%
1.201.20
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.20
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.004.20
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.752.60
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.401.44
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.004.60
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.171.17
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.008.50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0013.00
Home DNB
78%
1.181.18
Away DNB
30%
4.504.50
Fiorentina win to nil
35%
2.63-
Jagiellonia win to nil
7%
11.00-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
37%
2.252.15
Fiorentina / Jagiellonia
2%
41.0041.00
Fiorentina / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
Draw / Fiorentina
19%
4.334.40
Draw / Jagiellonia
7%
13.0012.00
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.50
Jagiellonia / Fiorentina
4%
21.0019.00
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia
8%
11.009.00
Jagiellonia / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
-
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
-
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
-
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
-
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
-
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 26
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
-
-
17
Jagiellonia623119 
Feb 26
w
 
0-3F
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
-
-
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
-
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
-
-
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
-
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
-
-
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
-
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
-
-
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
-
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
-
-
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
-
-
-
-
37
Polessya 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
38
Dinamo Tirana 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Jagiellonia have drawn 4 consecutive away european games
6
Jagiellonia have not lost in 6 consecutive away european games
Fiorentina 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Jagiellonia 17TH
17 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 17
Conceded
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
Failed to score
5 / 17
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Fiorentina in their meeting with Jagiellonia Bialystok, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Europa Conference matches.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Jagiellonia Bialystok fans, as should a 8 Europa Conference matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Fiorentina 15th Jagiellonia 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Fiorentina will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Jagiellonia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Fiorentina have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Jagiellonia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Jagiellonia
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
FIO
JAG
3%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first10
11
Goals scored27
28
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
FIO
JAG
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
14
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded27
21
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Fiorentina v Jagiellonia will show here when available.

Fiorentina Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Jagiellonia Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13546
B VitalJ ImazJ ImazT Romanczuk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Vital DEF131
4
-
N Wojtuszek DEF1311
1
-
A Pozo FWD1312
1
-
B Wdowik DEF121
2
-
T Romanczuk MID1211
6
-
J Imaz MID1254
2
1
L Flach MID121
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD12
1
-
S Abramowicz GLK11
-
D Drachal MID111
2
-
D. Rallis FWD112
1
-
A Pululu FWD1151
5
1
D Stojinovic DEF101
1
-
B. Mazurek MID8
-
Y Kobayashi DEF7
-
L Prip FWD71
-
A Jackson MID41
-
A Cantero FWD4
-
M Villar FWD4
1
-
M Piekutowski GLK2
-
C. Polak DEF1
1
-
E. Kozłowski MID1
-