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Vllaznia Shkoder v Vikingur Reykjavik : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 24th Jul, 19:30 BST, Stadiumi Loro Boriçi, Shkodër

Home advantage can be vital in the Europa Conference, and Thomas Brdarić’s Vllaznia Shkoder will have the joy of it on Thursday evening. Sölvi Geir Ottesen Jónsson’s Vikingur Reykjavik are their opponents at the Stadiumi Loro Boriçi. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Vllaznia Shkoder and Víkingur have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vllaznia Shkoder are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

	Vllaznia Shkoder	Víkingur
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Vllaznia Shkoder will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Víkingur will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Vllaznia Shkoder’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 Víkingur have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Games scored	7		17
Failed to score	5		3
Scored first	3		15
Goals scored	13		39
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		4
Conversion rate for	13		23
Avg. XG for	0		0.8
KickOff rating		+48%

Games conceded	10		13
Clean sheets	2		7
Conceded first	9		4
Goals conceded	21		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	17%		15%
Avg. XG against	0		1.3
KickOff rating		+24%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Qarri GLK	2			-
A Kouros DEF	2		1	1 -
A. da Silva Mesquita Almeida DEF	2	1		-
E Sala DEF	2			1 -
E Gurishta DEF	2		1	-
M Bajrami DEF	2			2 -
K Qato MID	2			-
A Krymi MID	2			2 -
K. Dodaj FWD	2	1	1	-
A Mensah FWD	2	1		-
E Mala FWD	2	1		-
B Balaj FWD	2			-
E Hakaj DEF	1			-
A Delaj FWD	1			-

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Jónsson GLK	2			-
G Vatnhamar DEF	2			-
K Gunnarsson DEF	2			-
D Atlason DEF	2			1 -
O Ekroth DEF	2	1		1 -
T Ibrahimagić DEF	2			-
R Þorkelsson DEF	2			-
E Agnarsson MID	2		1	1 -
P Punyed MID	2		1	-
V Andrason MID	2			-
D Hafsteinsson MID	2	1	2	1 -
V Ingimundarson FWD	2	1		-
A Jónasson FWD	2	1		1 -
H Guðjónsson FWD	2			-
N Hansen FWD	2	4		1 -
S Þorkelsson DEF	1	1	1	-
D Joksimovic MID	1		1	-

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vllaznia Shkoder 26%	3.70	3.80
Draw 25%	3.40	3.40
Víkingur 49%	1.91	2.00
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	6.50
Víkingur 1-0 11%	6.50	6.50
Víkingur 2-1 9%	9.00	8.50
Víkingur 2-0 9%	8.50	8.50
Vllaznia Shkoder 1-0 8%	10.00	9.50
Draw 0-0 7%	9.00	8.00
Vllaznia Shkoder 2-1 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	15.00
Víkingur 3-1 5%	17.00	15.00
Víkingur 3-0 5%	17.00	15.00
Vllaznia Shkoder 2-0 4%	19.00	17.00
Víkingur 3-2 3%	29.00	23.00
Vllaznia Shkoder 3-1 2%	34.00	26.00
Víkingur 4-1 2%	34.00	26.00
Víkingur 4-0 2%	34.00	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	2.10	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	1.70	1.70
Home 1st Goal 43%	2.50	2.50
Away 1st Goal 52%	1.67	1.70
No 1st Goal 5%	9.00	8.00
BTTS - Yes 51%	1.91	1.91
BTTS - No 49%	1.80	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 12%	8.00	7.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	5.00	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 21%	4.50	4.20
Home/draw 51%	1.80	1.80
Away/draw 74%	1.29	1.25
Home/away 75%	1.30	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.36	1.35
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3.00	3.00
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	3.75	3.60
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1.25	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7.00	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.08	1.08
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10.50	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.04	1.06

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Vllaznia Shkoder Víkingur
Results by League Table

	TEAM	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	FC Daugavpils	l 0-1A	w 2-4F	-	-
2	Víkingur	Jul 24	Jul 31	-	-
3	Malisheva	-	-	w 8-0F	w 0-1F
4	Vllaznia Shkoder	-	-	Jul 31	Jul 24

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vllaznia Shkoder	0 - 1	FC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkoder	0 - 4	Valur
Vllaznia Shkoder	1 - 0	Linfield
Vllaznia Shkoder	1 - 1	Universitatea Craiova
Vllaznia Shkoder	0 - 1	AEL
Vllaznia Shkoder	3 - 0	Siroki Brijeg

Vllaznia Shkoder v Vikingur Reykjavik : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

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