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Gnistan v HJK Helsinki : Veikkausliiga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 3rd Nov, 17:00 BST, Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

Home advantage makes a difference in the Veikkausliiga, and Mikke Salonen’s Gnistan will have the luxury of it on Monday evening. Miika Nuutinen’s HJK Helsinki are their visitors to the Mustapekka Areena. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will change as you browse each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Veikkausliiga showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gnistan
26%
3.70
5%
3.50
13%
Draw
20%
3.903.80
5%
HJK Helsinki
54%
1.75
1%
1.75
8%
HJK Helsinki 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
9.008.00
6%
Draw 2-2
7%
11.009.50
5%
HJK Helsinki 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Gnistan 2-1
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
HJK Helsinki 2-0
6%
13.0011.00
10%
HJK Helsinki 1-0
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
10%
HJK Helsinki 3-2
5%
17.0013.00
HJK Helsinki 3-0
4%
17.0013.00
8%
Gnistan 1-0
4%
21.0015.00
HJK Helsinki 4-1
4%
21.0015.00
Gnistan 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
10%
Gnistan 3-1
3%
26.0017.00
19%
Gnistan 2-0
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
HJK Helsinki 4-2
3%
29.00
12%
19.00
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.40
3%
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
2.88
7%
2.80
2%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20
2%
2.30
8%
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.62
3%
1.62
5%
No 1st Goal
1%
23.00
12%
17.00
BTTS - Yes
69%
1.401.40
3%
BTTS - No
31%
2.752.75
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.505.00
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.40
4%
BTTS - Away Win
34%
2.752.70
4%
Home/draw
46%
1.91
7%
1.95
9%
Away/draw
74%
1.251.25
4%
Home/away
80%
1.22
2%
1.22
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.101.09
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7.005.50
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1.91
4%
1.85
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
1.80
2%
1.80
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.25
8%
2.88
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5.504.80
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.141.13
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00
19%
15.00
Home DNB
40%
3.00
8%
2.80
15%
Away DNB
68%
1.36
2%
1.36
5%
Gnistan win to nil
9%
10.00
9%
-
HJK Helsinki win to nil
20%
4.33-
Gnistan / Gnistan
14%
6.005.75
12%
Gnistan / HJK Helsinki
5%
17.0015.00
Gnistan / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Gnistan
9%
9.00
5%
8.50
6%
Draw / HJK Helsinki
16%
5.504.80
Draw / Draw
11%
7.506.50
7%
HJK Helsinki / Gnistan
3%
26.0023.00
12%
HJK Helsinki / HJK Helsinki
29%
2.75
5%
2.70
10%
HJK Helsinki / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Win / draw / win form
5
Gnistan have lost 5 consecutive home league games
5
Gnistan have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
8
HJK Helsinki have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Gnistan 6TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HJK Helsinki 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gnistan since 2024
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Goals: Scored
2
8
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
HJK
2
League games at HJK Helsinki since 2024
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
2
HJK
1
Goal Statistics

Gnistan's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday evening, not least because HJK Helsinki have conceded in each of their last 5 Veikkausliiga outings. A PG of 1.5 for Mikke Salonen's side suggests that run should continue.

Gnistan have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 9 consecutive Veikkausliiga matches. This run could continue, with HJK Helsinki's PG an impressive 2.4.

Gnistan 6th HJK Helsinki 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Gnistan will score 1 or more goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that HJK Helsinki will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Gnistan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
HJK Helsinki have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Veikkausliiga - 2025/2025 season
Gnistan
PG (predicted goals)
HJK Helsinki
1.5
2.2
Attack rating
HJK
21%
better
view stats
Games scored23
25
Failed to score7
5
Scored first12
17
Goals scored45
72
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
22
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
HJK
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded60
48
Avg. goals conceded2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
21%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+8%

Gnistan v HJK Helsinki Veikkausliiga lLine ups will show here when available.

Gnistan Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
276910
J OjalaJ LatonenS HeiskanenE Arko-Mensah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Latonen MID3062
3
-
J Ojala DEF282
3
-
S Heiskanen DEF2829
4
-
E Bashkirov MID2831
2
1
T Väyrynen FWD2855
3
-
Álex Craninx GLK27
3
1
D Hafstad FWD2742
3
-
P. Gnanou DEF256
7
1
G. Europaeus MID2521
4
-
E Arko-Mensah DEF2332
9
1
O Pettersson DEF223
1
-
C John DEF211
4
-
A Kabashi MID19
7
-
R Eremenko MID1825
5
-
A. Atarah FWD1821
3
-
M Ritari MID1314
1
-
O Günes MID131
1
-
V Hänninen MID1331
1
-
O. Olufunwa DEF11
2
-
A Oura FWD51
-
O. Lyberopoulos GLK4
-
H Woivalin MID1
-
HJK Helsinki Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281494
V TikkanenA RingT PukkiA Ring
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Simojoki DEF292
2
-
V Tikkanen DEF28
3
-
P. Mentu MID2825
3
-
A Ring MID28146
4
-
L Lingman MID2736
3
-
T Pukki FWD27149
2
-
B Michel FWD2685
-
S Hostikka FWD2697
2
1
M Ylitolva DEF251
1
-
G Antzoulas DEF2431
1
-
G Kanellopoulos MID2324
4
-
J Kallinen MID223
2
-
B Lyons-Foster DEF173
4
-
L Möller MID1511
2
-
D Ezeh FWD1311
-
V Besuijen FWD121
-
R. Schuck Friedrich GLK9
1
-
K Kouassivi-Benissan DEF72
1
-
A Tahiri FWD7
-
M. Bogićević DEF6
1
-
E Henriksson GLK5
-
D O'Shaughnessy  DEF51
1
-
Y Karashima MID2
-
V Vuorinen FWD2
-
J Öst GLK1
-