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Bastia v Le Mans : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Benoit Tavenot welcomes Patrick Videira to the Stade Armand-Cesari on Saturday evening, as their Bastia and Le Mans teams go head to head in the Ligue 2. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 2 performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
28%
--
Draw
27%
--
Le Mans
46%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Le Mans 1-0
12%
--
Le Mans 2-1
9%
--
Bastia 1-0
9%
--
Le Mans 2-0
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Bastia 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Bastia 2-0
5%
--
Le Mans 3-1
4%
--
Le Mans 3-0
4%
--
Bastia 3-1
2%
--
Le Mans 3-2
2%
--
Bastia 3-2
2%
--
Bastia 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
54%
--
Away/draw
72%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
46%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Bastia win to nil
16%
--
Le Mans win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Bastia have conceded 36 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Le Mans lay in 2nd place on 58 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 12 and losing 4 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Le Mans have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Le Mans have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Le Mans
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes3219762464 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
2
Le Mans32151341758 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
St Etienne3217691757 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
4
Reims32131361652 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
l
 
1-0A
5
Rodez3213136452 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Red Star311498651 
Dec 5
l
 
4-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
7
Montpellier32148101150 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-2F
8
Annecy32147111049 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
9
Pau3212911-1045 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Dunkerque31101011640 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Guingamp32101012-540 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
12
Boulogne319913-936 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Grenoble3261511-833 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Clermont3271015-831 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Nancy3271015-2031 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
16
Lavallois3251413-1529 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
17
Bastia3141314-1525 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 9
18
Amiens326620-2124 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia2 - 0St Etienne
Bastia1 - 1Amiens
Bastia0 - 1Boulogne
Bastia0 - 2Annecy
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia0 - 0Nancy
Bastia0 - 2Montpellier
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Lavallois
Bastia1 - 3Reims
Bastia1 - 0Clermont
Bastia0 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia2 - 3Rodez
Bastia1 - 3Guingamp
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
HBastia2 - 0St Etienne
ABastia3 - 4Red Star
HBastia1 - 1Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Rodez
HBastia0 - 1Boulogne
ABastia2 - 2Pau
HBastia0 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 1Dunkerque
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia0 - 0Reims
HBastia0 - 0Nancy
HBastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
HBastia1 - 3Reims
HBastia1 - 0Clermont
Le Mans 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble1 - 1Le Mans
Boulogne0 - 0Le Mans
Amiens3 - 4Le Mans
Nancy2 - 4Le Mans
Red Star0 - 0Le Mans
Montpellier4 - 2Le Mans
Troyes0 - 2Le Mans
Rodez1 - 1Le Mans
Annecy1 - 2Le Mans
Pau1 - 2Le Mans
Lavallois1 - 1Le Mans
St Etienne2 - 3Le Mans
Clermont1 - 1Le Mans
Dunkerque2 - 2Le Mans
Reims1 - 0Le Mans
Guingamp3 - 3Le Mans
Chambly2 - 2Le Mans
Ajaccio2 - 0Le Mans
Sochaux1 - 0Le Mans
Lorient4 - 2Le Mans
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALe Mans1 - 1Grenoble
HLe Mans1 - 0Clermont
ALe Mans0 - 0Boulogne
HLe Mans4 - 0Pau
ALe Mans4 - 3Amiens
ALe Mans4 - 2Nancy
HLe Mans3 - 0Annecy
ALe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 1Guingamp
ALe Mans2 - 4Montpellier
HLe Mans1 - 1Lavallois
ALe Mans2 - 0Troyes
HLe Mans1 - 0Dunkerque
ALe Mans1 - 1Rodez
HLe Mans0 - 0St Etienne
ALe Mans2 - 1Annecy
HLe Mans1 - 0Amiens
ALe Mans2 - 1Pau
HLe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 0Nancy
Goal Statistics
Bastia 17th Le Mans 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Le Mans will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Bastia have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Le Mans have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Le Mans
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
BAS
LMS
44%
better
view stats
Games scored15
26
Failed to score16
6
Scored first10
18
Goals scored22
47
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal12
6
Conversion rate for8
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
BAS
LMS
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
18
Clean sheets10
14
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded37
30
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

Bastia v Le Mans Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
264210
F TomiF TomiF TomiJ. Guevara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Tomi MID3142
3
-
T. Meynadier DEF27
4
-
Z. Ariss DEF271
8
-
J Sebas FWD264
5
2
A Boutrah FWD2622
4
-
T Ducrocq MID251
4
1
J. Guevara DEF2411
10
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID2422
2
-
C Vincent MID241
3
-
J Janneh MID241
-
J Placide GLK231
2
-
A Roncaglia DEF232
4
2
F Bohnert DEF221
5
-
I Karamoko FWD19
2
-
D Guidi DEF181
7
1
A Aiki FWD15
-
G Akueson DEF14
3
-
M. Ble FWD14
1
-
L Etoga MID91
1
-
L. Olmeta GLK8
1
-
N. Parravicini FWD6
3
-
D. Basset DEF1
-
Le Mans Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3110513
N KocikD GueyeA RabillardA Lauray
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gueye FWD32103
2
-
N Kocik GLK31
4
-
S Yohou DEF303
9
-
A Lauray MID301
13
-
E. Quarshie MID3021
3
-
L Calodat MID3024
3
-
A Rabillard FWD2895
2
-
M. Robin MID273
3
-
E. Colas FWD2753
2
-
L Buadés MID2533
3
-
T. Eyoum DEF241
1
-
H. Voyer DEF2411
3
1
I. Cossier DEF231
4
-
M. Rossignol MID2311
5
-
A. Ribelin DEF181
4
-
J. Vercruysse MID91
1
-
B. Oggad FWD91
1
-
T Luvambo FWD9
1
-
L Abanda DEF61
1
-
B Guillaume FWD6
-
D. Gomes MID4
2
1
E Hatfout GLK1
-