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Bastia v Le Mans : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

the Stade Armand-Cesari crowd welcome Le Mans's fans on Saturday evening, as Benoit Tavenot's Bastia clash with Patrick Videira's troops in the Ligue 2. Below you'll find unique stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Le Mans was on Saturday 9th May 2026
French Ligue 2
May 9th 2026
Bastia 0
2 Le Mans
 
16' E. Colas
90' M. Robin
 
BAS
LMS
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
2
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
14
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
BastiaLe Mans
 
L. Olmeta
J. Guevara (G. Akueson 46')
Z. Ariss
D. Guidi (A. Roncaglia 75')
F. Tomi (J. Sebas 23')
T. Ducrocq (M. Merghem 60')
T. Meynadier
J. Eickmayer
A. Bi Zaouai
J. Janneh
R. Beliandjou (C. Vincent 75')
E. Hatfout
H. Voyer
S. Yohou
(A. Bourabaa 67') E. Quarshie
(M. Robin 83') A. Lauray
(A. Ribelin 84') L. Calodat
L. Bretelle
(W. Harhouz 83') A. Rabillard
(D. Guèye 42') football iconE. Colas
N. Boissé
L. Buadés

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Bastia and Le Mans have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Le Mans coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
25%
11/51/50
Draw
26%
5/2750/1
Le Mans
49%
6/51/1000
Le Mans 1-0
13%
15/21/3
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Le Mans 2-0
9%
10/11/14
Le Mans 2-1
9%
8/114/1
Draw 0-0
9%
10/111/2
Bastia 1-0
8%
9/113/2
Bastia 2-1
6%
10/133/1
Le Mans 3-0
5%
20/111/1
Le Mans 3-1
5%
16/160/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/170/1
Bastia 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Le Mans 3-2
2%
25/1125/1
Bastia 3-1
2%
22/1125/1
Le Mans 4-0
2%
40/180/1
Le Mans 4-1
2%
40/190/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
19/206/1
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
17/201/16
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/513/10
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/517/20
No 1st Goal
5%
10/111/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
8/1112/1
BTTS - No
52%
1/11/66
BTTS - Home Win
11%
5/11/50
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/270/1
BTTS - Away Win
20%
10/312/1
Home/draw
51%
4/670/1
Away/draw
75%
4/111/50
Home/away
74%
2/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/72/1
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
9/440/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/31/200
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/91/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/201/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/111/2
Home DNB
43%
5/45/4
Away DNB
67%
4/74/7
Bastia win to nil
14%
9/2-
Le Mans win to nil
29%
11/4-
Bastia / Bastia
16%
4/166/1
Bastia / Le Mans
4%
22/190/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Draw / Bastia
11%
6/122/1
Draw / Le Mans
15%
9/218/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/218/1
Le Mans / Bastia
3%
28/110/1
Le Mans / Le Mans
23%
13/54/11
Le Mans / Draw
6%
12/118/5
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 12 and won 5. Bastia have conceded 39 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 11 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Le Mans lay in 2nd place on 59 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 13 and losing 4 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Le Mans have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Le Mans have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Le Mans
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes3420772767 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
2
St Etienne34186102160 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
3
Le Mans33151441759 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Red Star34161081158 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
5
Rodez3415136658 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Reims34141461856 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Annecy34157121052 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
8
Montpellier34149111051 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-2F
9
Pau3412913-1445 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Dunkerque34111013843 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Guingamp34101014-740 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
12
Grenoble3481511-639 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
13
Clermont3491015-637 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Nancy3491015-1737 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
15
Boulogne349916-1536 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Lavallois3461414-1832 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
17
Bastia3351315-1728 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 9
18
Amiens346622-2824 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
10
Le Mans have not lost in 10 consecutive league games
Bastia 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia2 - 0St Etienne
Bastia1 - 1Amiens
Bastia0 - 1Boulogne
Bastia0 - 2Annecy
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia0 - 0Nancy
Bastia0 - 2Montpellier
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 0Red Star
Bastia0 - 2Lavallois
Bastia1 - 3Reims
Bastia1 - 0Clermont
Bastia0 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia2 - 3Rodez
Bastia1 - 3Guingamp
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia1 - 0Guingamp
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
HBastia2 - 0St Etienne
ABastia3 - 4Red Star
HBastia1 - 1Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Rodez
HBastia0 - 1Boulogne
ABastia2 - 2Pau
HBastia0 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 1Dunkerque
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia0 - 0Reims
HBastia0 - 0Nancy
HBastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 0Red Star
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
Le Mans 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble1 - 1Le Mans
Boulogne0 - 0Le Mans
Amiens3 - 4Le Mans
Nancy2 - 4Le Mans
Red Star0 - 0Le Mans
Montpellier4 - 2Le Mans
Troyes0 - 2Le Mans
Rodez1 - 1Le Mans
Annecy1 - 2Le Mans
Pau1 - 2Le Mans
Lavallois1 - 1Le Mans
St Etienne2 - 3Le Mans
Clermont1 - 1Le Mans
Dunkerque2 - 2Le Mans
Reims1 - 0Le Mans
Guingamp3 - 3Le Mans
Chambly2 - 2Le Mans
Ajaccio2 - 0Le Mans
Sochaux1 - 0Le Mans
Lorient4 - 2Le Mans
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLe Mans1 - 1Reims
ALe Mans1 - 1Grenoble
HLe Mans1 - 0Clermont
ALe Mans0 - 0Boulogne
HLe Mans4 - 0Pau
ALe Mans4 - 3Amiens
ALe Mans4 - 2Nancy
HLe Mans3 - 0Annecy
ALe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 1Guingamp
ALe Mans2 - 4Montpellier
HLe Mans1 - 1Lavallois
ALe Mans2 - 0Troyes
HLe Mans1 - 0Dunkerque
ALe Mans1 - 1Rodez
HLe Mans0 - 0St Etienne
ALe Mans2 - 1Annecy
HLe Mans1 - 0Amiens
ALe Mans2 - 1Pau
HLe Mans0 - 0Red Star
Goal Statistics

Le Mans's defensive record is to be admired, P. Videira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Bastia makes sense in this context.

Bastia 17th Le Mans 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Le Mans will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Bastia have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Le Mans have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Le Mans
1
1.5
Attack rating
BAS
LMS
44%
better
view stats
Games scored16
27
Failed to score17
6
Scored first11
18
Goals scored23
48
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal12
6
Conversion rate for8
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
BAS
LMS
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets12
14
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded37
31
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+13%

Bastia v Le Mans Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28429
Z. ArissF TomiZ. ArissJ. Guevara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Olmeta GLK9
1
-
Z. Ariss DEF292
8
-
D Guidi DEF191
7
1
J. Guevara DEF2511
9
-
T. Meynadier DEF28
4
-
T Ducrocq MID271
4
1
J Janneh MID261
-
F Tomi MID3342
3
-
J Eickmayer MID143
2
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID2522
2
-
R. Beliandjou FWD101
-
Subs
S Contena GLK
-
G Akueson DEF15
3
-
A Roncaglia DEF242
4
2
F Bohnert DEF231
5
-
C Vincent MID251
4
-
J Sebas FWD284
5
2
M Merghem FWD7
1
1
Le Mans Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3110513
S YohouD GueyeA RabillardA Lauray
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Hatfout GLK2
-
N. Boissé DEF12
2
-
S Yohou DEF314
9
-
H. Voyer DEF2511
3
1
A Lauray MID312
13
-
L Buadés MID2633
3
-
L. Bretelle MID1221
1
-
E. Quarshie MID3121
3
-
L Calodat MID3124
3
-
A Rabillard FWD2995
2
-
E. Colas FWD2853
2
-
Subs
A. Delbecque GLK
-
I. Cossier DEF241
4
-
A. Ribelin DEF181
4
-
M. Robin MID273
3
-
A. Bourabaa FWD121
1
-
W. Harhouz FWD2141
2
1
D Gueye FWD33103
2
-
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds