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Bastia v Montpellier : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

It's an away match for Zoumana Camara's Montpellier side on Friday evening, as they head to the Stade Armand-Cesari for a Ligue 2 tie with Benoit Tavenot's Bastia. All the odds are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Ligue 2 match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Bastia and Montpellier both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Montpellier coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
31%
19/10
4%
7/4
2%
Draw
30%
21/1021/10
Montpellier
39%
13/10
4%
13/10
Montpellier 1-0
14%
13/211/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
Draw 0-0
12%
7/1
6%
7/1
Bastia 1-0
12%
7/1
6%
6/1
Montpellier 2-0
8%
10/117/2
5%
Montpellier 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Bastia 2-1
7%
10/117/2
6%
Bastia 2-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Montpellier 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Montpellier 3-1
3%
20/116/1
13%
Bastia 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
16/1
11%
Bastia 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Montpellier 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Bastia 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
5/4
5%
23/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/13
3%
3/5
1%
Home 1st Goal
44%
11/1023/20
2%
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/1110/11
2%
No 1st Goal
8%
7/1
6%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/610/11
BTTS - No
57%
5/64/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
11/2
8%
19/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4/1
9%
4/1
Home/draw
61%
8/15
2%
11/20
1%
Away/draw
69%
4/112/5
Home/away
70%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
2/5
3%
4/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
7/4
8%
7/4
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
3/1
7%
14/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/9
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/113/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/141/20
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/114/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/141/20
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8/1
6%
13/2
Home DNB
52%
1/11/1
Away DNB
60%
8/117/10
2%
Bastia win to nil
20%
7/2-
Montpellier win to nil
25%
3/1-
Bastia / Bastia
18%
15/417/5
2%
Bastia / Montpellier
3%
28/122/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Bastia
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Montpellier
14%
5/19/2
4%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/418/5
Montpellier / Bastia
3%
28/122/1
Montpellier / Montpellier
21%
3/111/4
1%
Montpellier / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 22 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Montpellier lay in 10th place on 25 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Montpellier have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Montpellier have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Montpellier
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes1912521641 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Apr 3
l
 
1-0A
2
St Etienne1910451134 
Apr 17
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
3
Dunkerque199641433 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
4
Reims199551232 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 6
Feb 27
l
 
2-0A
5
Red Star18954832 
Dec 5
Apr 10
d
 
1-1A
May 9
6
Le Mans19883532 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
7
Guingamp19856129 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
Jan 30
l
 
1-0A
8
Pau19766-427 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
l
 
0-1A
Mar 20
9
Annecy19748425 
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 10
10
Montpellier19748-125 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
-
-
11
Rodez19586-523 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
w
 
2-0F
Feb 20
12
Clermont19577-322 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
May 2
d
 
1-1F
13
Grenoble19568-621 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 17
d
 
1-1F
14
Nancy196310-921 
Jan 30
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1A
Mar 6
15
Boulogne195410-1019 
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
16
Amiens195311-818 
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 24
17
Lavallois193610-1415 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 13
w
 
0-1F
18
Bastia183510-1114 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Jan 23
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Montpellier have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Lavallois
Bastia1 - 3Reims
Bastia1 - 0Clermont
Bastia0 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia2 - 3Rodez
Bastia1 - 3Guingamp
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
HBastia1 - 3Reims
HBastia1 - 0Clermont
ABastia0 - 2Nancy
ABastia0 - 1Troyes
HBastia0 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 0Grenoble
HBastia2 - 3Rodez
ABastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia0 - 1Boulogne
ABastia0 - 0Amiens
HBastia1 - 3Guingamp
ABastia0 - 1Le Mans
HBastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia2 - 1Caen
ABastia2 - 2Guingamp
Montpellier 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boulogne1 - 0Montpellier
Grenoble1 - 1Montpellier
Reims2 - 0Montpellier
Clermont1 - 1Montpellier
Dunkerque0 - 1Montpellier
Lavallois0 - 1Montpellier
Guingamp1 - 0Montpellier
Troyes1 - 0Montpellier
Le Mans1 - 2Montpellier
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Brest1 - 0Montpellier
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Angers2 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontpellier0 - 1Boulogne
HMontpellier1 - 3Dunkerque
AMontpellier1 - 1Grenoble
HMontpellier0 - 1Pau
AMontpellier0 - 2Reims
HMontpellier1 - 0Annecy
HMontpellier2 - 0Rodez
AMontpellier1 - 1Clermont
HMontpellier4 - 1Nancy
AMontpellier1 - 0Dunkerque
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier1 - 0Lavallois
HMontpellier1 - 3Boulogne
HMontpellier2 - 0Bastia
AMontpellier0 - 1Guingamp
HMontpellier1 - 1Amiens
AMontpellier0 - 1Troyes
AMontpellier2 - 1Le Mans
HMontpellier1 - 1Red Star
AMontpellier0 - 3Nantes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2013
Bastia
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
BAS
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Montpellier since 2014
Montpellier
Bastia
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
BAS
1
MTP
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
Montpellier2 - 0
Montpellier2 - 1
Montpellier2 - 0
Montpellier3 - 1
0 - 2Bastia
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Montpellier of late. It has been 5 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against Bastia.

Bastia 18th Montpellier 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Montpellier will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-56
Montpellier have scored 56% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
1
1.1
Attack rating
BAS
MTP
30%
better
view stats
Games scored8
13
Failed to score10
6
Scored first7
8
Goals scored11
19
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal13
9
Conversion rate for7
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
0%
better
BAS
MTP
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded22
20
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bastia v Montpellier Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17415
Z. ArissJ SebasF TomiZ. Ariss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Tomi MID1821
3
-
T. Meynadier DEF17
4
-
Z. Ariss DEF171
5
-
A Roncaglia DEF161
2
1
J Placide GLK151
-
D Guidi DEF151
5
-
J Sebas FWD154
4
1
I Karamoko FWD15
2
-
C Vincent MID14
3
-
A Aiki FWD14
-
M. Ble FWD14
1
-
A Boutrah FWD1321
1
-
J. Guevara DEF121
4
-
J Janneh MID12
-
T Ducrocq MID121
3
1
F Bohnert DEF111
3
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID111
1
-
L Etoga MID91
1
-
N. Parravicini FWD6
3
-
L. Olmeta GLK3
1
-
G Akueson DEF2
1
-
Montpellier Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19536
B OmeragicA MendyT SavanierT. Chennahi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Omeragic DEF192
4
-
A Mendy FWD1951
2
-
T. Chennahi MID181
6
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF17
2
-
T Savanier MID1753
2
-
N Mbuku FWD1722
1
-
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK16
3
-
J Laporte DEF15
2
1
N. Pays MID151
3
-
C Jullien DEF1311
2
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF131
1
1
V. Orakpo FWD131
2
-
Y. Mouanga DEF11
1
-
K Fayad MID1111
2
-
E Tchato DEF5
1
-
A. Sishuba MID5
1
-
J. Ndiaye FWD41
-
V. Džodić GLK2
-
Y. Issoufou FWD2
-
M Michel GLK1
-