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Bastia v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Pau FC are on the road on Friday evening, as manager Nicolas Usai takes his men to visit Bastia and Benoit Tavenot at the Stade Armand-Cesari in the Ligue 2. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Bastia's next match is v Guingamp at 13:00 on Saturday 30th August
Pau FC's next match is v Red Star at 19:00 on Friday 12th September
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Pau was on Friday 15th August 2025
French Ligue 2
August 15th 2025
Bastia 1
1 Pau
 
J. Sebas 27'60' T. Arconte
 
BAS
PAU
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
6
11
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
13
6
Yellow/red cards
2/1
3/1
 
BastiaPau
 
A. Roncaglia
D. Guidi (T. Meynadier 85')
F. Tomi (I. Karamoko 85')
A. Boutrah
T. Ducrocq
F. Bohnert
J. Placide
Z. Ariss
J. Janneh
J. Sebasfootball icon (C. Vincent 67')
M. Ble (C. Onana Etoga 85')
N. Raveyre
T. Pouilly
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa
A. Briançon
J. Ruiz
(S. Beusnard 67') A. Bobichon
R. Touzghar
(E. Zuliani 68') football iconT. Arconte
(S. Karamoko 84') P. Mboup
(S. Lebouath 79') G. Versini
D. Meddah

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Bastia and Pau's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
53%
8/1318/1
Draw
23%
13/51/1000
Pau
24%
7/225/1
Draw 1-1
11%
13/21/6
Bastia 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Bastia 1-0
9%
13/217/10
Bastia 2-0
8%
7/114/5
Pau 2-1
6%
14/110/1
Bastia 3-1
6%
12/140/1
Pau 1-0
6%
12/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/133/1
Bastia 3-0
5%
12/18/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/111/2
Bastia 3-2
3%
22/1100/1
Pau 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Bastia 4-1
3%
25/1125/1
Pau 3-1
2%
40/160/1
Bastia 4-0
2%
25/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/518/5
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/12/13
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/154/7
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/521/10
No 1st Goal
3%
11/111/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/513/8
BTTS - No
43%
10/114/9
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/26/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/12/13
BTTS - Away Win
13%
15/29/1
Home/draw
76%
1/61/25
Away/draw
47%
11/101/14
Home/away
77%
1/419/5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/42/5
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2/122/1
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/111/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/160/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/155/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/251/200
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/12
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/15/1
Home DNB
69%
2/71/4
Away DNB
40%
5/25/2
Bastia win to nil
26%
7/4-
Pau win to nil
11%
8/1-
Bastia / Bastia
28%
8/52/7
Bastia / Pau
3%
33/112/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/117/4
Draw / Bastia
17%
7/218/1
Draw / Pau
9%
9/128/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/118/1
Pau / Bastia
4%
20/1100/1
Pau / Pau
12%
7/180/1
Pau / Draw
6%
14/190/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Pau
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Pau422048 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
-
-
2
Nancy422038 
Jan 30
Oct 28
May 1
d
 
2-2A
3
St Etienne321057 
Apr 17
Dec 12
Feb 27
Oct 28
4
Red Star421137 
Dec 5
Apr 10
Sep 12
Feb 6
5
Reims421107 
Nov 7
Feb 6
w
 
2-0F
May 8
6
Troyes421107 
Feb 13
Oct 17
Oct 31
Feb 20
7
Clermont413016 
Oct 31
Apr 24
Oct 3
Mar 13
8
Amiens412115 
Apr 3
Sep 12
Dec 12
Apr 10
9
Dunkerque412105 
Oct 3
Feb 20
Oct 24
Jan 16
10
Montpellier412105 
Jan 23
Sep 20
Mar 20
Dec 5
11
Rodez4121-35 
Sep 23
Mar 20
Jan 2
Sep 26
12
Lavallois404004 
Oct 24
Jan 16
Sep 23
Jan 30
13
Le Mans4112-14 
May 8
l
 
1-0A
Nov 21
Apr 3
14
Annecy4112-24 
Feb 27
Nov 21
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
15
Guingamp4112-34 
l
 
1-3A
May 1
Apr 17
Nov 7
16
Grenoble3012-21 
Jan 2
Sep 26
Jan 23
Oct 17
17
Bastia3012-31 
-
-
Mar 6
d
 
1-1A
18
Boulogne3003-30 
Mar 13
Sep 16
Feb 13
Sep 19
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia2 - 1Caen
ABastia2 - 2Guingamp
HBastia2 - 3Grenoble
ABastia0 - 1Paris FC
HBastia5 - 2Lavallois
ABastia1 - 1Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 4Lorient
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
Pau 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Amiens4 - 2Pau
Ajaccio1 - 1Pau
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Martigues2 - 2Pau
Caen2 - 2Pau
Paris FC3 - 1Pau
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Red Star1 - 3Pau
Metz0 - 0Pau
Rodez1 - 0Pau
Annecy2 - 0Pau
Troyes3 - 0Pau
Guingamp0 - 1Pau
Lavallois3 - 1Pau
Dunkerque3 - 2Pau
Grenoble1 - 1Pau
Clermont2 - 2Pau
Bordeaux3 - 2Pau
Angers2 - 1Pau
Troyes2 - 2Pau
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPau2 - 0Annecy
HPau1 - 3Guingamp
APau2 - 4Amiens
HPau2 - 1Metz
APau1 - 1Ajaccio
HPau2 - 2Clermont
APau0 - 5Lorient
HPau1 - 0Annecy
APau2 - 2Martigues
HPau0 - 2Troyes
HPau1 - 0Grenoble
APau2 - 2Caen
HPau0 - 5Rodez
APau1 - 3Paris FC
HPau1 - 1Lavallois
APau1 - 1Bastia
APau3 - 1Red Star
HPau1 - 1Dunkerque
APau0 - 0Metz
HPau1 - 0Ajaccio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2022
Bastia
Pau
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
BAS
1
D
2
PAU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Pau
Bastia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Pau since 2021
Pau
Bastia
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
BAS
2
D
1
PAU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pau
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Bastia
2 - 6Bastia
Pau2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Bastia 15th Pau 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Bastia have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Pau’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Pau
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
BAS
PAU
57%
better
view stats
Games scored0
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
1
Goals scored0
2
Avg. goals scored0
2
Avg. shots per game0
6
Avg. shots per goal0
3
Conversion rate for0
33
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
0%
better
BAS
PAU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
2
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bastia v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
J PlacideJ SebasA BoutrahF Bohnert
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK2
-
F Bohnert DEF2
1
-
D Guidi DEF2
1
-
A Roncaglia DEF2
-
Z. Ariss DEF2
1
-
T Ducrocq MID1
1
J Janneh MID2
-
A Boutrah MID21
-
F Tomi FWD2
-
J Sebas FWD21
-
M. Ble FWD2
-
Subs
L. Olmeta GLK
-
T. Meynadier DEF2
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID
-
C Vincent MID2
-
L Etoga MID2
-
I Karamoko FWD2
-
Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4114
N RaveyreJ RuizJ. Kalulu KyatengwaD Meddah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Raveyre GLK4
-
T. Pouilly DEF4
2
-
A Briançon DEF4
-
J Ruiz DEF41
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF41
1
-
D Meddah MID31
3
1
G Versini MID4
-
R. Touzghar MID4
1
-
A Bobichon MID41
-
T Arconte MID21
2
-
P. Mboup FWD311
-
Subs
T. Paradowski GLK
-
S Karamoko DEF3
-
O Kanté DEF3
-
S Beusnard MID31
-
E Zuliani MID2
-
N. Glossoa FWD31
-