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Dunkerque v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk

Pau FC pay Ligue 2 counterparts Dunkerque a visit on Friday evening, as Nicolas Usaï leads his men into an away clash with Albert Sánchez Saura & co. at the Stade Marcel Tribut. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Dunkerque and Pau will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Albert Sánchez Saura or Nicolas Usaï has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Dunkerque and Pau an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dunkerque
50%
7/10-
Draw
23%
5/2-
Pau
27%
10/3-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Dunkerque 2-1
10%
15/2-
Dunkerque 1-0
8%
13/2-
Dunkerque 2-0
8%
15/2-
Pau 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Pau 1-0
6%
12/1-
Dunkerque 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
Dunkerque 3-0
5%
12/1-
Pau 2-0
4%
22/1-
Dunkerque 3-2
4%
22/1-
Pau 3-1
3%
33/1-
Dunkerque 4-1
3%
25/1-
Pau 3-2
3%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/5-
BTTS - No
40%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
13/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/2-
Home/draw
73%
2/11-
Away/draw
50%
1/1-
Home/away
77%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/7-
Away DNB
43%
5/2-
Dunkerque win to nil
24%
2/1-
Pau win to nil
12%
8/1-
Dunkerque / Dunkerque
32%
13/8-
Dunkerque / Pau
2%
33/1-
Dunkerque / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Dunkerque
18%
15/4-
Draw / Pau
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Pau / Dunkerque
4%
20/1-
Pau / Pau
10%
7/1-
Pau / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Dunkerque have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Dunkerque have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Dunkerque have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Pau are in 7th position in the Ligue 2 on 27 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Pau have conceded 15 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dunkerque
Pau
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes1811521538 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 20
d
 
1-1F
Feb 21
2
Reims189541332 
Mar 6
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
3
St Etienne189451031 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 10
Feb 27
l
 
6-0A
4
Le Mans18873531 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 26
l
 
1-2F
Apr 3
5
Dunkerque188641230 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Jan 16
6
Red Star17854529 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 13
l
 
0-3A
Feb 6
7
Pau18765-227 
Jan 16
w
 
0-3F
-
-
8
Guingamp18756-226 
Feb 6
l
 
2-1A
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
9
Montpellier18747025 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
10
Annecy18648222 
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
11
Clermont18576-222 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 27
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
12
Rodez18576-522 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
13
Grenoble18567-321 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
Jan 23
d
 
1-1A
14
Nancy18639-621 
l
 
1-3F
May 9
May 2
d
 
2-2A
15
Amiens185310-618 
w
 
6-2F
Feb 13
l
 
1-2A
Apr 10
16
Boulogne184410-1116 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 24
Feb 13
w
 
0-3F
17
Lavallois18369-1215 
Apr 17
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 30
18
Bastia172510-1311 
Feb 20
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 6
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Dunkerque 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Pau 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dunkerque have beaten Pau in 3 consecutive home league meetings
7
Dunkerque have not lost to Pau in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dunkerque since 2020
Dunkerque
Pau
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
DUN
3
D
1
League games at Pau since 2021
Pau
Dunkerque
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
DUN
2
D
2
PAU
1
Goal Statistics

Dunkerque have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 2 games. Their PG of 1.8 against Pau FC on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Dunkerque's defensive record is to be admired, A. Sánchez Saura's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Ligue 2 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Pau FC makes sense in this context.

Dunkerque 6th Pau 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Dunkerque will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Dunkerque have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Pau’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Dunkerque
PG (predicted goals)
Pau
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
11%
better
DUN
PAU
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score3
3
Scored first11
10
Goals scored32
26
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
16%
better
DUN
PAU
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded20
28
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+16%

Dunkerque v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Dunkerque Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18865
V SassoT RobinetG. YassineY. Sekongo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Sasso DEF1821
-
G Kondo DEF1813
3
-
Y. Sekongo MID1842
5
-
A. Zossou FWD1832
3
-
E Bardeli MID1774
-
A Georgen DEF161
1
-
A Daho FWD161
2
-
P. Diongu MID15
-
T Robinet FWD148
1
1
M. Niflore GLK13
3
-
A Kanté FWD13
2
-
M. Essimi Ateba FWD1353
1
-
G. Yassine FWD1326
1
-
Abner DEF12
1
-
A Linguet DEF10
3
-
O Sanganté DEF91
1
I Eguaras MID9
2
-
E Sylvestre MID63
1
-
M Lavín GLK5
1
-
V. Mayela DEF5
1
-
Z. Seha FWD4
-
M. Diop MID3
1
-
L. Dziki Loussilaho DEF2
1
-
Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17528
J. Kalulu KyatengwaG VersiniR. TouzgharD Meddah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Touzghar MID1822
2
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF171
1
1
N Raveyre GLK16
1
-
T. Pouilly DEF1611
3
1
N. Glossoa DEF162
1
-
D Meddah MID1612
7
1
A Bobichon MID1642
-
G Versini FWD1652
1
-
K Dong FWD141
1
-
S Karamoko DEF13
3
1
J Ruiz DEF131
2
-
A Briançon DEF13
2
-
E Zuliani MID13
2
-
S Beusnard MID1311
2
-
O. Sadik FWD1331
3
-
R. Messi Tanfouri FWD122
-
O. Sissoko FWD112
2
-
C. Fall MID101
3
-
O Kanté DEF8
3
1
K. Gasnier MID8
1
-
E Salles GLK3
-