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Le Mans v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 19:45 BST, Stade de La Pincenardière, Mulsanne

the Stade de La Pincenardière is the setting on Monday evening, as Patrick Videira's Le Mans are visited by Nicolas Usaï's Pau FC in the Ligue 2. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Le Mans and Pau have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Le Mans are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Le Mans
48%
9/1010/11
Draw
26%
23/1023/10
Pau
26%
5/212/5
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Le Mans 1-0
12%
7/113/2
Le Mans 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Le Mans 2-0
9%
17/28/1
Pau 1-0
8%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
8%
10/19/1
Pau 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Le Mans 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Le Mans 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Pau 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Le Mans 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Pau 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Le Mans 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Le Mans 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
17/20
3%
3/4
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
19/20
3%
10/11
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/64/6
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
3%
7/5
No 1st Goal
5%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
8/117/10
BTTS - No
50%
1/121/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/4
6%
27/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/25/1
Home/draw
74%
1/42/7
Away/draw
52%
4/54/5
Home/away
74%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/40
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
Home DNB
66%
2/5
3%
4/9
Away DNB
44%
7/4
5%
8/5
Le Mans win to nil
28%
5/2-
Pau win to nil
14%
6/1-
Le Mans / Le Mans
26%
21/102/1
Le Mans / Pau
3%
28/125/1
Le Mans / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Le Mans
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Pau
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Pau / Le Mans
4%
20/118/1
Pau / Pau
14%
5/19/2
Pau / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Le Mans have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 9 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Le Mans have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Le Mans have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Pau are in 11th position in the Ligue 2 on 39 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Pau have conceded 31 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Le Mans
Pau
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2817652157 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-3F
2
St Etienne2816572153 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
6-0A
3
Le Mans28131141250 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
4
Reims28121061546 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
5
Red Star271287544 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
6
Rodez2811116244 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
7
Montpellier2812610842 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
8
Dunkerque281099939 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
9
Annecy2811611139 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
10
Guingamp281099-239 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
11
Pau281099-439 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
-
-
12
Boulogne289712-834 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
13
Grenoble2861210-730 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
14
Clermont287714-728 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Nancy287714-1628 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
16
Amiens286517-1723 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 10
17
Lavallois2841113-1723 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Bastia2731113-1620 
w
 
1-0F
May 9
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Le Mans have won 3 consecutive league games
11
Le Mans have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Le Mans 3RD
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Le Mans3 - 0Annecy
Le Mans1 - 1Guingamp
Le Mans1 - 1Lavallois
Le Mans1 - 0Dunkerque
Le Mans0 - 0St Etienne
Le Mans1 - 0Amiens
Le Mans0 - 0Red Star
Le Mans1 - 0Nancy
Le Mans1 - 0Boulogne
Le Mans2 - 2Troyes
Le Mans1 - 0Grenoble
Le Mans0 - 1Rodez
Le Mans1 - 0Bastia
Le Mans1 - 2Montpellier
Le Mans2 - 1Guingamp
Le Mans0 - 0Rodez
Le Mans1 - 1Nancy
Le Mans0 - 1Auxerre
Le Mans3 - 2US Orleans
Le Mans1 - 2Chateauroux
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALe Mans4 - 3Amiens
ALe Mans4 - 2Nancy
HLe Mans3 - 0Annecy
ALe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 1Guingamp
ALe Mans2 - 4Montpellier
HLe Mans1 - 1Lavallois
ALe Mans2 - 0Troyes
HLe Mans1 - 0Dunkerque
ALe Mans1 - 1Rodez
HLe Mans0 - 0St Etienne
ALe Mans2 - 1Annecy
HLe Mans1 - 0Amiens
ALe Mans2 - 1Pau
HLe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 0Nancy
ALe Mans1 - 1Lavallois
HLe Mans1 - 0Boulogne
ALe Mans3 - 2St Etienne
HLe Mans2 - 2Troyes
Pau 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Clermont0 - 1Pau
Troyes4 - 3Pau
Red Star0 - 3Pau
Lavallois0 - 1Pau
Dunkerque3 - 1Pau
Montpellier0 - 1Pau
Guingamp2 - 2Pau
St Etienne6 - 0Pau
Grenoble1 - 1Pau
Rodez1 - 2Pau
Boulogne0 - 3Pau
Nancy2 - 2Pau
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Amiens4 - 2Pau
Ajaccio1 - 1Pau
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Martigues2 - 2Pau
Caen2 - 2Pau
Paris FC3 - 1Pau
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPau0 - 0Montpellier
APau1 - 0Clermont
HPau2 - 2Bastia
HPau0 - 3St Etienne
APau3 - 4Troyes
HPau1 - 2Boulogne
APau3 - 0Red Star
APau1 - 0Lavallois
HPau2 - 2Grenoble
APau1 - 3Dunkerque
HPau3 - 3Rodez
HPau1 - 2Amiens
APau1 - 0Montpellier
HPau1 - 2Le Mans
APau2 - 2Guingamp
HPau1 - 1Troyes
APau0 - 6St Etienne
HPau0 - 3Dunkerque
APau1 - 1Grenoble
HPau3 - 1Clermont
Goal Statistics
Le Mans 3rd Pau 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Le Mans will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Le Mans have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+20
Pau have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Le Mans
PG (predicted goals)
Pau
1.5
1
Attack rating
0%
better
LMS
PAU
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score5
5
Scored first16
16
Goals scored41
40
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
21%
better
LMS
PAU
view stats
Games conceded17
19
Clean sheets11
9
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded29
44
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
20%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+21%

Le Mans v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Le Mans Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
278413
N KocikA RabillardL CalodatA Lauray
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gueye FWD2873
2
-
N Kocik GLK27
4
-
S Yohou DEF263
9
-
L Calodat MID2624
3
-
A Lauray MID261
13
-
E. Quarshie MID2621
3
-
A Rabillard FWD2484
2
-
T. Eyoum DEF231
1
-
M. Robin MID232
3
-
M. Rossignol MID2311
5
-
E. Colas FWD2342
2
-
H. Voyer DEF2111
2
1
L Buadés MID2133
4
-
I. Cossier DEF201
3
-
A. Ribelin DEF161
4
-
J. Vercruysse MID91
1
-
B. Oggad FWD91
1
-
T Luvambo FWD9
1
-
L Abanda DEF61
1
-
B Guillaume FWD6
-
D. Gomes MID4
2
1
E Hatfout GLK1
-
Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
279312
J. Kalulu KyatengwaG VersiniR. TouzgharD Meddah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF2712
2
1
R. Touzghar MID2723
5
-
T. Pouilly DEF2621
3
1
A Bobichon MID2653
-
G Versini FWD2693
1
-
J Ruiz DEF2311
4
-
K Dong FWD2313
1
-
N Raveyre GLK22
3
-
D Meddah MID2212
11
1
S Beusnard MID2221
4
1
O. Sadik FWD2232
4
-
N. Glossoa DEF212
1
-
A Briançon DEF20
4
-
O. Sissoko FWD1941
2
-
S Karamoko DEF17
4
1
C. Fall MID1621
3
-
E Zuliani MID14
2
-
R. Messi Tanfouri FWD142
-
O Kanté DEF12
4
1
K. Gasnier MID9
1
-
E Salles GLK5
-
T. Paradowski GLK2
-