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Lorient v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Lorient are in Ligue 2 action on Saturday evening, as Olivier Pantaloni attempts to outsmart Michel Der Zakarian and his Caen side at the Stade du Moustoir. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Ligue 2 match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Lorient's next match is v Martigues at 16:00 on Saturday 10th May
Caen's next match is v Bastia at 16:00 on Saturday 10th May
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Lorient and Caen was on Saturday 26th April 2025
French Ligue 2
April 26th 2025
Lorient 4
0 Caen
 
Mohamed Bamba 16'
E. Kroupi 23'
S. Soumano 78'
S. Soumano 90'
 
LOR
CAE
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
12
1
Possession
69%
31%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
LorientCaen
 
Y. Mvogo
M. Talbi
D. Yongwa Ngameni
J. Laporte
G. Kalulu Kyatengwa (I. Silva de Almeida 65')
A. Ebong Avon
J. Ponceau
L. Abergel (J. Makengo 86')
J. Mvuka (S. Diarra 85')
E. Kroupifootball icon (T. Aiyegun 73')
Mohamed Bambafootball icon (S. Soumano 73')
A. Mandrea
B. Traoré
(J. Gaudin 77') Q. Lecoeuche
L. Sy
(G. Tomé 65') N. Lebreton
Y. M'Vila
(I. Najim 46') B. Brahimi
D. Gaucho
(K. Coulibaly 77') S. Grandsir
A. Mendy
G. Kyeremeh

Best Tip: Lorient to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this Ligue 2 clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Lorient to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they will overpower Caen, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Lorient claiming victory is the bet come Saturday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lorient are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lorient
75%
1/5-
Draw
16%
11/2-
Caen
9%
14/1
15%
-
Lorient 2-0
13%
5/1-
Lorient 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Lorient 3-0
11%
6/1-
Lorient 2-1
9%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
11/1
9%
-
Lorient 3-1
7%
10/1-
Lorient 4-0
6%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1-
Lorient 4-1
4%
16/1-
Caen 1-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Lorient 5-0
3%
18/1-
Caen 2-1
3%
33/1-
Lorient 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Lorient 5-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
27/20
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
34%
9/2-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - No
56%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
21/10-
BTTS - Draw
11%
15/2
13%
-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
22/1
10%
-
Home/draw
91%
1/33-
Away/draw
25%
10/3
8%
-
Home/away
84%
1/9
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/8
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
8/15
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
10/3
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
86%
1/20-
Away DNB
20%
10/1-
Lorient win to nil
46%
4/5
2%
-
Caen win to nil
5%
18/1
10%
-
Lorient / Lorient
51%
4/6
3%
-
Lorient / Caen
2%
50/1-
Lorient / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / Lorient
22%
11/4-
Draw / Caen
3%
25/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1-
Caen / Lorient
4%
20/1
11%
-
Caen / Caen
3%
22/1-
Caen / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Lorient have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Lorient have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Lorient have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 40 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Caen are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 21 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Caen have conceded 51 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lorient
Caen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient Home3321573368 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
2
Paris FC3320672066 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-2A
3
Metz33171152962 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Dunkerque3317412755 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Guingamp33164131052 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
6
Lavallois3314811750 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Annecy3313911-348 
w
 
4-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Grenoble3313713146 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
9
Bastia3310158545 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 10
10
Amiens3313416-1143 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Ajaccio3312615-1042 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
12
Pau33101211-1242 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
13
Troyes3312516141 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
14
Rodez3391113238 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
15
Red Star3391014-1437 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
16
Clermont3371115-1632 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
17
Martigues339519-2332 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
18
Caen Away335721-2622 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Lorient 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Lorient3 - 1Rodez
Lorient0 - 1Lavallois
Lorient3 - 1Amiens
Lorient3 - 2Clermont
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Troyes
Lorient3 - 1Guingamp
Lorient4 - 2Dunkerque
Lorient4 - 2Annecy
Lorient3 - 0Ajaccio
Lorient2 - 1Red Star
Lorient2 - 0Grenoble
Lorient5 - 0Clermont
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 4PSG
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lorient0 - 2Lyon
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALorient0 - 0Annecy
ALorient2 - 1Guingamp
HLorient5 - 0Pau
ALorient2 - 1Grenoble
HLorient4 - 0Bastia
ALorient2 - 3Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Rodez
HLorient0 - 1Lavallois
ALorient1 - 0Troyes
HLorient3 - 1Amiens
ALorient2 - 1Red Star
HLorient3 - 2Clermont
ALorient1 - 0Dunkerque
HLorient0 - 0Metz
ALorient0 - 2Lavallois
HLorient2 - 0Paris FC
HLorient2 - 0Troyes
ALorient0 - 0Bastia
HLorient3 - 1Guingamp
ALorient1 - 2Clermont
Caen 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rodez2 - 2Caen
Paris FC4 - 2Caen
Amiens2 - 1Caen
Clermont0 - 1Caen
Annecy1 - 0Caen
Troyes3 - 0Caen
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Dunkerque3 - 1Caen
Lavallois1 - 0Caen
Metz1 - 0Caen
Martigues0 - 3Caen
Red Star2 - 2Caen
Guingamp3 - 1Caen
Grenoble3 - 1Caen
Pau1 - 0Caen
Dunkerque2 - 2Caen
St Etienne1 - 0Caen
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Quevillaise.1 - 2Caen
Auxerre2 - 1Caen
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCaen0 - 3Martigues
ACaen2 - 2Rodez
HCaen2 - 2Metz
ACaen2 - 4Paris FC
ACaen1 - 2Amiens
HCaen0 - 1Lavallois
ACaen1 - 0Clermont
HCaen2 - 2Pau
ACaen0 - 1Annecy
HCaen0 - 2Dunkerque
ACaen0 - 3Troyes
HCaen0 - 1Guingamp
ACaen1 - 2Ajaccio
HCaen0 - 1Grenoble
HCaen0 - 1Clermont
ACaen1 - 3Dunkerque
ACaen0 - 1Lavallois
HCaen3 - 3Rodez
ACaen0 - 1Metz
HCaen2 - 0Bastia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Lorient have beaten Caen in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lorient since 2015
Lorient
Caen
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
LOR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Lorient2 - 1
Lorient1 - 0
Lorient2 - 0
Lorient2 - 1
League games at Caen since 2014
Caen
Lorient
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
LOR
3
CAE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Caen
1 - 2Lorient
1 - 2Lorient
Caen3 - 2
1 - 2Lorient
Caen2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Caen have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 matches. This run could continue, with Lorient's PG an impressive 2.3.

Lorient 1st Caen 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 68% probability that Lorient will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Caen will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Lorient have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Caen have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279994/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lorient
PG (predicted goals)
Caen
2.3
0.7
Attack rating
35%
better
LOR
CAE
view stats
Games scored24
18
Failed to score7
13
Scored first14
9
Goals scored58
29
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
37%
better
LOR
CAE
view stats
Games conceded19
27
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first14
22
Goals conceded28
51
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+37%

Lorient v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
312087
Y Mvogo E KroupiA Tosin L Abergel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK31
-
G Kalulu DEF19
2
-
J Laporte DEF212
4
-
M Talbi DEF2811
3
1
D Yongwa DEF3116
5
-
J Mvuka MID283
-
A Avon MID3022
2
-
L Abergel MID3015
7
-
J Ponceau MID2835
3
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD835
1
-
E Kroupi FWD28202
2
-
Subs
B Leroy GLK1
-
I Silva DEF241
6
-
F Mendy DEF201
2
-
S Diarra MID2
-
J Makengo MID171
1
-
A Tosin  FWD2538
-
S Soumano FWD31123
1
-
Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28837
A MendyA MendyB BrahimiQ Lecoeuche
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Mandréa GLK26
-
L Sy DEF15
-
D. Gaucho DEF141
-
B Traoré DEF241
3
-
Q Lecoeuche DEF211
7
-
Y M'Vila MID1811
7
-
N Lebreton MID3141
6
-
B Brahimi MID2943
2
1
S Grandsir MID81
-
G Kyeremeh MID3122
2
-
A Mendy FWD3082
4
-
Subs
Y Clementia GLK7
2
-
J Gaudin DEF111
4
-
R. Verhaeghe DEF2
-
L. Milliner MID6
1
-
G. Tomé MID3
-
K Coulibaly FWD182
2
1
I Najim FWD1211
-