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Montpellier v Troyes : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 13:00 BST, Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

Troyes, led by manager Stéphane Dumont, visit Zoumana Camara and his Montpellier side at the Stade de la Mosson on Saturday afternoon in the Ligue 2. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Montpellier and Troyes haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Ligue 2 individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montpellier are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montpellier 39%	13/8	13/8
Draw 27%	11/5	9/4
Troyes 34%	11/8	13/10
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	5/1
Montpellier 1-0 11%	9/1 5%	15/2
Troyes 1-0 10%	17/2 6%	7/1
Draw 0-0 8%	10/1	9/1
Montpellier 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Troyes 2-1 8%	9/1	15/2
Montpellier 2-0 7%	14/1	11/1
Troyes 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	10/1
Montpellier 3-1 4%	20/1	14/1
Troyes 3-1 3%	18/1	14/1
Montpellier 3-0 3%	28/1 10%	18/1
Troyes 3-0 2%	22/1	16/1
Montpellier 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Troyes 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	17/20 3%	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	19/20 3%	17/20
Home 1st Goal 48%	1/1	21/20
Away 1st Goal 46%	10/11	10/11
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 50%	4/6 3%	4/6
BTTS - No 50%	11/10 5%	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1 9%	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	15/4	17/5
Home/draw 66%	1/2	8/15
Away/draw 61%	2/5	4/9
Home/away 73%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/4 3%	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	11/4 7%	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	2/1 8%	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	4/11 2%	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	5/1 8%	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/8 2%	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1	8/1
Home DNB 58%	10/11	19/20
Away DNB 53%	4/5	3/4
Montpellier win to nil 22%	4/1	-
Troyes win to nil 19%	7/2 4%	-
Montpellier / Montpellier 19%	10/3 4%	16/5
Montpellier / Troyes 4%	25/1	18/1
Montpellier / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Montpellier 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Troyes 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Troyes / Montpellier 3%	25/1	22/1
Troyes / Troyes 21%	3/1	27/10
Troyes / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Montpellier have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Montpellier have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Montpellier have played 14 games at home, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Troyes lay in 1st place on 57 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Troyes have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Troyes have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Montpellier Troyes
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Troyes	28	17	6	5	21	57	Apr 4	l 1-0A	-	-
2	St Etienne	28	16	5	7	21	53	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	l 2-3A	Apr 25
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	12	50	w 4-2A	w 1-2F	l 0-2A	d 2-2A
4	Reims	28	12	10	6	15	46	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
5	Red Star	27	12	8	7	5	44	d 1-1A	May 9	w 1-0F	w 1-3A
6	Rodez	28	11	11	6	2	44	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	Apr 13
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	8	42	-	-	w 1-0F	Apr 4
8	Dunkerque	28	10	9	9	9	39	l 1-3A	w 0-1F	w 5-1F	l 2-0A
9	Annecy	28	11	6	11	1	39	w 1-0F	Apr 10	w 3-1F	w 1-2A
10	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	-2	39	w 3-1A	l 1-0A	w 5-2A	l 1-0A
11	Pau	28	10	9	9	-4	39	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	w 4-3A	d 1-1A
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	-8	34	l 1-3A	l 1-0A	Apr 18	w 1-2F
13	Grenoble	28	6	12	10	-7	30	Apr 17	d 1-1F	w 2-1F	May 9
14	Clermont	28	7	7	14	-7	28	May 2	d 1-1F	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	-16	28	w 4-1A	w 0-3F	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
16	Amiens	28	6	5	17	-17	23	d 1-1A	Apr 24	w 3-1A	w 0-2F
17	Lavallois	28	4	11	13	-17	23	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	May 2	w 0-1F
18	Bastia	27	3	11	13	-16	20	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Troyes have won 5 consecutive league games

Troyes have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Montpellier have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montpellier	2 - 0	Lavallois
Montpellier	0 - 0	Reims
Montpellier	4 - 2	Le Mans
Montpellier	3 - 1	Guingamp
Montpellier	1 - 3	Dunkerque
Montpellier	0 - 1	Pau
Montpellier	1 - 0	Annecy
Montpellier	2 - 0	Rodez
Montpellier	4 - 1	Nancy
Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
Montpellier	1 - 3	Boulogne
Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
Montpellier	1 - 1	Amiens
Montpellier	1 - 1	Red Star
Montpellier	1 - 4	PSG
Montpellier	0 - 0	Reims
Montpellier	0 - 2	Le Havre
Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
Montpellier	0 - 4	Rennes
Montpellier	1 - 4	Lyon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montpellier	0 - 0	Pau
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Lavallois
A	Montpellier	3 - 0	Nancy
H	Montpellier	0 - 0	Reims
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Rodez
H	Montpellier	4 - 2	Le Mans
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	St Etienne
H	Montpellier	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Boulogne
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Dunkerque
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Grenoble
H	Montpellier	0 - 1	Pau
A	Montpellier	0 - 2	Reims
H	Montpellier	1 - 0	Annecy
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Rodez
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Montpellier	4 - 1	Nancy
A	Montpellier	1 - 0	Dunkerque
H	Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Annecy	1 - 2	Troyes
Amiens	0 - 2	Troyes
Bastia	0 - 0	Troyes
Nancy	2 - 1	Troyes
Guingamp	1 - 0	Troyes
Boulogne	1 - 2	Troyes
Lavallois	0 - 1	Troyes
Pau	1 - 1	Troyes
Reims	0 - 0	Troyes
Le Mans	2 - 2	Troyes
Red Star	1 - 3	Troyes
Dunkerque	2 - 0	Troyes
Clermont	0 - 0	Troyes
Grenoble	3 - 1	Troyes
Clermont	0 - 2	Troyes
Metz	2 - 1	Troyes
Pau	0 - 2	Troyes
Paris FC	1 - 0	Troyes
Martigues	1 - 2	Troyes
Lavallois	1 - 0	Troyes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Troyes	5 - 1	Dunkerque
A	Troyes	2 - 1	Annecy
H	Troyes	2 - 1	Clermont
A	Troyes	2 - 0	Amiens
H	Troyes	4 - 3	Pau
A	Troyes	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Troyes	1 - 2	Nancy
H	Troyes	0 - 2	Le Mans
A	Troyes	0 - 1	Guingamp
H	Troyes	2 - 1	Reims
H	Troyes	1 - 0	Red Star
A	Troyes	2 - 1	Boulogne
H	Troyes	1 - 1	Rodez
A	Troyes	1 - 0	Lavallois
H	Troyes	2 - 3	St Etienne
A	Troyes	1 - 1	Pau
H	Troyes	3 - 1	Amiens
A	Troyes	0 - 0	Reims
H	Troyes	1 - 0	Bastia
A	Troyes	2 - 2	Le Mans

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Montpellier

Troyes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

MTP

TRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
Montpellier	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Troyes
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Montpellier	4 - 1

Troyes

Montpellier

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

3 / 5

MTP

TRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Troyes
Troyes	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Montpellier
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Montpellier
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Montpellier's defensive record is very strong, Z. Camara's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Troyes makes sense in this context.

	Montpellier 7th	Troyes 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Montpellier will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Troyes will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Montpellier have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Troyes have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season

MTP

TRO

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		22
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	33		49
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+21%

better

MTP

TRO

view stats

Games conceded	18		19
Clean sheets	10		9
Conceded first	15		13
Goals conceded	25		28
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+7%

Montpellier v Troyes Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	10	5	6
A Mendy	A Mendy	N Mbuku	T. Chennahi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Mendy FWD	28	10	1	2 -
T. Chennahi MID	26		2	6 -
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK	25			3 -
N Mbuku FWD	25	3	5	3 -
N. Pays MID	24	3	1	3 -
J Laporte DEF	23			4 1
B Omeragic DEF	22	2		5 -
T Savanier MID	22	5	3	2 -
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	21			3 -
C Jullien DEF	20	2	1	2 1
T Sainte-Luce DEF	20	1	1	2 1
Y. Mouanga DEF	16			1 -
K Fayad MID	16	1	1	3 -
E Tchato DEF	14			2 -
V. Orakpo FWD	13		1	2 -
A. Sishuba MID	11			2 -
Y. Issoufou FWD	11	2	2	1 -
J. Ndiaye FWD	4	1		-
A Gueguin FWD	3		1	-
V. Džodić GLK	2			-
M Michel GLK	1			-
E Everson MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	24	5	9
A Mendy	A Mendy	N Mbuku	T Savanier

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Mendy FWD	10	24	1	2
T Savanier MID	5	17	3	9
N Mbuku FWD	3	9	5	8
N. Pays MID	3	10	1	5
B Omeragic DEF	2	6
C Jullien DEF	2	4	1
Y. Issoufou FWD	2	4	2	3
T Sainte-Luce DEF	1	2	1
K Fayad MID	1	2	1	4
J. Ndiaye FWD	1	1
T. Chennahi MID		3	2	3
J Laporte DEF		2		3
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF				2
Y. Mouanga DEF		2
E Tchato DEF		1		2
V. Orakpo FWD		6	1	2
A. Sishuba MID		1
A Gueguin FWD			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1355	50	142
J Laporte	T. Chennahi	A Mendy

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Laporte DEF	1355	28	107
B Omeragic DEF	1165	25	83
C Jullien DEF	949	13	81
T Savanier MID	757	21	88
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK	742	2	22
T Sainte-Luce DEF	740	41	88
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	617	27	48
T. Chennahi MID	591	50	111
N Mbuku FWD	560	39	126
Y. Mouanga DEF	510	19	53
E Tchato DEF	463	30	62
N. Pays MID	448	24	98
A Mendy FWD	382	8	142
K Fayad MID	310	22	48
V. Orakpo FWD	173	7	35
Y. Issoufou FWD	146	16	32
V. Džodić GLK	58		1
A. Sishuba MID	55	4	15
M Michel GLK	27
A Gueguin FWD	18	2	4
E Everson MID	15		1
J. Ndiaye FWD	14	1	2

Troyes Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	15	8	8
A Monfray	T. Bentayeb	M Adeline	A Monfray

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Monfray DEF	27			8 -
A. Mille MID	27	2	4	6 -
M Adeline MID	27	7	8	3 1
M. Detourbet FWD	27	2	5	4 -
M Diop MID	26	3	2	1 1
I Boura DEF	22	1	2	3 -
T. Bentayeb FWD	22	15	2	2 1
M Idrissy FWD	21	4	1	5 -
M. Ifnaoui MID	20	3	4	1 -
L Maronnier DEF	18		1	4 1
H Konaté GLK	17			1 -
K. Assoumou FWD	17	4	1	3 -
H Gambor DEF	16		1	3 -
Y. Titi DEF	15		2	2 -
R Ripart FWD	15	5		1 -
P Gozzi DEF	14			3 -
N Lemaître GLK	10			3 -
E. Odede FWD	9		1	-
S. Bocoum DEF	8		1	1 -
A Phliponeau MID	7			1 -
X Chavalerin MID	4			1 -
A. Diakité FWD	3			1 -
Z Boucher GLK	2			1 -
M Hamdi DEF	1			1 -
I. Traoré FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	33	8	10
T. Bentayeb	T. Bentayeb	M Adeline	M Adeline

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T. Bentayeb FWD	15	33	2
M Adeline MID	7	17	8	10
R Ripart FWD	5	12		1
M Idrissy FWD	4	7	1	3
K. Assoumou FWD	4	14	1	2
M Diop MID	3	12	2	3
M. Ifnaoui MID	3	8	4	5
A. Mille MID	2	10	4	9
M. Detourbet FWD	2	14	5	9
I Boura DEF	1	2	2	3
A Monfray DEF		5
L Maronnier DEF		1	1	3
H Gambor DEF			1	1
Y. Titi DEF			2	2
E. Odede FWD			1
S. Bocoum DEF			1	1
A. Diakité FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1720	55	175
A Monfray	A. Mille	A. Mille

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Monfray DEF	1720	51	136
M Diop MID	1181	27	80
A. Mille MID	1146	55	175
I Boura DEF	968	34	127
M Adeline MID	845	43	103
M. Detourbet FWD	716	18	97
P Gozzi DEF	703	15	52
H Gambor DEF	673	15	43
M. Ifnaoui MID	596	22	79
L Maronnier DEF	595	17	71
H Konaté GLK	448	1	10
S. Bocoum DEF	338	13	39
Y. Titi DEF	319	16	66
K. Assoumou FWD	316	26	93
T. Bentayeb FWD	283	11	67
N Lemaître GLK	248		5
R Ripart FWD	171	13	71
M Idrissy FWD	134	9	57
A Phliponeau MID	105	2	6
X Chavalerin MID	60	2	4
Z Boucher GLK	49
M Hamdi DEF	44		7
E. Odede FWD	34	5	11
A. Diakité FWD	18	1	3
I. Traoré FWD	1		1