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Pau FC v Metz : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, Bizanos

Metz pay Ligue 2 rivals Pau FC a visit on Saturday evening, as Stéphane Le Mignan guides his team into an away clash with Nicolas Usai & co. at the Stade Du Hameau Idron 1. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Pau FC's next match is v Guingamp at 16:00 on Saturday 10th May
Metz's next match is v Lavallois at 16:00 on Saturday 10th May
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Pau and Metz was on Saturday 26th April 2025
French Ligue 2
April 26th 2025
Pau 2
1 Metz
 
P. Mboup 73'79' P. Diallo
T. Arconte 83'
 
PAU
MET
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
10
7
Corners
6
6
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
7
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
6/0
 
PauMetz
 
B. Kamara
X. Laglais Kouassi
T. Koudou (M. Bangré 74')
J. Gaspar
J. Obiang
J. Ruiz
O. Ngom (J. Lopy 78')
A. Mille
S. Beusnard (M. Chahiri 84')
P. Mboupfootball icon (K. Diawara 75')
K. Boutaïb (T. Arconte 74')
A. Bodart
M. Udol
(A. Lô 70') U. Mboula
I. Traoré
(K. Van Den Kerkhof 78') K. Kouao
A. Touré
(P. Diallo 70') B. Stambouli
C. Sabaly
(M. Bokele Mputu 78') I. Gueye
G. Hein
(I. Sane 70') A. Jallow

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Pau and Metz will score at least two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookies have it at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Metz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pau
23%
10/3
4%
-
Draw
24%
31/10
8%
-
Metz
53%
7/10
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
14%
-
Metz 1-0
11%
9/1
33%
-
Metz 2-1
10%
15/2-
Metz 2-0
9%
9/1
18%
-
Pau 1-0
7%
16/1
42%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
16/1
55%
-
Pau 2-1
6%
14/1-
Metz 3-1
5%
11/1
20%
-
Metz 3-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
-
Pau 2-0
4%
25/1
24%
-
Metz 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
-
Metz 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
-
Metz 4-0
2%
25/1
10%
-
Pau 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/7
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
27/20
18%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/9
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
16/1
55%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/7
13%
-
BTTS - No
48%
5/4
18%
-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
21/10
17%
-
Home/draw
47%
11/10
8%
-
Away/draw
77%
1/5-
Home/away
76%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/6
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
4/1
33%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/8
27%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
8/15
15%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
3/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
2/9
9%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1
38%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/40
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
16/1
55%
-
Home DNB
40%
12/5
5%
-
Away DNB
70%
3/10
2%
-
Pau win to nil
12%
8/1
13%
-
Metz win to nil
29%
12/5
13%
-
Pau / Pau
10%
6/1-
Pau / Metz
4%
18/1
10%
-
Pau / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Pau
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw / Metz
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
27%
-
Metz / Pau
3%
28/1
15%
-
Metz / Metz
35%
8/5
10%
-
Metz / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Pau have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Pau have conceded 28 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Pau have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Metz lay in 3rd place on 61 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 51 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Metz have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Metz have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Pau
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient3321573368 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
2
Paris FC3320672066 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Metz Away33171152962 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
4
Dunkerque3317412755 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
5
Guingamp33164131052 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
6
Lavallois3314811750 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
7
Annecy3313911-348 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Grenoble3313713146 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
9
Bastia3310158545 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
10
Amiens3313416-1143 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
11
Ajaccio3312615-1042 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
12
Pau Home33101211-1242 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
13
Troyes3312516141 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Rodez3391113238 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-3F
15
Red Star3391014-1437 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
16
Clermont3371115-1632 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
17
Martigues339519-2332 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Caen335721-2622 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Pau 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pau2 - 2Clermont
Pau1 - 0Annecy
Pau0 - 2Troyes
Pau1 - 0Grenoble
Pau0 - 5Rodez
Pau1 - 1Lavallois
Pau1 - 1Dunkerque
Pau1 - 0Ajaccio
Pau4 - 1Red Star
Pau0 - 0Paris FC
Pau0 - 2Amiens
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Pau1 - 0Lorient
Pau3 - 0Martigues
Pau1 - 0Caen
Pau1 - 2Bastia
Pau1 - 2Guingamp
Pau3 - 0Lavallois
Pau1 - 1Ajaccio
Pau2 - 0Concarneau
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APau1 - 1Ajaccio
HPau2 - 2Clermont
APau0 - 5Lorient
HPau1 - 0Annecy
APau2 - 2Martigues
HPau0 - 2Troyes
HPau1 - 0Grenoble
APau2 - 2Caen
HPau0 - 5Rodez
APau1 - 3Paris FC
HPau1 - 1Lavallois
APau1 - 1Bastia
APau3 - 1Red Star
HPau1 - 1Dunkerque
APau0 - 0Metz
HPau1 - 0Ajaccio
APau0 - 1Rodez
HPau4 - 1Red Star
HPau0 - 0Paris FC
APau0 - 2Annecy
Metz 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Martigues1 - 4Metz
Caen2 - 2Metz
Dunkerque2 - 3Metz
Amiens1 - 2Metz
Guingamp0 - 3Metz
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Annecy0 - 0Metz
Clermont1 - 1Metz
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Red Star1 - 0Metz
Grenoble2 - 0Metz
Troyes2 - 1Metz
Paris FC1 - 2Metz
Rodez1 - 3Metz
Strasbourg2 - 1Metz
Le Havre0 - 1Metz
Brest4 - 3Metz
Reims2 - 1Metz
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz2 - 2Red Star
AMetz4 - 1Martigues
AMetz2 - 2Caen
HMetz2 - 1Troyes
AMetz3 - 2Dunkerque
HMetz5 - 1Annecy
AMetz2 - 1Amiens
HMetz0 - 1Ajaccio
AMetz3 - 0Guingamp
HMetz3 - 1Clermont
AMetz1 - 1Bastia
HMetz3 - 0Grenoble
HMetz3 - 1Paris FC
AMetz0 - 0Lorient
HMetz0 - 0Pau
AMetz0 - 0Annecy
HMetz2 - 0Dunkerque
AMetz1 - 1Clermont
HMetz1 - 0Caen
AMetz1 - 0Ajaccio
Goal Statistics

Metz have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Ligue 2 games. Their PG of 1.7 against Pau FC on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Pau 12th Metz 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Metz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Pau have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+30
Metz have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279997/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Pau
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
1
1.7
Attack rating
PAU
MET
26%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score9
6
Scored first14
19
Goals scored34
57
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
PAU
MET
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
21
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first15
9
Goals conceded45
27
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+23%

Pau v Metz Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30948
T KoudouP. MboupT KoudouJ Ruiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kamara GLK28
2
-
J Gaspar DEF26
5
-
X Kouassi DEF20
2
1
J Ruiz DEF2712
8
-
J Obiang DEF16
-
T Koudou MID3124
5
-
O Ngom MID252
2
1
S Beusnard MID2611
3
-
P. Mboup MID3193
8
-
A. Mille FWD3244
8
-
K Boutaïb FWD2871
2
1
Subs
M Jeannin GLK5
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF23
2
-
J Lopy MID7
-
M Bangré MID101
-
K Diawara FWD294
2
-
T Arconte FWD2721
3
-
M Chahiri FWD71
-
Metz Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311477
G HeinC SabalyM UdolM Udol
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bodart GLK16
-
K Kouao DEF264
5
1
I Traoré DEF1621
2
-
U. Mboula DEF10
2
-
M Udol DEF3047
7
-
A Jallow MID2751
1
-
B Stambouli MID2512
2
-
A. Touré MID15
2
-
G Hein MID31126
6
-
C Sabaly FWD30142
1
-
I. Gueye FWD1641
2
-
Subs
A Oukidja GLK14
-
A Lô DEF15
4
-
K Kerkhof DEF1322
3
-
J N'Duquidi MID4
-
I. Sane FWD1921
3
-
P Diallo FWD2673
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD2522
2
-