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Red Star FC v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade de Paris, Saint-Ouen

Nicolas Usai is aiming for a crucial away win in the Ligue 2 on Friday evening, as he takes his Pau FC side to the Stade de Paris to visit Red Star FC and Grégory Poirier. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Red Star and Pau combined during the standard 90 minutes. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.33.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here – we’re predicting that there’s a 54% chance of Red Star v Pau having no more than 2 goals in total. ‘Under 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.85.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Red Star 39%	2.80	2.62 3%
Draw 27%	3.10 3%	3.00 3%
Pau 34%	2.50 2%	2.40 1%
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	6.00
Red Star 1-0 11%	9.00 5%	8.00 6%
Pau 1-0 10%	8.50 6%	7.50 6%
Red Star 2-1 8%	11.00	9.00
Draw 0-0 8%	9.00 10%	8.00 6%
Pau 2-1 8%	10.00	8.50
Red Star 2-0 7%	13.00 13%	12.00
Pau 2-0 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00	12.00 9%
Red Star 3-1 4%	23.00 10%	17.00
Pau 3-1 3%	21.00 11%	15.00
Red Star 3-0 3%	29.00	21.00
Pau 3-0 2%	23.00	19.00 12%
Red Star 3-2 2%	34.00 17%	21.00
Pau 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	2.05 5%	1.91 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	1.75 5%	1.73 4%
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.20 5%	2.10
Away 1st Goal 46%	1.83	1.95
No 1st Goal 5%	9.00 10%	8.50
BTTS - Yes 51%	1.80 8%	1.75 3%
BTTS - No 49%	1.91 9%	1.95 5%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50	5.25 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 15%	5.50 10%	4.80 7%
Home/draw 66%	1.50 2%	1.50 2%
Away/draw 61%	1.40	1.40
Home/away 73%	1.36	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1.30 1%	1.30 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	3.40 3%	3.00 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	3.50 8%	3.20 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1.29 3%	1.29 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	7.00 8%	6.00 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.10 1%	1.08 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	17.00 31%	11.00 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.02 2%	1.01 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.06	1.05 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10.00	7.50 6%
Home DNB 58%	1.91 5%	1.95 3%
Away DNB 53%	1.80 4%	1.75
Red Star win to nil 22%	4.50 10%	-
Pau win to nil 19%	4.33	-
Red Star / Red Star 18%	4.50	4.40
Red Star / Pau 3%	29.00 12%	21.00
Red Star / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Red Star 13%	6.00 8%	6.00
Draw / Pau 14%	6.00	5.75 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	4.50 2%
Pau / Red Star 3%	29.00 12%	23.00
Pau / Pau 19%	4.33 8%	4.00 3%
Pau / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00

Over / under 2.5 goals Ligue 2 table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Red Star Pau
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient	18	10	4	4	13	34	Feb 1	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	Apr 5
2	Paris FC	18	10	4	4	11	34	l 1-3A	Jan 25	d 0-00-0	Feb 7
3	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	5	33	May 10	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	l 3-2A
4	Metz	18	8	7	3	11	31	w 1-0F	Apr 19	Apr 26	d 0-00-0
5	Annecy	18	8	6	4	3	30	Apr 12	l 1-0A	Mar 29	l 2-0A
6	Lavallois	18	8	5	5	10	29	l 0-3A	d 1-1A	Jan 31	l 3-1A
7	Guingamp	18	9	2	7	7	29	Feb 28	w 3-4F	May 10	w 0-1F
8	Bastia	18	5	10	3	5	25	d 0-00-0	Feb 21	d 1-1F	Jan 24
9	Grenoble	18	7	3	8	0	24	w 3-1F	Feb 7	Feb 28	d 1-1A
10	Pau Away	18	6	6	6	-1	24	Jan 17	l 4-1A	-	-
11	Rodez	18	6	5	7	2	23	Mar 29	w 0-2F	Feb 14	l 1-0A
12	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23	Apr 26	d 1-1A	Apr 12	d 2-2A
13	Amiens	18	7	2	9	-5	23	Mar 7	l 3-0A	l 0-2A	May 3
14	Red Star Home	18	6	4	8	-10	22	-	-	w 4-1F	Jan 17
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21	l 0-3A	Apr 5	Mar 7	l 3-0A
16	Caen	18	4	3	11	-8	15	d 2-2A	May 3	w 1-0F	Feb 22
17	Ajaccio	18	4	3	11	-12	15	w 1-0F	Mar 15	w 1-0F	Apr 19
18	Martigues	18	3	3	12	-26	12	Feb 14	w 0-1F	w 3-0F	Mar 15

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Over / under 2.5 goals form

Pau have not conceded more than 1 goal for 6 consecutive league games

Pau have not scored more than 1 goal for 6 consecutive away league games

Pau have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

0.9

Conceded

1.6

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Over

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Red Star	3 - 1	Grenoble
Red Star	0 - 0	Bastia
Red Star	0 - 3	Troyes
Red Star	1 - 0	Metz
Red Star	2 - 2	Caen
Red Star	1 - 3	Paris FC
Red Star	0 - 3	Lavallois
Red Star	1 - 0	Ajaccio
Red Star	0 - 1	Paris FC
Red Star	1 - 2	Metz
Red Star	1 - 1	Nancy
Red Star	0 - 2	Brest
Red Star	0 - 4	Clermont
Red Star	1 - 0	Valenciennes
Red Star	1 - 1	Ajaccio
Red Star	1 - 3	Chateauroux
Red Star	1 - 0	Lens
Red Star	3 - 0	Sochaux
Red Star	0 - 3	Troyes
Red Star	0 - 3	Beziers

Avg: Scored

1.0

Conceded

1.6

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Over

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
A	Red Star	1 - 1	Lavallois
A	Red Star	2 - 0	Rodez
H	Red Star	3 - 1	Grenoble
H	Red Star	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Red Star	1 - 4	Pau
H	Red Star	0 - 3	Troyes
A	Red Star	1 - 0	Martigues
H	Red Star	1 - 0	Metz
A	Red Star	0 - 2	Dunkerque
H	Red Star	2 - 2	Caen
A	Red Star	0 - 1	Annecy
H	Red Star	1 - 3	Paris FC
A	Red Star	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Red Star	0 - 3	Lavallois
A	Red Star	1 - 2	Lorient
A	Red Star	4 - 3	Guingamp
H	Red Star	1 - 0	Ajaccio
A	Red Star	0 - 3	Amiens
A	Red Star	0 - 1	Niort
H	Red Star	0 - 1	Paris FC

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Over

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Metz	0 - 0	Pau
Rodez	1 - 0	Pau
Annecy	2 - 0	Pau
Troyes	3 - 0	Pau
Guingamp	0 - 1	Pau
Lavallois	3 - 1	Pau
Dunkerque	3 - 2	Pau
Grenoble	1 - 1	Pau
Clermont	2 - 2	Pau
Bordeaux	3 - 2	Pau
Angers	2 - 1	Pau
Troyes	2 - 2	Pau
Valenciennes	1 - 4	Pau
Amiens	2 - 3	Pau
Dunkerque	1 - 0	Pau
Grenoble	0 - 1	Pau
Paris FC	1 - 1	Pau
Annecy	0 - 0	Pau
Rodez	2 - 1	Pau
Lavallois	1 - 1	Pau

Avg: Scored

1.1

Conceded

1.3

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Over

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
H	Pau	1 - 1	Dunkerque
A	Pau	0 - 0	Metz
H	Pau	1 - 0	Ajaccio
A	Pau	0 - 1	Rodez
H	Pau	4 - 1	Red Star
H	Pau	0 - 0	Paris FC
A	Pau	0 - 2	Annecy
A	Pau	0 - 3	Troyes
H	Pau	0 - 2	Amiens
H	Pau	1 - 1	Bastia
A	Pau	1 - 0	Guingamp
A	Pau	1 - 3	Lavallois
H	Pau	1 - 0	Lorient
A	Pau	2 - 3	Dunkerque
H	Pau	3 - 0	Martigues
A	Pau	1 - 1	Grenoble
H	Pau	1 - 0	Caen
A	Pau	2 - 2	Clermont
A	Pau	2 - 3	Bordeaux
H	Pau	1 - 2	Bastia

Goal Statistics

Pau FC's defensive record is very strong, Nicolas Usai's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Red Star FC makes sense in this context.

	Red Star 14th	Pau 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Red Star will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Red Star’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-5 Pau’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

better

RED

PAU

view stats

Games scored	12		12
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	6		7
Goals scored	19		19
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.2
KickOff rating		+1%

RED

PAU

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		11
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	11		9
Goals conceded	29		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate against	16%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.8
KickOff rating		+22%

Red Star v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Red Star Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	4	4	4
M. Ifnaoui	H. Benali	M. Ifnaoui	D. Durand

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Dembi MID	18			1 -
M. Ifnaoui MID	18	1	4	2 -
D. Durand FWD	18	2	3	4 -
L Kouagba DEF	17			3 -
R. Hachem DEF	17	1	1	4 -
H. Benali FWD	17	4	2	4 -
J Escartin DEF	16			2 -
S Renel MID	15	1	1	-
A Badji FWD	15	4		2 -
Q Beunardeau GLK	14			-
J Eickmayer MID	14	2	1	1 -
F Doucouré DEF	13	1		2 -
D Durivaux DEF	12			1 -
H Mbock MID	12			3 1
K. Cissé FWD	12	1		1 -
B Danger DEF	9	1		-
A Hriti DEF	8			1 -
A. Fall FWD	8			-
I Botella FWD	8			-
B Mendy DEF	7			2 -
M Fongain DEF	5			1 -
R Risser GLK	4			-
M Anani FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	4	18
H. Benali	A Badji	M. Ifnaoui	M. Ifnaoui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Badji FWD	4	13		4
H. Benali FWD	4	7	2	6
D. Durand FWD	2	9	3	11
J Eickmayer MID	2	3	1	6
F Doucouré DEF	1	2		4
B Danger DEF	1	2
R. Hachem DEF	1	6	1	15
S Renel MID	1	1	1	8
M. Ifnaoui MID	1	1	4	18
K. Cissé FWD	1	2		1
I Botella FWD		1		2
A. Fall FWD				1
F Dembi MID				4
A Hriti DEF				2
H Mbock MID		3		2
D Durivaux DEF				2
J Escartin DEF		2
L Kouagba DEF		4		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
925	35	84
L Kouagba	F Dembi	R. Hachem

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Kouagba DEF	925	18	77
R. Hachem DEF	715	29	84
M. Ifnaoui MID	688	19	69
J Escartin DEF	614	13	51
F Dembi MID	528	35	66
F Doucouré DEF	506	27	51
S Renel MID	463	13	31
D Durivaux DEF	430	18	41
D. Durand FWD	373	10	57
Q Beunardeau GLK	365		7
J Eickmayer MID	339	7	36
B Danger DEF	310	7	28
B Mendy DEF	309	8	28
H Mbock MID	271	16	49
M Fongain DEF	245	5	19
H. Benali FWD	189	15	50
A Badji FWD	183	8	51
K. Cissé FWD	163	4	23
R Risser GLK	143		4
A Hriti DEF	72	1	9
I Botella FWD	52	5	11
A. Fall FWD	38	3	10
M Anani FWD	27		4

Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	5	5	5
K Ahoussou	K Boutaïb	A Bobichon	P. Mboup

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A. Mille MID	18	1	3	4 -
T Arconte FWD	18	1	1	1 -
K Ahoussou DEF	17	1		3 -
P. Mboup FWD	17	3	2	5 -
I Mohamed MID	16			3 -
K Boutaïb FWD	16	5		1 1
T Koudou DEF	15		2	3 -
J Ruiz DEF	15	1	1	5 -
B Kamara GLK	14			1 -
J Gaspar DEF	14			4 -
O Ngom MID	14	2		1 1
K Diawara FWD	14	3		1 -
A Bobichon MID	13	2	5	1 1
S Beusnard MID	12			2 -
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF	10			-
Y. Njoh FWD	10			-
X Kouassi DEF	9			1 -
K. Gasnier MID	7			-
O Kanté DEF	6			1 -
M Jeannin GLK	4			-
J Obiang DEF	4			-
K Boto DEF	4			-
M Chahiri FWD	2			-
J Evan's DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	18	5	20
K Boutaïb	P. Mboup	A Bobichon	A Bobichon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Boutaïb FWD	5	13		16
P. Mboup FWD	3	18	2	10
K Diawara FWD	3	7		13
A Bobichon MID	2	5	5	20
O Ngom MID	2	5		5
T Arconte FWD	1	8	1	10
A. Mille MID	1	7	3	18
J Ruiz DEF	1	2	1	4
K Ahoussou DEF	1	2		1
K. Gasnier MID		2		2
K Boto DEF				1
J Obiang DEF				6
Y. Njoh FWD		2		2
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF				3
S Beusnard MID				5
I Mohamed MID		1		6
T Koudou DEF		3	2	12
J Gaspar DEF		1		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
808	29	103
K Ahoussou	I Mohamed	K Boutaïb

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Ahoussou DEF	808	14	78
J Ruiz DEF	730	16	49
I Mohamed MID	720	29	49
T Koudou DEF	528	14	65
A. Mille MID	510	27	71
A Bobichon MID	455	10	31
J Gaspar DEF	448	17	56
B Kamara GLK	437		2
K Boutaïb FWD	384	22	103
S Beusnard MID	345	13	29
P. Mboup FWD	334	28	90
O Ngom MID	325	15	44
O Kanté DEF	212	7	18
K Diawara FWD	195	6	33
X Kouassi DEF	187	3	15
T Arconte FWD	176	11	39
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF	153	12	18
J Obiang DEF	123	5	12
M Jeannin GLK	108
Y. Njoh FWD	70	3	18
K Boto DEF	66	3	5
K. Gasnier MID	60	6	11
M Chahiri FWD	15	1	2
J Evan's DEF	12		1

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Red Star FC v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Red Star v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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