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Waterford FC v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

Keith Long welcomes Huseyin Eroglu to the Waterford Regional Sports Centre on Friday evening, as their Waterford FC and Derry City troops go head to head in the Premier Division. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Waterford FC's next match is v Galway at 19:45 on Friday 9th May
Derry City's next match is v Cork at 19:45 on Friday 9th May
The last Irish Premier Division meeting between Waterford and Derry was on Friday 25th April 2025
Irish Premier Division
April 25th 2025
Waterford 2
1 Derry
 
D. Leahy 40'90' L. Boyce
P. Amond 65'
 
WAT
DER
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
1
7
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
WaterfordDerry
 
S. McMullan
K. Radkowski
D. Leahyfootball icon
A. Boyle (K. White 46')
G. Horton
R. Burke
J. Olayinka
P. Amondfootball icon
T. Lonergan
S. Glenfield (B. McCormack 85')
C. Noonan
B. Maher
(S. Ferguson 62') R. Boyce
S. Todd
K. Holt
M. Connolly
(C. Harkin 62') R. Benson
(L. Boyce 46') D. Thomas
(A. O'Reilly 46') C. Winchester
G. Whyte
M. Duffy
(S. Patton 70') D. Mullen

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Waterford and Derry combined during 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Derry coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Waterford
23%
16/5
20%
-
Draw
25%
11/5
2%
-
Derry
52%
4/5
8%
-
Derry 1-0
12%
9/2
21%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Derry 2-0
10%
13/2
17%
-
Derry 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
13/2
17%
-
Waterford 1-0
8%
9/1-
Waterford 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Derry 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Derry 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
-
Waterford 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Derry 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Derry 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Derry 4-1
2%
40/1-
Waterford 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
27/20
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/7
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
2/1
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/15
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
11/10
10%
-
BTTS - No
51%
4/6
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9/1
33%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
15/4
6%
-
Home/draw
48%
5/6
6%
-
Away/draw
77%
1/5
4%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/9
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
13/8
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
10/3
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/16
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
22/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
-
Home DNB
41%
9/4
24%
-
Away DNB
69%
1/3
8%
-
Waterford win to nil
13%
6/1
17%
-
Derry win to nil
30%
7/4
19%
-
Waterford / Waterford
11%
7/1
23%
-
Waterford / Derry
3%
25/1-
Waterford / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Waterford
10%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Derry
18%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
Derry / Waterford
2%
40/1
21%
-
Derry / Derry
28%
2/1
8%
-
Derry / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Waterford have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn zero and won 2. Waterford have conceded 15 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Waterford have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Derry lay in 6th place on 17 points in the Premier Division league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 8 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derry have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derry have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Waterford
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Drogheda14824 
May 30
l
 
2-0A
Oct 3
Aug 8
l
 
1-3F
May 16
Jun 27
Sep 26
2
Shamrock14723 
May 16
l
 
2-0A
Sep 12
Jun 27
May 23
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 24
Aug 1
3
Derry A14223 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
Oct 17
Jul 4
-
-
-
-
4
St Patrick's14722 
l
 
1-2F
May 23
Aug 1
Oct 24
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
Jun 23
5
Bohemians14021 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
Jun 20
Sep 19
w
 
1-0F
May 30
Jul 25
Sep 12
6
Galway14120 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Nov 1
Jul 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
Jun 13
Aug 22
7
Shelbourne14119 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Jun 23
Sep 26
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
8
Waterford H14-918 
-
-
-
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Jul 4
Oct 17
9
Cork14-712 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
Jul 11
Aug 29
w
 
2-1A
May 9
Aug 8
Nov 1
10
Sligo14-109 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
2-3F
Aug 22
Jun 14
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Oct 3
Jul 12
Win / draw / win form
Waterford 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Waterford0 - 4Sligo
Waterford1 - 2St Patrick's
Waterford0 - 3Bohemians
Waterford2 - 1Cork
Waterford0 - 1Shelbourne
Waterford1 - 1Bohemians
Waterford0 - 0Drogheda
Waterford1 - 2Galway
Waterford2 - 1Dundalk
Waterford0 - 1Derry
Waterford1 - 2Shamrock
Waterford1 - 0St Patrick's
Waterford0 - 1Shelbourne
Waterford4 - 1Sligo
Waterford2 - 1Bohemians
Waterford4 - 2Drogheda
Waterford4 - 1Dundalk
Waterford0 - 2Derry
Waterford0 - 0Galway
Waterford1 - 2Shamrock
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWaterford1 - 2Cork
HWaterford0 - 4Sligo
AWaterford0 - 2Shamrock
AWaterford0 - 2Drogheda
HWaterford1 - 2St Patrick's
AWaterford0 - 1Galway
HWaterford0 - 3Bohemians
HWaterford2 - 1Cork
AWaterford2 - 1Derry
HWaterford0 - 1Shelbourne
AWaterford3 - 2Sligo
AWaterford1 - 2Shamrock
HWaterford1 - 1Bohemians
AWaterford1 - 3Shelbourne
HWaterford0 - 0Drogheda
HWaterford1 - 2Galway
AWaterford0 - 3St Patrick's
HWaterford2 - 1Dundalk
AWaterford0 - 2Sligo
HWaterford0 - 1Derry
Derry 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Galway2 - 3Derry
Shamrock0 - 0Derry
Sligo0 - 1Derry
St Patrick's2 - 0Derry
Shelbourne3 - 1Derry
St Patrick's1 - 0Derry
Dundalk0 - 2Derry
Drogheda2 - 1Derry
Galway1 - 0Derry
Waterford0 - 1Derry
Shelbourne0 - 0Derry
Sligo2 - 1Derry
Bohemians1 - 2Derry
Dundalk0 - 0Derry
Shamrock1 - 0Derry
St Patrick's0 - 1Derry
Galway0 - 0Derry
Waterford0 - 2Derry
Drogheda2 - 2Derry
Shelbourne0 - 0Derry
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerry3 - 0Sligo
ADerry3 - 2Galway
HDerry1 - 3Drogheda
HDerry2 - 1Cork
ADerry0 - 0Shamrock
ADerry1 - 0Sligo
HDerry1 - 1Galway
ADerry0 - 2St Patrick's
HDerry1 - 2Waterford
HDerry1 - 0Bohemians
ADerry1 - 3Shelbourne
HDerry0 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry0 - 1St Patrick's
ADerry2 - 0Dundalk
HDerry1 - 1Sligo
HDerry1 - 1Bohemians
ADerry1 - 2Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Shamrock
ADerry0 - 1Galway
ADerry1 - 0Waterford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Waterford since 2019
Waterford
Derry
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
4 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
3 / 7
WAT
1
D
3
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waterford
0 - 1Derry
0 - 2Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derry
Waterford2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Waterford
Goals: Scored
17
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
0 / 8
WAT
2
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
1 - 2Waterford
Derry3 - 0
Derry3 - 0
Derry2 - 0
1 - 2Waterford
Derry2 - 0
Derry2 - 0
Derry3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Waterford FC of late. It has been 7 Premier Division games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against Derry City.

Derry City's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because Waterford FC have conceded in each of their last 14 Premier Division matches. A PG of 1.6 for Huseyin Eroglu's side suggests that run should continue.

Waterford 8th Derry 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Waterford scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Derry will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Waterford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Derry have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290066/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Waterford
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1
1.6
Attack rating
WAT
DER
32%
better
view stats
Games scored5
9
Failed to score6
2
Scored first4
5
Goals scored9
14
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
WAT
DER
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
7
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded21
14
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+33%

Waterford v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Waterford Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14435
S McMullanP AmondC NoonanK White
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMullan GLK14
3
-
K Radkowski DEF141
3
-
G Horton DEF10
3
-
A Boyle DEF8
4
-
T Lonergan MID1232
-
D Leahy MID141
1
-
C Noonan MID1313
2
-
R Burke MID111
2
1
S Glenfield FWD12
2
-
J Olayinka FWD101
2
-
P Amond FWD1441
-
Subs
B Wade GLK
-
N Bakboord DEF10
1
-
J Dempsey DEF1
-
B Mccormack MID7
-
K White MID102
4
1
S. Keane MID
-
B. Keohan MID
-
M Pouwels FWD11
3
-
Z. O'Sullivan FWD
-
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14637
B MaherM DuffyD ThomasA O'Reilly
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK14
2
-
R Boyce DEF1211
1
-
M Connolly  DEF13
4
-
K Holt DEF11
-
S Todd DEF122
-
R Benson DEF111
-
D Thomas MID103
1
-
C Winchester MID12
4
1
M Duffy MID1461
3
-
G Whyte FWD102
1
-
D Mullen FWD94
3
1
Subs
A. Doherty GLK
-
H Cann DEF9
1
-
P McMullan MID91
2
-
G. McCourt MID
-
S Ferguson MID81
4
-
C Harkin MID4
3
-
A O'Reilly MID131
7
-
L Boyce  FWD1231
2
1
S Patton FWD9
2
-