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Calcio Padova v Carrarese : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 16:15 BST, Stadio Euganeo, Padova

the Stadio Euganeo plays host on Sunday afternoon, as Antonio Calabro's Calcio Padova host Gabriele Cioffi's Carrarese in the Serie B. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Padova and Carrarese will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Antonio Calabro or Gabriele Cioffi has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Padova and Carrarese an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Padova 50%	81/100 10%	-
Draw 24%	23/10 6%	-
Carrarese 26%	3/1 11%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2 8%	-
Padova 2-1 10%	15/2 6%	-
Padova 1-0 10%	7/1 14%	-
Padova 2-0 8%	17/2	-
Carrarese 1-0 7%	11/1 20%	-
Carrarese 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 22%	-
Padova 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	-
Padova 3-0 5%	16/1 11%	-
Carrarese 2-0 4%	20/1 11%	-
Padova 3-2 3%	22/1 21%	-
Carrarese 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Padova 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Carrarese 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	17/20 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	19/20 11%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	11/8 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1 22%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	7/10 6%	-
BTTS - No 43%	21/20 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	11/4 17%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1 7%	-
Home/draw 74%	2/9 5%	-
Away/draw 50%	10/11 10%	-
Home/away 76%	1/3 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/4 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	11/4 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2/1 14%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	4/11 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5/1 25%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/8 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 22%	-
Home DNB 67%	2/5 3%	-
Away DNB 43%	7/4 5%	-
Padova win to nil 25%	5/2	-
Carrarese win to nil 13%	6/1 17%	-
Padova / Padova 26%	21/10 9%	-
Padova / Carrarese 3%	28/1 15%	-
Padova / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Padova 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Carrarese 10%	7/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	-
Carrarese / Padova 4%	22/1 12%	-
Carrarese / Carrarese 14%	5/1	-
Carrarese / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Serie B table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Padova Carrarese
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	5	13	Mar 20	l 2-1F	Mar 2	Oct 25
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	6	11	Oct 27	Apr 24	Mar 13	Dec 27
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	5	11	Mar 2	Dec 27	l 1-2A	Jan 9
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	4	10	Feb 20	Nov 28	Oct 17	Jan 23
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	3	10	w 1-0F	Jan 30	May 1	d 1-1F
6	Verona	5	2	1	2	3	7	d 1-1F	Apr 17	Apr 10	Nov 1
7	Cesena	5	1	4	0	1	7	Dec 19	Mar 13	Mar 20	Dec 5
8	Avellino	5	2	1	2	1	7	May 14	Oct 24	Dec 19	May 8
9	Benevento	5	2	1	2	1	7	Mar 6	Dec 8	l 0-1A	Apr 24
10	Pisa	5	2	1	2	0	7	May 1	w 0-1F	Dec 8	Apr 3
11	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	Jan 16	Oct 11
12	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-2	6	Nov 7	Apr 3	l 0-1A	Mar 6
13	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	6	Feb 6	Nov 21	Oct 28	Feb 27
14	V.Entella	5	1	2	2	1	5	Oct 17	May 8	Nov 21	Feb 13
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5	Jan 9	l 3-1A	May 14	Dec 12
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5	Dec 5	Feb 13	Jan 30	Nov 24
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	4	Nov 24	Feb 27	Nov 8	Apr 17
18	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	3	Apr 10	Dec 12	Nov 28	Feb 6
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	3	Jan 23	Oct 31	Feb 20	l 1-0A
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	1	Oct 11	Jan 16	-	-

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Carrarese have lost 3 consecutive league games

Carrarese have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Padova	1 - 0	Ascoli
Padova	1 - 1	Verona
Padova	1 - 0	Pescara
Padova	1 - 0	Reggiana
Padova	1 - 0	Empoli
Padova	0 - 1	Palermo
Padova	1 - 3	Catanzaro
Padova	2 - 2	Spezia
Padova	1 - 1	Bari 1908
Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese
Padova	1 - 2	Monza
Padova	1 - 2	Mantova
Padova	2 - 0	Modena
Padova	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Padova	1 - 1	Cesena
Padova	0 - 2	Venezia
Padova	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Padova	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
Padova	2 - 2	Avellino
Padova	2 - 1	V.Entella

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Padova	1 - 2	Palermo
H	Padova	1 - 0	Ascoli
A	Padova	1 - 3	Cremonese
H	Padova	1 - 1	Verona
A	Padova	1 - 0	Pisa
A	Padova	4 - 3	Cesena
H	Padova	1 - 0	Pescara
A	Padova	0 - 1	V.Entella
H	Padova	1 - 0	Reggiana
H	Padova	1 - 0	Empoli
A	Padova	0 - 2	Frosinone
H	Padova	0 - 1	Palermo
A	Padova	1 - 3	Venezia
H	Padova	1 - 3	Catanzaro
A	Padova	0 - 1	Avellino
H	Padova	2 - 2	Spezia
A	Padova	2 - 1	Modena
H	Padova	1 - 1	Bari 1908
A	Padova	0 - 1	Sampdoria
H	Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catanzaro	1 - 0	Carrarese
Ascoli	1 - 1	Carrarese
V.Entella	2 - 1	Carrarese
Frosinone	3 - 0	Carrarese
Reggiana	2 - 0	Carrarese
Bari 1908	0 - 3	Carrarese
Juve Stabia	1 - 1	Carrarese
Mantova	1 - 1	Carrarese
Modena	2 - 0	Carrarese
Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese
Venezia	2 - 1	Carrarese
Avellino	1 - 2	Carrarese
Monza	4 - 1	Carrarese
Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese
Palermo	5 - 0	Carrarese
Sudtirol	1 - 1	Carrarese
Cesena	2 - 1	Carrarese
Pescara	2 - 2	Carrarese
Empoli	2 - 2	Carrarese
Catanzaro	1 - 1	Carrarese

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Carrarese	0 - 1	Benevento
A	Carrarese	0 - 1	Catanzaro
H	Carrarese	0 - 1	Empoli
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Ascoli
H	Carrarese	1 - 2	Mantova
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	V.Entella
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Cesena
A	Carrarese	0 - 3	Frosinone
H	Carrarese	2 - 2	Pescara
A	Carrarese	0 - 2	Reggiana
H	Carrarese	3 - 1	Spezia
A	Carrarese	3 - 0	Bari 1908
H	Carrarese	2 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Juve Stabia
H	Carrarese	0 - 1	Palermo
H	Carrarese	3 - 3	Catanzaro
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Mantova
H	Carrarese	0 - 1	Monza
A	Carrarese	0 - 2	Modena
A	Carrarese	0 - 1	Padova

Goal Statistics

Calcio Padova have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie B games. Their PG of 1.7 against Carrarese on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Carrarese of late. It has been 8 Serie B games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Calcio Padova.

	Padova 11th	Carrarese 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Padova will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Carrarese will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Padova’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-12 Carrarese have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2026/2027 season

better

PAD

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

PAD

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Padova v Carrarese Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Padova Serie B squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	2	2
A Sorrentino	C Pastina	M. Cocchi	A. Dellavalle

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Sorrentino GLK	5			-
L Carissoni DEF	5		1	1
C Pastina DEF	5	1		1 -
A. Dellavalle DEF	5			2 -
M. Cocchi DEF	5		2	1 -
E Zuelli MID	5			1 -
P. Fusi MID	5	1		2 -
K Lasagna FWD	5			-
M Lovato DEF	4			-
M Pompetti MID	4	1		-
A. Capelli MID	4			2 -
F Mariano FWD	4			-
G Caprari FWD	4			-
L Moro FWD	4			-
G Giunti MID	3			2 -
M. Bortolussi FWD	3			-
A Seghetti FWD	3			-
N Galazzi MID	2	1		-
K Marcillo MID	2			-
E. Silletti DEF	1			-
F Sgarbi DEF	1			-
L Zanimacchia FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	2	2
C Pastina	C Pastina	M. Cocchi	L Carissoni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Pastina DEF	1	2
P. Fusi MID	1	1		1
M Pompetti MID	1	2		1
N Galazzi MID	1	2
L Carissoni DEF		1	1	2
A. Dellavalle DEF		1
M. Cocchi DEF		2	2	2
E Zuelli MID		1		1
K Lasagna FWD				1
M Lovato DEF		1
A. Capelli MID		1
F Mariano FWD		1
G Caprari FWD		1		2
L Moro FWD		1		1
G Giunti MID		2
A Seghetti FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
217	16	27
E Zuelli	C Pastina	C Pastina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Zuelli MID	217	6	14
C Pastina DEF	209	16	27
A. Dellavalle DEF	179	11	20
A Sorrentino GLK	136
M Lovato DEF	132	4	14
L Carissoni DEF	123	6	13
P. Fusi MID	112	13	23
M. Cocchi DEF	101	8	21
G Caprari FWD	78	2	12
L Moro FWD	75	4	21
M Pompetti MID	58	4	11
A. Capelli MID	58	4	9
G Giunti MID	47	3	8
F Sgarbi DEF	38	1	1
F Mariano FWD	36	1	6
K Marcillo MID	28	5	7
K Lasagna FWD	25	2	12
L Zanimacchia FWD	21		4
M. Bortolussi FWD	16		7
A Seghetti FWD	14	2	4
N Galazzi MID	13	1	1
E. Silletti DEF	3

Carrarese Serie B squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	1	2
F Oliana	F Abiuso	J. Rouhi	G. Parlanti

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Oliana DEF	5			-
F Ruggeri DEF	5			1 -
F. Reale DEF	5			-
J. Rouhi MID	5		1	1 -
N. Schiavi MID	5			1 -
G. Parlanti MID	5			2 -
F Abiuso FWD	5	1		1 -
M Cissé FWD	5		1	-
J. Martini MID	4			-
L. Topalović MID	4			1 -
N. Belloni MID	4			-
G. Marconi FWD	4			-
S Pizzignacco GLK	3			-
L. Romani DEF	3			-
N. Cudrig MID	3			-
M Finotto FWD	3			-
G Garofani GLK	2			-
T. Guercio DEF	2			-
M Braunöder MID	2			-
T. Rubino MID	2			-
C Dagba MID	1			-
Y. Khafi MID	1			-
P. Pinelli MID	1	1		-
N Bonfanti FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	1	2
F Abiuso	F Abiuso	J. Rouhi	J. Rouhi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Abiuso FWD	1	5		1
P. Pinelli MID	1	1
F Oliana DEF		1
F Ruggeri DEF				1
J. Rouhi MID			1	2
N. Schiavi MID		2
G. Parlanti MID		1
M Cissé FWD		1	1	1
J. Martini MID		1
L. Topalović MID		1		1
G. Marconi FWD		1
L. Romani DEF		1
N. Cudrig MID		1
C Dagba MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
233	11	32
F Oliana	F Ruggeri	F Abiuso

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Oliana DEF	233	6	22
F Ruggeri DEF	183	11	20
J. Rouhi MID	160	7	17
N. Schiavi MID	156	5	18
F. Reale DEF	150	10	17
L. Romani DEF	146	1	12
G. Parlanti MID	113	11	26
F Abiuso FWD	82	7	32
L. Topalović MID	78	5	10
J. Martini MID	70	4	5
N. Belloni MID	70	2	9
S Pizzignacco GLK	63		2
M Cissé FWD	56	3	12
G Garofani GLK	49		1
T. Rubino MID	27	3	13
G. Marconi FWD	26	1	8
Y. Khafi MID	21	1	2
T. Guercio DEF	20	1	5
M Braunöder MID	20	1	3
N. Cudrig MID	15		3
M Finotto FWD	14	1	5
C Dagba MID	14	1	3
P. Pinelli MID	5	1	2