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Albirex Niigata v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 06:00 BST, Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

It's an away trip for Rikizo Matsuhashi's Tokyo side on Saturday morning, as they head to the Denka Big Swan Stadium for a J-League showdown with Daisuke Sudo's Albirex Niigata. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Albirex and Tokyo have rarely treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in J-League individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Albirex are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Albirex 40%	23/20	-
Draw 27%	12/5	-
Tokyo 32%	12/5	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Albirex 1-0 11%	6/1	-
Tokyo 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 9%	15/2	-
Albirex 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Tokyo 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Albirex 2-0 7%	17/2	-
Tokyo 2-0 6%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Albirex 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Albirex 3-0 3%	18/1	-
Tokyo 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Tokyo 3-0 2%	40/1	-
Albirex 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Tokyo 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	23/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	4/6	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	7/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 50%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1	-
Home/draw 68%	3/10	-
Away/draw 60%	4/6	-
Home/away 73%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	8/1 6%	-
Home DNB 59%	8/15	-
Away DNB 52%	11/8	-
Albirex win to nil 23%	5/2	-
Tokyo win to nil 18%	9/2	-
Albirex / Albirex 24%	5/2	-
Albirex / Tokyo 2%	33/1	-
Albirex / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Albirex 15%	9/2 10%	-
Draw / Tokyo 12%	6/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	-
Tokyo / Albirex 3%	25/1	-
Tokyo / Tokyo 15%	9/2	-
Tokyo / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Albirex have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Albirex are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Albirex have conceded 16 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Albirex have played 6 games at home, winning 0, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Tokyo lay in 16th place on 13 points in the J-League league table having played 13 matches. Tokyo have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Tokyo have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Tokyo have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Albirex Tokyo
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	13	8	1	4	11	25	Aug 23	l 2-1A	Aug 10	l 2-0A
2	Kashiwa	13	6	6	1	5	24	Nov 30	d 1-1F	d 1-1F	Jul 5
3	Kyoto Sanga	14	7	3	4	3	24	l 1-2F	Jul 5	Aug 24	May 31
4	Urawa Reds	13	6	4	3	4	22	May 11	Aug 31	Jul 19	May 17
5	Shimizu	13	6	3	4	6	21	Sep 13	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	Oct 4
6	Avispa	13	6	3	4	1	21	l 0-1A	Jun 21	Sep 23	l 1-0A
7	Machida	13	6	2	5	1	20	Jun 29	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	Nov 9
8	Kawasaki	12	4	6	2	8	18	Aug 16	Jun 25	l 0-3A	Sep 20
9	Fagiano	13	5	3	5	2	18	Oct 4	May 18	Oct 25	l 1-0A
10	Vissel Kobe	11	5	3	3	2	18	Oct 25	w 0-1F	May 10	Nov 30
11	Shonan	13	5	3	5	-4	18	May 25	Nov 8	d 0-00-0	Aug 16
12	Hiroshima	12	5	2	5	0	17	Jul 20	w 0-1F	May 25	Oct 18
13	Tokyo Verdy	13	4	5	4	-3	17	d 2-2A	Oct 18	Sep 13	d 2-2A
14	Gamba Osaka	13	5	2	6	-6	17	d 3-3F	Sep 27	w 3-0F	Jun 22
15	Cerezo	13	3	4	6	-2	13	d 2-2F	Aug 11	Jun 14	d 1-1A
16	Tokyo Away	13	3	4	6	-4	13	May 3	Dec 6	-	-
17	Albirex Home	13	2	6	5	-4	12	-	-	Dec 6	May 3
18	Yokohama	13	3	3	7	-5	12	d 0-00-0	Sep 20	Jun 28	w 0-1F
19	Nagoya	13	3	2	8	-9	11	Sep 23	May 31	w 3-1F	Aug 31
20	Yokohama FM	12	1	5	6	-6	8	Jun 15	d 1-1F	Sep 27	Jun 25

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Albirex have not won in 10 consecutive home league games

Tokyo have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama
Albirex	0 - 1	Avispa
Albirex	3 - 3	Gamba Osaka
Albirex	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
Albirex	2 - 2	Cerezo
Albirex	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Albirex	0 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
Albirex	0 - 4	Kashima
Albirex	2 - 3	Vissel Kobe
Albirex	3 - 1	Shonan
Albirex	0 - 0	Machida
Albirex	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Albirex	2 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
Albirex	3 - 4	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	2 - 2	Kawasaki
Albirex	1 - 2	Avispa
Albirex	3 - 1	Yokohama FM
Albirex	2 - 4	Urawa Reds
Albirex	1 - 1	Hiroshima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Hiroshima
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Avispa
H	Albirex	3 - 3	Gamba Osaka
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Machida
H	Albirex	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Albirex	2 - 2	Cerezo
A	Albirex	1 - 2	Kashima
A	Albirex	0 - 2	Shimizu
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
A	Albirex	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Albirex	0 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
A	Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Albirex	0 - 4	Kashima
A	Albirex	1 - 5	Kawasaki

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cerezo	1 - 1	Tokyo
Fagiano	1 - 0	Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 2	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Kashima	2 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama	0 - 1	Tokyo
Jubilo Iwata	2 - 1	Tokyo
Machida	3 - 0	Tokyo
Vissel Kobe	0 - 2	Tokyo
Yokohama FM	1 - 3	Tokyo
Urawa Reds	0 - 2	Tokyo
Hiroshima	3 - 2	Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Tokyo
Gamba Osaka	0 - 0	Tokyo
Kashima	2 - 1	Tokyo
Kashiwa	3 - 2	Tokyo
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Tokyo
Nagoya	3 - 1	Tokyo
Sapporo	1 - 2	Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tokyo	0 - 2	Shimizu
H	Tokyo	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Cerezo
H	Tokyo	1 - 1	Kashiwa
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Fagiano
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
H	Tokyo	0 - 3	Kawasaki
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Avispa
H	Tokyo	0 - 0	Shonan
A	Tokyo	0 - 2	Kashima
H	Tokyo	3 - 1	Nagoya
H	Tokyo	0 - 1	Machida
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Yokohama
H	Tokyo	3 - 0	Cerezo
A	Tokyo	1 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
A	Tokyo	0 - 3	Machida
H	Tokyo	0 - 2	Shonan
A	Tokyo	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Tokyo	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	Tokyo	3 - 1	Yokohama FM

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Albirex Niigata of late. It has been 5 J-League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday morning against Tokyo.

	Albirex 17th	Tokyo 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+11 Albirex have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted	-17 Tokyo have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

25%

better

ALB

TOK

view stats

Games scored	9		6
Failed to score	4		7
Scored first	7		4
Goals scored	13		11
Avg. goals scored	1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+25%

better

ALB

TOK

view stats

Games conceded	10		10
Clean sheets	3		3
Conceded first	5		8
Goals conceded	17		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		0%

Albirex v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	2	2
S Fujiwara	M Hasegawa	K Hashimoto	Miguel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Hasegawa MID	13	4	1	-
S Fujiwara MID	13			-
J. Okumura MID	12	1	1	-
K Fujita GLK	11			-
J Geria DEF	11			-
K Yamura FWD	11	4		-
Y Komi FWD	11	1	1	-
H Inamura DEF	10			1 -
M Fitzgerald DEF	10	1		-
H Akiyama MID	10			1
Y Horigome DEF	9		1	-
Y Hoshi MID	9		1	-
K Taniguchi FWD	9			-
K Hashimoto DEF	7		2	1 -
K. Kasai MID	7			-
D Gomes MID	7			-
T Arai MID	6			1 -
S Ota FWD	6	1		-
Y Ono FWD	6		1	-
E Miyamoto MID	5			1 -
Miguel MID	4	1		2 -
Y Takagi MID	4			-
Y Wakatsuki FWD	3			-
D Yoshimitsu GLK	2			-
K Mori DEF	2			-
F Hayakawa DEF	2			-
R Ochiai MID	2			1 -
K Chiba DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	2	2
M Hasegawa	K Yamura	K Hashimoto	M Hasegawa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Hasegawa MID	4	9	1	2
K Yamura FWD	4	13
S Ota FWD	1	2
J. Okumura MID	1	2	1	1
Y Komi FWD	1	3	1	2
M Fitzgerald DEF	1	1		2
Miguel MID	1	1
Y Wakatsuki FWD		1
Y Ono FWD		2	1	1
D Gomes MID		2		1
S Fujiwara MID		2		2
K Hashimoto DEF		3	2	1
K Taniguchi FWD		4		2
Y Hoshi MID		1	1
Y Horigome DEF			1	2
H Akiyama MID		2		1
H Inamura DEF		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
704	29	71
H Inamura	S Fujiwara	S Fujiwara

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Inamura DEF	704	12	45
H Akiyama MID	644	14	35
M Fitzgerald DEF	631	9	37
S Fujiwara MID	590	29	71
Y Hoshi MID	484	13	30
K Fujita GLK	472	1	11
Y Horigome DEF	413	17	34
J Geria DEF	367	11	43
K Hashimoto DEF	334	7	17
M Hasegawa MID	333	13	38
T Arai MID	250	16	30
E Miyamoto MID	239	8	23
K Taniguchi FWD	187	6	33
J. Okumura MID	182	5	29
Y Komi FWD	178	6	25
Y Ono FWD	122		9
S Ota FWD	108	6	14
K Yamura FWD	99	7	29
K Chiba DEF	99	2	5
D Yoshimitsu GLK	95
K. Kasai MID	40	1	19
Y Takagi MID	39	3	5
K Mori DEF	34		1
D Gomes MID	33	6	18
Miguel MID	21	1	2
Y Wakatsuki FWD	9		3
F Hayakawa DEF	8		2
R Ochiai MID	5	2	2

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	3	2	3
T Nozawa	K. Sato	T Ko	T. Oka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Nozawa GLK	13			1 -
T Ko MID	13	1	2	-
S Anzai MID	13	1	1	1 -
K Tawaratsumida MID	13	1	2	-
K. Sato FWD	13	3	1	1 -
K Shirai DEF	12	1		-
T. Oka DEF	12			3 -
T Nakagawa FWD	12	1		-
K Doi DEF	11			1 -
K Hashimoto MID	11		1	3 -
K Koizumi MID	10		1	3 -
M Ryan FWD	10			-
Y Nagatomo DEF	8			2 -
K Higashi MID	7			1 -
M Morishige DEF	6			-
K Yamashita FWD	6	1		1 -
L Nozawa FWD	6			-
S Kimura DEF	5			-
H Trevisan DEF	5	1		-
Y Kimoto DEF	4			-
K Endo FWD	3			-
E Galdino FWD	3			-
K. Tokiwa MID	2			-
T Ogashiwa FWD	2			-
K Tsukagawa MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	4
K. Sato	K. Sato	T Ko	K Tawaratsumida

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K. Sato FWD	3	9	1	3
K Yamashita FWD	1	2
S Anzai MID	1	3	1	2
K Tawaratsumida MID	1	8	2	4
K Shirai DEF	1	2		1
T Nakagawa FWD	1	4		2
T Ko MID	1	5	2	2
H Trevisan DEF	1	1
K. Tokiwa MID				1
E Galdino FWD		3
K Endo FWD		3
Y Nagatomo DEF		1
K Higashi MID				1
M Ryan FWD		5
K Koizumi MID		1	1	1
K Hashimoto MID			1
T. Oka DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
718	35	70
T Ko	T Ko	T. Oka

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ko MID	718	35	60
T. Oka DEF	628	16	70
T Nozawa GLK	523		9
K Doi DEF	498	18	43
K Hashimoto MID	407	20	47
S Anzai MID	373	14	47
M Morishige DEF	310	5	37
S Kimura DEF	304	6	18
K Shirai DEF	294	15	36
K Tawaratsumida MID	217	15	35
K. Sato FWD	215	15	47
T Nakagawa FWD	205	12	39
H Trevisan DEF	182	8	31
K Koizumi MID	181	8	21
Y Kimoto DEF	141	6	14
K Higashi MID	134	6	7
Y Nagatomo DEF	128	8	13
M Ryan FWD	88	6	44
K Endo FWD	57	1	7
K Yamashita FWD	54	4	20
E Galdino FWD	50		4
L Nozawa FWD	28		1
K. Tokiwa MID	19	1	2
T Ogashiwa FWD	14
K Tsukagawa MID	6	1	1

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Vissel Kobe v Fagiano

Sat 3rd May, 07:00

Urawa Reds v Tokyo Verdy

Urawa Reds v Gamba Osaka

Tue 6th May, 06:00

Kashiwa v Shimizu

Tue 6th May, 08:00

Tokyo Verdy v Yokohama

Tue 6th May, 08:00

Machida v Kyoto Sanga

Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima

Yokohama FM v Kashiwa

Wed 14th May, 11:00

Kawasaki v Yokohama

Wed 14th May, 11:00

Albirex Niigata v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Albirex have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Albirex are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Tokyo lay in 16th place on 13 points in the J-League league table having played 13 matches. Tokyo have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Albirex v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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