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Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka), Fukuoka

the Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka) plays host on Friday morning, as Do-Kyun Kim's Avispa Fukuoka host Takashi Kiyama's Fagiano Okayama in the J-League. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Avispa Fukuoka's next match is v Yokohama at 06:00 on Saturday 10th May
Fagiano Okayama's next match is v Kashiwa at 08:00 on Saturday 10th May
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Avispa and Fagiano was on Friday 25th April 2025
Japanese J-League
April 25th 2025
Avispa 1
1 Fagiano
 
T. Ando 7'90' L. Meireles
 
AVI
FAG
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
4
3
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
10
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
AvispaFagiano
 
M. Murakami
T. Kamijima
T. Shichi
Y. Maejima
T. Andofootball icon
D. Matsuoka
H. Akino (T. Kanamori 73')
S. Nago (M. Tashiro 85')
T. Miki
K. Fujimoto (Y. Iwasaki 57')
S. Zahedi (W. de Sousa 73')
S. Brodersen
K. Abe
K. Kudo
Y. Tatsuta
(H. Iwabuchi 70') A. Esaka
R. Tabei
(Y. Kamiya 78') I. Fujita
(H. Kato 46') T. Kimura
M. Matsumoto
R. Sato
(L. Meireles 57') K. Ichimi

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Avispa and Fagiano both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Avispa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Avispa
43%
6/5
5%
-
Draw
31%
2/1
3%
-
Fagiano
26%
27/10
5%
-
Avispa 1-0
16%
9/2-
Draw 0-0
14%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Fagiano 1-0
12%
13/2
6%
-
Avispa 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Avispa 2-1
7%
9/1-
Fagiano 2-1
5%
14/1-
Fagiano 2-0
5%
16/1-
Avispa 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Avispa 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Fagiano 3-1
1%
40/1-
Fagiano 3-0
1%
40/1-
Avispa 3-2
1%
40/1-
Avispa 4-0
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
17/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
38%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - No
62%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
17/2-
Home/draw
74%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
57%
4/6
2%
-
Home/away
69%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
4/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
5/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
5/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/8
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/8-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
5/1-
Home DNB
65%
1/2
4%
-
Away DNB
47%
6/4
5%
-
Avispa win to nil
30%
9/4
8%
-
Fagiano win to nil
18%
4/1
9%
-
Avispa / Avispa
23%
11/4
4%
-
Avispa / Fagiano
2%
40/1-
Avispa / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Avispa
16%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Fagiano
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Fagiano / Avispa
2%
33/1
17%
-
Fagiano / Fagiano
14%
5/1
8%
-
Fagiano / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
-
Win / draw / win J-League table

Avispa have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Avispa have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Avispa have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Fagiano are in 9th position in the J-League on 17 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Fagiano have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Avispa
Fagiano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima1510141331 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 16
l
 
1-2F
Jun 28
2
Kashiwa14761627 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 31
Aug 17
May 10
3
Kyoto Sanga16835327 
Jul 21
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
Aug 30
4
Urawa Reds15744525 
w
 
1-0F
Jul 27
Nov 30
l
 
1-0A
5
Hiroshima14725223 
Sep 27
l
 
2-1A
Jul 5
w
 
0-1F
6
Gamba Osaka15726-123 
Nov 30
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
Aug 10
7
Shimizu15636221 
Aug 23
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
Dec 6
8
Vissel Kobe13634221 
Jun 28
w
 
0-1F
Jul 20
l
 
2-0A
9
Avispa Home15636-121 
-
-
Jun 15
d
 
1-1A
10
Machida15627-120 
d
 
2-2A
Oct 18
May 25
Sep 27
11
Tokyo Verdy15555-320 
May 31
Nov 8
l
 
0-1A
Sep 20
12
Cerezo15546119 
Sep 13
May 24
Oct 18
l
 
2-1A
13
Fagiano Away15546019 
d
 
1-1F
Jun 15
-
-
14
Kawasaki12462818 
l
 
1-2F
Aug 9
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 8
15
Shonan15537-918 
Oct 25
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 23
Jun 1
16
Tokyo14446-316 
w
 
1-0F
Sep 23
w
 
1-0F
Oct 25
17
Nagoya15438-615 
May 17
Dec 6
Sep 13
d
 
0-00-0
18
Albirex14266-512 
Jun 21
w
 
0-1F
May 18
Oct 4
19
Yokohama14338-712 
Oct 4
May 10
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
20
Yokohama FM12156-68 
w
 
2-1A
Sep 20
w
 
1-0F
Jun 21
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Avispa 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Fagiano 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Avispa since 2018
Avispa
Fagiano
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
AVI
1
D
2
League games at Fagiano since 2018
Fagiano
Avispa
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
FAG
1
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Fagiano Okayama fans, as should a 8 J-League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Avispa 9th Fagiano 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Avispa will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Fagiano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Avispa have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Fagiano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289744/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Avispa
PG (predicted goals)
Fagiano
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
16%
better
AVI
FAG
view stats
Games scored10
8
Failed to score1
3
Scored first6
6
Goals scored12
10
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
AVI
FAG
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded11
7
Avg. goals conceded1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate against13%
7%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+24%

Avispa v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Avispa J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15414
T MikiT MikiY MaejimaT Kamijima
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murakami GLK9
-
Y Maejima DEF131
2
-
T Kamijima DEF11
3
1
T Ando DEF153
2
-
T Shichi DEF13
2
1
D Matsuoka MID14
-
H Akino MID81
2
-
S Nago MID151
-
T Miki MID1541
2
-
K Fujimoto MID121
1
-
S Zahedi FWD141
-
Subs
T Nagaishi GLK3
-
M Tashiro DEF1311
2
-
Y. Hashimoto DEF5
-
M Shigemi MID7
-
T Kanamori MID9
-
Wellington FWD121
1
-
Y Iwasaki FWD151
-
I Maeda FWD
-
Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15322
S BrodersenR SatoH KatoK Kudo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brodersen GLK15
-
K Abe DEF9
-
Y Tatsuta DEF13
-
K Kudo DEF11
2
-
R Sato MID103
1
-
I Fujita MID14
1
-
R Tabei MID1111
1
-
M Matsumoto MID12
1
-
T Kimura FWD152
1
-
A Esaka FWD151
-
K Ichimi FWD131
-
Subs
K. Kawakami GLK
-
Y Yanagi DEF4
-
K. Fujii MID6
1
-
Y. Iesaka MID
-
H Iwabuchi MID11
1
-
Y Kamiya MID14
1
-
N Browne MID7
-
H Kato MID142
-
L Lucão FWD152
2
-