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Cerezo Osaka v Gamba Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Jul, 11:00 BST, KINCHO Stadium, Osaka

Daniel Poyatos Algaba is aiming for a precious away win in the J-League on Saturday morning, as he takes his Gamba Osaka side to the KINCHO Stadium to visit Cerezo Osaka and Arthur Thomas Papastamatis. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cerezo or Gamba Osaka are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cerezo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cerezo
51%
6/5
6%
5/4
Draw
24%
5/212/5
Gamba Osaka
24%
21/10
8%
17/10
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Cerezo 1-0
11%
17/2
14%
15/2
Cerezo 2-1
10%
8/1
5%
15/2
Cerezo 2-0
9%
11/1
8%
10/1
Gamba Osaka 1-0
7%
11/117/2
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Gamba Osaka 2-1
6%
10/18/1
Cerezo 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/110/1
Cerezo 3-0
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
Gamba Osaka 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Cerezo 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Cerezo 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Gamba Osaka 3-1
2%
22/1
10%
14/1
Cerezo 4-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
7/10
2%
13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/10
2%
1/1
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/1117/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/5
5%
21/20
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/73/5
BTTS - No
46%
5/46/5
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/2
10%
18/5
Home/draw
76%
4/11
3%
2/5
Away/draw
49%
4/6
6%
4/7
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/311/4
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
13/88/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/17/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/61/7
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
7/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
13%
9/1
Home DNB
68%
8/13
3%
7/10
Away DNB
41%
6/5
5%
21/20
Cerezo win to nil
28%
10/3
4%
-
Gamba Osaka win to nil
12%
5/1-
Cerezo / Cerezo
22%
5/2
7%
13/5
Cerezo / Gamba Osaka
3%
25/120/1
Cerezo / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Cerezo
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Gamba Osaka
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Gamba Osaka / Cerezo
4%
22/118/1
Gamba Osaka / Gamba Osaka
17%
15/4
6%
10/3
Gamba Osaka / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Cerezo have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Cerezo have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Cerezo have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Gamba Osaka are in 12th position in the J-League on 28 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Gamba Osaka have conceded 21 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cerezo
Gamba Osaka
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima2213271241 
w
 
1-0F
Sep 23
l
 
0-1A
Oct 4
2
Kashiwa2211831041 
Sep 20
l
 
2-1F
Oct 18
l
 
1-0A
3
Vissel Kobe221246740 
Aug 23
w
 
1-3A
Nov 8
l
 
3-2A
4
Kyoto Sanga2211561038 
Sep 27
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
5
Hiroshima221138836 
Aug 31
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
Aug 16
6
Kawasaki229851235 
Oct 25
l
 
2-0A
Jul 20
d
 
2-2A
7
Urawa Reds21975634 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Sep 13
w
 
0-1F
8
Machida221048534 
l
 
1-2A
Aug 16
l
 
0-1A
Aug 20
9
Cerezo22967533 
-
-
l
 
2-5A
Jul 5
10
Fagiano22868030 
w
 
2-1F
Oct 18
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
11
Avispa22868-230 
w
 
2-0F
Sep 13
w
 
2-1F
Nov 30
12
Gamba Osaka228410-428 
Jul 5
w
 
2-5F
-
-
13
Nagoya22769-227 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 4
w
 
2-0F
Oct 25
14
Shimizu22769-227 
w
 
4-2A
Nov 8
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Tokyo Verdy22769-827 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
Dec 6
w
 
0-1F
16
Tokyo227510-726 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
17
Shonan216510-1023 
l
 
1-2A
Jul 19
w
 
4-0F
Aug 31
18
Yokohama225413-1319 
Dec 6
l
 
2-0A
Aug 23
d
 
1-1A
19
Albirex224711-1419 
Aug 11
d
 
2-2A
Sep 27
d
 
3-3A
20
Yokohama FM223613-1315 
w
 
1-0F
Nov 30
Sep 23
l
 
2-0A
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Cerezo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cerezo2 - 1Tokyo Verdy
Cerezo4 - 2Shimizu
Cerezo2 - 0Avispa
Cerezo1 - 0Yokohama FM
Cerezo1 - 2Machida
Cerezo1 - 1Tokyo
Cerezo1 - 0Kashima
Cerezo2 - 1Fagiano
Cerezo1 - 1Urawa Reds
Cerezo1 - 1Nagoya
Cerezo1 - 2Shonan
Cerezo0 - 2Kashima
Cerezo1 - 0Avispa
Cerezo1 - 2Jubilo Iwata
Cerezo1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Cerezo0 - 0Kashiwa
Cerezo3 - 5Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo0 - 0Machida
Cerezo1 - 2Albirex
Cerezo2 - 1Nagoya
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCerezo2 - 1Tokyo Verdy
ACerezo2 - 2Tokyo
HCerezo4 - 2Shimizu
ACerezo0 - 0Urawa Reds
HCerezo2 - 0Avispa
ACerezo0 - 2Kawasaki
HCerezo1 - 0Yokohama FM
ACerezo3 - 1Vissel Kobe
ACerezo3 - 2Kyoto Sanga
HCerezo1 - 2Machida
ACerezo0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
HCerezo1 - 1Tokyo
HCerezo1 - 0Kashima
ACerezo1 - 2Hiroshima
HCerezo2 - 1Fagiano
HCerezo1 - 1Urawa Reds
ACerezo0 - 2Yokohama
HCerezo1 - 1Nagoya
ACerezo2 - 2Albirex
ACerezo1 - 2Kashiwa
Gamba Osaka 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kyoto Sanga3 - 1Gamba Osaka
Shimizu0 - 0Gamba Osaka
Kawasaki2 - 2Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe3 - 2Gamba Osaka
Urawa Reds0 - 1Gamba Osaka
Tokyo3 - 0Gamba Osaka
Yokohama1 - 1Gamba Osaka
Kashiwa1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Albirex3 - 3Gamba Osaka
Yokohama FM2 - 0Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy0 - 1Gamba Osaka
Fagiano2 - 0Gamba Osaka
Albirex0 - 1Gamba Osaka
Jubilo Iwata3 - 4Gamba Osaka
Kawasaki1 - 1Gamba Osaka
Cerezo1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga2 - 2Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe2 - 2Gamba Osaka
Kashiwa0 - 0Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGamba Osaka1 - 3Kyoto Sanga
HGamba Osaka2 - 0Tokyo
AGamba Osaka0 - 0Shimizu
HGamba Osaka0 - 1Kashima
AGamba Osaka2 - 2Kawasaki
AGamba Osaka2 - 3Vissel Kobe
HGamba Osaka0 - 1Hiroshima
AGamba Osaka1 - 0Urawa Reds
HGamba Osaka4 - 0Shonan
HGamba Osaka2 - 1Kyoto Sanga
AGamba Osaka0 - 3Tokyo
AGamba Osaka1 - 1Yokohama
HGamba Osaka2 - 0Nagoya
AGamba Osaka0 - 1Kashiwa
HGamba Osaka0 - 1Machida
AGamba Osaka3 - 3Albirex
AGamba Osaka0 - 2Yokohama FM
HGamba Osaka1 - 0Shimizu
AGamba Osaka1 - 0Tokyo Verdy
AGamba Osaka0 - 2Fagiano
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cerezo have beaten Gamba Osaka in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Cerezo have not lost to Gamba Osaka in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Cerezo since 2018
Cerezo
Gamba Osaka
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
CER
4
D
2
GAM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cerezo
Cerezo1 - 0
Cerezo1 - 0
Cerezo3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cerezo3 - 1
0 - 1Gamba Osaka
League games at Gamba Osaka since 2018
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
CER
5
GAM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gamba Osaka
2 - 5Cerezo
Gamba Osaka1 - 0
1 - 2Cerezo
1 - 2Cerezo
0 - 1Cerezo
1 - 2Cerezo
Gamba Osaka1 - 0
Gamba Osaka1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Cerezo 8th Gamba Osaka 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Cerezo will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Gamba Osaka will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Cerezo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Gamba Osaka’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289851/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cerezo
PG (predicted goals)
Gamba Osaka
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
25%
better
CER
GAM
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score4
8
Scored first12
8
Goals scored34
26
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
CER
GAM
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded29
30
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

Cerezo v Gamba Osaka J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1910143
L FernandesR RatãoL FernandesR Ratão
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Fernandes MID22314
1
-
R Ratão FWD22102
3
-
R Nishio DEF211
-
H Okuda DEF20
1
-
M Nakajima FWD2042
-
S Hatanaka DEF18
-
S Kagawa  MID1812
3
-
T Andrade FWD1831
3
-
H Kida MID161
1
-
M Shibayama MID162
-
K Fukui GLK15
2
-
R Sakata FWD151
-
R Shindo DEF142
2
-
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF141
1
-
S Tanaka MID142
1
-
K Noborizato DEF12
1
-
V Bueno MID10
-
K Funaki DEF9
1
-
S Uejo MID91
-
J Kim GLK8
-
K. Furuyama FWD52
1
-
S Homma MID4
-
T Nakamura DEF1
-
Gamba Osaka J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22565
J IchimoriR YamashitaJ AlanoT Suzuki
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ichimori GLK221
1
-
K Kurokawa DEF2222
-
R Handa DEF222
-
S Fukuoka DEF20
-
S Kurata MID203
2
-
T Suzuki MID20
4
1
S Nakatani DEF191
3
-
M Mitsuta MID19
1
-
R Yamashita FWD195
2
-
T Usami FWD1842
1
-
J Alano MID176
-
T Kishimoto DEF163
1
-
N Lavi MID1611
1
-
I Jebali FWD1652
3
-
D Hümmet FWD1521
1
-
R. Mito MID11
-
H Minamino FWD9
-
S Sasaki DEF6
-
S Nakano DEF6
-
Welton FWD6
-
S Toyama FWD5
-
R Meshino FWD41
-
S Abe MID3
1
-
G. Nawata FWD3
-
K Okunuki FWD11
-