Cerezo Osaka's team badge Machida Zelvia's team badge

Cerezo Osaka v Machida Zelvia : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

KINCHO Stadium, Osaka

Machida Zelvia, led by manager Go Kuroda, visit Arthur Thomas Papastamatis and his Cerezo Osaka side at the KINCHO Stadium on Tuesday morning in the J-League. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

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Cerezo Osaka's next match is v Yokohama FM at 07:00 on Sunday 11th May
Machida Zelvia's next match is v Shimizu at 05:05 on Sunday 11th May
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Cerezo and Machida was on Tuesday 29th April 2025
Japanese J-League
April 29th 2025
Cerezo 1
2 Machida
 
T. de Andrade 90'49' S. Oh
78' I. Drešević
 
CER
MAC
Shots On
1
5
Shots Off
2
9
Corners
2
5
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
7
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
CerezoMachida
 
K. Fukui
R. Shindo (K. Furuyama 72')
S. Hatanaka
R. Nishio
K. Noborizato (N. Takahashi Cendagorta 54')
S. Kagawa
M. Shibayama (T. de Andrade 66')
M. Nakajima (S. Uejo 66')
R. da Silva
R. Sakata (L. Fernandes 54')
S. Kitano
K. Tani
G. Shōji
football iconI. Drešević
(K. Hayashi 46') H. Mochizuki
D. Okamura
Y. Nakayama
H. Mae
(R. Shirasaki 72') H. Shimoda
(S. Oh 46') M. Duke
(S. Na 46') S. Fujio
(K. Sento 87') Y. Soma

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Arthur Thomas Papastamatis and Go Kuroda to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Cerezo and Machida go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Machida coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cerezo
31%
17/10-
Draw
29%
21/10-
Machida
40%
17/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Machida 1-0
13%
7/1-
Cerezo 1-0
11%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
15/2-
Machida 2-1
8%
10/1-
Machida 2-0
8%
12/1-
Cerezo 2-1
7%
10/1-
Cerezo 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Machida 3-1
3%
22/1-
Machida 3-0
3%
25/1-
Cerezo 3-1
2%
22/1-
Cerezo 3-0
2%
25/1-
Machida 3-2
2%
33/1-
Cerezo 3-2
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
43/40
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/11
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/1-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
10/11-
BTTS - No
55%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1-
Home/draw
60%
4/9-
Away/draw
69%
4/9-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
9/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1
18%
-
Home DNB
52%
5/6-
Away DNB
60%
5/6-
Cerezo win to nil
19%
10/3-
Machida win to nil
25%
10/3-
Cerezo / Cerezo
19%
10/3-
Cerezo / Machida
3%
28/1-
Cerezo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Cerezo
14%
5/1-
Draw / Machida
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Machida / Cerezo
3%
28/1-
Machida / Machida
19%
10/3-
Machida / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Cerezo have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Cerezo have conceded 11 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Cerezo have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Machida lay in 11th place on 17 points in the J-League league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 7 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Machida have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Machida have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cerezo
Machida
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima1510141331 
w
 
1-0F
Sep 23
Jun 21
l
 
1-0A
2
Kashiwa14761627 
Sep 20
l
 
2-1F
May 17
Dec 6
3
Kyoto Sanga16835327 
Sep 27
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-2F
Sep 23
4
Urawa Reds15744525 
d
 
1-1F
May 28
l
 
0-2A
Oct 25
5
Hiroshima14725223 
Aug 31
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
Oct 4
6
Gamba Osaka15726-123 
Jul 5
w
 
2-5F
Aug 20
w
 
0-1F
7
Shimizu15636221 
Jun 1
Nov 8
Jul 5
May 11
8
Vissel Kobe13634221 
Aug 23
w
 
1-3A
Aug 10
l
 
1-0A
9
Avispa15636-121 
May 24
Sep 13
Oct 18
d
 
2-2F
10
Machida Away15627-120 
l
 
1-2A
Aug 16
-
-
11
Tokyo Verdy15555-320 
Jun 21
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jul 20
12
Cerezo Home15546119 
-
-
Aug 16
w
 
1-2F
13
Fagiano15546019 
w
 
2-1F
Oct 18
Sep 27
May 25
14
Kawasaki12462818 
Oct 25
May 18
d
 
2-2A
Aug 31
15
Shonan15537-918 
l
 
1-2A
Jul 19
l
 
0-1A
Jun 14
16
Tokyo14446-316 
d
 
1-1F
Jun 14
Nov 9
w
 
0-1F
17
Nagoya15438-615 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 4
Nov 30
w
 
1-2F
18
Albirex14266-512 
Aug 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
Jun 29
19
Yokohama14338-712 
Dec 6
l
 
2-0A
Sep 13
w
 
0-2F
20
Yokohama FM12156-68 
May 11
Nov 30
May 31
Aug 23
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Cerezo 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cerezo1 - 1Tokyo
Cerezo1 - 0Kashima
Cerezo2 - 1Fagiano
Cerezo1 - 1Urawa Reds
Cerezo1 - 1Nagoya
Cerezo1 - 2Shonan
Cerezo0 - 2Kashima
Cerezo1 - 0Avispa
Cerezo1 - 2Jubilo Iwata
Cerezo1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Cerezo0 - 0Kashiwa
Cerezo3 - 5Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo0 - 0Machida
Cerezo1 - 2Albirex
Cerezo2 - 1Nagoya
Cerezo1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Cerezo2 - 1Urawa Reds
Cerezo1 - 1Hiroshima
Cerezo1 - 4Vissel Kobe
Cerezo1 - 1Sapporo
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACerezo0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
HCerezo1 - 1Tokyo
HCerezo1 - 0Kashima
ACerezo1 - 2Hiroshima
HCerezo2 - 1Fagiano
HCerezo1 - 1Urawa Reds
ACerezo0 - 2Yokohama
HCerezo1 - 1Nagoya
ACerezo2 - 2Albirex
ACerezo1 - 2Kashiwa
HCerezo1 - 2Shonan
ACerezo5 - 2Gamba Osaka
ACerezo0 - 3Tokyo
HCerezo0 - 2Kashima
HCerezo1 - 0Avispa
ACerezo1 - 1Sapporo
HCerezo1 - 2Jubilo Iwata
ACerezo1 - 0Urawa Reds
HCerezo1 - 0Gamba Osaka
HCerezo0 - 0Kashiwa
Machida 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vissel Kobe1 - 0Machida
Gamba Osaka0 - 1Machida
Avispa2 - 2Machida
Yokohama0 - 2Machida
Nagoya1 - 2Machida
Tokyo0 - 1Machida
Kashima3 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Kashiwa1 - 1Machida
Hiroshima2 - 0Machida
Avispa0 - 3Machida
Albirex0 - 0Machida
Cerezo0 - 0Machida
Tokyo Verdy0 - 1Machida
Gamba Osaka1 - 3Machida
Vissel Kobe0 - 0Machida
Yokohama FM1 - 3Machida
Urawa Reds1 - 2Machida
Shonan0 - 0Machida
Kyoto Sanga0 - 3Machida
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMachida0 - 1Shonan
AMachida0 - 1Vissel Kobe
HMachida0 - 2Urawa Reds
HMachida2 - 2Kawasaki
AMachida1 - 0Gamba Osaka
AMachida2 - 2Avispa
HMachida1 - 0Albirex
AMachida2 - 0Yokohama
AMachida2 - 1Nagoya
HMachida0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
AMachida1 - 0Tokyo
HMachida1 - 2Hiroshima
AMachida1 - 3Kashima
HMachida1 - 0Kyoto Sanga
HMachida3 - 0Tokyo
AMachida1 - 2Sagan Tosu
AMachida1 - 1Kashiwa
HMachida1 - 4Kawasaki
AMachida0 - 2Hiroshima
HMachida0 - 0Sapporo
Goal Statistics
Cerezo 12th Machida 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Cerezo will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Machida will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Cerezo have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Machida’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289755/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cerezo
PG (predicted goals)
Machida
1
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
CER
MAC
view stats
Games scored10
8
Failed to score2
4
Scored first8
7
Goals scored16
12
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
CER
MAC
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded17
12
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+18%

Cerezo v Machida J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12582
M NakajimaR RatãoL FernandesK Fukui
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Fukui GLK8
2
-
R Nishio DEF141
-
R Shindo DEF112
2
-
S Hatanaka DEF11
-
K Noborizato DEF9
1
-
M Nakajima MID1531
-
S Kagawa  MID1111
1
-
M Shibayama MID101
-
S Kitano MID1442
1
-
R Sakata MID11
-
R Ratão FWD1552
2
-
Subs
J Kim GLK8
-
K Funaki DEF7
1
-
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF9
1
-
L Fernandes MID1528
-
H Kida MID91
1
-
S Uejo MID51
-
T Andrade FWD1321
1
-
K. Furuyama FWD31
-
Machida J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15255
K TaniD OkamuraY SomaS Oh
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Tani GLK15
-
I Dresevic DEF151
3
-
D Okamura DEF1521
2
-
G Shoji  DEF15
2
-
H. Mochizuki MID91
-
H Mae MID121
2
-
H Shimoda MID13
2
-
Y Nakayama  MID153
-
S Fujio FWD141
2
-
Y Soma FWD1425
4
-
M Duke FWD8
-
Subs
T Morita GLK
-
K Hayashi DEF12
2
-
K Sento MID101
-
R Shirasaki MID14
1
-
B Vásquez MID
-
D Takahashi MID
-
S Na FWD122
3
-
K. Kuwayama FWD1111
1
-
S Oh FWD151
5
-