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Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus Eight : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

EDION Stadium, Hiroshima

It's an away trip for Kenta Hasegawa's Nagoya Grampus Eight side on Monday morning, as they make their way to the EDION Stadium for a J-League tie with Michael Skibbe's Sanfrecce Hiroshima. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima's next match is v Kyoto Sanga at 06:00 on Sunday 19th May

The last Japanese J-League meeting between Hiroshima and Nagoya was on Monday 6th May 2024

Japanese J-League

May 6th 2024

Hiroshima 2	3 Nagoya

S. Koshimichi 23'	2' A. Aguiar Oliveira
S. Nakano 48'	18' S. Inagaki
	84' (OG)S. Sasaki

	HIR NAG
Shots On	7 4
Shots Off	4 2
Corners	7
Possession	65% 35%
Fouls	13 13
Yellow/red cards	1/0

Hiroshima	Nagoya

K. Osako S. Nakano (N. Arai 76') T. Shiotani S. Sasaki H. Araki T. Matsumoto (M. Lima dos Santos 46') M. Mitsuta S. Higashi S. Koshimichi (T. Shichi 67') P. Soteriou (M. Ohara 76') M. Kato	M. Langerak (R. Izumi 55') Y. Nogami C. Ha A. Kawazura K. Mikuni (K. Nakayama 75') T. Uchida (K. Nagai 55') K. Masui S. Inagaki T. Morishima K. Shiihashi (K. Junker 81') A. Aguiar Oliveira

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hiroshima are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hiroshima 55%	1/2 3%	4/9 3%
Draw 25%	10/3	14/5 5%
Nagoya 20%	5/1 14%	5/1 8%
Hiroshima 1-0 14%	5/1	9/2
Draw 1-1 12%	15/2	13/2 6%
Hiroshima 2-0 11%	11/2 8%	5/1
Hiroshima 2-1 9%	15/2 6%	13/2 6%
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2	15/2 6%
Nagoya 1-0 7%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%
Hiroshima 3-0 6%	9/1 5%	15/2 6%
Hiroshima 3-1 5%	12/1	10/1 8%
Nagoya 2-1 5%	18/1 10%	16/1 11%
Draw 2-2 4%	22/1	16/1 11%
Nagoya 2-0 3%	28/1 15%	22/1 21%
Hiroshima 4-0 2%	20/1 11%	14/1
Hiroshima 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1 12%
Hiroshima 4-1 2%	25/1	18/1 10%
Nagoya 3-1 1%	50/1	33/1 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	21/20 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	3/4 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/3	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	11/4 6%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	6/5	23/20 2%
BTTS - No 54%	8/13	8/13
BTTS - Home Win 21%	3/1	27/10
BTTS - Draw 16%	11/2	19/4 4%
BTTS - Away Win 8%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%
Home/draw 80%	1/8 2%	1/10
Away/draw 45%	6/4 5%	8/5 4%
Home/away 75%	1/5	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	9/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	11/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/4 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/1 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1 16%	-
Home DNB 73%	2/11 4%	1/7 1%
Away DNB 37%	7/2 18%	4/1 9%
Hiroshima win to nil 34%	6/5 5%	-
Nagoya win to nil 11%	9/1 9%	-
Hiroshima / Hiroshima 35%	13/10 2%	5/4 5%
Hiroshima / Nagoya 2%	40/1	40/1 11%
Hiroshima / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1 12%
Draw / Hiroshima 20%	3/1	29/10
Draw / Nagoya 6%	12/1	11/1 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4 9%
Nagoya / Hiroshima 4%	22/1	18/1 10%
Nagoya / Nagoya 7%	11/1 8%	9/1 9%
Nagoya / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1 12%

Win / draw / win J-League table

Hiroshima have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the J-League league table. Hiroshima are unbeaten in 9 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 9 games. Hiroshima are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 6 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Hiroshima have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Hiroshima have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Nagoya are in 8th position in the J-League on 16 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Nagoya have conceded 8 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Hiroshima

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Nagoya

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Jul 5	d 0-00-0	Vissel Kobe	14	9	2	3	14	29	l 0-2A	Jul 20
Sep 28	w 1-2F	Machida	14	9	2	3	9	29	l 0-1A	Jul 6
l 1-3A	Sep 14	Kashima	14	8	2	4	6	26	l 0-3A	Nov 9
l 2-3A	Aug 17	Nagoya Away	15	8	1	6	2	25	-	-
w 2-0F	Nov 9	Urawa Reds	14	7	2	5	5	23	Jun 26	l 2-1A
Aug 11	May 26	Cerezo	15	6	5	4	4	23	w 2-1F	Jun 30
Aug 31	d 1-1F	Tokyo	14	6	4	4	2	22	w 3-1F	Sep 14
d 1-1A	Dec 8	Gamba Osaka	14	6	4	4	1	22	l 0-1A	Nov 3
-	-	Hiroshima Home	13	4	7	2	6	19	Aug 17	w 2-3F
Jul 14	d 1-1A	Avispa	15	4	7	4	-3	19	d 0-00-0	Oct 4
Jun 15	Aug 7	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	9	2	2	18	Aug 11	Jun 22
Aug 25	Jun 22	Kashiwa	13	4	6	3	-1	18	Jul 14	w 0-2F
d 2-2F	Jun 29	Kawasaki	14	4	4	6	1	16	Sep 21	Jun 2
Sep 21	Jun 19	Yokohama FM	12	4	4	4	0	16	w 2-1A	Dec 8
Jun 26	d 1-1F	Albirex	14	4	4	6	-4	16	Aug 31	l 1-0A
Jun 1	Oct 5	Jubilo Iwata	14	4	2	8	-3	14	Sep 28	w 0-1F
w 4-0F	Jul 21	Sagan Tosu	15	4	2	9	-6	14	Nov 30	w 0-2F
w 2-0F	Oct 19	Shonan	14	2	5	7	-8	11	Jun 16	Aug 24
Nov 30	d 1-1A	Sapporo	14	2	5	7	-14	11	Oct 19	w 1-2A
Nov 3	May 19	Kyoto Sanga	14	2	3	9	-13	9	May 26	Aug 7

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Hiroshima	2 - 2	Kawasaki
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Shonan
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Hiroshima	4 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Urawa Reds
Hiroshima	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Hiroshima	0 - 0	Cerezo
Hiroshima	3 - 1	Nagoya
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Hiroshima	3 - 2	Kawasaki
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Yokohama
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kashima
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Yokohama FM
Hiroshima	3 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Shonan
Hiroshima	3 - 1	Avispa
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Tokyo
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Kashiwa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Albirex
H	Hiroshima	2 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Sapporo
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Avispa
H	Hiroshima	2 - 0	Shonan
A	Hiroshima	2 - 1	Machida
H	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Hiroshima	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Hiroshima	4 - 0	Sagan Tosu
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Tokyo
H	Hiroshima	2 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Hiroshima	1 - 0	Avispa
H	Hiroshima	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Hiroshima	0 - 0	Sapporo
A	Hiroshima	2 - 1	Tokyo
H	Hiroshima	0 - 0	Cerezo
H	Hiroshima	3 - 1	Nagoya
A	Hiroshima	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Hiroshima	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Hiroshima	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Urawa Reds	2 - 1	Nagoya
Jubilo Iwata	0 - 1	Nagoya
Sapporo	1 - 2	Nagoya
Kashiwa	0 - 2	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 0	Nagoya
Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Gamba Osaka	0 - 1	Nagoya
Hiroshima	3 - 1	Nagoya
Avispa	1 - 0	Nagoya
Cerezo	3 - 1	Nagoya
Urawa Reds	1 - 0	Nagoya
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo	2 - 0	Nagoya
Sapporo	1 - 2	Nagoya
Kashima	2 - 0	Nagoya
Yokohama FM	1 - 1	Nagoya
Kawasaki	1 - 2	Nagoya
Albirex	1 - 3	Nagoya
Kashiwa	0 - 3	Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Nagoya	0 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Cerezo
A	Nagoya	1 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
H	Nagoya	0 - 0	Avispa
A	Nagoya	2 - 1	Sapporo
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
A	Nagoya	2 - 0	Kashiwa
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Albirex
H	Nagoya	0 - 1	Machida
H	Nagoya	0 - 3	Kashima
H	Nagoya	0 - 0	Kashiwa
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Shonan
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	Nagoya	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Nagoya	1 - 3	Hiroshima
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Sapporo
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Avispa
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Yokohama

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hiroshima have beaten Nagoya in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Hiroshima have not lost to Nagoya in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Hiroshima

Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

HIR

NAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hiroshima
Hiroshima	3 - 1
Hiroshima	1 - 0
Hiroshima	1 - 0
Hiroshima	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Nagoya

Hiroshima

Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

HIR

NAG

FIXTURE HISTORY
Hiroshima	3 - 1
Nagoya	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Hiroshima	1 - 0
Hiroshima	1 - 0
Nagoya	1 - 0
Nagoya	1 - 0
Hiroshima	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Nagoya	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Nagoya
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive J-League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Nagoya Grampus Eight on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Hiroshima 9th	Nagoya 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Hiroshima will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Nagoya scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Hiroshima’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+2 Nagoya’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics J-League - 2024/2024 Season

16%

better

HIR

NAG

view stats

Games scored	12		9
Failed to score	1		6
Scored first	7		6
Goals scored	20		18
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots per game	14		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate	11%		16%
KickOff rating		+16%

better

HIR

NAG

view stats

Games conceded	9		11
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	5		8
Goals conceded	14		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate	16%		11%
KickOff rating		+5%

Hiroshima v Nagoya J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Hiroshima J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	3	2	3
K Osako	S Nakano	S Higashi	H Araki

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Osako GLK	13			-
T Shiotani DEF	13	1		2 -
H Araki DEF	9	1		3 -
S Sasaki DEF	13	1	1	3 -
S Nakano MID	13	3	1	-
T Matsumoto MID	11			-
S Higashi MID	13		2	-
S Koshimichi MID	9	1		-
M Kato MID	13	1	2	-
M Mitsuta MID	13	1	2	-
P Sotiriou FWD	8	1	1	1 -
Subs
G Kawanami GLK				-
N Arai DEF	9	1		1 -
T Shichi DEF	6		1	1 -
M Ohara MID	6			-
H Matsumoto MID				-
G Notsuda MID	3			-
M Júnior MID	4	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	11	2	5
S Nakano	M Mitsuta	S Higashi	M Mitsuta

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Nakano MID	3	6	1	2
T Shiotani DEF	1	1		1
H Araki DEF	1	2
S Sasaki DEF	1	3	1	1
S Koshimichi MID	1	4
M Kato MID	1	9	2	2
M Mitsuta MID	1	11	2	5
P Sotiriou FWD	1	8	1	1
T Matsumoto MID		5		2
S Higashi MID		4	2	1
Subs
M Júnior MID	1	4	1
N Arai DEF	1	1
T Shichi DEF			1
M Ohara MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
739	29	93
S Sasaki	M Mitsuta	S Nakano

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Sasaki DEF	739	10	83
T Shiotani DEF	718	21	51
M Mitsuta MID	584	29	79
S Higashi MID	565	12	37
S Nakano MID	508	18	93
H Araki DEF	398	7	55
M Kato MID	361	14	74
T Matsumoto MID	312	7	17
K Osako GLK	297		2
S Koshimichi MID	160	10	31
P Sotiriou FWD	103	3	32
Subs
N Arai DEF	136	6	21
M Ohara MID	56	1	6
M Júnior MID	54	2	7
T Shichi DEF	36	4	7
G Notsuda MID	17	2	5

Nagoya J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	3	2	5
K Mikuni	K Nagai	T Morishima	H Chang-Rae

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Langerak GLK	13			-
K Mikuni DEF	15	1		3 -
H Chang-Rae DEF	11	1		5 -
A Kawazura DEF	10		1	1 -
Y Nogami MID	6			1 -
S Inagaki MID	13	2	1	-
K Shiihashi MID	12			1 -
T Uchida MID	12			1 -
T Morishima MID	15	2	2	3 -
K. Masui MID	13	2		1 1
Patric FWD	14	1	1	-
Subs
Y Takeda GLK	2			-
H Yoshida MID	7		1	3 -
T Yonemoto MID	12		1	1 1
R Izumi MID	15	1	1	2 -
K Nakayama MID	12			-
K Nagai FWD	15	3		2 -
K Junker FWD	7	3		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	11	2	4
K Nagai	K Nagai	T Morishima	T Morishima

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Morishima MID	2	4	2	4
S Inagaki MID	2	4	1	3
K. Masui MID	2	4		2
K Mikuni DEF	1	4		3
H Chang-Rae DEF	1	1
Patric FWD	1	6	1	2
A Kawazura DEF			1	2
Y Nogami MID				1
T Uchida MID		1		2
Subs
K Junker FWD	3	3		1
K Nagai FWD	3	11
R Izumi MID	1	4	1	2
H Yoshida MID			1	2
T Yonemoto MID			1	4
K Nakayama MID		1		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
723	23	89
K Mikuni	S Inagaki	K Mikuni

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mikuni DEF	723	13	89
T Morishima MID	521	20	68
S Inagaki MID	437	23	62
H Chang-Rae DEF	391	14	58
A Kawazura DEF	386	8	37
M Langerak GLK	371		5
K Shiihashi MID	342	17	35
T Uchida MID	237	21	60
K. Masui MID	174	12	42
Y Nogami MID	143	9	21
Patric FWD	126	7	83
Subs
T Yonemoto MID	466	16	43
R Izumi MID	398	10	35
K Nakayama MID	230	13	37
K Nagai FWD	180	5	46
H Yoshida MID	156	9	16
Y Takeda GLK	55		2
K Junker FWD	51	1	12