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Shimizu S-Pulse v Nagoya Grampus Eight : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 06:00 BST, Iwagin Stadium, Morioka

Nagoya Grampus Eight, led by manager Kenta Hasegawa, visit Tadahiro Akiba and his Shimizu S-Pulse side at the Iwagin Stadium on Saturday morning in the J-League. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Shimizu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Shimizu 59%	29/20 9%	-
Draw 23%	2/1 3%	-
Nagoya 17%	11/5 9%	-
Shimizu 1-0 14%	11/2 8%	-
Shimizu 2-0 12%	9/1 5%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	5/1	-
Shimizu 2-1 10%	9/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	11/2 7%	-
Shimizu 3-0 7%	22/1 10%	-
Nagoya 1-0 6%	13/2 6%	-
Shimizu 3-1 6%	22/1 10%	-
Nagoya 2-1 5%	11/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Shimizu 4-0 3%	50/1	-
Nagoya 2-0 3%	14/1	-
Shimizu 4-1 2%	50/1	-
Shimizu 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Nagoya 3-1 1%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	6/4 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	1/2 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	5/6 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	11/8 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/2 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20	-
BTTS - No 54%	7/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	5/1 9%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	7/2 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	13/2 6%	-
Home/draw 83%	4/11 5%	-
Away/draw 41%	8/15 6%	-
Home/away 77%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/2 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	6/4 5%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	4/1 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/6 1%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	25/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/9 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	11/2 7%	-
Home DNB 76%	4/6 6%	-
Away DNB 34%	11/10 7%	-
Shimizu win to nil 36%	11/4 10%	-
Nagoya win to nil 10%	7/2 10%	-
Shimizu / Shimizu 21%	3/1 7%	-
Shimizu / Nagoya 2%	33/1	-
Shimizu / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Shimizu 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Nagoya 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Nagoya / Shimizu 3%	28/1	-
Nagoya / Nagoya 16%	4/1 9%	-
Nagoya / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Shimizu have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Shimizu have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Shimizu have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Nagoya are in 19th position in the J-League on 11 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Nagoya are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Nagoya have conceded 23 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Shimizu Nagoya
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	13	8	1	4	11	25	Aug 31	May 17	Sep 27	l 1-0A
2	Kashiwa	13	6	6	1	5	24	Jun 28	May 6	l 1-2F	Nov 8
3	Kyoto Sanga	14	7	3	4	3	24	l 1-2A	Sep 20	Aug 10	May 11
4	Urawa Reds	13	6	4	3	4	22	Sep 23	l 2-1A	May 24	Aug 16
5	Shimizu Home	13	6	3	4	6	21	-	-	Jun 21	May 3
6	Avispa	13	6	3	4	1	21	w 3-1F	Aug 23	Dec 6	May 17
7	Machida	13	6	2	5	1	20	May 11	Jul 5	l 1-2A	Nov 30
8	Kawasaki	12	4	6	2	8	18	d 1-1F	Oct 18	Aug 23	l 4-0A
9	Fagiano	13	5	3	5	2	18	Dec 6	d 1-1F	May 6	Sep 13
10	Vissel Kobe	11	5	3	3	2	18	May 25	Sep 27	d 2-2F	Jun 15
11	Shonan	13	5	3	5	-4	18	w 3-0F	Nov 30	Sep 20	l 2-1A
12	Hiroshima	12	5	2	5	0	17	d 1-1F	Aug 10	w 2-1F	Jun 28
13	Tokyo Verdy	13	4	5	4	-3	17	Oct 25	w 0-1F	Jul 5	l 2-1F
14	Gamba Osaka	13	5	2	6	-6	17	Jun 15	l 1-0A	Oct 25	l 2-0A
15	Cerezo	13	3	4	6	-2	13	Nov 8	Jun 1	Oct 4	d 1-1A
16	Tokyo	13	3	4	6	-4	13	Oct 4	w 0-2F	Aug 31	l 3-1A
17	Albirex	13	2	6	5	-4	12	w 2-0F	Sep 13	May 31	Sep 23
18	Yokohama	13	3	3	7	-5	12	Jul 20	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	Oct 18
19	Nagoya Away	13	3	2	8	-9	11	May 3	Jun 21	-	-
20	Yokohama FM	12	1	5	6	-6	8	Aug 16	w 2-3A	w 2-0F	Jul 20

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Shimizu have won 3 consecutive league games

Nagoya have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Nagoya have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shimizu	3 - 1	Avispa
Shimizu	1 - 1	Kawasaki
Shimizu	3 - 0	Shonan
Shimizu	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu	1 - 1	Hiroshima
Shimizu	2 - 0	Albirex
Shimizu	1 - 0	Roasso
Shimizu	1 - 0	Iwaki
Shimizu	1 - 2	Montedio
Shimizu	1 - 1	Yokohama
Shimizu	4 - 1	Renofa
Shimizu	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Shimizu	3 - 0	Ventforet
Shimizu	4 - 0	TK Gunma
Shimizu	2 - 0	JEF United
Shimizu	3 - 1	Fagiano
Shimizu	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
Shimizu	2 - 1	Mito
Shimizu	4 - 0	Kagoshima
Shimizu	4 - 1	Tochigi

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Shimizu	2 - 0	Tokyo
H	Shimizu	3 - 1	Avispa
A	Shimizu	3 - 2	Yokohama FM
H	Shimizu	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Shimizu	0 - 2	Yokohama
A	Shimizu	1 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Shimizu	3 - 0	Shonan
H	Shimizu	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Shimizu	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Shimizu	1 - 1	Fagiano
H	Shimizu	1 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Shimizu	2 - 0	Albirex
A	Shimizu	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Shimizu	1 - 0	Roasso
H	Shimizu	1 - 0	Iwaki
A	Shimizu	1 - 0	Tochigi
H	Shimizu	1 - 2	Montedio
A	Shimizu	2 - 2	Mito
H	Shimizu	1 - 1	Yokohama
A	Shimizu	3 - 2	Fujieda MYFC

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kashima	1 - 0	Nagoya
Gamba Osaka	2 - 0	Nagoya
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 1	Nagoya
Cerezo	1 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo	3 - 1	Nagoya
Kawasaki	4 - 0	Nagoya
Yokohama FM	0 - 2	Nagoya
Kashima	0 - 0	Nagoya
Gamba Osaka	3 - 2	Nagoya
Avispa	1 - 0	Nagoya
Tokyo	4 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	0 - 1	Nagoya
Kyoto Sanga	3 - 2	Nagoya
Vissel Kobe	3 - 3	Nagoya
Machida	1 - 0	Nagoya
Cerezo	2 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo Verdy	1 - 0	Nagoya
Kawasaki	2 - 1	Nagoya
Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nagoya	1 - 2	Kashiwa
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Kashima
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Hiroshima
A	Nagoya	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Shonan
H	Nagoya	2 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Yokohama
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
A	Nagoya	1 - 1	Cerezo
H	Nagoya	1 - 2	Machida
A	Nagoya	1 - 3	Tokyo
H	Nagoya	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Nagoya	0 - 4	Kawasaki
A	Nagoya	2 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Nagoya	0 - 3	Sagan Tosu
A	Nagoya	0 - 0	Kashima
A	Nagoya	2 - 3	Gamba Osaka
H	Nagoya	0 - 2	Sapporo
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Avispa
H	Nagoya	2 - 0	Jubilo Iwata

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Nagoya have beaten Shimizu in 3 consecutive away league meetings

Shimizu

Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

SHI

NAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Shimizu
	1 - 2	Nagoya
	0 - 3	Nagoya
	1 - 2	Nagoya
Shimizu	3 - 2
Shimizu	2 - 0

Nagoya

Shimizu

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

SHI

NAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nagoya
	0 - 2	Shimizu
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Nagoya	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Shimizu
	1 - 3	Shimizu

Goal Statistics

	Shimizu 5th	Nagoya 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Shimizu will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Nagoya scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+27 Shimizu have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted	-19 Nagoya have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

21%

better

SHI

NAG

view stats

Games scored	11		10
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	19		14
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.1
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	20		15
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+21%

36%

better

SHI

NAG

view stats

Games conceded	9		12
Clean sheets	4		1
Conceded first	5		7
Goals conceded	13		23
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+36%

Shimizu v Nagoya J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Shimizu J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	6	2	2
Y Oki	K Kitagawa	M Bueno	K Kitagawa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Oki GLK	13			1 -
M Bueno MID	13	1	2	1 -
K Kitagawa FWD	13	6		2 -
T Inui FWD	13	2		-
Z Uno MID	12		1	1 -
H Nakahara MID	12	1		-
J Sumiyoshi DEF	10	1		-
K Kitazume DEF	10		1	1 1
K Matsuzaki MID	10	4	1	1 -
S Hasukawa DEF	9			-
Y Takahashi DEF	9			2 -
S Takagi DEF	9		2	1 -
Y Yoshida DEF	9			-
M. Nishihara MID	8			-
Capixaba FWD	8	1	1	1 -
R Yamahara DEF	7			-
A Ahmedov FWD	7			1 -
S Yajima MID	6			-
K Kozuka MID	6			-
D Tanque FWD	5			-
K Miyamoto MID	4			-
M Yumiba MID	4		1	1 -
K Haneda MID	3			-
S Kotake MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	2	3
K Kitagawa	K Kitagawa	M Bueno	M Bueno

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Kitagawa FWD	6	11		2
K Matsuzaki MID	4	6	1	1
T Inui FWD	2	8		2
H Nakahara MID	1	4
J Sumiyoshi DEF	1	3
M Bueno MID	1	1	2	3
Capixaba FWD	1	2	1	1
M Yumiba MID			1
K Kozuka MID				1
S Yajima MID		1
R Yamahara DEF				1
M. Nishihara MID		1
S Takagi DEF		2	2	3
K Kitazume DEF			1	1
Z Uno MID		4	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
819	23	75
M Bueno	M Bueno	M Bueno

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Bueno MID	819	23	75
J Sumiyoshi DEF	565	17	67
T Inui FWD	528	9	43
S Takagi DEF	511	15	60
Z Uno MID	494	20	51
Y Takahashi DEF	348	7	36
K Kitazume DEF	347	11	44
Y Oki GLK	342	1	8
S Hasukawa DEF	285	5	34
Y Yoshida DEF	278	11	29
K Kitagawa FWD	226	7	32
R Yamahara DEF	182	4	16
K Matsuzaki MID	180	5	35
H Nakahara MID	168	8	16
Capixaba FWD	156	12	33
S Yajima MID	98	2	6
K Kozuka MID	92	3	10
M. Nishihara MID	79	5	16
K Miyamoto MID	65	3	6
M Yumiba MID	61	5	8
K Haneda MID	30		2
A Ahmedov FWD	25	2	12
D Tanque FWD	19	1	11
S Kotake MID	4		1

Nagoya J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	3	3
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	T Morishima	S Inagaki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Inagaki MID	13	4	1	3 -
R Izumi MID	13	1		1 -
K Shiihashi MID	13	1	1	1 -
Y Asano MID	13		1	1 -
Mateus FWD	13	3	1	2 -
T Morishima MID	12	1	3	1 -
K Nagai FWD	12		1	3 -
A Kawazura DEF	11	1		1 -
Y Nogami DEF	10			1 -
K Mikuni DEF	9			-
S Tokumoto DEF	8	1		-
K Nakayama MID	8			1 -
D Schmidt GLK	7			-
Y Sato DEF	7	2		2 -
T Hara DEF	7			-
T Kikuchi MID	7			-
Y Takeda GLK	6			-
Y Yamagishi FWD	6		1	-
M Ono MID	5			1 -
T Uchida MID	5			-
D Miya DEF	4			1 -
R Yamanaka DEF	3			-
G. Kato MID	3			-
S. Sugiura MID	3			-
K Junker FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	3	2
S Inagaki	Mateus	T Morishima	K Shiihashi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Inagaki MID	4	8	1	1
Mateus FWD	3	13	1	1
Y Sato DEF	2	2
K Shiihashi MID	1	1	1	2
T Morishima MID	1	2	3
A Kawazura DEF	1	1		1
S Tokumoto DEF	1	1		1
R Izumi MID	1	3
Y Yamagishi FWD		3	1	1
G. Kato MID		1
D Miya DEF		1
T Kikuchi MID		1
T Hara DEF				1
K Nakayama MID		2
K Nagai FWD		8	1	1
Y Asano MID		4	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
561	29	74
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	S Inagaki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Inagaki MID	561	29	74
K Shiihashi MID	447	16	39
A Kawazura DEF	446	11	32
K Mikuni DEF	436	6	49
Y Sato DEF	390	11	34
R Izumi MID	376	16	43
Y Nogami DEF	351	14	49
T Morishima MID	228	11	43
D Schmidt GLK	226		1
S Tokumoto DEF	202	8	20
D Miya DEF	199	5	16
Mateus FWD	198	7	36
T Uchida MID	177	7	18
Y Takeda GLK	169	1	7
T Hara DEF	158	4	20
K Nakayama MID	153	7	23
Y Asano MID	127	5	17
K Nagai FWD	121	3	29
G. Kato MID	81	5	9
Y Yamagishi FWD	79	3	26
T Kikuchi MID	52	1	5
M Ono MID	30	4	6
R Yamanaka DEF	11	3	3
K Junker FWD	9		2
S. Sugiura MID	4		1

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Vissel Kobe v Fagiano

Sat 3rd May, 07:00

Urawa Reds v Tokyo Verdy

Urawa Reds v Gamba Osaka

Tue 6th May, 06:00

Kashiwa v Shimizu

Tue 6th May, 08:00

Tokyo Verdy v Yokohama

Tue 6th May, 08:00

Machida v Kyoto Sanga

Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima

Yokohama FM v Kashiwa

Wed 14th May, 11:00

Kawasaki v Yokohama

Wed 14th May, 11:00

Shimizu S-Pulse v Nagoya Grampus Eight : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Shimizu have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Nagoya are in 19th position in the J-League on 11 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Nagoya are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Shimizu v Nagoya J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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