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Tokyo v Gamba Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo and Gamba Osaka meet at the Ajinomoto Stadium on Friday morning, with both Rikizo Matsuhashi and Daniel Poyatos Algaba hoping for success in the J-League. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Tokyo's next match is v Vissel Kobe at 07:00 on Saturday 10th May
Gamba Osaka's next match is v Hiroshima at 07:00 on Sunday 11th May
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Tokyo and Gamba Osaka was on Friday 25th April 2025
Japanese J-League
April 25th 2025
Tokyo 3
0 Gamba Osaka
 
K. Tawaratsumida 86'
T. Ko 90'
T. Kishimoto (OG) 90'
 
TOK
GAM
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
2
4
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
TokyoGamba Osaka
 
T. Nozawa
Y. Nagatomo (K. Shirai 62')
K. Doi
T. Oka
K. Higashi (T. Ko 62')
K. Koizumi (R. Nozawa 89')
S. Anzai
M. Silvestre
K. Sato
M. Kitahara (K. Tawaratsumida 62')
K. Endo (K. Hashimoto 70')
J. Ichimori
S. Nakatani
R. Handa
K. Kurokawa
S. Fukuoka
(T. Usami 71') J. Alano Nascimento
(S. Kurata 80') R. Mito
T. Suzuki
(D. Hümmet 89') M. Mitsuta
(T. Kishimoto 80') R. Yamashita
I. Jebali

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Tokyo and Gamba Osaka have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tokyo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tokyo
34%
14/5
23%
-
Draw
28%
13/5
16%
-
Gamba Osaka
38%
9/10
21%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
17%
-
Gamba Osaka 1-0
11%
15/2
21%
-
Tokyo 1-0
10%
11/1
50%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
11/1
60%
-
Gamba Osaka 2-1
8%
15/2
15%
-
Tokyo 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
-
Gamba Osaka 2-0
7%
17/2
14%
-
Tokyo 2-0
6%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
24%
-
Gamba Osaka 3-1
3%
14/1
29%
-
Gamba Osaka 3-0
3%
16/1
26%
-
Tokyo 3-1
3%
28/1-
Tokyo 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Gamba Osaka 3-2
2%
22/1
32%
-
Tokyo 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4/5
22%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1/1
25%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/4
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/7
14%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
60%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
7/10
13%
-
BTTS - No
51%
21/20
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/4
32%
-
Home/draw
62%
10/11
25%
-
Away/draw
66%
1/4
8%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/9
13%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3/1
45%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
2/1
31%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
4/11
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/2
45%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/7
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1
48%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
12/1
73%
-
Home DNB
53%
7/4
31%
-
Away DNB
58%
2/5
16%
-
Tokyo win to nil
20%
6/1
40%
-
Gamba Osaka win to nil
22%
5/2
7%
-
Tokyo / Tokyo
14%
5/1
20%
-
Tokyo / Gamba Osaka
4%
20/1
28%
-
Tokyo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Tokyo
10%
15/2
31%
-
Draw / Gamba Osaka
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
33%
-
Gamba Osaka / Tokyo
3%
28/1
15%
-
Gamba Osaka / Gamba Osaka
28%
2/1
25%
-
Gamba Osaka / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Tokyo have conceded 13 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tokyo have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Gamba Osaka lay in 12th place on 14 points in the J-League league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Gamba Osaka have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Gamba Osaka have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tokyo
Gamba Osaka
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima1510141331 
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
May 31
Oct 4
2
Kashiwa14761627 
d
 
1-1F
Jul 5
Oct 18
l
 
1-0A
3
Kyoto Sanga16835327 
Aug 24
May 31
w
 
2-1F
Jun 28
4
Urawa Reds15744525 
Jul 19
May 17
Sep 13
w
 
0-1F
5
Hiroshima14725223 
May 25
Oct 18
May 11
Aug 16
6
Gamba Osaka A15726-123 
w
 
3-0F
Jun 22
-
-
7
Shimizu15636221 
l
 
0-2A
Oct 4
w
 
1-0F
Jun 15
8
Vissel Kobe13634221 
May 10
Nov 30
Nov 8
May 17
9
Avispa15636-121 
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Nov 30
10
Machida15627-120 
l
 
0-1A
Nov 9
l
 
0-1A
Aug 20
11
Tokyo Verdy15555-320 
Sep 13
d
 
2-2A
Dec 6
w
 
0-1F
12
Cerezo15546119 
Jun 14
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-5A
Jul 5
13
Fagiano15546019 
Oct 25
l
 
1-0A
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
14
Kawasaki12462818 
l
 
0-3A
Sep 20
Jul 20
May 25
15
Shonan15537-918 
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 16
w
 
4-0F
Aug 31
16
Tokyo Home14446-316 
-
-
Jun 22
l
 
3-0A
17
Nagoya15438-615 
w
 
3-1F
Aug 31
w
 
2-0F
Oct 25
18
Albirex14266-512 
Dec 6
w
 
2-3F
Sep 27
d
 
3-3A
19
Yokohama14338-712 
Jun 28
w
 
0-1F
Aug 23
d
 
1-1A
20
Yokohama FM12156-68 
Sep 27
Jun 25
Sep 23
l
 
2-0A
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Tokyo 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Gamba Osaka 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tokyo since 2018
Tokyo
Gamba Osaka
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
TOK
5
GAM
2
League games at Gamba Osaka since 2018
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
3 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
4 / 7
TOK
1
D
4
GAM
2
Goal Statistics
Tokyo 16th Gamba Osaka 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Gamba Osaka will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Tokyo have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Gamba Osaka’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289750/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tokyo
PG (predicted goals)
Gamba Osaka
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
TOK
GAM
24%
better
view stats
Games scored5
7
Failed to score6
4
Scored first3
4
Goals scored8
12
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
2%
better
TOK
GAM
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded13
16
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%

Tokyo v Gamba Osaka J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14323
T NozawaK. SatoK. SatoT. Oka
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Nozawa GLK14
1
-
K Doi DEF121
1
-
T. Oka DEF13
3
-
S Anzai DEF1411
1
-
Y Nagatomo MID8
2
-
K Higashi MID7
1
-
K Koizumi MID1111
3
-
K Endo MID4
-
K. Sato FWD1432
1
-
M. Kitahara FWD6
-
M Ryan FWD112
-
Subs
G Hatano GLK
-
Y Kimoto DEF4
-
K Shirai DEF1311
-
K Tawaratsumida MID1412
-
T Ko MID1412
-
T Terayama MID
-
K Hashimoto MID121
3
-
L Nozawa FWD7
-
T Nakagawa FWD131
-
Gamba Osaka J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15453
J IchimoriR YamashitaJ AlanoT Suzuki
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ichimori GLK151
1
-
R Handa DEF152
-
S Nakatani DEF121
1
-
S Fukuoka DEF13
-
K Kurokawa DEF151
-
T Suzuki MID15
3
-
R. Mito MID11
-
R Yamashita MID124
1
-
M Mitsuta MID12
1
-
J Alano MID105
-
I Jebali FWD1442
3
-
Subs
M Higashiguchi GLK
-
G Miura DEF
-
T Kishimoto DEF102
-
S Nakano DEF4
-
S Kurata MID152
1
-
T Usami FWD1121
1
-
R Meshino FWD41
-
D Hümmet FWD821
1
-
H Minamino FWD7
-