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Sagan Tosu v Oita Trinita : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Saturday morning sees Akio Kogiku’s Sagan Tosu and Tomohiro Katanosaka’s Oita Trinita go head to head in a J2-League clash at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu). Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Sagan Tosu and Oita Trinita was on Saturday 12th July 2025
Japanese J2-League
July 12th 2025
Sagan Tosu 2
1 Oita Trinita
 
H. Yamada 19'38' D. de Oliveira Bento
S. Shinkawa 59'
 
SAG
OIT
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
7
3
Corners
2
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
4
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
Sagan TosuOita Trinita
 
R. Izumori
S. Ogawa
S. Nagasawa (Y. Imazu 86')
R. Morishita
T. Inoue
N. Matsumoto (K. Nishizawa 58')
V. Slivka
T. Sakurai (K. Nishiya 77')
H. Arai
H. Yamadafootball icon (S. Shinkawa 58')
J. Nishikawa (D. Suzuki 77')
K. Mun
Y. Kagawa
football iconD. de Oliveira Bento
J. Nodake
T. Shige
(R. Ikeda 86') N. Nomura
(K. Sakakibara 55') H. Nakagawa
T. Amagasa
(G. Garcia de Oliveira 55') K. Isa
K. Arima
(Y. Matsuo 77') S. Utsumoto

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Sagan Tosu and Oita Trinita both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sagan Tosu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
48%
6/5
2%
1/200
7%
Draw
29%
21/10
3%
20/1
1%
Oita Trinita
24%
5/2
6%
90/1
8%
Sagan Tosu 1-0
16%
5/1
9%
27/10
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/113/10
4%
Draw 0-0
12%
6/1
17%
17/4
13%
Sagan Tosu 2-0
10%
8/1
5%
7/2
6%
Oita Trinita 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
11/2
14%
Sagan Tosu 2-1
8%
9/11/6
6%
Oita Trinita 2-1
5%
12/19/2
Sagan Tosu 3-0
4%
20/18/1
12%
Oita Trinita 2-0
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
15%
Sagan Tosu 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
15/2
12%
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
10%
8/1
Sagan Tosu 3-2
1%
40/140/1
12%
Oita Trinita 3-1
1%
33/118/1
Sagan Tosu 4-0
1%
40/1
20%
20/1
15%
Sagan Tosu 4-1
1%
40/1
20%
45/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
6/4
7%
8/15
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
1/2
4%
13/10
7%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
4%
17/20
6%
Away 1st Goal
40%
8/5
4%
6/4
2%
No 1st Goal
9%
6/1
17%
17/4
13%
BTTS - Yes
40%
11/10
7%
10/11
5%
BTTS - No
60%
4/6
6%
4/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
15%
1/20
9%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
8/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/250/1
Home/draw
76%
2/7
3%
1/300
4%
Away/draw
52%
4/6
3%
14/1
6%
Home/away
71%
4/111/100
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
1/2
6%
2/9
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
6/4
11%
13/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
4/1
9%
15/2
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
1/25
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
12/1
15%
45/1
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/1000
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
21%
60/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/500
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
3%
1/9
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
17%
9/2
9%
Home DNB
68%
8/15
3%
1/2
7%
Away DNB
44%
11/8
6%
29/20
9%
Sagan Tosu win to nil
32%
9/4
4%
-
Oita Trinita win to nil
15%
9/2
10%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
25%
13/5
4%
12/1
8%
Sagan Tosu / Oita Trinita
2%
33/1
17%
50/1
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Draw / Sagan Tosu
17%
4/115/8
4%
Draw / Oita Trinita
10%
6/129/10
8%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
8%
29/20
5%
Oita Trinita / Sagan Tosu
3%
28/1
15%
45/1
Oita Trinita / Oita Trinita
12%
5/1
9%
16/1
9%
Oita Trinita / Draw
5%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win form
10
Sagan Tosu have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
5
Oita Trinita have not won in 5 consecutive league games
3
Sagan Tosu have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
3
Oita Trinita have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Sagan Tosu 4TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Iwaki
Sagan Tosu2 - 2Ehime
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Sapporo
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Ventforet
Sagan Tosu1 - 1JEF United
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Montedio
Sagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASagan Tosu2 - 0JEF United
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Iwaki
ASagan Tosu0 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Mito
HSagan Tosu2 - 2Ehime
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Sapporo
ASagan Tosu2 - 1Blaublitz
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Ventforet
ASagan Tosu1 - 0Tokushima
HSagan Tosu1 - 1JEF United
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Oita Trinita
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Montedio
HSagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
ASagan Tosu2 - 0V-V Nagasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Oita Trinita 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V-V Nagasaki1 - 0Oita Trinita
Tokushima2 - 0Oita Trinita
Imabari1 - 1Oita Trinita
Kataller Toyama1 - 1Oita Trinita
Montedio3 - 0Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata0 - 3Oita Trinita
JEF United1 - 0Oita Trinita
Omiya Ardija2 - 2Oita Trinita
Ehime0 - 1Oita Trinita
Renofa1 - 1Oita Trinita
Vegalta2 - 0Oita Trinita
Vegalta2 - 1Oita Trinita
Blaublitz0 - 2Oita Trinita
V-V Nagasaki4 - 1Oita Trinita
Yokohama1 - 1Oita Trinita
Tokushima3 - 1Oita Trinita
Fagiano0 - 0Oita Trinita
Ehime3 - 2Oita Trinita
Renofa2 - 0Oita Trinita
Iwaki0 - 1Oita Trinita
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AOita Trinita0 - 1V-V Nagasaki
HOita Trinita0 - 0Omiya Ardija
AOita Trinita0 - 2Tokushima
HOita Trinita1 - 2Blaublitz
AOita Trinita1 - 1Imabari
HOita Trinita2 - 1Ventforet
HOita Trinita1 - 2V-V Nagasaki
AOita Trinita1 - 1Kataller Toyama
AOita Trinita0 - 3Montedio
HOita Trinita1 - 0Roasso
HOita Trinita1 - 0Sagan Tosu
AOita Trinita3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
AOita Trinita0 - 1JEF United
HOita Trinita1 - 1Tokushima
AOita Trinita2 - 2Omiya Ardija
AOita Trinita1 - 0Ehime
HOita Trinita1 - 1Fujieda MYFC
AOita Trinita1 - 1Renofa
HOita Trinita0 - 0Mito
AOita Trinita0 - 2Vegalta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sagan Tosu have drawn with Oita Trinita in 3 consecutive home league meetings
7
Oita Trinita have not lost to Sagan Tosu in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sagan Tosu since 2019
Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sagan Tosu
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Oita Trinita since 2019
Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
OIT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oita Trinita
Oita Trinita1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Oita Trinita2 - 0
Oita Trinita2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Oita Trinita, with Tomohiro Katanosaka's men failing to score in 3 consecutive J2-League matches.

Sagan Tosu 4th Oita Trinita 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Oita Trinita scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Sagan Tosu have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Oita Trinita’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289499/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Oita Trinita
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
15%
better
SAG
OIT
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score3
5
Scored first9
7
Goals scored14
13
Avg. goals scored0.6
0.6
Avg. shots per game5
4
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
SAG
OIT
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded15
11
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded5
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

Sagan Tosu v Oita Trinita J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23424
S OgawaH YamadaT SakuraiV Slivka
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Izumori GLK19
-
T. Inoue DEF232
1
-
R Morishita DEF201
3
-
S Ogawa DEF23
3
-
S Nagasawa DEF1021
1
-
N Matsumoto MID14
-
T Sakurai MID222
-
H Arai MID2322
-
J Nishikawa MID2121
2
-
V Slivka MID2222
4
-
H Yamada FWD114
2
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF102
1
F Honda MID
-
K. Sakaiya MID41
-
K Nishizawa MID1712
2
-
K. Nishiya MID231
1
-
Y Horigome MID17
1
-
D Suzuki FWD13
1
-
S. Shinkawa FWD191
-
Oita Trinita J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23533
T AmagasaK ArimaS UtsumotoDerlan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gun GLK3
-
J Nodake DEF20
-
Derlan DEF2322
3
-
Y Kagawa DEF7
-
T Shige DEF13
-
H Nakagawa MID81
2
-
T Amagasa MID23
3
-
S Utsumoto MID2113
1
-
N Nomura MID1821
1
-
K Arima FWD2351
2
-
K Isa FWD2012
-
Subs
S. Sato GLK
-
A. Miyagawa DEF
-
A. Satsukawa MID12
-
R Ikeda MID14
-
K Sakakibara MID191
2
-
Y Matsuo MID6
-
S Ayukawa  FWD141
1
-
G. Garcia de Oliveira FWD1
-
Y Yashiki FWD10
1
-
Japanese J2-League match betting previews, predictions and odds