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Atlas v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Oct, 04:00 BST, Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Alexandre Moya Torralbo guides his León team to the Estadio Jalisco in the Liga MX on Thursday morning, with Miljan Radovic's Atlas the opponent. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga MX clash.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Liga MX tie, with Atlas and Leon going head-to-head, offers great potential in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atlas
48%
2.80
2%
2.60
Draw
22%
3.50
6%
3.40
Leon
30%
2.30
2%
2.30
Draw 1-1
9%
6.50
8%
6.50
Atlas 2-1
9%
11.009.00
Leon 2-1
7%
9.508.50
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00
20%
10.00
Atlas 1-0
6%
12.00
29%
9.50
Atlas 2-0
6%
17.00
15%
13.00
Atlas 3-1
6%
21.00
10%
15.00
Leon 1-0
5%
11.00
29%
9.00
Atlas 3-2
4%
26.00
21%
19.00
Atlas 3-0
4%
29.0021.00
Leon 2-0
4%
13.00
15%
11.00
Leon 3-1
4%
17.00
10%
13.00
Leon 3-2
3%
23.00
21%
17.00
Draw 0-0
3%
13.00
30%
11.00
Atlas 4-1
3%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.67
15%
1.60
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
2.15
17%
2.10
Home 1st Goal
52%
2.00
3%
2.00
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.83
2%
1.91
No 1st Goal
2%
13.00
30%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
66%
1.53
10%
1.55
BTTS - No
34%
2.38
13%
2.30
BTTS - Home Win
29%
5.00
18%
4.40
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
4%
4.20
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4.00
10%
3.90
Home/draw
70%
1.571.55
Away/draw
52%
1.40
4%
1.44
Home/away
78%
1.29
3%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.20
8%
1.18
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4.33
27%
3.90
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
2.63
25%
2.45
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
1.44
12%
1.44
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
5.00
29%
4.20
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1.17
6%
1.17
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
10.00
27%
7.50
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.06
2%
1.05
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.04
2%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
13.00
30%
10.00
Home DNB
63%
2.102.00
Away DNB
46%
1.671.73
Atlas win to nil
19%
6.00
11%
-
Leon win to nil
11%
4.50
15%
-
Atlas / Atlas
19%
4.50
8%
4.20
Atlas / Leon
4%
23.00
21%
19.00
Atlas / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Draw / Atlas
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw / Leon
14%
6.00
8%
5.75
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
20%
5.50
Leon / Atlas
3%
26.00
21%
21.00
Leon / Leon
22%
3.75
8%
3.70
Leon / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Over / under 5.5 goals form
35
There have been under 5.5 goals in 35 consecutive Leon away league games
4
Atlas have scored 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive home league games
5
Leon have conceded 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive league games
4
Leon have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
Atlas 13TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.6
Conceded
1.9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
O
3
Under
17
Avg: Scored
1.7
Conceded
2.2
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
O
4
Under
16
Leon 14TH
20 league games
Away
35
Overall
5
Avg: Scored
1.2
Conceded
1.8
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Under
20
Avg: Scored
1.0
Conceded
1.8
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
O
1
Under
19
Over / under 5.5 goals head to head (H2H)
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Leon
Average goals:
0.7
1.0
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
Under
7
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Atlas
Average goals:
2.1
1.3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
Over
2
Under
6
Goal Statistics

Atlas's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because León have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.9 for Miljan Radovic's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlas 13th Leon 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Atlas will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Atlas have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Leon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Atlas
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.9
1.5
Attack rating
27%
better
ATL
LEO
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score4
5
Scored first5
4
Goals scored21
12
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal5
11
Conversion rate for21
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
ATL
LEO
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
9
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded29
24
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded13
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against2
1.8
KickOff rating
+26%

Atlas v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13558
G FerrareisD AlcarazD AlcarazU Djurdjevic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Ferrareis DEF132
1
-
D Alcaraz FWD1355
2
-
G Aguirre DEF121
1
-
U Djurdjevic FWD125
8
-
C Vargas GLK111
2
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID11
2
-
A Mora DEF102
2
-
M Cóccaro FWD101
1
1
D Dória DEF91
2
-
J Lozano DEF911
3
1
A González FWD9
-
G Prete FWD921
1
-
A Rocha MID82
3
1
E Lara FWD811
-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID71
1
-
C Orrantía DEF6
-
M García FWD61
-
R Pier DEF51
-
A Jiménez MID3
1
-
J Rodríguez DEF2
-
A Sánchez GLK1
1
-
C Becerra GLK1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12516
S ChávezI DíazS ChávezS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF121
2
-
I Moreno DEF121
-
S Barreiro DEF12
5
1
F Beltran MID121
2
-
N Fonseca MID12
4
-
R Echeverría MID12
5
-
O García GLK10
1
-
S Santos MID10
3
-
J Rodríguez MID1031
1
-
J Cortizo FWD10
3
-
A Alvarado FWD91
-
I Díaz FWD951
-
R Mori FWD9
-
?. Estrada Meza MID8
-
M Rodriguez FWD8
-
D Arcila MID71
-
D Ramírez DEF6
1
-
P Bellón DEF5
1
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF5
1
1
E Ayon FWD5
2
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
C Cisneros FWD2
-
O Villa DEF1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-