Atlas's team badge Toluca's team badge

Atlas v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Nov, 23:00 BST, Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

The Liga MX is the focus for both Atlas and Toluca on Saturday night, as bosses Miljan Radovic and Patrick Glockner battle it out at the Estadio Jalisco. Stats power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atlas
25%
--
Draw
19%
--
Toluca
56%
--
Toluca 2-1
9%
--
Draw 1-1
7%
--
Toluca 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Atlas 2-1
6%
--
Toluca 2-0
6%
--
Toluca 3-2
5%
--
Toluca 1-0
5%
--
Toluca 3-0
4%
--
Toluca 4-1
4%
--
Atlas 3-2
3%
--
Toluca 4-2
3%
--
Atlas 1-0
3%
--
Atlas 3-1
3%
--
Draw 3-3
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
25%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
53%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
71%
--
BTTS - No
29%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
37%
--
Home/draw
44%
--
Away/draw
75%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
45%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
38%
--
Away DNB
70%
--
Atlas win to nil
7%
--
Toluca win to nil
19%
--
Win / draw / win form
Atlas 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Toluca 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toluca have beaten Atlas in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Toluca have not lost to Atlas in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Toluca
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
4 / 7
ATL
1
D
3
TOL
3
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Atlas
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
ATL
2
D
1
TOL
4
Goal Statistics

Toluca's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Liga MX matches. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Atlas 13th Toluca 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Atlas will score 1 or more goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Atlas have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+30
Toluca have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Atlas
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.5
2.4
Attack rating
ATL
TOL
35%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score4
1
Scored first5
8
Goals scored21
39
Avg. goals scored1.6
3
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for21
22
Avg. XG for1.2
2
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
ATL
TOL
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded29
16
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded13
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against2
1.2
KickOff rating
+40%

Atlas v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13558
G FerrareisD AlcarazD AlcarazU Djurdjevic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Ferrareis DEF132
1
-
D Alcaraz FWD1355
2
-
G Aguirre DEF121
1
-
U Djurdjevic FWD125
8
-
C Vargas GLK111
2
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID11
2
-
A Mora DEF102
2
-
M Cóccaro FWD101
1
1
D Dória DEF91
2
-
J Lozano DEF911
3
1
A González FWD9
-
G Prete FWD921
1
-
A Rocha MID82
3
1
E Lara FWD811
-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID71
1
-
C Orrantía DEF6
-
M García FWD61
-
R Pier DEF51
-
A Jiménez MID3
1
-
J Rodríguez DEF2
-
A Sánchez GLK1
1
-
C Becerra GLK1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111095
N CastroPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Castro MID1336
1
-
F Pereira DEF121
3
-
F Romero MID121
2
-
D Barbosa DEF11
1
-
H Herrera MID111
1
M Ruíz MID1122
3
-
J Uriarte MID1153
-
Paulinho FWD11102
-
R Morales FWD1133
-
A Vega FWD1149
2
-
J Domínguez FWD1111
2
-
J Gallardo DEF1031
5
-
B Méndez DEF101
1
1
H González GLK8
1
-
A Briseño DEF71
-
S Simón MID72
-
O. Virgen FWD711
1
-
L García GLK6
1
-
E López DEF6
1
-
F Arce MID5
-
Helinho  FWD532
1
-
M Isaís DEF3
1
-
A Bermúdez FWD2
1
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-