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Juárez v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez

Thursday morning at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, and it’s a Liga MX clash between Juárez and Toluca. Martín Varini Di Zioli and Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich going all-out to ensure victory. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga MX match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Juárez's next match is v Toluca at 01:00 on Sunday 30th November
Toluca's next match is v Juarez at 01:00 on Sunday 30th November
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Juarez and Toluca was on Thursday 27th November 2025
Mexican Liga MX
November 27th 2025
Juarez 1
2 Toluca
 
J. Murillo Largacha 3'56' A. Briseño Vázquez
65' J. Dias Fernandes
 
JUA
TOL
Shots On
1
8
Shots Off
4
10
Corners
4
9
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
16
10
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
JuarezToluca
 
S. Jurado Roca
J. Murillo Largachafootball icon
M. Mayorga Almaráz
J. García Manríquez (D. Ochoa 21')
D. García Bojórquez
G. Castilho Carvalho
H. Martínez Yepez (D. Villalpando Pérez 90')
J. Rodríguez Francis
O. Estupiñán Vallesilla (Á. Zaldívar Caviedes 63')
R. Oliveira António (R. Fulgencio Román 63')
R. Pizarro Thomas (L. Rodríguez 90')
H. González Durán
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
football iconA. Briseño Vázquez
A. Pereira Castelnoble
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
F. Romero
(F. Arce Juárez 90') N. Castro
(H. Herrera López 76') J. Angulo Uriarte
M. Ruiz Suárez
(E. López 90') football iconJ. Dias Fernandes
(H. Nunes de Castro 56') R. Morales

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Juarez and Toluca will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Martín Varini Di Zioli or Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Juarez
28%
3.753.30
Draw
24%
3.503.25
Toluca
48%
1.961.95
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.00
Toluca 2-1
9%
8.508.00
Toluca 1-0
9%
7.507.00
Toluca 2-0
8%
9.509.00
Juarez 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
Juarez 1-0
7%
12.009.50
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
10.009.00
Toluca 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Toluca 3-0
4%
17.0013.00
Juarez 2-0
4%
19.0015.00
Toluca 3-2
3%
26.0017.00
Juarez 3-1
3%
29.0019.00
Juarez 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Toluca 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.901.83
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1.901.80
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.382.38
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.671.73
No 1st Goal
3%
10.009.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.751.75
BTTS - No
42%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7.006.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
24%
4.003.90
Home/draw
52%
1.801.75
Away/draw
72%
1.251.29
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.291.25
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.503.25
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.253.00
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.331.30
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6.505.50
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.111.10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.041.02
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.051.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.008.50
Home DNB
45%
2.632.50
Away DNB
65%
1.441.48
Juarez win to nil
13%
7.00-
Toluca win to nil
24%
3.50-
Juarez / Juarez
14%
6.005.50
Juarez / Toluca
4%
23.0019.00
Juarez / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Juarez
10%
8.007.50
Draw / Toluca
16%
5.004.80
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Toluca / Juarez
3%
34.0026.00
Toluca / Toluca
25%
3.203.10
Toluca / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
11
Toluca have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Juarez 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez2 - 1Pachuca
Juarez1 - 2Queretaro
Juarez4 - 4Puebla
Juarez2 - 2Pachuca
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Juarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Juarez1 - 0Mazatlan
Juarez2 - 1S. Laguna
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
Juarez1 - 1America
Juarez1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Juarez0 - 2Queretaro
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Juarez2 - 0Puebla
Juarez1 - 1Guadalajara
Juarez2 - 2Pachuca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Juarez2 - 1Monterrey
Juarez1 - 0S. Laguna
Juarez1 - 0Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuarez2 - 1Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Tijuana
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
HJuarez4 - 4Puebla
AJuarez2 - 4Monterrey
HJuarez2 - 2Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Atlas
HJuarez2 - 0Leon
HJuarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AJuarez2 - 3Cruz Azul
AJuarez1 - 1Necaxa
HJuarez1 - 0Mazatlan
HJuarez2 - 1S. Laguna
AJuarez2 - 1Guadalajara
HJuarez0 - 2Toluca
AJuarez1 - 1Tijuana
AJuarez0 - 1Tigres
HJuarez1 - 1America
HJuarez1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
America0 - 0Toluca
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toluca have beaten Juarez in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to Juarez in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Toluca
Goals: Scored
6
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
JUA
2
D
2
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
0 - 2Toluca
0 - 4Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 0
Juarez2 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2020
Toluca
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
JUA
3
D
1
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 2
2 - 4Juarez
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
0 - 1Juarez
0 - 1Juarez
Goal Statistics

Toluca's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Juárez have conceded in each of their last 8 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.7 for A. Mohamed Matijevich's side suggests that run should continue.

Juarez 8th Toluca 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Juarez will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Juarez’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Toluca have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Juarez
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
JUA
TOL
6%
better
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score2
3
Scored first10
10
Goals scored30
43
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
JUA
TOL
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first9
5
Goals conceded32
18
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against18%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+39%

Juarez v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19946
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisA Mayorga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK19
-
D García DEF191
4
-
J Murillo DEF1111
4
-
J Manríquez DEF15
-
A Mayorga DEF173
5
1
H Martínez MID161
6
-
R. Oliveira António MID141
2
1
G Castilho MID1632
5
-
R Pizarro MID1831
1
-
J Francis MID1924
4
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD1591
4
-
Subs
B Díaz GLK
-
D. Ochoa DEF
-
F Nevárez DEF4
-
D Villalpando MID11
-
R Fulgencio MID1612
2
-
J González MID4
1
-
Ángel Zaldívar FWD1921
4
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151276
F PereiraPaulinhoN CastroJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H González GLK10
1
-
D Barbosa DEF13
2
-
F Pereira DEF161
4
-
A Briseño DEF81
-
J Gallardo DEF1441
6
-
J Uriarte MID1554
-
F Romero MID161
2
-
M Ruíz MID1522
4
-
N Castro MID1737
1
-
R Morales FWD1533
-
Paulinho FWD14122
1
-
Subs
L García GLK8
1
-
M Isaís DEF4
1
-
E López DEF10
1
-
A Bermúdez DEF2
1
-
J Domínguez MID1311
2
-
H Herrera MID151
1
F Arce MID5
-
Helinho  FWD642
1
-
O. Virgen FWD811
1
-