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Toluca v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Juárez are away on Sunday night, as manager Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha takes his men to visit Toluca and Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich at the Estadio Nemesio Díez in the Liga MX. Liga MX statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Toluca's next match is v Atlas at 01:00 on Sunday 15th March
Juárez's next match is v Monterrey at 03:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Juarez was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Mexican Liga MX
March 8th 2026
Toluca 3
1 Juarez
 
H. Nunes de Castro 54'72' G. Castilho Carvalho
A. Briseño Vázquez 70'
J. Dias Fernandes 90'
 
TOL
JUA
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
6
4
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
TolucaJuarez
 
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
A. Briseño Vázquezfootball icon
L. Garcia Teixeira
F. Córdova Reyes (E. Vega Rojas 81')
N. Castro (P. Uriel Perez Hernandez 86')
H. Nunes de Castrofootball icon (A. Pereira Castelnoble 81')
M. Ruiz Suárez
L. García Palomera
M. Isaís (J. Gallardo Vasconcelos 76')
F. Arce Juárez
F. Rossi Donazar (J. Dias Fernandes 77')
S. Jurado Roca
J. Murillo Largacha
M. Castillo Mosquera
M. Mayorga Almaráz
D. García Bojórquez
(H. Martínez Yepez 68') Monchu
R. Pizarro Thomas
(L. Martínez Dupuy 68') J. Rodríguez Francis
(J. Aquino Carmona 81') F. Nevarez Pulgarin
(E. Ayon 74') O. Estupiñán Vallesilla
(G. Castilho Carvalho 68') Í. Torres Ramírez

Best Tip: Toluca to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Liga MX fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Toluca to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they will be too strong for Juarez, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Toluca to win is the bet come Monday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
63%
49/100
17%
4/7
14%
Draw
20%
16/5
16%
2/1
20%
Juarez
17%
5/1
34%
5/1
25%
Toluca 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
9/2
8%
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
9/1
Toluca 1-0
10%
7/1
6%
13/5
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
20%
13/2
17%
Toluca 3-0
7%
10/1
29%
10/1
27%
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/1
9%
18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
11%
25/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
18/5
8%
Juarez 2-1
5%
18/1
27%
22/1
12%
Juarez 1-0
5%
16/1
26%
17/2
13%
Toluca 4-0
4%
20/1
62%
20/1
36%
Toluca 4-1
4%
20/1
24%
33/1
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/140/1
11%
Juarez 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
19%
Toluca 4-2
2%
40/1
21%
66/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
7/10
8%
12/5
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10
11%
1/4
7%
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/9
8%
1/2
8%
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/4
15%
16/5
18%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
18/5
8%
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5
8%
12/5
10%
BTTS - No
46%
19/20
8%
2/7
9%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/5
11%
11/2
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
23%
6/1
19%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
35%
18/1
25%
Home/draw
83%
1/8
6%
1/11
6%
Away/draw
37%
11/8
30%
5/4
23%
Home/away
80%
2/9
4%
1/3
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
3%
4/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
3/1
13%
10/11
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8
11%
6/1
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9
6%
1/16
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
25%
14/1
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
1/1000
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/1
38%
28/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/20
3%
1/1000
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
2/13
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
7/2
8%
Home DNB
77%
2/11
8%
2/11
7%
Away DNB
31%
7/2
38%
10/3
28%
Toluca win to nil
33%
13/8
20%
-
Juarez win to nil
8%
10/1
35%
-
Toluca / Toluca
41%
13/10
23%
19/4
17%
Toluca / Juarez
2%
40/1
20%
55/1
17%
Toluca / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
22/1
13%
Draw / Toluca
20%
10/3
8%
21/20
2%
Draw / Juarez
5%
11/1
32%
13/2
27%
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
19%
13/5
13%
Juarez / Toluca
4%
20/1
11%
28/1
12%
Juarez / Juarez
7%
9/1
41%
20/1
23%
Juarez / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
25/1
24%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Toluca have won 4 consecutive league games
14
Toluca have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
Juarez 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America1 - 2Juarez
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
S. Laguna2 - 2Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Tijuana3 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Atlas3 - 1Juarez
Cruz Azul3 - 2Juarez
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tigres1 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Atlas1 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
Tigres0 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
America4 - 0Juarez
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AJuarez2 - 1America
HJuarez3 - 1Atlas
HJuarez1 - 2Necaxa
AJuarez0 - 2Pachuca
HJuarez3 - 4Cruz Azul
AJuarez2 - 2S. Laguna
HJuarez0 - 1Guadalajara
AJuarez2 - 1Mazatlan
AJuarez0 - 0Toluca
HJuarez1 - 2Toluca
HJuarez2 - 1Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Tijuana
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
HJuarez4 - 4Puebla
AJuarez2 - 4Monterrey
HJuarez2 - 2Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Atlas
HJuarez2 - 0Leon
HJuarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Toluca have not lost to Juarez in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2020
Toluca
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
TOL
2
D
2
JUA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Toluca3 - 2
2 - 4Juarez
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
0 - 1Juarez
0 - 1Juarez
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Toluca
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
TOL
4
D
2
JUA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
1 - 2Toluca
0 - 2Toluca
0 - 4Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 0
Juarez2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Toluca's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga MX games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

Toluca 2nd Juarez 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Juarez scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Toluca have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Juarez’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
2.1
1
Attack rating
6%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score8
5
Scored first16
15
Goals scored64
44
Avg. goals scored2
1.5
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
36%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games conceded19
26
Clean sheets13
3
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded28
48
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+36%

Toluca v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29211012
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK14
1
-
D Barbosa DEF2711
8
-
A Briseño DEF1521
-
Luan DEF6
-
M Isaís DEF7
1
-
M Ruíz MID2934
9
-
F Arce MID10
1
-
Helinho  MID1896
4
-
S Córdova MID6
-
N Castro MID3038
1
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD4
-
Subs
H González GLK20
2
-
F Pereira DEF323
8
-
J Gallardo DEF2953
12
-
E López DEF23
1
-
P Pérez MID101
-
J Price MID712
-
F Romero MID302
4
-
A Vega FWD15410
3
-
Paulinho FWD29213
3
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3011711
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisH Martínez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK30
1
-
F Nevárez DEF131
3
-
J Murillo DEF2221
7
-
M Mosquera  DEF22
3
-
A Mayorga DEF263
7
1
D García MID3031
5
-
J Torres MID1022
3
1
Monchu MID5
1
-
R Pizarro MID2942
4
-
J Francis MID3047
6
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD26113
5
-
Subs
B Díaz GLK
-
D. Ochoa DEF
-
J Manríquez DEF19
-
G Castilho MID2662
7
-
R Fulgencio MID2312
2
-
H Martínez MID271
11
-
J Aquino MID6
-
E. López Castro MID8
1
-
L Dupuy FWD61
-
E Ayon FWD5
-