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León v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 02:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Sunday morning, as Javier Marcelo Gandolfi and his León side host Diego Martín Cocca Pera’s Atlas at the Estadio León. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Leon and Atlas's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Leon and Atlas an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
50%
21/2021/20
Draw
24%
12/523/10
Atlas
26%
23/102/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Leon 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Leon 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Leon 2-0
8%
10/117/2
Atlas 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Atlas 1-0
6%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Leon 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/19/1
Leon 3-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Atlas 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Leon 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Atlas 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Leon 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Atlas 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
17/203/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/5
4%
3/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
3%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/67/10
BTTS - No
43%
11/1021/20
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/19/2
Home/draw
74%
1/31/3
Away/draw
50%
7/107/10
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/18/1
Home DNB
67%
4/7
3%
11/20
Away DNB
43%
5/4
5%
13/10
Leon win to nil
25%
3/1
7%
-
Atlas win to nil
12%
5/1-
Leon / Leon
24%
5/2
3%
11/5
Leon / Atlas
3%
28/122/1
Leon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Leon
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Atlas
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Atlas / Leon
4%
22/118/1
Atlas / Atlas
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Atlas / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon0 - 3Tijuana
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Leon2 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
Atlas 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Juarez3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Cruz Azul2 - 0Atlas
Tijuana2 - 0Atlas
Guadalajara4 - 1Atlas
A. San Luis2 - 0Atlas
Tigres2 - 0Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 1Atlas
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Atlas
Queretaro3 - 3Atlas
Monterrey3 - 1Atlas
Puebla2 - 3Atlas
Queretaro1 - 2Atlas
Mazatlan3 - 2Atlas
Tijuana3 - 4Atlas
S. Laguna2 - 0Atlas
Tigres2 - 1Atlas
Pachuca0 - 0Atlas
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtlas0 - 0Queretaro
AAtlas1 - 1Toluca
HAtlas1 - 2Guadalajara
HAtlas2 - 1Tijuana
AAtlas1 - 3Juarez
HAtlas3 - 2A. San Luis
AAtlas1 - 3Pachuca
HAtlas2 - 2Pumas UNAM
HAtlas1 - 0Mazatlan
AAtlas1 - 0Necaxa
AAtlas0 - 2Cruz Azul
HAtlas1 - 0Puebla
AAtlas0 - 2Tijuana
HAtlas0 - 0Toluca
AAtlas1 - 4Guadalajara
HAtlas2 - 0Leon
AAtlas0 - 2A. San Luis
HAtlas3 - 1Juarez
HAtlas3 - 2Necaxa
AAtlas0 - 2Tigres
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Leon have not lost to Atlas in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Atlas
Goals: Scored
17
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
LEO
4
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon3 - 2
Leon2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon5 - 2
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Leon
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
LEO
4
D
1
ATL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Atlas2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
0 - 1Leon
0 - 1Leon
Atlas1 - 0
Atlas2 - 0
1 - 3Leon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Leon 17th Atlas 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Leon have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Atlas
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
LEO
ATL
21%
better
view stats
Games scored18
21
Failed to score11
8
Scored first9
11
Goals scored27
38
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
LEO
ATL
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
23
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first19
16
Goals conceded55
51
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded13
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%

Leon v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
287310
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF2813
4
-
R Echeverría MID28
7
-
S Chávez DEF262
6
-
S Barreiro DEF26
9
1
F Beltran MID2622
4
-
O García GLK23
1
-
J Cortizo FWD221
4
1
I Díaz FWD2273
-
A Alvarado FWD202
1
-
R Mori FWD201
1
-
D Ramírez DEF19
2
-
D Arcila MID162
2
-
M Rodriguez FWD161
-
?. Estrada Meza MID12
-
D Cambindo FWD1251
2
-
J Domínguez FWD1211
-
S Vegas DEF11
4
1
I Rodríguez MID11
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF10
1
1
P Bellón DEF8
2
-
B Colula DEF711
1
-
J Vallejo FWD6
-
J. García Bonnet GLK3
1
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
A Villegas DEF2
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27667
G AguirreD AlcarazD AlcarazG Aguirre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Aguirre DEF2811
7
-
G Ferrareis DEF273
3
-
D Alcaraz FWD2766
4
-
C Vargas GLK261
2
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID261
4
-
A Rocha MID242
6
1
A González FWD245
-
E Lara FWD2322
2
-
S. Hernández Flores MID222
2
-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID212
3
1
A Mora DEF162
3
-
M García FWD1631
1
-
M Capasso  DEF121
2
-
R Schlegel DEF111
2
1
G Prete FWD1121
1
-
J Rodríguez DEF10
2
-
E Zaldívar MID10
1
-
J Lozano DEF911
3
1
C Orrantía DEF6
-
A Rodríguez FWD61
-
R Pier DEF51
-
A Sánchez GLK2
1
-
C Becerra GLK1
-