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León v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

the Estadio León faithful welcome Atlas's supporters on Saturday morning, as Javier Marcelo Gandolfi's León face Diego Martín Cocca Pera's troops in the Liga MX. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Leon and Atlas will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
49%
10/11-
Draw
25%
12/5-
Atlas
27%
11/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Leon 1-0
10%
13/2-
Leon 2-1
9%
15/2-
Leon 2-0
8%
17/2-
Atlas 1-0
7%
10/1-
Atlas 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Leon 3-1
5%
14/1-
Leon 3-0
4%
16/1-
Atlas 2-0
4%
18/1-
Leon 3-2
3%
25/1-
Atlas 3-1
3%
28/1-
Leon 4-1
2%
33/1-
Atlas 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5-
BTTS - No
46%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1-
Home/draw
73%
1/4-
Away/draw
51%
4/5-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Home DNB
66%
4/9-
Away DNB
44%
13/8-
Leon win to nil
26%
12/5-
Atlas win to nil
14%
11/2-
Leon / Leon
26%
11/5-
Leon / Atlas
2%
33/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leon
17%
4/1-
Draw / Atlas
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Atlas / Leon
4%
22/1-
Atlas / Atlas
14%
5/1-
Atlas / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 3America
Leon3 - 1Juarez
Leon2 - 0Atlas
Leon0 - 3Tijuana
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Leon2 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon1 - 4Toluca
HLeon2 - 3America
HLeon3 - 1Juarez
ALeon1 - 0Puebla
HLeon2 - 0Atlas
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Atlas 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruz Azul1 - 0Atlas
America0 - 1Atlas
S. Laguna0 - 1Atlas
Leon2 - 0Atlas
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Juarez3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Cruz Azul2 - 0Atlas
Tijuana2 - 0Atlas
Guadalajara4 - 1Atlas
A. San Luis2 - 0Atlas
Tigres2 - 0Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 1Atlas
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Atlas
Queretaro3 - 3Atlas
Monterrey3 - 1Atlas
Puebla2 - 3Atlas
Queretaro1 - 2Atlas
Mazatlan3 - 2Atlas
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtlas0 - 1Cruz Azul
HAtlas2 - 3Cruz Azul
AAtlas1 - 0America
HAtlas0 - 0Tigres
AAtlas1 - 0S. Laguna
HAtlas0 - 0Monterrey
AAtlas0 - 2Leon
HAtlas0 - 0Queretaro
AAtlas1 - 1Toluca
HAtlas1 - 2Guadalajara
HAtlas2 - 1Tijuana
AAtlas1 - 3Juarez
HAtlas3 - 2A. San Luis
AAtlas1 - 3Pachuca
HAtlas2 - 2Pumas UNAM
HAtlas1 - 0Mazatlan
AAtlas1 - 0Necaxa
AAtlas0 - 2Cruz Azul
HAtlas1 - 0Puebla
AAtlas0 - 2Tijuana
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Leon have not lost to Atlas in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Atlas
Goals: Scored
19
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
LEO
5
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon3 - 2
Leon2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon5 - 2
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Leon
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
LEO
4
D
1
ATL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Atlas2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
0 - 1Leon
0 - 1Leon
Atlas1 - 0
Atlas2 - 0
1 - 3Leon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

León have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.6 against Atlas on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leon 16th Atlas 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Leon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Atlas have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Atlas
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
0%
better
LEO
ATL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
LEO
ATL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leon v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Blanco GLK
-
J. García Bonnet GLK
-
O García GLK
-
J. Guevara DEF
-
S Chávez DEF
-
I Moreno DEF
-
B Colula DEF
-
S Vegas DEF
-
D Ramírez DEF
-
A Villegas DEF
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF
-
P Bellón DEF
-
S Barreiro DEF
-
J Romaña DEF
-
S Colombatto MID
-
N Fonseca MID
-
F Beltran MID
-
?. Estrada Meza MID
-
D Arcila MID
-
R Echeverría MID
-
I Rodríguez MID
-
F Viñas FWD
-
I Díaz FWD
-
J Cortizo FWD
-
R Mori FWD
-
D Cambindo FWD
-
A Alvarado FWD
-
G. García Bernal FWD
-
J Domínguez FWD
-
M Rodriguez FWD
-
Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vargas GLK
-
A Sánchez GLK
-
M Valenzuela  DEF
-
G Aguirre DEF
-
J Lozano DEF
-
R Schlegel DEF
-
M Capasso  DEF
-
R Pier DEF
-
G Ferrareis DEF
-
A Mora DEF
-
J Rodríguez DEF
-
L Esteves MID
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID
-
A Rocha MID
-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID
-
E Ortega MID
-
E Zaldívar MID
-
A Flores MID
-
S. Hernández Flores MID
-
R Mmaee FWD
-
Duk FWD
-
M García FWD
-
A González FWD
-
L. Gamboa Carillo FWD
-
A Rodríguez FWD
-
G Prete FWD
-