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Monterrey v Atlético San Luis : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 00:00 BST, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

the Estadio BBVA Bancomer masses welcome Atlético San Luis's travelling contingent on Sunday morning, as Domènec Torrent Font's Monterrey go head to head with Guillermo Abascal Perez's troops in the Liga MX. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Monterrey and A. San Luis will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 81%. Bookmakers have it at 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Monterrey 55%	23/50	1/2 1%
Draw 22%	31/10	3/1 5%
A. San Luis 23%	19/4	4/1
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1	13/2 6%
Monterrey 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Monterrey 1-0 9%	15/2	13/2
Monterrey 2-0 8%	15/2	13/2
Monterrey 3-1 6%	11/1	9/1
A. San Luis 2-1 6%	18/1 12%	12/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	11/1 8%
Monterrey 3-0 5%	10/1 8%	17/2
A. San Luis 1-0 5%	18/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	11/1 8%
Monterrey 3-2 4%	20/1	16/1
A. San Luis 2-0 3%	33/1	20/1
Monterrey 4-1 3%	20/1	14/1
Monterrey 4-0 3%	20/1	14/1
A. San Luis 3-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	3/5 1%	11/20
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	13/10 2%	6/5
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/9	4/9
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/4	2/1
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	11/1 8%
BTTS - Yes 59%	7/10	8/11
BTTS - No 41%	21/20	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 28%	2/1	2/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	4/1 5%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	17/2	15/2
Home/draw 77%	1/7	1/7
Away/draw 45%	6/4	29/20
Home/away 78%	2/9	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	2/11	1/6
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	6/4	11/8
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1/2	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	10/3	3/1
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	8/1	6/1 7%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/18 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	10/1 8%
Home DNB 71%	2/11 2%	1/5
Away DNB 38%	7/2 4%	16/5 5%
Monterrey win to nil 27%	7/4	-
A. San Luis win to nil 10%	10/1	-
Monterrey / Monterrey 36%	5/4 2%	6/5
Monterrey / A. San Luis 2%	40/1	28/1
Monterrey / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Monterrey 18%	7/2	7/2
Draw / A. San Luis 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
A. San Luis / Monterrey 4%	18/1	16/1
A. San Luis / A. San Luis 9%	17/2	7/1 7%
A. San Luis / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

A. San Luis have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Monterrey	4 - 0	Queretaro
Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
Monterrey	1 - 0	Leon
Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	2 - 0	America
Monterrey	1 - 1	Tigres
Monterrey	4 - 2	Juarez
Monterrey	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Monterrey	2 - 2	America
Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
Monterrey	3 - 2	Toluca
Monterrey	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	1 - 2	Pachuca
Monterrey	1 - 0	America

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Monterrey	2 - 2	Juarez
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Monterrey	4 - 0	Queretaro
H	Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Monterrey	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Leon
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	America
H	Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Monterrey	5 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Monterrey	2 - 0	Necaxa
H	Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
A	Monterrey	2 - 3	Toluca
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	America
H	Monterrey	2 - 0	America
A	Monterrey	2 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Monterrey	1 - 1	Tigres
A	Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Monterrey	4 - 2	Juarez

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruz Azul	3 - 0	A. San Luis
Atlas	3 - 2	A. San Luis
Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
America	0 - 2	A. San Luis
Tigres	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Pumas UNAM	0 - 1	A. San Luis
Mazatlan	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Pachuca	2 - 1	A. San Luis
S. Laguna	1 - 4	A. San Luis
Queretaro	3 - 2	A. San Luis
Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	4 - 3	A. San Luis
Leon	0 - 1	A. San Luis
Tijuana	2 - 1	A. San Luis
S. Laguna	2 - 3	A. San Luis
Cruz Azul	3 - 0	A. San Luis
Atlas	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Monterrey	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Queretaro	1 - 0	A. San Luis

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A. San Luis	1 - 2	Leon
H	A. San Luis	1 - 1	Pachuca
A	A. San Luis	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
H	A. San Luis	4 - 1	Mazatlan
H	A. San Luis	0 - 1	Puebla
A	A. San Luis	2 - 3	Atlas
H	A. San Luis	3 - 0	Queretaro
A	A. San Luis	1 - 4	Necaxa
H	A. San Luis	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	A. San Luis	1 - 1	Tijuana
A	A. San Luis	2 - 0	America
H	A. San Luis	1 - 2	Tigres
A	A. San Luis	1 - 3	Tigres
H	A. San Luis	1 - 2	Juarez
H	A. San Luis	3 - 4	Necaxa
A	A. San Luis	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	A. San Luis	2 - 0	Atlas
A	A. San Luis	1 - 2	Mazatlan
A	A. San Luis	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	A. San Luis	0 - 1	America

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Monterrey have beaten A. San Luis in 3 consecutive league meetings

Monterrey have not lost to A. San Luis in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Monterrey

A. San Luis

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

MON

SAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Monterrey	3 - 1
Monterrey	5 - 1
Monterrey	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Monterrey	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	A. San Luis
Monterrey	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

A. San Luis

Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

2 / 9

MON

SAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT A. San Luis
	0 - 1	Monterrey
A. San Luis	2 - 1
A. San Luis	1 - 0
A. San Luis	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Monterrey
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Monterrey
A. San Luis	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Monterrey's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Atlético San Luis have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.9 for D. Torrent Font's side suggests that run should continue.

	Monterrey 9th	A. San Luis 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that A. San Luis will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Monterrey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 A. San Luis’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

MON

SAN

better

view stats

Games scored	26		25
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	16		17
Goals scored	57		43
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.5
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	16		18
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+3%

better

MON

SAN

view stats

Games conceded	24		23
Clean sheets	9		6
Conceded first	17		12
Goals conceded	49		50
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+4%

Monterrey v A. San Luis Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	13	7	8
Óliver Torres	S Canales	Óliver Torres	R Chávez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Arteaga DEF	31	1	1	3 -
Óliver Torres MID	29	1	7	5 1
J Rodríguez MID	28	1		5 2
S Canales MID	28	13	6	3 -
R Chávez DEF	26	2	2	7 1
S Medina DEF	26			4 -
Tecatito FWD	26	4	4	4 -
F Ambríz MID	25	2		1 -
L Ocampos FWD	23	5	6	5 -
V Guzmán DEF	22	1		1 1
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	22	2		1 -
L Cárdenas GLK	18			-
L Reyes DEF	17		1	1 -
A Martial FWD	17	1	2	-
R Rosa FWD	17	2	1	-
Érick Aguirre DEF	16		1	1 -
S Mele GLK	15			2 -
A Aceves DEF	11			-
C Salcedo DEF	10			2 -
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	10	1		-
L Orellano FWD	9	3	4	1 -
U Djurdjevic FWD	8	2		-
Allen Rojas MID	3			-
C Hernández DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	32	7	7
S Canales	S Canales	Óliver Torres	Óliver Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Canales MID	13	32	6	5
L Ocampos FWD	5	16	6	4
Tecatito FWD	4	11	4	5
L Orellano FWD	3	9	4	2
R Chávez DEF	2	4	2	3
F Ambríz MID	2	7		2
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	2	8		3
R Rosa FWD	2	6	1	1
U Djurdjevic FWD	2	8
G Arteaga DEF	1	6	1	4
Óliver Torres MID	1	5	7	7
J Rodríguez MID	1	4		1
V Guzmán DEF	1	3		2
A Martial FWD	1	2	2	3
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	1	4
S Medina DEF		2
L Reyes DEF		1	1	1
Érick Aguirre DEF		2	1
C Salcedo DEF		1
Allen Rojas MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1396	54	125
Óliver Torres	R Chávez	R Chávez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Óliver Torres MID	1396	52	102
S Canales MID	1313	17	100
S Medina DEF	1237	29	77
J Rodríguez MID	1119	52	103
G Arteaga DEF	1015	34	85
V Guzmán DEF	869	22	66
F Ambríz MID	847	44	76
R Chávez DEF	828	54	125
L Cárdenas GLK	698	1	3
A Aceves DEF	609	20	40
Tecatito FWD	558	12	72
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	554	18	39
L Reyes DEF	545	11	34
L Ocampos FWD	502	23	94
Érick Aguirre DEF	438	20	44
S Mele GLK	420		5
C Salcedo DEF	390	4	15
L Orellano FWD	250	5	38
A Martial FWD	226	6	46
R Rosa FWD	172	1	15
U Djurdjevic FWD	82	2	22
Allen Rojas MID	62	2	4
C Hernández DEF	32		3
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	26	1	9

A. San Luis Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	22	4	6
J Pedro	J Pedro	S Salles-Lamonge	J Pedro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Salles-Lamonge MID	29	5	4	5 -
J Pedro FWD	29	22		5 1
R Acosta DEF	28	1	2	6 -
M. Garcia Alvarez MID	28	1	3	3 -
B Galdames FWD	28	3	2	2 -
A Sánchez GLK	27			3 -
E Águila DEF	24	2		1 2
Óscar Uriel Macías Mora MID	20	1	1	5 -
Juanpe DEF	19			2 -
S Pérez MID	18	2	3	2 -
R Bambu DEF	16		1	1 1
A Cruz DEF	13			-
B Cruz DEF	12			-
R Meraz MID	10			1 -
F Barajas FWD	10	1		-
L Esteves DEF	9			4 -
L Flores FWD	9		1	1 -
J Marchand MID	8			1 1
S Robles FWD	8		2	-
J Belisario DEF	7			-
J Domínguez DEF	7			2 -
J Maldonado FWD	7	1	2	-
A Duarte FWD	7			1 -
G Lajud GLK	2			1 -
D Rodriguez MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
22	45	4	7
J Pedro	J Pedro	S Salles-Lamonge	S Salles-Lamonge

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pedro FWD	22	45		2
S Salles-Lamonge MID	5	13	4	7
B Galdames FWD	3	4	2	2
E Águila DEF	2	4
S Pérez MID	2	5	3	5
R Acosta DEF	1	4	2	5
M. Garcia Alvarez MID	1	7	3	3
Óscar Uriel Macías Mora MID	1	2	1	1
F Barajas FWD	1	2
J Maldonado FWD	1	3	2	2
Juanpe DEF				1
R Bambu DEF		1	1	2
L Flores FWD		3	1	2
S Robles FWD			2	1
G Lajud GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1338	40	128
S Salles-Lamonge	R Acosta	S Salles-Lamonge

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Salles-Lamonge MID	1338	31	128
E Águila DEF	1060	32	93
Juanpe DEF	767	13	50
R Acosta DEF	726	40	68
R Bambu DEF	676	13	53
A Sánchez GLK	666	2	7
Óscar Uriel Macías Mora MID	664	26	52
B Cruz DEF	584	17	42
M. Garcia Alvarez MID	468	26	78
B Galdames FWD	444	31	98
J Pedro FWD	382	14	128
S Pérez MID	333	14	46
L Esteves DEF	225	13	20
J Maldonado FWD	194	9	29
J Belisario DEF	190	12	23
A Cruz DEF	170	10	22
J Domínguez DEF	163	3	11
R Meraz MID	114	6	14
S Robles FWD	113	4	17
L Flores FWD	63	4	20
G Lajud GLK	56
A Duarte FWD	51	7	17
F Barajas FWD	48	3	6
J Marchand MID	28	1	4
D Rodriguez MID	6	1	1

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Monterrey v A. San Luis Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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