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Necaxa v Mazatlán : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 04:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Saturday morning, as Martín Varini Di Zioli and his Necaxa side host Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola’s Mazatlán at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga MX match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Necaxa and Mazatlan's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Necaxa 54%	5/8	13/20
Draw 24%	14/5	14/5
Mazatlan 22%	4/1	3/1
Necaxa 1-0 11%	15/2	13/2
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	6/1
Necaxa 2-0 10%	8/1	7/1
Necaxa 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 7%	12/1	11/1
Mazatlan 1-0 7%	14/1	11/1
Mazatlan 2-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Necaxa 3-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Necaxa 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	11/1
Mazatlan 2-0 3%	25/1	16/1
Necaxa 3-2 3%	20/1	16/1
Necaxa 4-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Necaxa 4-1 2%	22/1	16/1
Mazatlan 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	4/6	8/13
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	23/20	21/20
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/15	8/15
Away 1st Goal 42%	6/4	17/10
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	11/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/6	7/10
BTTS - No 48%	11/10	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 24%	9/4	11/5
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	7/1	6/1
Home/draw 78%	1/6	1/5
Away/draw 46%	23/20	23/20
Home/away 76%	1/4	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/5	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	10/3	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	13/8	6/4
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/9	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	4/1	17/5
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/6	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	9/1	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 71%	2/7	2/7
Away DNB 39%	5/2	23/10
Necaxa win to nil 30%	9/4	-
Mazatlan win to nil 12%	9/1	-
Necaxa / Necaxa 32%	8/5	29/20
Necaxa / Mazatlan 3%	33/1	28/1
Necaxa / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Necaxa 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Mazatlan 8%	9/1	17/2
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
Mazatlan / Necaxa 4%	20/1	16/1
Mazatlan / Mazatlan 11%	13/2	11/2
Mazatlan / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 1	Juarez
Necaxa	0 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 1	America
Necaxa	3 - 1	Queretaro
Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
Necaxa	2 - 0	Queretaro
Necaxa	2 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 0	Puebla
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
H	Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Necaxa	0 - 2	America
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
H	Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
A	Necaxa	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	4 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	3 - 5	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	2 - 3	Atlas
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Guadalajara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America	2 - 0	Mazatlan
A. San Luis	4 - 1	Mazatlan
Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan
S. Laguna	1 - 2	Mazatlan
Atlas	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Queretaro	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Toluca	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Leon	2 - 2	Mazatlan
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Cruz Azul	0 - 0	Mazatlan
America	5 - 0	Mazatlan
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Queretaro	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Mazatlan	0 - 2	America
H	Mazatlan	4 - 2	Leon
A	Mazatlan	1 - 4	A. San Luis
H	Mazatlan	1 - 0	Pachuca
A	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Tijuana
A	Mazatlan	2 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Guadalajara
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Atlas
H	Mazatlan	1 - 5	Monterrey
A	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Puebla
H	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Necaxa
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	America
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Mazatlan	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Leon

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa have not lost to Mazatlan in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Necaxa

Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa	3 - 1
Necaxa	4 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Necaxa	2 - 1
Necaxa	1 - 0

Mazatlan

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

3 / 6

NEC

MAZ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mazatlan	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Necaxa
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mazatlan	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

	Necaxa 13th	Mazatlan 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Mazatlan scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Necaxa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-32 Mazatlan have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

NEC

MAZ

better

view stats

Games scored	19		22
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	9		9
Goals scored	38		34
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+6%

better

NEC

MAZ

view stats

Games conceded	26		27
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	19		19
Goals conceded	48		52
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.9
KickOff rating		+6%

Necaxa v Mazatlan Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	6	4	5
E Unsain	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	R Monreal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	29			3 -
T Badaloni FWD	29	6	2	1 -
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	27		4	3 -
R Monreal FWD	27	3	2	4 1
K Rosero FWD	27	2	3	4 1
C Calderón DEF	24	1	1	5 -
A Peña DEF	24	1		2 -
A Oliveros DEF	19	2		2 -
E Lara DEF	15			5 -
D Leyva MID	12		2	1 -
L Faravelli MID	12		1	2 -
K Gutiérrez MID	11			2 1
R Pineda FWD	11			1 -
R Ruiz DEF	9			1 -
I. Tello Robles MID	8		1	-
J. Ruiz MID	7	4		-
A Almendra MID	7			-
J Carranza FWD	6	3		2 1
E González DEF	5			-
F. Méndez Lara DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	4	6
T Badaloni	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	T Badaloni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Badaloni FWD	6	22	2	6
J. Ruiz MID	4	7
R Monreal FWD	3	10	2	3
J Carranza FWD	3	5
K Rosero FWD	2	8	3	5
A Oliveros DEF	2	3		1
C Calderón DEF	1	6	1	2
A Peña DEF	1	3
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF		5	4	4
E Lara DEF		2		1
D Leyva MID		2	2	3
L Faravelli MID		3	1	1
K Gutiérrez MID		1
R Pineda FWD		1
R Ruiz DEF		1
I. Tello Robles MID		2	1
A Almendra MID				1
E González DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
984	35	115
A Peña	F. Rossano Erchuk	F. Rossano Erchuk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Peña DEF	984	18	71
E Unsain GLK	883	1	9
A Oliveros DEF	852	16	70
C Calderón DEF	700	32	82
K Rosero FWD	692	32	96
D Leyva MID	470	19	45
L Faravelli MID	460	20	38
E Lara DEF	447	28	48
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	397	35	115
R Monreal FWD	364	27	90
R Ruiz DEF	333	12	28
K Gutiérrez MID	321	12	16
T Badaloni FWD	319	8	102
A Almendra MID	129		6
I. Tello Robles MID	99	10	19
R Pineda FWD	90	3	8
J. Ruiz MID	79	5	30
E González DEF	78	4	6
F. Méndez Lara DEF	37
J Carranza FWD	31	8	29

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	6	3	8
F Almada	F Almada	M Laínez	L Merolla

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Almada DEF	29	6	1	3 -
Y Bárcenas FWD	25	2	1	3 -
Dudu FWD	24	1	2	1 1
M Laínez FWD	24		3	4 -
L Merolla DEF	23		2	8 -
M Zaleta DEF	22	2	2	2 -
J Esquivel MID	20	1	1	4 -
J Sierra MID	19	3		2 -
J Casiano FWD	19		1	-
J Vázquez DEF	18		1	6 -
F Gomes FWD	18	3		2 -
?. Leyva DEF	14			3 1
O Villegas FWD	14	1	1	1 -
R Rodríguez GLK	12			1 -
Ángel Saavedra FWD	12		1	2 -
S González MID	11			3 -
B Rubio FWD	10	2		3 -
S. Godínez MID	9			1 -
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	9		1	2 -
S Santos DEF	8		1	4 1
J. Ovalle Aranda FWD	7	4		1 -
J García MID	6			-
A Herrera MID	4	1		1 -
A Torres MID	4			-
B Arce FWD	4			-
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	2			-
S Rodriguez DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	3	4
F Almada	F Almada	M Laínez	Y Bárcenas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Almada DEF	6	11	1	2
J. Ovalle Aranda FWD	4	5
J Sierra MID	3	5		1
F Gomes FWD	3	8		3
Y Bárcenas FWD	2	11	1	4
M Zaleta DEF	2	8	2	2
B Rubio FWD	2	4
Dudu FWD	1	7	2	2
J Esquivel MID	1	3	1	2
O Villegas FWD	1	11	1
A Herrera MID	1	1		1
M Laínez FWD		1	3	2
L Merolla DEF		2	2	2
J Casiano FWD			1	3
J Vázquez DEF		2	1	1
?. Leyva DEF		1
Ángel Saavedra FWD			1
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD		1	1
S Santos DEF		3	1	1
B Arce FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1243	41	109
F Almada	F Almada	F Almada

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Almada DEF	1243	41	109
Y Bárcenas FWD	746	31	93
L Merolla DEF	598	36	97
J Sierra MID	552	30	68
M Zaleta DEF	495	30	69
J Vázquez DEF	448	28	45
J Esquivel MID	411	34	57
R Rodríguez GLK	341	3	9
?. Leyva DEF	322	10	38
J Casiano FWD	319	11	58
M Laínez FWD	282	26	48
Dudu FWD	260	13	68
S. Godínez MID	231	15	27
S Santos DEF	213	19	32
F Gomes FWD	189	3	54
B Rubio FWD	171	10	53
S González MID	149	6	16
O Villegas FWD	131	14	41
J. Ovalle Aranda FWD	117	4	19
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	99	7	18
Ángel Saavedra FWD	97	14	27
A Herrera MID	80	9	13
A Torres MID	58	1	2
J García MID	54	5	8
B Arce FWD	29	3	7
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	2	1	3
S Rodriguez DEF	1	1	1