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Pachuca v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 00:00 BST, Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

We’ve Liga MX action to look forward to on Monday morning, as Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio and his Pachuca side host Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich’s Toluca at the Estadio Hidalgo. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Pachuca 42%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Toluca 31%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Pachuca 1-0 11%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 9%	-	-
Pachuca 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Pachuca 2-0 8%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 7%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Pachuca 3-1 4%	-	-
Pachuca 3-0 4%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 3%	-	-
Pachuca 3-2 2%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 2%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	-
BTTS - No 49%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 69%	-	-
Away/draw 58%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 61%	-	-
Away DNB 50%	-	-
Pachuca win to nil 24%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 17%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Toluca have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
Pachuca	0 - 0	America
Pachuca	2 - 1	Leon
Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Pachuca	1 - 2	Tigres
Pachuca	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Pachuca	0 - 2	Queretaro
Pachuca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Pachuca	3 - 0	Monterrey
Pachuca	0 - 0	America
Pachuca	0 - 0	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	1 - 3	Tijuana
A	Pachuca	3 - 1	Monterrey
H	Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Pachuca	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
A	Pachuca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Pachuca	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
H	Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
A	Pachuca	0 - 0	Queretaro
H	Pachuca	0 - 0	America
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Leon
A	Pachuca	0 - 2	Guadalajara
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	S. Laguna

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan	4 - 3	Toluca
America	2 - 1	Toluca
Queretaro	1 - 0	Toluca
Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
Pumas UNAM	2 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
Tigres	0 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
Tigres	1 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
Leon	2 - 4	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 3	Toluca
A. San Luis	1 - 3	Toluca
Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Toluca
Juarez	0 - 2	Toluca
S. Laguna	2 - 4	Toluca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
A	Toluca	3 - 4	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	1 - 2	America
H	Toluca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Atlas
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Juarez
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Necaxa
H	Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca have not lost to Pachuca in 7 consecutive league meetings

Pachuca

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

PAC

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Toluca
	1 - 2	Toluca
Pachuca	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Toluca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Pachuca	3 - 2

Toluca

Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

PAC

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toluca	3 - 2
Toluca	5 - 0
	1 - 5	Pachuca
	1 - 4	Pachuca
	0 - 3	Pachuca
	0 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Pachuca 9th	Toluca 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Pachuca will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Pachuca have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

PAC

TOL

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		31
Failed to score	11		9
Scored first	13		22
Goals scored	50		78
Avg. goals scored	1.4		2
Avg. shots per game	11		13
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.8
KickOff rating		+22%

PAC

TOL

17%

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		27
Clean sheets	7		13
Conceded first	21		13
Goals conceded	43		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+17%

Pachuca v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	8	7	10
C Moreno	Kenedy	V Guzmán	E Bauermann

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Moreno GLK	35			8 1
E Bauermann DEF	34			9 1
B García DEF	33	1	4	2
S Barreto DEF	33	1	1	7 1
V Guzmán MID	33	5	7	2 2
L Quiñones FWD	33	2		6 1
A Gutiérrez MID	32	3	2	5 1
Kenedy FWD	30	8	2	1 -
O Idrissi FWD	30	5	3	4 1
A Figueroa FWD	26	2	3	2 -
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	24	1		5 1
P Reyna MID	21			8 -
E Valencia FWD	18	6	1	2 1
S Rondón FWD	17	5		3 1
C Rivera MID	16	1	2	3 1
E Montiel MID	16	2	4	1 -
J Berlanga DEF	10			4 -
W Carvalho MID	9			-
I Luna MID	6			-
R Aburto DEF	5			-
A Mozo DEF	3			1 -
J Téllez GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	7	9
Kenedy	Kenedy	V Guzmán	O Idrissi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Kenedy FWD	8	21	2	8
E Valencia FWD	6	18	1
V Guzmán MID	5	15	7	8
O Idrissi FWD	5	11	3	9
S Rondón FWD	5	13
A Gutiérrez MID	3	12	2	4
L Quiñones FWD	2	11		2
A Figueroa FWD	2	8	3	3
E Montiel MID	2	10	4	2
B García DEF	1	2	4	4
S Barreto DEF	1	3	1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	1	2		1
C Rivera MID	1	1	2	3
C Moreno GLK				1
E Bauermann DEF		2
P Reyna MID		2
J Berlanga DEF		1
I Luna MID				1
R Aburto DEF				1
A Mozo DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1538	66	147
S Barreto	L Quiñones	L Quiñones

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Barreto DEF	1538	44	146
E Bauermann DEF	1415	48	123
B García DEF	1329	34	81
C Moreno GLK	1059	3	21
L Quiñones FWD	815	66	147
A Gutiérrez MID	799	33	79
V Guzmán MID	777	23	73
O Idrissi FWD	763	31	102
C Rivera MID	689	42	66
E Montiel MID	631	16	42
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	610	42	99
Kenedy FWD	586	25	100
A Figueroa FWD	436	26	83
P Reyna MID	393	29	42
J Berlanga DEF	341	10	14
S Rondón FWD	233	7	62
E Valencia FWD	219	10	50
W Carvalho MID	201	4	9
I Luna MID	88	10	15
A Mozo DEF	77	8	9
R Aburto DEF	69	8	9
J Téllez GLK	29

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	21	12	13
F Romero	Paulinho	A Vega	J Gallardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Castro MID	36	5	8	2 -
J Uriarte MID	35	7	5	2 -
F Romero MID	35	1	2	4 -
F Pereira DEF	34	3		9 -
D Barbosa DEF	34	1	1	8 -
J Gallardo DEF	33	5	5	13 -
Paulinho FWD	33	21	4	5 -
M Ruíz MID	31	3	4	9 1
E López DEF	29	1		2 -
S Simón DEF	26		3	4 -
B Méndez DEF	26	1		3 1
H González GLK	23			2 -
A Vega FWD	22	4	12	4 -
Helinho FWD	22	9	6	4 1
A Briseño DEF	19	3	1	1 1
L García GLK	18			2 -
F Arce MID	15	1	1	1 1
P Pérez FWD	15		2	1 -
O. Virgen FWD	13	1	1	1 -
J Price MID	12	2	3	1 -
S Córdova MID	12	1	2	1 -
M Isaís DEF	11			1 -
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	10	1		1 -
Luan DEF	8			2 -
V Camarena MID	3			-
A Bermúdez FWD	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
21	43	12	11
Paulinho	Paulinho	A Vega	M Ruíz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Paulinho FWD	21	43	4	7
Helinho FWD	9	17	6	11
J Uriarte MID	7	17	5	10
N Castro MID	5	31	8	8
J Gallardo DEF	5	13	5	9
A Vega FWD	4	16	12	10
F Pereira DEF	3	9		4
M Ruíz MID	3	15	4	11
A Briseño DEF	3	6	1	1
J Price MID	2	10	3	2
F Romero MID	1	3	2	2
D Barbosa DEF	1	6	1	6
E López DEF	1	4		1
B Méndez DEF	1	3		2
F Arce MID	1	5	1	1
O. Virgen FWD	1	3	1
S Córdova MID	1	5	2	2
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	1	4		1
S Simón DEF		1	3	7
P Pérez FWD		4	2	3
M Isaís DEF		2
Luan DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1980	84	211
F Pereira	D Barbosa	M Ruíz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	1980	38	151
F Romero MID	1829	69	114
M Ruíz MID	1609	76	211
J Gallardo DEF	1359	59	146
N Castro MID	1344	37	113
E López DEF	1183	29	56
J Uriarte MID	1049	25	72
B Méndez DEF	1036	27	69
S Simón DEF	877	35	75
D Barbosa DEF	845	84	139
A Vega FWD	729	20	112
H González GLK	661	2	12
A Briseño DEF	541	12	70
Helinho FWD	520	15	82
L García GLK	504		6
Paulinho FWD	410	18	79
P Pérez FWD	381	18	54
F Arce MID	371	28	48
M Isaís DEF	262	10	31
Luan DEF	255	4	20
J Price MID	175	5	29
S Córdova MID	153	5	20
V Camarena MID	83	1	1
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	45	1	12
O. Virgen FWD	43	3	7
A Bermúdez FWD	29	6	7