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Pachuca v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 22:50 BST, Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich will be hoping for a vital away win in the Liga MX on Saturday night, as he takes his Toluca side to the Estadio Hidalgo to visit Pachuca and Benjamin Mora. Stats for our tip of both teams to score are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this tie: both teams to score. In Pachuca and Toluca we have two sides going head-to-head that can both score and concede, and we expect them to show themselves again on Saturday night. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
35%
29/20
14%
-
Draw
23%
29/10
5%
-
Toluca
42%
27/20
16%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
-
Toluca 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
-
Pachuca 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
-
Toluca 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Pachuca 1-0
6%
12/1-
Toluca 2-0
5%
14/1
21%
-
Toluca 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
-
Pachuca 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
Pachuca 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Pachuca 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Toluca 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Pachuca 3-0
2%
25/1
13%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
19/40
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
8/5
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
10/11
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6
9%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/9-
BTTS - No
35%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4
17%
-
Home/draw
58%
8/15
9%
-
Away/draw
65%
1/2
10%
-
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/13-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/1
11%
-
Home DNB
51%
5/6
10%
-
Away DNB
58%
5/6
13%
-
Pachuca win to nil
14%
5/1
20%
-
Toluca win to nil
17%
9/2
15%
-
Pachuca / Pachuca
20%
3/1
14%
-
Pachuca / Toluca
4%
20/1
9%
-
Pachuca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Pachuca
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / Toluca
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Toluca / Pachuca
4%
20/1-
Toluca / Toluca
22%
11/4
17%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Pachuca 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Toluca 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Pachuca since 2019
Pachuca
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
PAC
3
D
3
TOL
3
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
16
20
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
PAC
5
D
1
TOL
4
Goal Statistics

Pachuca have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.6 against Toluca on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Pachuca 8th Toluca 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Pachuca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Toluca have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.6
1.7
Attack rating
PAC
TOL
18%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score2
1
Scored first7
11
Goals scored29
35
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
PAC
TOL
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded20
21
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%

Pachuca v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161656
C MorenoS RondónO IdrissiS Barreto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK161
2
-
J Vallejo FWD163
2
-
S Rondón FWD16162
-
O Idrissi FWD1635
4
-
S Barreto DEF151
6
-
E Bauermann DEF152
3
1
R Pizarro MID154
3
-
C Rivera MID15
2
1
A Gutiérrez MID152
2
-
F Venegas DEF141
6
-
M Isaís DEF14
-
A Alcaraz FWD12
1
-
Kenedy FWD1121
3
-
C. Sánchez Nava DEF92
5
-
J Berlanga DEF71
-
S Santos DEF7
1
-
S. Rodriguez MID7
1
-
A Figueroa FWD3
-
P Peniche DEF2
1
-
A Arroyo MID2
1
-
I Hernández FWD1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14885
F PereiraF ViñasHelinho Helinho 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Uriarte FWD1511
-
Helinho  FWD1548
5
-
F Pereira DEF14
2
1
N Castro MID1414
2
-
F Romero MID14
4
-
J Price FWD1411
-
A Vega FWD1452
2
-
J Gallardo DEF1321
2
-
F Viñas FWD1381
-
E López DEF1211
1
B Méndez DEF111
2
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID101
-
Paulinho FWD105
-
L García GLK9
-
B García DEF92
1
-
V Guzmán MID9
-
Luan DEF8
-
D Barbosa DEF8
1
1
H González GLK7
-
S Simón DEF7
-
P Pérez MID7
-
F Arce MID7
1
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
O. Virgen FWD211
-
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK1
-
I López FWD111
-