FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Pachuca v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich takes his Toluca side to the Estadio Hidalgo in the Liga MX on Monday morning, with Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio's Pachuca the opponent. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Pachuca's next match is v Pumas UNAM at 02:00 on Friday 15th May

The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pachuca and Toluca was on Monday 11th May 2026

Mexican Liga MX

May 11th 2026

Pachuca 2	0 Toluca

E. Valencia Lastra 10'
R. Nunes do Nascimento 48'

	PAC TOL
Shots On	4 3
Shots Off	4 11
Corners	1 5
Possession	36% 64%
Fouls	9 9
Yellow/red cards	2/0

Pachuca	Toluca

S. Barreto E. dos Santos Bauermann B. García Carpizo C. Sánchez Nava V. Guzmán Guzmán (S. Rodriguez 86') E. Valencia Lastra (J. Rondón Giménez 68') O. Idrissi (A. Domínguez Figueroa 46') C. Rivera Cuéllar C. Moreno E. Montiel (A. Bautista Gutiérrez 68') R. Nunes do Nascimento (L. Quiñónes 80')	D. Barbosa Zaragoza (A. Briseño Vázquez 56') B. Méndez Cittadini F. Romero (H. Nunes de Castro 56') N. Castro (J. Angulo Uriarte 56') M. Ruiz Suárez L. García Palomera M. Isaís (F. Rossi Donazar 46') S. Simón E. López J. Díaz Price P. Uriel Perez Hernandez

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% chance of Pachuca and Toluca delivering a minimum of two goals in this Liga MX clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Pachuca 42%	33/20	8/5
Draw 26%	5/2	23/10
Toluca 32%	29/20	13/10
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Pachuca 1-0 10%	10/1	8/1
Pachuca 2-1 9%	9/1	8/1
Toluca 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Toluca 2-1 8%	17/2	15/2
Pachuca 2-0 7%	14/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	9/1
Toluca 2-0 5%	14/1	10/1
Pachuca 3-1 4%	20/1	14/1
Pachuca 3-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Toluca 3-1 3%	20/1	14/1
Pachuca 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Toluca 3-2 2%	22/1	16/1
Toluca 3-0 2%	25/1	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	7/10	4/6
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	11/10	1/1
Home 1st Goal 50%	20/21	1/1
Away 1st Goal 46%	10/11	10/11
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/7	4/7
BTTS - No 45%	5/4	5/4
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	3/1
BTTS - Away Win 16%	10/3	16/5
Home/draw 68%	1/2	8/15
Away/draw 58%	4/9	4/9
Home/away 74%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/9	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3/1	14/5
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	13/8	13/8
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/9	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	4/1	18/5
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/6	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1	15/2
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	9/1
Home DNB 60%	10/11	19/20
Away DNB 50%	4/5	3/4
Pachuca win to nil 22%	9/2	-
Toluca win to nil 17%	4/1	-
Pachuca / Pachuca 18%	3/1	3/1
Pachuca / Toluca 4%	22/1	18/1
Pachuca / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Pachuca 11%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Toluca 14%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Toluca / Pachuca 3%	25/1	20/1
Toluca / Toluca 23%	3/1	27/10
Toluca / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1

Win / draw / win form

Toluca have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
Pachuca	0 - 0	America
Pachuca	2 - 1	Leon
Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Pachuca	1 - 2	Tigres
Pachuca	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Pachuca	0 - 2	Queretaro
Pachuca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Pachuca	3 - 0	Monterrey
Pachuca	0 - 0	America
Pachuca	0 - 0	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Pachuca	1 - 0	Toluca
H	Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	1 - 3	Tijuana
A	Pachuca	3 - 1	Monterrey
H	Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Pachuca	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
A	Pachuca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Pachuca	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
H	Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
A	Pachuca	0 - 0	Queretaro
H	Pachuca	0 - 0	America
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Leon
A	Pachuca	0 - 2	Guadalajara
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan	4 - 3	Toluca
America	2 - 1	Toluca
Queretaro	1 - 0	Toluca
Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
Pumas UNAM	2 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
Tigres	0 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
Tigres	1 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
Leon	2 - 4	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 3	Toluca
A. San Luis	1 - 3	Toluca
Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Toluca
Juarez	0 - 2	Toluca
S. Laguna	2 - 4	Toluca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toluca	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
A	Toluca	3 - 4	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	1 - 2	America
H	Toluca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Atlas
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Juarez
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Necaxa
H	Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Tigres

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Pachuca

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

PAC

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Toluca
	1 - 2	Toluca
Pachuca	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Toluca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Pachuca	3 - 2

Toluca

Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

3 / 10

PAC

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
	0 - 1	Pachuca
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toluca	3 - 2
Toluca	5 - 0
	1 - 5	Pachuca
	1 - 4	Pachuca
	0 - 3	Pachuca
	0 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Toluca have conceded in each of their last 10 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.5 for E. Solari Poggio's side suggests that run should continue.

	Pachuca 9th	Toluca 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Pachuca have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

PAC

TOL

20%

better

view stats

Games scored	26		31
Failed to score	11		10
Scored first	14		22
Goals scored	51		78
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.9
Avg. shots per game	11		13
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.8
KickOff rating		+20%

PAC

TOL

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		28
Clean sheets	8		13
Conceded first	21		14
Goals conceded	43		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+14%

Pachuca v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	9	7	10
C Moreno	Kenedy	V Guzmán	E Bauermann

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Moreno GLK	37			8 1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	26	1		5 1
E Bauermann DEF	36			9 1
S Barreto DEF	35	1	1	8 1
B García DEF	34	1	4	2
C Rivera MID	18	1	2	3 1
V Guzmán MID				-
Kenedy MID	32	9	2	1 -
E Montiel MID	18	2	5	1 -
O Idrissi MID	32	5	3	5 1
E Valencia FWD	20	8	1	2 1
Subs
J Téllez GLK	1			-
J Berlanga DEF	11			4 -
R Aburto DEF	6			-
P Reyna MID	21			8 -
A Gutiérrez MID	34	3	2	6 1
S. Rodriguez MID	14			7 -
L Quiñones FWD	34	2		6 1
A Figueroa FWD	28	2	4	2 -
S Rondón FWD	18	5		3 1
G. Álvarez Montiel FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	24	7	10
Kenedy	Kenedy	V Guzmán	Kenedy

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Kenedy MID	9	24	2	10
E Valencia FWD	8	20	1
O Idrissi MID	5	11	3	9
Subs
S Rondón FWD	5	12
A Gutiérrez MID	3	12	2	4
E Montiel MID	2	11	5	2
Subs
L Quiñones FWD	2	11		2
A Figueroa FWD	2	8	4	4
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	1	2		1
S Barreto DEF	1	3	1
B García DEF	1	3	4	5
C Rivera MID	1	1	2	3
C Moreno GLK				1
E Bauermann DEF		2
Subs
J Berlanga DEF		1
R Aburto DEF				1
P Reyna MID		2
S. Rodriguez MID		3
G. Álvarez Montiel FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1566	66	152
S Barreto	L Quiñones	S Barreto

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Barreto DEF	1566	46	152
E Bauermann DEF	1437	51	128
B García DEF	1367	35	83
C Moreno GLK	1116	3	22
Subs
A Gutiérrez MID	846	37	86
L Quiñones FWD	819	66	149
O Idrissi MID	806	31	107
C Rivera MID	742	48	77
E Montiel MID	673	21	48
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	646	45	107
Kenedy MID	616	28	105
Subs
A Figueroa FWD	452	30	90
P Reyna MID	393	29	42
J Berlanga DEF	341	10	14
S. Rodriguez MID	279	33	44
S Rondón FWD	240	7	64
E Valencia FWD	239	10	65
Subs
R Aburto DEF	70	9	10
J Téllez GLK	29
G. Álvarez Montiel FWD	19		7

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	9	8	10
F Romero	Helinho	N Castro	M Ruíz

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L García GLK	20			2 -
D Barbosa DEF	36	1	1	8 -
B Méndez DEF	28	1		3 1
E López DEF	31	1		3 -
M Isaís DEF	13			1 -
F Romero MID	37	1	2	4 -
M Ruíz MID	33	3	4	9 1
S Simón MID	28		3	4 -
N Castro MID	38	5	8	2 -
P Pérez MID	17		2	1 -
J Price FWD	14	2	3	1 -
Subs
H González GLK	23			2 -
A Briseño DEF	20	3	1	1 1
A Bermúdez DEF	4			2 -
É. Orta DEF	1			-
F Arce MID	15	1	1	1 1
V Camarena MID	3			-
S Córdova MID	14	1	2	1 -
J Uriarte MID	37	7	5	2 -
Helinho FWD	23	9	6	4 1
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	12	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	33	8	11
Helinho	N Castro	N Castro	M Ruíz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Helinho FWD	9	17	6	11
J Uriarte MID	7	18	5	10
N Castro MID	5	33	8	8
M Ruíz MID	3	16	4	11
Subs
A Briseño DEF	3	6	1	1
J Price FWD	2	10	3	2
D Barbosa DEF	1	6	1	6
B Méndez DEF	1	3		2
E López DEF	1	4		1
F Romero MID	1	3	2	2
Subs
F Arce MID	1	5	1	1
S Córdova MID	1	6	2	2
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	1	4		1
M Isaís DEF		2
S Simón MID		1	3	7
P Pérez MID		5	2	3
Subs
A Bermúdez DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1997	90	219
F Romero	D Barbosa	M Ruíz

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
F Romero MID	1997	70	121
M Ruíz MID	1746	79	219
N Castro MID	1401	37	113
E López DEF	1310	35	63
B Méndez DEF	1146	27	76
Subs
J Uriarte MID	1097	27	77
S Simón MID	918	37	78
D Barbosa DEF	907	90	146
Subs
H González GLK	661	2	12
A Briseño DEF	563	12	70
L García GLK	553	1	7
Subs
Helinho FWD	533	15	83
P Pérez MID	455	18	61
Subs
F Arce MID	371	28	48
M Isaís DEF	316	12	36
J Price FWD	227	5	35
Subs
S Córdova MID	174	6	23
V Camarena MID	83	1	1
A Bermúdez DEF	77	7	10
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	46	1	13
É. Orta DEF	19	3	3

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

Thu 14th May, 03:00

Pachuca v Pumas UNAM

Fri 15th May, 02:00

Guadalajara v Cruz Azul

Sun 17th May, 02:07

Pumas UNAM v Pachuca

Mon 18th May, 02:00

Pachuca v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pachuca v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

About.

Betting offers

Betting Tips

Key Competitions