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Tijuana v Tigres UANL : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 04:06 BST, Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga MX, and Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo’s Tijuana will have the luxury of it on Saturday morning. Manuel Fernández’s Tigres UANL are their visitors to the Estadio Caliente. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Tijuana and Tigres's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tijuana are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tijuana 40%	13/5	12/5 3%
Draw 26%	13/5	12/5
Tigres 34%	10/11	10/11
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2
Tijuana 1-0 10%	11/1	9/1
Tigres 1-0 9%	15/2	7/1 7%
Tijuana 2-1 9%	12/1	9/1
Tigres 2-1 8%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 7%	12/1	9/1 9%
Tijuana 2-0 7%	20/1	14/1
Tigres 2-0 6%	9/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	10/1
Tijuana 3-1 4%	28/1	20/1
Tigres 3-1 3%	14/1	11/1
Tijuana 3-0 3%	40/1	25/1
Tijuana 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Tigres 3-0 2%	16/1	12/1
Tigres 3-2 2%	22/1	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	3/4	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	21/20	19/20
Home 1st Goal 49%	13/10	11/8
Away 1st Goal 47%	4/6	7/10
No 1st Goal 5%	12/1	9/1 9%
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/6	13/20 1%
BTTS - No 47%	11/10	11/10 2%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	10/3 2%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	11/4	13/5
Home/draw 66%	4/5	4/5
Away/draw 60%	2/7	2/7
Home/away 74%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	3/1	27/10 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	7/4	17/10 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/5	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/2	19/5 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/7	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	17/2
Home DNB 58%	13/8	8/5
Away DNB 52%	4/9	4/9
Tijuana win to nil 21%	6/1	-
Tigres win to nil 18%	5/2	-
Tijuana / Tijuana 14%	5/1	17/4
Tijuana / Tigres 4%	20/1	18/1
Tijuana / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Tijuana 10%	7/1	7/1
Draw / Tigres 16%	4/1	17/4
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	17/4 5%
Tigres / Tijuana 3%	28/1	22/1 12%
Tigres / Tigres 27%	21/10	19/10 1%
Tigres / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Tijuana have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan
Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
Tijuana	0 - 0	America
Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
Tijuana	3 - 1	Juarez
Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
Tijuana	2 - 0	Cruz Azul
Tijuana	5 - 0	Leon
Tijuana	3 - 0	Necaxa
Tijuana	3 - 3	Guadalajara
Tijuana	1 - 1	Juarez
Tijuana	1 - 0	Queretaro
Tijuana	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Tijuana	1 - 2	Necaxa
Tijuana	3 - 4	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tijuana	0 - 3	Necaxa
A	Tijuana	3 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Tijuana	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Tijuana	0 - 1	Toluca
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Tijuana	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	America
A	Tijuana	0 - 5	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
A	Tijuana	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Tijuana	0 - 2	Tigres
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Tijuana	3 - 4	Puebla

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	2 - 1	Tigres
Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
America	1 - 4	Tigres
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Tigres
Leon	1 - 2	Tigres
A. San Luis	1 - 2	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Tigres
Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
Monterrey	1 - 1	Tigres
Pachuca	1 - 2	Tigres
Queretaro	0 - 2	Tigres
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Tigres
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Tigres
S. Laguna	0 - 1	Tigres
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
Pachuca	0 - 0	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tigres	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Tigres	0 - 0	Queretaro
H	Tigres	1 - 0	Monterrey
A	Tigres	1 - 3	Puebla
A	Tigres	4 - 1	America
H	Tigres	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Tigres	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Tigres	5 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Tigres	2 - 1	Leon
H	Tigres	0 - 0	Toluca
H	Tigres	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Tigres	2 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Tigres	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Tigres	1 - 0	Toluca
H	Tigres	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Tigres	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Tigres	5 - 0	Tijuana
A	Tigres	0 - 3	Tijuana
H	Tigres	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Tigres	1 - 1	Monterrey

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tijuana

Tigres

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

TIJ

TIG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana	3 - 0
	0 - 3	Tigres
Tijuana	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Tigres
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Tigres

Tigres

Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

2 / 8

Clean sheets

6 / 8

0 / 8

TIG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tigres
Tigres		5 - 0
Tigres		2 - 0
Tigres		4 - 0
Tigres		4 - 1
Tigres		1 - 0
Tigres		2 - 0
Tigres		3 - 2
Tigres		1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Tijuana 13th	Tigres 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Tigres will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Tijuana’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-6 Tigres’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

TIJ

TIG

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	24		29
Failed to score	8		6
Scored first	18		20
Goals scored	47		62
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.8
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	15		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+13%

TIJ

TIG

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		22
Clean sheets	11		13
Conceded first	11		11
Goals conceded	43		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		9
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+9%

Tijuana v Tigres Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	11	7	11
A Rodríguez	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	J Porozo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rodríguez GLK	32			3 -
K Castañeda MID	32	11	7	4 -
A Gómez DEF	31	2		5 -
R Zárate MID	31	2	7	8 -
I Olmeda MID	31		1	9 -
J Porozo DEF	30	2		10 1
J Grijalva DEF	30		6	4 -
A Preciado FWD	30	3	2	4 -
R Fernández DEF	29	1	2	8 -
D Blanco FWD	28	1	1	2 1
U Bilbao DEF	24	2		5 -
M Ghezouani FWD	24	4		4 1
F Boya MID	19	6		4 -
G. Mora Zambrano MID	16	5	1	1 -
P Ortíz DEF	12		1	3 -
I Rivero MID	12			3 -
J Martínez FWD	8			-
K Escamilla MID	7			1 -
D Firenze FWD	7	2	1	-
Ángel Zapata MID	3			-
D Tobar DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	32	7	12
K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Castañeda MID	11	32	7	12
F Boya MID	6	10		4
G. Mora Zambrano MID	5	10	1	4
M Ghezouani FWD	4	8
A Preciado FWD	3	11	2	4
A Gómez DEF	2	4
R Zárate MID	2	8	7	12
J Porozo DEF	2	3
U Bilbao DEF	2	5
D Firenze FWD	2	2	1	1
R Fernández DEF	1	2	2	3
D Blanco FWD	1	5	1	1
I Olmeda MID		4	1
J Grijalva DEF		4	6	4
P Ortíz DEF		1	1	1
I Rivero MID		8
J Martínez FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1566	78	152
I Olmeda	R Fernández	R Fernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Olmeda MID	1566	71	112
A Rodríguez GLK	1230	3	15
J Porozo DEF	1203	46	130
U Bilbao DEF	1167	42	112
K Castañeda MID	1058	29	100
R Fernández DEF	1008	78	152
A Gómez DEF	984	49	115
J Grijalva DEF	741	53	85
R Zárate MID	486	37	92
A Preciado FWD	369	40	148
G. Mora Zambrano MID	356	10	51
F Boya MID	338	25	108
M Ghezouani FWD	294	16	119
P Ortíz DEF	285	16	33
I Rivero MID	247	16	42
D Blanco FWD	161	24	68
K Escamilla MID	58	1	3
D Firenze FWD	43	3	9
J Martínez FWD	39		10
Ángel Zapata MID	19	2	2
D Tobar DEF	2	1	2

Tigres Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	14	7	9
N Guzmán	J Brunetta	J Brunetta	D Lainez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Guzmán GLK	35			4 -
J Brunetta MID	35	14	7	8 -
Ángel Correa FWD	34	13	7	6 -
D Lainez FWD	34	6	7	9 -
Joaquim DEF	32	2	1	5 1
R Rômulo MID	30		3	6 -
F Gorriarán MID	30	1		7 -
O Herrera FWD	29	6	3	6 -
J Angulo DEF	23	1		5 1
J Purata DEF	23			5 2
A Gignac FWD	21	3	3	2 1
M Farfán DEF	19	2	1	2 1
J Vigón MID	19	1		-
M Flores FWD	14	4		-
I López FWD	12	1		-
D. Sánchez Guevara FWD	12	2	2	1 1
V Loroña DEF	10		2	4 -
C Araújo MID	8			2 -
O Rodríguez DEF	7		1	-
R Aguirre FWD	7			-
R Guerrero DEF	3			-
F Maldonado DEF	1			-
J Garcia DEF	1			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	54	7	18
J Brunetta	Ángel Correa	J Brunetta	J Brunetta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brunetta MID	14	32	7	18
Ángel Correa FWD	13	54	7	5
D Lainez FWD	6	19	7	9
O Herrera FWD	6	18	3	3
M Flores FWD	4	9		1
A Gignac FWD	3	12	3	5
Joaquim DEF	2	8	1	1
M Farfán DEF	2	2	1	2
D. Sánchez Guevara FWD	2	3	2	1
F Gorriarán MID	1	11		2
J Angulo DEF	1	1
J Vigón MID	1	2		1
I López FWD	1	5		1
R Rômulo MID		1	3	3
J Purata DEF		3
V Loroña DEF			2	1
O Rodríguez DEF			1
R Aguirre FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1486	48	175
R Rômulo	F Gorriarán	D Lainez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Rômulo MID	1486	42	115
J Brunetta MID	1475	36	107
Joaquim DEF	1364	37	167
F Gorriarán MID	1258	48	121
N Guzmán GLK	1198	3	26
J Angulo DEF	1030	28	76
D Lainez FWD	1012	47	175
Ángel Correa FWD	913	32	156
J Purata DEF	789	18	59
M Farfán DEF	631	30	57
O Herrera FWD	409	20	105
V Loroña DEF	312	16	31
C Araújo MID	305	9	28
M Flores FWD	268	11	32
A Gignac FWD	221	1	26
D. Sánchez Guevara FWD	193	9	19
J Vigón MID	183	5	15
O Rodríguez DEF	126	12	15
R Aguirre FWD	84	7	34
R Guerrero DEF	81	1	5
I López FWD	70		10
J Garcia DEF	31	2	4
F Maldonado DEF	12