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Toluca v América : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

André Soares Jardine takes his América charges to the Estadio Nemesio Díez in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, with Patrick Glockner's Toluca their rivals. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga MX clash.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of America prepare themselves for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After studying the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both clubs know they way to goal and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
49%
11/1011/10
Draw
21%
27/1013/5
America
30%
15/87/4
Toluca 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
8%
13/26/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/19/1
America 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Toluca 3-1
6%
14/112/1
Toluca 2-0
5%
12/110/1
Toluca 1-0
5%
10/117/2
Toluca 3-2
5%
20/114/1
America 1-0
4%
12/110/1
America 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Toluca 3-0
4%
20/114/1
America 3-1
4%
20/114/1
America 2-0
3%
18/112/1
Toluca 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Draw 3-3
3%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
8/151/2
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
7/513/10
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
1%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
70%
1/21/2
BTTS - No
30%
6/47/5
BTTS - Home Win
31%
13/55/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/47/2
Home/draw
70%
2/52/5
Away/draw
51%
4/64/6
Home/away
79%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/62/13
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
4/110/3
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
5/45/4
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
4/78/15
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3/114/5
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
2/91/5
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
7/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1/121/16
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/401/100
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
16/111/1
Home DNB
63%
8/138/13
Away DNB
45%
6/523/20
Toluca win to nil
17%
7/2-
America win to nil
10%
11/2-
Toluca / Toluca
24%
5/223/10
Toluca / America
4%
22/120/1
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Toluca
14%
5/19/2
Draw / America
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
America / Toluca
4%
20/116/1
America / America
18%
15/417/5
America / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
6
Toluca have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
America 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan2 - 2America
Cruz Azul2 - 1America
A. San Luis0 - 1America
Monterrey2 - 2America
Atlas2 - 4America
Tigres1 - 3America
Necaxa1 - 1America
Juarez1 - 1America
Toluca2 - 0America
Cruz Azul1 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0America
Monterrey1 - 0America
Pachuca1 - 0America
Atlas1 - 3America
Guadalajara0 - 0America
Pumas UNAM0 - 2America
Puebla1 - 2America
S. Laguna1 - 4America
Queretaro0 - 1America
Monterrey1 - 1America
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAmerica2 - 0Leon
AAmerica2 - 2Mazatlan
HAmerica2 - 1Puebla
AAmerica1 - 2Cruz Azul
HAmerica3 - 0S. Laguna
HAmerica4 - 1Pumas UNAM
AAmerica1 - 0A. San Luis
AAmerica2 - 2Monterrey
HAmerica1 - 2Guadalajara
HAmerica2 - 0Pachuca
AAmerica4 - 2Atlas
AAmerica3 - 1Tigres
HAmerica1 - 0Queretaro
AAmerica1 - 1Necaxa
HAmerica3 - 1Tijuana
AAmerica1 - 1Juarez
AAmerica0 - 2Toluca
HAmerica0 - 0Toluca
HAmerica2 - 1Cruz Azul
AAmerica0 - 1Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
America
Goals: Scored
22
13
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
TOL
6
D
3
AME
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 0
0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
0 - 1America
Toluca3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at America since 2018
America
Toluca
Goals: Scored
20
6
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
D
4
AME
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT America
Draw0 - 0Draw
America3 - 0
America2 - 0
America5 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
America1 - 0
America3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
America3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

América have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 15 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Toluca on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Toluca 2nd America 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that America will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Toluca have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
-10
America’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
America
2.1
1.6
Attack rating
TOL
AME
11%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score3
0
Scored first9
11
Goals scored41
33
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
1%
better
TOL
AME
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded18
16
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+1%

Toluca v America Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1411106
N CastroPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Castro MID1636
1
-
F Pereira DEF151
3
-
F Romero MID151
2
-
M Ruíz MID1422
4
-
J Uriarte MID1454
-
H Herrera MID141
1
R Morales FWD1433
-
J Gallardo DEF1341
6
-
B Méndez DEF131
1
1
Paulinho FWD13112
1
-
A Vega FWD13410
3
-
D Barbosa DEF12
2
-
J Domínguez FWD1211
2
-
S Simón MID102
1
-
H González GLK9
1
-
E López DEF9
1
-
L García GLK8
1
-
O. Virgen FWD811
1
-
A Briseño DEF71
-
F Arce MID5
-
Helinho  FWD532
1
-
M Isaís DEF4
1
-
A Bermúdez FWD2
1
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
America Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14745
C BorjaB RodríguezB RodríguezS Ramos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Rodríguez FWD1674
2
-
I Reyes DEF151
-
C Borja DEF152
3
-
Álvaro Fidalgo MID151
1
-
R Aguirre FWD154
1
-
L Malagón GLK14
2
-
R Juárez DEF132
1
-
K Álvarez DEF1311
-
A Campo MID131
1
-
A Zendejas FWD1353
4
-
S Ramos DEF12
5
-
Érick Sánchez MID122
2
1
A Gutiérrez MID112
1
-
A Saint-Maximin FWD1132
1
-
J. Zúñiga Murillo FWD1121
-
V Dávila FWD111
1
-
I Violante FWD102
1
-
D. Espinoza Acosta DEF71
1
-
J Santos MID7
2
-
I Lichnovsky DEF61
-
M García DEF3
-
H Martín FWD3
-
R Cota GLK2
-
R Orquin DEF2
-