Toluca's team badge Atlas's team badge

Toluca v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Sunday morning sees Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich’s Toluca and Hernán Jorge Crespo’s Atlas go head to head in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Toluca's next match is v Puebla at 02:00 on Wednesday 16th September
Atlas's next match is v Pumas UNAM at 00:00 on Sunday 20th September
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Atlas was on Sunday 13th September 2026
Mexican Liga MX
September 13th 2026
Toluca 5
2 Atlas
 
E. Vega Rojas 19'51' F. Monzón
J. Angulo Uriarte 22'79' L. Lopes
F. Viñas Barboza 29'
J. Dias Fernandes 53'
J. Rodríguez Hernández (OG) 60'
 
TOL
ATL
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
6
8
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
TolucaAtlas
 
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
B. Méndez Cittadini
A. Pereira Castelnoble
F. Romero
N. Castro (P. Uriel Perez Hernandez 72')
E. Vega Rojasfootball icon (L. Garcia Teixeira 83')
J. Angulo Uriartefootball icon (V. Guzmán Guzmán 72')
H. Nunes de Castro (E. López 58')
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
F. Viñas Barbozafootball icon (J. Dias Fernandes 46')
 (E. Montiel 62') J. Sánchez Ramos
C. Vargas Gil
football iconJ. Rodríguez Hernández
G. Aguirre Ledesma
M. Valenzuela
(J. Serrato Zambrano 80') L. Leite Esteves
(S. Hernández Flores 46') P. Ramírez Barboza
football iconF. Monzón
(A. Mora Barraza 87') M. Capasso
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba
(L. Lopes 46') A. González González

Best Tip: Toluca to win

A Liga MX home win for Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich's Toluca side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Toluca win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
69%
7/20
17%
-
Draw
18%
15/4
25%
-
Atlas
13%
7/1
68%
-
Toluca 2-0
11%
13/2
17%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Toluca 1-0
9%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
8%
8/1
20%
-
Toluca 3-0
8%
17/2
27%
-
Toluca 3-1
7%
10/1
15%
-
Toluca 4-0
5%
14/1
42%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
31%
-
Toluca 4-1
4%
18/1
17%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
-
Atlas 2-1
4%
22/1
53%
-
Atlas 1-0
4%
22/1
53%
-
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Toluca 5-0
2%
28/1
43%
-
Toluca 5-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/15
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
7/5
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/11
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
24%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
15/8
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
63%
-
Home/draw
87%
1/12
8%
-
Away/draw
31%
2/1
40%
-
Home/away
82%
2/11
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
5/4
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/7
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Home DNB
81%
1/9
14%
-
Away DNB
26%
11/2
86%
-
Toluca win to nil
37%
11/8
27%
-
Atlas win to nil
6%
14/1
67%
-
Toluca / Toluca
42%
1/1
23%
-
Toluca / Atlas
2%
40/1
21%
-
Toluca / Draw
5%
16/1
31%
-
Draw / Toluca
19%
3/1
16%
-
Draw / Atlas
6%
16/1
70%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
15%
-
Atlas / Toluca
4%
18/1
10%
-
Atlas / Atlas
6%
12/1
73%
-
Atlas / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
3
Atlas have won 3 consecutive away league games
Toluca 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca4 - 0Juarez
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca0 - 1Pachuca
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Toluca1 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 1Juarez
Toluca2 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca4 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Queretaro
AToluca0 - 0Atlante
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 2Pachuca
HToluca0 - 1Pachuca
HToluca4 - 1Leon
AToluca3 - 4Mazatlan
AToluca1 - 2America
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Queretaro
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
Atlas 8TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruz Azul0 - 2Atlas
S. Laguna0 - 1Atlas
Leon2 - 3Atlas
Cruz Azul1 - 0Atlas
America0 - 1Atlas
S. Laguna0 - 1Atlas
Leon2 - 0Atlas
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Juarez3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Cruz Azul2 - 0Atlas
Tijuana2 - 0Atlas
Guadalajara4 - 1Atlas
A. San Luis2 - 0Atlas
Tigres2 - 0Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 1Atlas
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Atlas
Queretaro3 - 3Atlas
Monterrey3 - 1Atlas
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtlas1 - 1Atlante
HAtlas1 - 3Queretaro
AAtlas2 - 0Cruz Azul
HAtlas2 - 1Tigres
HAtlas0 - 2Monterrey
AAtlas1 - 0S. Laguna
AAtlas3 - 2Leon
AAtlas0 - 1Cruz Azul
HAtlas2 - 3Cruz Azul
AAtlas1 - 0America
HAtlas0 - 0Tigres
AAtlas1 - 0S. Laguna
HAtlas0 - 0Monterrey
AAtlas0 - 2Leon
HAtlas0 - 0Queretaro
AAtlas1 - 1Toluca
HAtlas1 - 2Guadalajara
HAtlas2 - 1Tijuana
AAtlas1 - 3Juarez
HAtlas3 - 2A. San Luis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Atlas
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
4
D
2
ATL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca4 - 1
Toluca4 - 1
Toluca3 - 2
2 - 4Atlas
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Atlas
Toluca2 - 0
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Toluca
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
5 / 8
TOL
3
D
4
ATL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Toluca
0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toluca 1st Atlas 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Atlas scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Toluca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Atlas have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Atlas
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
4%
better
TOL
ATL
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score1
1
Scored first5
5
Goals scored12
10
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
46%
better
TOL
ATL
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded4
9
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
9
Conversion rate against8%
11%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+46%

Toluca v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
F PereiraHelinho Helinho F Romero
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK
-
D Barbosa DEF3
1
B Méndez DEF4
-
F Pereira DEF5
-
J Gallardo DEF411
1
-
F Romero MID6
2
-
N Castro MID4
1
-
Helinho  MID622
2
-
J Uriarte MID5
-
A Vega MID51
1
-
F Viñas FWD42
-
Subs
D. Shrem Serur GLK
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
Luan DEF3
-
E López DEF511
-
P Pérez MID2
-
F Arce MID5
1
-
Sebastián Aceves MID1
-
V Guzmán MID6
-
O. Virgen FWD111
-
Paulinho FWD
-
Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7214
M Capasso L EstevesA GonzálezM Capasso 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vargas GLK6
-
J Sánchez DEF4
1
-
G Aguirre DEF2
-
M Capasso  DEF71
3
1
M Valenzuela  DEF6
1
J Rodríguez DEF5
-
A González MID711
-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID6
-
L Esteves MID72
2
-
F Monzón FWD41
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba FWD5
2
-
Subs
A Sánchez GLK1
-
A Mora DEF
-
J Lozano DEF3
-
J Purata DEF2
1
E Montiel MID711
-
S. Hernández Flores MID6
-
J. Serrato Zambrano MID3
-
Duk FWD611
1
José Martín FWD2
-
L. Gamboa Carillo FWD
-