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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Legia Warsaw : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 13:45 BST, Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

It's a long trek for Marek Papszun's Legia Warsaw side on Sunday afternoon, as they head to the Stadion Miejski for a Ekstraklasa meeting with Adrian Siemieniec's Jagiellonia Bialystok. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Adrian Siemieniec and his side approach kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both teams possess a number of attacking options, with goals in plentiful supply of late. With a real favourite to win the game, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Jagiellonia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Jagiellonia 54%	6/5	6/5
Draw 22%	23/10	9/4
L. Warsaw 24%	19/10	9/5
Draw 1-1 10%	11/2	5/1
Jagiellonia 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Jagiellonia 1-0 8%	15/2	13/2
Jagiellonia 2-0 8%	11/1	9/1
Jagiellonia 3-1 6%	16/1	14/1
L. Warsaw 2-1 6%	10/1	17/2
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
L. Warsaw 1-0 5%	9/1	8/1
Jagiellonia 3-0 5%	20/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	10/1	17/2
Jagiellonia 3-2 4%	25/1	18/1
L. Warsaw 2-0 3%	14/1	11/1
Jagiellonia 4-1 3%	40/1	25/1
L. Warsaw 3-1 2%	22/1	16/1
Jagiellonia 4-0 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	17/20	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	19/20	17/20
Home 1st Goal 53%	5/6	5/6
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/10	23/20
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	17/2
BTTS - Yes 60%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 40%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 28%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 14%	9/2	17/4
Home/draw 76%	4/11	2/5
Away/draw 46%	4/7	3/5
Home/away 78%	3/10	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	11/4	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	9/4	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	1/3	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	5/1	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	1/8	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	12/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/25	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/20	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	10/1	8/1
Home DNB 69%	8/13	13/20
Away DNB 39%	6/5	11/10
Jagiellonia win to nil 25%	3/1	-
L. Warsaw win to nil 10%	9/2	-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia 22%	11/4	5/2
Jagiellonia / L. Warsaw 3%	28/1	22/1
Jagiellonia / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Jagiellonia 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / L. Warsaw 12%	6/1	11/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
L. Warsaw / Jagiellonia 4%	22/1	18/1
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw 17%	15/4	7/2
L. Warsaw / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Jagiellonia have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Jagiellonia have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Jagiellonia have played 9 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

L. Warsaw are in 16th position in the Ekstraklasa on 24 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 8 and won 5. L. Warsaw have conceded 24 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Jagiellonia L. Warsaw
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Jagiellonia	21	10	7	4	13	37	-	-	d 0-00-0	Mar 1
2	Zaglebie	22	9	8	5	8	35	May 23	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	l 3-1A
3	Lech Poznan	22	9	8	5	5	35	Apr 4	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
4	Gornik Z.	22	10	4	8	4	34	Apr 25	l 2-1F	Apr 11	l 3-1A
5	Rakow	22	10	4	8	3	34	l 1-2A	May 2	Mar 21	d 1-1F
6	Plock	22	8	9	5	6	33	Mar 21	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
7	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	4	33	w 5-2A	d 0-00-0	Mar 8	l 2-1A
8	MKS Pogon	23	9	4	10	-2	31	May 9	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	Apr 4
9	Korona	23	8	6	9	1	30	w 3-1F	Apr 11	l 1-2A	w 0-2F
10	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	-5	30	w 4-1F	d 1-1F	May 23	d 1-1A
11	P.Gliwice	23	8	5	10	-2	29	Mar 15	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
12	RKS	21	7	7	7	3	28	d 1-1A	w 1-2A	w 4-1F	Mar 13
13	L.Gdansk	23	9	6	8	1	28	w 2-0F	Mar 6	d 2-2A	May 16
14	Katowice	21	8	3	10	-3	27	-	May 16	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	-17	26	w 4-0F	Apr 18	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A
16	L. Warsaw	22	5	9	8	-2	24	Mar 1	d 0-00-0	-	-
17	W Lodz	23	7	3	13	-4	24	w 3-2F	w 1-3F	May 2	d 1-1A
18	Termalica	22	5	6	11	-13	21	l 0-4A	l 2-1A	l 1-2A	May 9

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Jagiellonia have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

L. Warsaw have not won in 10 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jagiellonia	1 - 1	RKS
Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Rakow
Jagiellonia	4 - 0	Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Korona
Jagiellonia	2 - 0	L.Gdansk
Jagiellonia	5 - 2	Cracovia
Jagiellonia	3 - 2	W Lodz
Jagiellonia	0 - 4	Termalica
Jagiellonia	1 - 1	MKS Pogon
Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Gornik Z.
Jagiellonia	1 - 3	Zaglebie
Jagiellonia	1 - 1	P.Gliwice
Jagiellonia	2 - 1	Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Katowice
Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia	5 - 0	RKS
Jagiellonia	2 - 2	S.Wroclaw
Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Rakow
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Korona

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	RKS
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Cracovia
H	Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Motor Lublin
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	W Lodz
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Motor Lublin
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Termalica
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Zaglebie
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 1	MKS Pogon
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Rakow
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Gornik Z.
H	Jagiellonia	4 - 0	Arka Gdynia
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Korona
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	L. Warsaw
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Plock
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	P.Gliwice
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 0	L.Gdansk
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 1	RKS
H	Jagiellonia	5 - 2	Cracovia
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 2	W Lodz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Katowice	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
Arka Gdynia	2 - 2	L. Warsaw
P.Gliwice	2 - 0	L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
W Lodz	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
Zaglebie	3 - 1	L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.	3 - 1	L. Warsaw
Rakow	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
Cracovia	2 - 1	L. Warsaw
Plock	1 - 0	L. Warsaw
Korona	0 - 2	L. Warsaw
Cracovia	3 - 1	L. Warsaw
W Lodz	0 - 2	L. Warsaw
Katowice	1 - 3	L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
Rakow	3 - 2	L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin	3 - 3	L. Warsaw
RKS	3 - 1	L. Warsaw
P.Gliwice	1 - 0	L. Warsaw
Zaglebie	0 - 3	L. Warsaw

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	L. Warsaw	2 - 1	Plock
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Katowice
A	L. Warsaw	2 - 2	Arka Gdynia
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Korona
H	L. Warsaw	0 - 1	P.Gliwice
A	L. Warsaw	0 - 2	P.Gliwice
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Motor Lublin
H	L. Warsaw	2 - 2	L.Gdansk
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Termalica
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	W Lodz
H	L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Lech Poznan
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 3	Zaglebie
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 3	Gornik Z.
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 0	MKS Pogon
H	L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Rakow
H	L. Warsaw	4 - 1	RKS
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Cracovia
A	L. Warsaw	0 - 1	Plock
H	L. Warsaw	3 - 1	Katowice

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Jagiellonia have not lost to L. Warsaw in 5 consecutive league meetings

Jagiellonia

L. Warsaw

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 14

7 / 14

Clean sheets

7 / 14

4 / 14

JAG

LEG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Jagiellonia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Jagiellonia	2 - 0
	2 - 5	L. Warsaw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Jagiellonia	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Jagiellonia	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 4	L. Warsaw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

L. Warsaw

Jagiellonia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

3 / 11

JAG

LEG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT L. Warsaw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Jagiellonia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
L. Warsaw	5 - 1
L. Warsaw	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	4 - 0
L. Warsaw	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Jagiellonia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
L. Warsaw	4 - 0

Goal Statistics

Jagiellonia Bialystok's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Legia Warsaw have conceded in each of their last 11 Ekstraklasa games. A PG of 1.9 for A. Siemieniec's side suggests that run should continue.

Jagiellonia Bialystok's defensive record is to be admired, A. Siemieniec's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ekstraklasa games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Legia Warsaw makes sense in this context.

	Jagiellonia 1st	L. Warsaw 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Jagiellonia will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that L. Warsaw will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+22 Jagiellonia have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted	+1 L. Warsaw’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.3 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season

27%

better

JAG

LEG

view stats

Games scored	17		16
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	12		7
Goals scored	37		25
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	16		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+27%

20%

better

JAG

LEG

view stats

Games conceded	15		17
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	6		12
Goals conceded	24		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		5
Conversion rate against	12%		18%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+20%

Jagiellonia v L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	10	5	5
B Wdowik	J Imaz	J Imaz	J Imaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Wdowik DEF	21		3	1 -
T Romanczuk MID	21	2		4 -
A Pozo FWD	21	1	2	3 -
N Wojtuszek DEF	20	1	2	2 -
J Imaz MID	20	10	5	5 -
A Pululu FWD	20	9	3	5 -
L Flach MID	18			3 -
S Abramowicz GLK	17			1 -
D Drachal MID	16	1	2	3 -
B Vital DEF	15	1	1	4 -
D Stojinovic DEF	13		1	3 -
D. Rallis FWD	13	3		-
A Pelmard DEF	12			4 -
B. Mazurek MID	11	1	1	2 -
K Józwiak FWD	11			3 -
S Lozano MID	9	3		-
Y Kobayashi DEF	8			4 -
Y Sylla FWD	5	1		-
M Piekutowski GLK	4			-
M Nahuel FWD	4			-
S Bazdar FWD	4	1		-
A Konstantopoulos DEF	3			-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	3		1	-
K Szmyt MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	36	5	6
J Imaz	J Imaz	J Imaz	B Wdowik

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Imaz MID	10	36	5	5
A Pululu FWD	9	19	3	4
D. Rallis FWD	3	3
S Lozano MID	3	7
T Romanczuk MID	2	8		2
A Pozo FWD	1	1	2	2
N Wojtuszek DEF	1	2	2	3
D Drachal MID	1	3	2	2
B Vital DEF	1	4	1	1
B. Mazurek MID	1	3	1
Y Sylla FWD	1	2
S Bazdar FWD	1	4
B Wdowik DEF		5	3	6
L Flach MID		1
D Stojinovic DEF		2	1
K Józwiak FWD		3		1
Y Kobayashi DEF		1
M Nahuel FWD				1
G. Serrão Montóia DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1097	53	109
B Wdowik	N Wojtuszek	A Pululu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wdowik DEF	1097	34	71
T Romanczuk MID	1004	28	82
B Vital DEF	928	16	81
N Wojtuszek DEF	916	53	96
D Stojinovic DEF	875	17	49
J Imaz MID	634	18	55
A Pozo FWD	633	27	60
A Pelmard DEF	624	12	30
S Abramowicz GLK	470		12
L Flach MID	351	28	54
Y Kobayashi DEF	351	5	15
A Pululu FWD	340	11	109
D Drachal MID	248	12	49
K Józwiak FWD	225	18	51
B. Mazurek MID	223	11	39
S Lozano MID	170	12	22
M Piekutowski GLK	117		2
M Nahuel FWD	101	4	14
D. Rallis FWD	81	1	9
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	69	2	4
A Konstantopoulos DEF	55	1	5
S Bazdar FWD	42	1	8
Y Sylla FWD	18	1	10
K Szmyt MID	12		2

L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	3	2	5
K Tobiasz	M Rajovic	B Kapustka	P Stojanovic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tobiasz GLK	21			-
M Rajovic FWD	21	3	1	-
B Kapustka MID	20	2	2	4 -
P Wszolek MID	18	2	1	1 -
E Krasniqi MID	17	2	2	3 -
V Bichakhchyan MID	16	2	1	1 -
D Szymanski MID	15	1		4 -
K Piatkowski DEF	14			3 1
W. Urbański MID	14	1		3 -
K Urbański MID	14		1	1 -
P Stojanovic MID	14	1	1	5 -
J Elitim MID	13	1	1	1 -
A Reca MID	13		1	2 -
R Augustyniak MID	12	1		4 -
R Vinagre MID	12		1	-
R Pankov DEF	10			4 -
A Colak FWD	10	2		1 -
J. Żewłakow MID	8			1 -
K Chodyna FWD	8	1		1 -
C Gonçalves MID	7		1	1 -
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	6	1	1	1 -
P Kun MID	6		1	2 -
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID	4			-
J Nsame FWD	4	1		-
J. Leszczyński DEF	2			-
O Hindrich GLK	1			-
S. Kováčik MID	1			-
R Adamski FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	22	2	4
M Rajovic	M Rajovic	B Kapustka	P Wszolek

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Rajovic FWD	3	22	1	2
B Kapustka MID	2	9	2	2
P Wszolek MID	2	4	1	4
E Krasniqi MID	2	7	2	3
V Bichakhchyan MID	2	13	1
A Colak FWD	2	3
D Szymanski MID	1	3		2
W. Urbański MID	1	4
P Stojanovic MID	1	3	1	1
J Elitim MID	1	1	1	3
R Augustyniak MID	1	1
K Chodyna FWD	1	2
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	1	4	1	2
J Nsame FWD	1	2
R Adamski FWD	1	1
K Piatkowski DEF		5
K Urbański MID		2	1	2
A Reca MID		2	1	4
R Vinagre MID		1	1	1
R Pankov DEF		1		2
J. Żewłakow MID		2		2
C Gonçalves MID		1	1
P Kun MID		1	1	1
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
753	36	88
K Piatkowski	B Kapustka	M Rajovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Piatkowski DEF	753	27	78
D Szymanski MID	733	26	49
B Kapustka MID	679	36	88
K Tobiasz GLK	638	1	7
P Wszolek MID	629	18	72
J Elitim MID	533	9	41
R Pankov DEF	511	13	50
E Krasniqi MID	449	26	82
R Augustyniak MID	395	11	40
R Vinagre MID	392	12	48
A Reca MID	375	21	48
P Stojanovic MID	347	10	37
M Rajovic FWD	298	8	88
K Urbański MID	276	11	41
V Bichakhchyan MID	242	12	57
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	214	1	25
W. Urbański MID	164	10	35
P Kun MID	161	10	19
C Gonçalves MID	147	4	16
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID	144	7	19
K Chodyna FWD	116	8	13
J. Żewłakow MID	54	3	6
J Nsame FWD	44	2	11
A Colak FWD	40		9
J. Leszczyński DEF	39		2
O Hindrich GLK	25		1
R Adamski FWD	10	2	7
S. Kováčik MID	8		2