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Katowice v Lech Poznan : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 16:30 BST, Stadion ul. Bukowa, Katowice

Lech Poznan, led by manager Niels Frederiksen, visit Rafał Górak and his Katowice side at the Stadion ul. Bukowa on Sunday afternoon in the Ekstraklasa. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Ekstraklasa matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Rafał Górak or Niels Frederiksen deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Katowice are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Katowice
30%
23/1011/5
Draw
23%
13/512/5
Lech Poznan
47%
21/2019/20
Draw 1-1
10%
6/16/1
Lech Poznan 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Lech Poznan 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Katowice 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Lech Poznan 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/19/1
Katowice 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Lech Poznan 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/110/1
Katowice 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Lech Poznan 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Lech Poznan 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Katowice 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Katowice 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Lech Poznan 4-1
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/134/7
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
5/423/20
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/55/4
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/118/11
No 1st Goal
3%
14/110/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/1511/20
BTTS - No
38%
11/813/10
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/512/5
Home/draw
53%
8/113/4
Away/draw
70%
1/33/10
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/112/11
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/23/1
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
6/411/8
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/33/1
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/18
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/19/1
Home DNB
46%
6/429/20
Away DNB
63%
1/21/2
Katowice win to nil
13%
6/1-
Lech Poznan win to nil
21%
3/1-
Katowice / Katowice
15%
9/217/4
Katowice / Lech Poznan
4%
20/116/1
Katowice / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Katowice
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Lech Poznan
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Lech Poznan / Katowice
3%
25/122/1
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
25%
11/521/10
Lech Poznan / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Katowice have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Katowice have conceded 21 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Katowice have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lech Poznan lay in 7th place on 15 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 9 matches. Lech Poznan are unbeaten away after 3 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Lech Poznan have conceded 8 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Lech Poznan have played 3 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Katowice
Lech Poznan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Gornik Z.10613719 
Feb 27
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 6
2
Cracovia9531718 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 20
l
 
1-4A
Dec 5
3
Jagiellonia9531418 
May 15
Nov 21
d
 
2-2A
Apr 3
4
Korona10532718 
Oct 24
Apr 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 20
5
Plock9522517 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
May 22
Nov 28
6
L. Warsaw9432615 
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
Apr 24
Oct 24
7
Lech Poznan9432115 
Oct 5
Apr 10
-
-
8
Zaglebie 9342713 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 30
l
 
1-2A
Mar 13
9
RKS10334-112 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 6
Nov 21
May 15
10
Motor Lublin9252-311 
Apr 17
Oct 17
Oct 30
May 1
11
Rakow9324-311 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 5
Feb 27
d
 
2-2F
12
L.Gdansk10325-711 
Mar 13
l
 
2-0A
Jan 30
w
 
3-4A
13
W Lodz10316010 
Feb 6
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
14
MKS Pogon10316-510 
Nov 28
May 22
Oct 19
Apr 17
15
Termalica10235-49 
May 1
Oct 30
Mar 20
w
 
0-2F
16
Arka Gdynia10235-99 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 20
May 8
Nov 7
17
Katowice10226-108 
-
-
Apr 10
Oct 5
18
P.Gliwice8143-27 
Nov 7
May 8
Feb 13
Aug 9
Win / draw / win form
7
Lech Poznan have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games
Katowice 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Katowice0 - 3Cracovia
Katowice3 - 2RKS
Katowice4 - 1Arka Gdynia
Katowice2 - 2Zaglebie
Katowice0 - 1Rakow
Katowice2 - 2Lech Poznan
Katowice2 - 1Cracovia
Katowice1 - 3L. Warsaw
Katowice3 - 1Puszcza
Katowice2 - 1Gornik Z.
Katowice1 - 0Zaglebie
Katowice0 - 0P.Gliwice
Katowice1 - 0Stal Mielec
Katowice2 - 0L.Gdansk
Katowice1 - 2Korona
Katowice0 - 0S.Wroclaw
Katowice3 - 1MKS Pogon
Katowice2 - 2W Lodz
Katowice3 - 1Jagiellonia
Katowice0 - 0Motor Lublin
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKatowice1 - 1Plock
HKatowice0 - 3Cracovia
AKatowice0 - 2L.Gdansk
HKatowice3 - 2RKS
AKatowice0 - 3Gornik Z.
HKatowice4 - 1Arka Gdynia
AKatowice1 - 3L. Warsaw
AKatowice0 - 3W Lodz
HKatowice2 - 2Zaglebie
HKatowice0 - 1Rakow
AKatowice3 - 2L.Gdansk
HKatowice2 - 2Lech Poznan
HKatowice2 - 1Cracovia
AKatowice1 - 2Korona
HKatowice1 - 3L. Warsaw
AKatowice2 - 0S.Wroclaw
HKatowice3 - 1Puszcza
AKatowice0 - 4MKS Pogon
HKatowice2 - 1Gornik Z.
AKatowice0 - 1W Lodz
Lech Poznan 7TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rakow2 - 2Lech Poznan
Termalica0 - 2Lech Poznan
L.Gdansk3 - 4Lech Poznan
Katowice2 - 2Lech Poznan
L. Warsaw0 - 1Lech Poznan
RKS2 - 2Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin1 - 2Lech Poznan
S.Wroclaw3 - 1Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia2 - 1Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon0 - 3Lech Poznan
L.Gdansk1 - 0Lech Poznan
Gornik Z.2 - 1Lech Poznan
P.Gliwice0 - 0Lech Poznan
Puszcza2 - 0Lech Poznan
Cracovia0 - 2Lech Poznan
Korona2 - 3Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec0 - 2Lech Poznan
Zaglebie 0 - 1Lech Poznan
Rakow0 - 0Lech Poznan
W Lodz2 - 1Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLech Poznan2 - 2Jagiellonia
ALech Poznan2 - 2Rakow
ALech Poznan2 - 0Termalica
HLech Poznan1 - 2Zaglebie
HLech Poznan2 - 1W Lodz
HLech Poznan1 - 1Korona
HLech Poznan2 - 1Gornik Z.
ALech Poznan4 - 3L.Gdansk
HLech Poznan1 - 4Cracovia
HLech Poznan1 - 0P.Gliwice
ALech Poznan2 - 2Katowice
ALech Poznan1 - 0L. Warsaw
HLech Poznan8 - 1Puszcza
ALech Poznan2 - 2RKS
HLech Poznan2 - 1Cracovia
ALech Poznan2 - 1Motor Lublin
HLech Poznan2 - 0Korona
ALech Poznan1 - 3S.Wroclaw
ALech Poznan1 - 2Jagiellonia
HLech Poznan3 - 1Stal Mielec
Goal Statistics

Lech Poznan have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive Ekstraklasa matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Katowice on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Katowice 17th Lech Poznan 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Katowice will score 1 or more goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Lech Poznan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Katowice’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Lech Poznan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Katowice
PG (predicted goals)
Lech Poznan
1.4
1.8
Attack rating
LPO
47%
better
view stats
Games scored4
8
Failed to score5
0
Scored first1
4
Goals scored10
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
LPO
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against22%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+34%

Katowice v Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Katowice Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10422
A JedrychB NowakB NowakA Jedrych
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Jedrych DEF101
2
-
M Wedrychowski MID10
-
M Kowalczyk MID10
2
-
B Nowak MID1042
1
-
M Wasielewski MID1022
1
-
B Galán MID10
1
-
D Kudla GLK9
1
-
A. Błąd MID9
1
-
A Czerwinski DEF82
1
-
K Lukasiak MID8
-
L Klemenz DEF72
1
-
M Rosolek FWD7
1
-
K Gruszkowski MID6
-
A Zrelak FWD61
-
M Kuusk DEF5
-
J Lukowski MID4
-
S Milewski MID3
-
E Marković MID3
-
J Bosch MID3
1
-
I Shkurin FWD3
-
G. Rogala MID2
-
R Straczek GLK1
-
A Paluszek DEF1
-
F Rejczyk MID1
-
Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9633
B MrozekM IshakJ PereiraL Palma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK9
1
-
J Pereira DEF913
-
L Bengtsson MID92
1
-
M Skrzypczak DEF81
1
-
A Milic DEF81
-
A Kozubal MID81
2
-
G Thórdarson MID811
1
-
F Jagiełło MID812
-
B Fiabema FWD81
1
-
M Ishak FWD861
1
-
J Moutinho  DEF7
2
-
L Palma FWD722
2
1
K. Lisman FWD7
-
M Gurgul DEF6
-
T Ouma MID6
1
-
P Rodríguez MID5
1
-
A. Douglas DEF4
-
Y Agnero FWD4
-
T Ismaheel FWD41
1
-
R Gumny DEF3
-
A Gholizadeh  FWD2
1
-
W. Mońka DEF1
-