KS Lechia Gdansk's team badge MKS Pogon Szczecin's team badge

KS Lechia Gdansk v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 16:30 BST, Stadion Energa Gdansk, Gdansk

Saturday afternoon at the Stadion Energa Gdansk, and it’s a Ekstraklasa clash between KS Lechia Gdansk and MKS Pogon Szczecin. John Carver and Thomas Thomasberg will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. Below you'll find unique stats for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that L.Gdansk and MKS Pogon will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither John Carver or Thomas Thomasberg has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.18 equating to about a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think L.Gdansk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
L.Gdansk
55%
11/1011/10
Draw
23%
5/25/2
MKS Pogon
22%
2/19/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
L.Gdansk 1-0
11%
10/18/1
L.Gdansk 2-1
10%
8/17/1
L.Gdansk 2-0
9%
12/110/1
MKS Pogon 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
16/112/1
L.Gdansk 3-1
6%
14/111/1
MKS Pogon 2-1
6%
10/117/2
L.Gdansk 3-0
6%
20/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
10/19/1
MKS Pogon 2-0
3%
18/112/1
L.Gdansk 3-2
3%
20/116/1
L.Gdansk 4-1
3%
33/120/1
L.Gdansk 4-0
2%
40/125/1
MKS Pogon 3-1
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
3/511/20
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
13/106/5
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
21/2023/20
No 1st Goal
3%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
1/28/15
BTTS - No
46%
6/411/8
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/413/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
4/118/5
Home/draw
78%
1/32/5
Away/draw
45%
8/1313/20
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/116/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/413/10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/21/2
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
10/33/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/141/18
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/100
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Home DNB
71%
8/138/13
Away DNB
38%
6/523/20
L.Gdansk win to nil
29%
7/2-
MKS Pogon win to nil
11%
11/2-
L.Gdansk / L.Gdansk
24%
5/29/4
L.Gdansk / MKS Pogon
4%
22/120/1
L.Gdansk / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / L.Gdansk
14%
5/119/4
Draw / MKS Pogon
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
MKS Pogon / L.Gdansk
4%
20/116/1
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
17%
15/417/5
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

L.Gdansk have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 7. L.Gdansk have conceded 41 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

L.Gdansk have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

MKS Pogon lay in 8th place on 34 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MKS Pogon have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

MKS Pogon have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Zaglebie 2511861141 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
6-2A
w
 
5-1F
May 16
2
Jagiellonia2511861041 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
3
Lech Poznan251186641 
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
4
Gornik Z.251159438 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
5
Rakow2511410237 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
6
Plock25997236 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 10
May 2
l
 
2-0A
7
Katowice2511311136 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
May 23
l
 
2-0A
8
MKS Pogon2510411-334 
Mar 21
w
 
3-4A
-
-
9
Motor Lublin258107-434 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
RKS25898433 
l
 
1-2A
May 2
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
11
Cracovia25898233 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
12
Korona259610133 
Apr 6
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
P.Gliwice259511-332 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
14
L.Gdansk251069231 
-
-
l
 
3-4F
Mar 21
15
Arka Gdynia258611-1630 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
16
L. Warsaw256118-129 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
17
W Lodz258413-328 
w
 
2-1A
May 9
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
18
Termalica255713-1522 
w
 
5-1F
May 23
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
L.Gdansk 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
L.Gdansk3 - 0Jagiellonia
L.Gdansk0 - 2Zaglebie
L.Gdansk1 - 1Cracovia
L.Gdansk5 - 2Gornik Z.
L.Gdansk5 - 1Termalica
L.Gdansk2 - 1W Lodz
L.Gdansk1 - 2RKS
L.Gdansk1 - 1Plock
L.Gdansk2 - 0Katowice
L.Gdansk1 - 0Arka Gdynia
L.Gdansk3 - 3Motor Lublin
L.Gdansk3 - 4Lech Poznan
L.Gdansk2 - 3Katowice
L.Gdansk3 - 2Korona
L.Gdansk3 - 1P.Gliwice
L.Gdansk3 - 2Stal Mielec
L.Gdansk1 - 0Jagiellonia
L.Gdansk1 - 2Gornik Z.
L.Gdansk0 - 2Puszcza
L.Gdansk1 - 0Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AL.Gdansk0 - 2Katowice
HL.Gdansk3 - 0Jagiellonia
AL.Gdansk2 - 2Arka Gdynia
HL.Gdansk0 - 2Zaglebie
AL.Gdansk3 - 2Motor Lublin
HL.Gdansk1 - 1Cracovia
AL.Gdansk3 - 1Lech Poznan
HL.Gdansk5 - 2Gornik Z.
HL.Gdansk5 - 1Termalica
AL.Gdansk2 - 2L. Warsaw
HL.Gdansk2 - 1W Lodz
HL.Gdansk1 - 2RKS
AL.Gdansk1 - 2Rakow
AL.Gdansk2 - 1P.Gliwice
HL.Gdansk1 - 1Plock
AL.Gdansk0 - 3Korona
AL.Gdansk4 - 3MKS Pogon
HL.Gdansk2 - 0Katowice
AL.Gdansk0 - 2Jagiellonia
HL.Gdansk1 - 0Arka Gdynia
MKS Pogon 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rakow2 - 0MKS Pogon
Gornik Z.0 - 1MKS Pogon
Motor Lublin2 - 1MKS Pogon
Katowice2 - 0MKS Pogon
Plock2 - 0MKS Pogon
Lech Poznan2 - 2MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw1 - 0MKS Pogon
Korona1 - 0MKS Pogon
W Lodz1 - 2MKS Pogon
Arka Gdynia2 - 1MKS Pogon
Termalica1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS5 - 1MKS Pogon
Jagiellonia1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS2 - 0MKS Pogon
Puszcza4 - 5MKS Pogon
P.Gliwice2 - 1MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw0 - 0MKS Pogon
S.Wroclaw1 - 1MKS Pogon
W Lodz0 - 4MKS Pogon
Stal Mielec1 - 2MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Korona
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Rakow
HMKS Pogon1 - 0W Lodz
AMKS Pogon1 - 0Gornik Z.
HMKS Pogon1 - 0Arka Gdynia
HMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Motor Lublin
HMKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Katowice
HMKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Plock
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
AMKS Pogon2 - 2Lech Poznan
HMKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
AMKS Pogon0 - 1L. Warsaw
HMKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
AMKS Pogon0 - 1Korona
HMKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
AMKS Pogon2 - 1W Lodz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
MKS Pogon have not lost to L.Gdansk in 5 consecutive away league meetings
5
MKS Pogon have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive away league meetings with L.Gdansk
League games at L.Gdansk since 2015
L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
LEC
3
D
3
POG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT L.Gdansk
0 - 3MKS Pogon
0 - 1MKS Pogon
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1MKS Pogon
0 - 1MKS Pogon
L.Gdansk2 - 1
1 - 3MKS Pogon
L.Gdansk4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
L.Gdansk2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at MKS Pogon since 2015
MKS Pogon
L.Gdansk
Goals: Scored
25
20
Games: Scored
11 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
2 / 13
LEC
4
D
4
POG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MKS Pogon
3 - 4L.Gdansk
Draw3 - 3Draw
MKS Pogon2 - 1
MKS Pogon5 - 1
MKS Pogon1 - 0
0 - 1L.Gdansk
Draw1 - 1Draw
3 - 4L.Gdansk
2 - 3L.Gdansk
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
MKS Pogon3 - 1
MKS Pogon1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for MKS Pogon Szczecin of late. It has been 6 Ekstraklasa matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against KS Lechia Gdansk.

L.Gdansk 14th MKS Pogon 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that L.Gdansk will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
L.Gdansk have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
-12
MKS Pogon have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
L.Gdansk
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.8
1
Attack rating
22%
better
LEC
POG
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score4
6
Scored first13
11
Goals scored49
35
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
LEC
POG
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
21
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first12
14
Goals conceded47
38
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+12%

L.Gdansk v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

L.Gdansk Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241467
R KapićT BobcekC MenaR Kapić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Neugebauer MID2421
5
-
R Kapić MID2443
7
-
C Mena FWD2356
4
-
K Sezonienko FWD2353
3
-
M Vojtko DEF2213
4
-
I Zhelizko MID2254
6
-
T Bobcek FWD22146
4
-
B Viunnyk MID213
1
-
D Kurminowski  FWD2021
1
-
M Diachuk DEF1911
3
-
M Rodin DEF1812
1
-
A Paulsen GLK16
2
-
A Ćirković FWD1634
3
-
T. Wójtowicz DEF14
1
-
B Pllana DEF12
3
-
B Kłudka DEF11
-
A Jaunzems DEF91
-
S Weirauch GLK8
-
M. Głogowski MID7
-
M Kalahur DEF4
1
1
A Tsarenko MID3
-
B. Sarnavskiy GLK1
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23666
K GrosickiK GrosickiK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Koutris DEF251
2
-
P Mukairu FWD2551
1
-
K Grosicki FWD2466
3
-
V Cojocaru GLK23
3
-
F Ulvestad MID2342
3
-
L Wahlqvist DEF201
5
-
D Loncar DEF201
6
-
D Keramitsis DEF191
3
-
J Pozo MID1821
4
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
S Greenwood MID1633
4
-
M Ndiaye MID141
3
-
J Bieganski MID13
1
-
L Borges DEF121
1
-
H Ali DEF11
3
1
K Smoliński MID11
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
B Mendy  DEF7
3
-
K Angielski FWD71
-
A Szalai DEF6
1
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-
K Acosta MID3
1
1
M. Agger FWD3
-
F. Čuić FWD3
-
Natan Lawa MID1
-