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Lech Poznan v KS Rakow Czestochowa : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 16:30 BST, INEA stadion, Pozna?

Łukasz Tomczyk will be hoping for a precious away win in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his KS Rakow Czestochowa side to the INEA stadion to visit Lech Poznan and Niels Frederiksen. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Ekstraklasa match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Niels Frederiksen or Łukasz Tomczyk mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lech Poznan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lech Poznan
42%
23/206/5
Draw
24%
12/523/10
Rakow
34%
2/17/4
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Lech Poznan 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Rakow 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Lech Poznan 1-0
7%
8/17/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/110/1
Rakow 1-0
6%
10/117/2
Lech Poznan 2-0
6%
11/19/1
Lech Poznan 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Rakow 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
12/19/1
Rakow 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Lech Poznan 3-2
4%
22/118/1
Lech Poznan 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Rakow 3-2
3%
28/118/1
Rakow 3-0
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
3/47/10
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
21/2019/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/55/6
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
2%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/1313/20
BTTS - No
37%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/13/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/24/1
Home/draw
66%
4/112/5
Away/draw
58%
4/63/5
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
3/113/5
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
9/219/5
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
10/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/201/33
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/117/2
Home DNB
59%
8/1313/20
Away DNB
50%
6/511/10
Lech Poznan win to nil
19%
3/1-
Rakow win to nil
14%
5/1-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
23%
13/512/5
Lech Poznan / Rakow
3%
25/120/1
Lech Poznan / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Lech Poznan
14%
9/219/4
Draw / Rakow
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
14%
9/29/2
Rakow / Lech Poznan
4%
22/118/1
Rakow / Rakow
17%
4/117/5
Rakow / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Lech Poznan have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lech Poznan have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Lech Poznan have played 11 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 19 goals at home.

Rakow are in 5th position in the Ekstraklasa on 34 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Rakow have conceded 5 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lech Poznan
Rakow
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Jagiellonia2110741337 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
May 2
w
 
1-2F
2
Zaglebie 22985835 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 15
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
3
Lech Poznan22985535 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
4
Gornik Z.221048434 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
5
Rakow221048334 
Mar 1
d
 
2-2F
-
-
6
Plock22895633 
May 23
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
7
Cracovia23896433 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
8
MKS Pogon239410-231 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 18
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
9
Korona23869130 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 9
w
 
1-4F
10
Motor Lublin23797-530 
d
 
2-2A
May 2
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
11
P.Gliwice238510-229 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
May 16
12
RKS21777328 
w
 
4-1F
May 16
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
13
L.Gdansk23968128 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
3-4A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
14
Katowice218310-327 
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Arka Gdynia227510-1726 
May 9
l
 
3-1F
May 23
w
 
1-4F
16
L. Warsaw22598-224 
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
17
W Lodz237313-424 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
Termalica225611-1321 
Mar 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
Win / draw / win form
3
Lech Poznan have won 3 consecutive league games
3
Rakow have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Lech Poznan 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Rakow 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lech Poznan since 2020
Lech Poznan
Rakow
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
LPO
2
D
1
RAK
3
League games at Rakow since 2019
Rakow
Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
13
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LPO
2
D
3
RAK
2
Goal Statistics

Lech Poznan have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 23 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings. Their PG of 1.7 against KS Rakow Czestochowa on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Lech Poznan 3rd Rakow 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Lech Poznan will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Rakow will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Lech Poznan have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Rakow have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Lech Poznan
PG (predicted goals)
Rakow
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
19%
better
LPO
RAK
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score3
6
Scored first11
10
Goals scored36
28
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
LPO
RAK
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded31
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+7%

Lech Poznan v Rakow Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221145
B MrozekM IshakF JagiełłoT Ouma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK22
1
-
L Bengtsson MID2232
2
-
A Kozubal MID211
3
-
F Jagiełło MID2014
2
-
M Gurgul DEF192
1
-
A Milic DEF1911
3
-
J Pereira DEF1923
2
-
L Palma FWD1944
3
1
M Ishak FWD19113
4
-
P Rodríguez MID173
2
1
Y Agnero FWD172
-
M Skrzypczak DEF151
1
-
T Ismaheel FWD151
1
-
T Ouma MID14
4
1
R Gumny DEF13
2
-
K. Lisman FWD131
-
J Moutinho  DEF11
3
-
A Gholizadeh  FWD1041
2
-
G Thórdarson MID911
1
-
W. Mońka DEF8
-
A. Douglas DEF7
-
P Wålemark MID5
-
K. Jakóbczyk FWD1
-
Rakow Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191056
S SvarnasJ BrunesM AmeyawA. Amorim Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD2152
3
-
O. Repka MID2021
4
-
J Brunes FWD2010
-
S Svarnas DEF191
4
-
M Ameyaw MID1925
-
M Bulat MID1912
1
-
B Racovitan DEF18
1
-
A. Amorim Santos MID1811
5
1
P Makuch MID1811
2
-
T Pieńko MID1812
-
K Struski MID15
2
1
F Tudor MID15
4
1
J Silva  MID12
1
-
O Zych GLK11
-
K Trelowski GLK11
-
I López  MID1031
2
-
L Rocha FWD81
1
-
Z Arsenic DEF7
2
-
A Mosór DEF5
2
-
E Otieno MID4
-
B. Mirčetić MID4
-
P Dawidowicz DEF1
-