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Arbroath FC v Greenock Morton FC : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 19:45 BST, Gayfield Park, Arbroath

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Championship, and Colin Hamilton’s Arbroath FC will have the joy of it on Friday evening. Dougie Imrie’s Greenock Morton FC are their opponents at the Gayfield Park. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Arbroath and Greenock serving up at least 2 goals in this Championship match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arbroath are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arbroath
47%
21/20
3%
21/20
2%
Draw
26%
11/521/10
3%
Greenock
28%
11/5
3%
11/5
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
4%
Arbroath 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Arbroath 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Arbroath 2-0
8%
17/28/1
Greenock 1-0
8%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Greenock 2-1
7%
12/19/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Arbroath 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Greenock 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Arbroath 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Arbroath 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Greenock 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Greenock 3-2
2%
40/122/1
12%
Arbroath 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
21/20
2%
19/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
3/4
3%
7/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/113/4
3%
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10
3%
11/8
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/6
4%
5/6
1%
BTTS - No
48%
5/6
2%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
21%
15/410/3
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/410/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/15/1
8%
Home/draw
72%
2/7
3%
3/10
1%
Away/draw
53%
8/13
3%
4/6
Home/away
74%
2/71/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/33/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
9/42/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2
7%
12/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/7
3%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19/211/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/1
6%
13/2
7%
Home DNB
65%
1/21/2
Away DNB
45%
6/411/8
1%
Arbroath win to nil
26%
5/2
3%
-
Greenock win to nil
15%
9/2
8%
-
Arbroath / Arbroath
24%
9/423/10
Arbroath / Greenock
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Arbroath / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Arbroath
16%
4/117/4
Draw / Greenock
11%
13/26/1
7%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
5%
Greenock / Arbroath
3%
28/118/1
10%
Greenock / Greenock
15%
9/217/4
Greenock / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Arbroath have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Arbroath have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Arbroath have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Greenock are in 7th position in the Championship on 22 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Greenock have conceded 24 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arbroath
Greenock
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone212645 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
l
 
5-0A
2
Partick22840 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
l
 
3-2F
3
Arbroath22336 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 28
Jan 23
4
Ayr United21329 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
5
Dunfermline20626 
l
 
0-5A
w
 
1-2A
Feb 21
May 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 4
6
Raith Rovers22025 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
Apr 18
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Apr 11
7
Greenock 21-822 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Jan 23
Mar 28
-
-
-
-
8
Airdrieonians22-1320 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 1
Feb 28
9
Queen's Park19-918 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
Mar 21
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Feb 21
10
Ross County20-1616 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 7
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
Jan 31
Apr 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Greenock have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Arbroath have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Arbroath 3RD
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Greenock 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Greenock have not lost to Arbroath in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arbroath since 2019
Arbroath
Greenock
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
ARB
3
D
5
GRE
3
League games at Greenock since 2019
Greenock
Arbroath
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
3 / 10
ARB
4
D
3
GRE
3
Goal Statistics

Arbroath FC's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because Greenock Morton FC have conceded in each of their last 6 Championship outings. A PG of 1.5 for C. Hamilton's side suggests that run should continue.

Arbroath 3rd Greenock 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Arbroath will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Greenock will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Arbroath’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Greenock have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Arbroath
PG (predicted goals)
Greenock
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
ARB
GRE
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score7
7
Scored first11
9
Goals scored30
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
1%
better
ARB
GRE
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded27
28
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+1%

Arbroath v Greenock Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Arbroath Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22855
A McAdamsF MarshallR DowT O'Brien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McAdams GLK22
-
F Marshall MID2281
4
-
J Wilkie DEF2112
2
1
T O'Brien DEF21
5
-
H Cochrane MID2111
4
-
A Muirhead DEF201
5
-
R Flynn MID19
2
-
R Dow MID1915
2
-
J. MacIntyre MID1722
1
-
G Reilly FWD1741
2
-
N Todorov FWD163
2
-
T. Steven FWD1631
-
C Watson DEF153
2
1
S Stewart MID15
2
-
B. Kabongolo DEF112
1
-
A Pettifer MID111
1
-
D Mebude FWD101
2
-
R Callachan MID61
-
D Gold MID51
-
V. Enem DEF42
-
L Kenny DEF2
-
C Hamilton DEF2
-
Greenock Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21436
J StorerE BrophyO MoffatJ Longridge
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Storer GLK21
1
-
M Garrity FWD2121
3
-
O Moffat FWD213
1
-
J Longridge DEF202
6
-
I Wilson MID20
5
-
Z Delaney DEF191
2
-
C Blues MID1812
4
-
N Shaw MID1813
3
-
T Adeloye FWD183
1
-
K Moore DEF172
2
-
E Brophy FWD1741
1
-
A Comrie DEF16
5
-
K. Robertson MID151
5
-
C Ballantyne DEF141
1
-
G Gillespie MID12
4
-
A Lyall FWD1211
1
-
Z. McKay MID11
-
M O'Halloran FWD1111
1
-
D. Corr DEF6
3
-
C MacPherson MID41
2
-
K. Taylor MID3
1
-
A Crawford MID21
-