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Ayr United v Raith Rovers FC : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Raith Rovers FC pay Championship counterparts Ayr United a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Barry Robson guides his men into an away clash with Scott Brown & co. at the Somerset Park. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Ayr United's next match is v Arbroath at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
Raith Rovers FC's next match is v Greenock at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Raith Rovers was on Saturday 31st January 2026
Scottish Championship
January 31st 2026
Ayr United 2
1 Raith Rovers
 
B. Dempsey 28'77' L. Vaughan
A. Dowds 57'
 
AYR
RAI
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
1
7
Corners
2
8
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
14
11
Yellow/red cards
7/0
1/0
 
Ayr UnitedRaith Rovers
 
L. Dick (S. Want 81')
K. Holt
S. Bannigan (J. Bonnar 87')
B. Dempseyfootball icon
A. Dowdsfootball icon (G. Oakley 81')
C. Main (B. Summers 68')
L. King
M. Thompson
S. McMann
G. Finney
M. McKenzie (E. Walker 87')
J. Rae
(R. Matthews 60') J. Rowe
E. Wilson
P. Hanlon
D. O'Connor
J. Hamilton
(L. Vaughan 60') J. Mullin
J. Doherty
S. Brown
(P. McMullan 76') D. Easton
(P. Nsio 60') A. Winter

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Ayr United and Raith Rovers go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The stats do not provide any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
42%
21/201/1000
Draw
29%
21/1016/1
Raith Rovers
29%
11/590/1
Ayr United 1-0
14%
6/16/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/5
Draw 0-0
12%
15/210/3
Raith Rovers 1-0
11%
9/111/2
Ayr United 2-0
8%
9/14/6
Ayr United 2-1
8%
17/21/6
Raith Rovers 2-1
6%
12/114/1
Raith Rovers 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/115/2
Ayr United 3-0
3%
18/118/5
Ayr United 3-1
3%
18/115/2
Raith Rovers 3-1
2%
28/145/1
Raith Rovers 3-0
2%
33/133/1
Ayr United 3-2
1%
28/140/1
Raith Rovers 3-2
1%
40/150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
7/1013/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/517/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/1015/8
No 1st Goal
8%
15/210/3
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/611/4
BTTS - No
58%
5/62/9
BTTS - Home Win
14%
15/41/18
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/215/2
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6/150/1
Home/draw
71%
2/71/1000
Away/draw
58%
8/137/1
Home/away
71%
2/71/18
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/114/9
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
2/16/4
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
11/417/5
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/41/6
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
6/122/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/121/200
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
19/260/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/331/300
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/142/11
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
13/216/5
Home DNB
62%
8/152/5
Away DNB
50%
11/813/8
Ayr United win to nil
27%
5/2-
Raith Rovers win to nil
19%
9/2-
Ayr United / Ayr United
25%
12/53/10
Ayr United / Raith Rovers
3%
33/112/1
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/14/1
Draw / Ayr United
16%
9/220/1
Draw / Raith Rovers
11%
13/228/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/1
Raith Rovers / Ayr United
3%
28/1125/1
Raith Rovers / Raith Rovers
14%
9/266/1
Raith Rovers / Draw
6%
14/1100/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 7 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Ayr United have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Ayr United have played 10 games at home winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 13 goals at home.

Raith Rovers are in 6th position in the Championship on 28 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Raith Rovers have conceded 14 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Raith Rovers
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone232546 
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
Apr 25
2
Partick24944 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
3
Arbroath24237 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
4
Ayr United23332 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 27
l
 
2-1A
5
Dunfermline22529 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 14
6
Raith Rovers24228 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 27
-
-
-
-
7
Greenock 23-726 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
8
Airdrieonians24-1223 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
9
Ross County23-1522 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-0A
May 1
Feb 28
10
Queen's Park22-1221 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Hamilton
Ayr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Ayr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 0Greenock
Ayr United5 - 2Falkirk
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 2Greenock
Raith Rovers 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Airdrieonians0 - 0Raith Rovers
Partick0 - 0Raith Rovers
St. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
Arbroath0 - 0Raith Rovers
Queen's Park2 - 1Raith Rovers
Dunfermline2 - 0Raith Rovers
Ross County2 - 0Raith Rovers
Airdrieonians0 - 0Raith Rovers
Greenock 0 - 1Raith Rovers
Partick3 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Queen's Park1 - 5Raith Rovers
Falkirk1 - 3Raith Rovers
Hamilton0 - 3Raith Rovers
Greenock 3 - 3Raith Rovers
Partick0 - 0Raith Rovers
Livingston0 - 0Raith Rovers
Airdrieonians1 - 0Raith Rovers
Dunfermline3 - 1Raith Rovers
Hamilton0 - 3Raith Rovers
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRaith Rovers4 - 1Queen's Park
HRaith Rovers2 - 3Arbroath
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Airdrieonians
HRaith Rovers1 - 2Dunfermline
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Partick
HRaith Rovers6 - 0Ross County
ARaith Rovers0 - 0St. Johnstone
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Arbroath
HRaith Rovers0 - 3Airdrieonians
ARaith Rovers1 - 2Queen's Park
HRaith Rovers1 - 1Greenock
HRaith Rovers2 - 0Partick
ARaith Rovers0 - 2Dunfermline
HRaith Rovers0 - 2Ayr United
ARaith Rovers0 - 2Ross County
HRaith Rovers3 - 0Arbroath
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Airdrieonians
HRaith Rovers0 - 2St. Johnstone
ARaith Rovers1 - 0Greenock
ARaith Rovers2 - 3Partick
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Raith Rovers
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
9 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
4 / 13
AYR
6
D
2
RAI
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United3 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
1 - 2Raith Rovers
1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
0 - 2Raith Rovers
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United1 - 0
0 - 2Raith Rovers
League games at Raith Rovers since 2016
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
17
16
Games: Scored
8 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
4 / 12
AYR
2
D
4
RAI
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Raith Rovers
0 - 2Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0
Raith Rovers2 - 0
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Raith Rovers3 - 2
0 - 4Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 4th Raith Rovers 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Raith Rovers scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Raith Rovers’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Raith Rovers
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
19%
better
AYR
RAI
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score5
10
Scored first13
8
Goals scored28
27
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
AYR
RAI
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first6
10
Goals conceded26
24
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+7%

Ayr United v Raith Rovers Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23747
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M. Thompson GLK1
-
L King DEF161
5
-
K Holt DEF202
3
-
S McMann DEF2311
6
-
G. Finney DEF2
1
-
L Dick DEF
-
S Bannigan MID17
5
-
B Dempsey MID172
1
-
M McKenzie MID2371
2
-
C Main FWD
-
A Dowds FWD1731
1
-
Subs
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF5
2
-
B Summers MID2
-
J. Bonnar MID161
2
-
E Walker MID1843
3
1
M Rus MID2014
6
1
G Oakley FWD10
1
-
Raith Rovers Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24849
J RaeD EastonD EastonS Brown
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rae GLK241
1
-
J Rowe DEF161
1
-
D O'Connor DEF1411
3
-
P Hanlon DEF222
2
-
J Doherty DEF242
2
-
E Wilson MID12
4
-
S Brown MID2422
9
-
J Mullin MID2022
2
2
D Easton MID2484
6
-
A Winter FWD4
-
J Hamilton FWD2461
2
-
Subs
A. Glavin GLK
-
C. Hannah DEF
-
R Matthews MID201
5
-
L. Gibson MID2
-
P McMullan MID223
2
-
K. Montagu MID71
-
P. Nsio MID121
3
-
R Chin FWD51
2
-
L Vaughan FWD821
2
-