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Arbroath FC v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 15:00 BST, Gayfield Park, Arbroath

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Colin Hamilton and his Arbroath FC side host Scott Brown’s Ayr United at the Gayfield Park. This preview has the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Arbroath and Ayr United 3 goals or less combined during this Championship fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arbroath are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arbroath
40%
5/4
4%
13/10
Draw
26%
12/5
3%
23/10
Ayr United
34%
17/10
3%
13/8
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
5/1
Arbroath 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Ayr United 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Arbroath 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Ayr United 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
Arbroath 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Ayr United 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/110/1
Arbroath 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Arbroath 3-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Ayr United 3-1
3%
22/114/1
Arbroath 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Ayr United 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
18/1
Ayr United 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
9/10
3%
4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
9/10
3%
5/6
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
4%
10/11
Away 1st Goal
46%
21/2021/20
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
10%
17/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
8/11
4%
7/10
BTTS - No
47%
1/1
5%
21/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/410/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/219/5
Home/draw
66%
4/11
3%
4/9
Away/draw
60%
8/15
2%
11/20
Home/away
74%
1/42/7
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
9/4
4%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/3
2%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/1
10%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/50
3%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
29%
8/1
Home DNB
58%
8/118/11
Away DNB
52%
1/11/1
Arbroath win to nil
22%
3/1-
Ayr United win to nil
18%
4/1
11%
-
Arbroath / Arbroath
22%
11/413/5
Arbroath / Ayr United
3%
28/120/1
Arbroath / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Arbroath
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Ayr United
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Ayr United / Arbroath
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
Ayr United / Ayr United
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Arbroath have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Arbroath have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Arbroath have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Ayr United are in 4th position in the Championship on 32 points having played 23 matches so far this season. Ayr United are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Ayr United have conceded 10 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arbroath
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone232546 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
2
Partick24944 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
Feb 28
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
3
Arbroath24237 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
4
Ayr United23332 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
Apr 11
-
-
-
-
5
Dunfermline22529 
l
 
0-5A
w
 
1-2A
Feb 21
May 1
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
w
 
2-3F
6
Raith Rovers24228 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
Apr 18
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 27
7
Greenock 23-726 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 28
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
8
Airdrieonians24-1223 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
9
Ross County23-1522 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 7
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
10
Queen's Park22-1221 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
Mar 21
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Mar 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Arbroath have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Arbroath 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arbroath1 - 1Greenock
Arbroath1 - 1Airdrieonians
Arbroath2 - 1Partick
Arbroath0 - 0Raith Rovers
Arbroath3 - 0Ross County
Arbroath3 - 1St. Johnstone
Arbroath4 - 1Queen's Park
Arbroath1 - 1Greenock
Arbroath0 - 5Dunfermline
Arbroath1 - 0Airdrieonians
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Arbroath0 - 5Queen's Park
Arbroath1 - 2Greenock
Arbroath1 - 2Airdrieonians
Arbroath2 - 3Dunfermline
Arbroath0 - 1Partick
Arbroath3 - 2Raith Rovers
Arbroath1 - 1Inverness
Arbroath0 - 0Ayr United
Arbroath0 - 3Dundee Utd
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArbroath1 - 2Queen's Park
HArbroath1 - 1Greenock
AArbroath3 - 2Raith Rovers
AArbroath0 - 1St. Johnstone
HArbroath1 - 1Airdrieonians
AArbroath2 - 0Ross County
HArbroath2 - 1Partick
AArbroath2 - 1Dunfermline
HArbroath0 - 0Raith Rovers
AArbroath1 - 1Ayr United
AArbroath0 - 1Greenock
HArbroath3 - 0Ross County
AArbroath0 - 1Airdrieonians
HArbroath3 - 1St. Johnstone
HArbroath4 - 1Queen's Park
AArbroath1 - 1Partick
AArbroath0 - 3Raith Rovers
HArbroath1 - 1Greenock
HArbroath0 - 5Dunfermline
AArbroath2 - 1Ross County
Ayr United 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 3Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Ross County3 - 3Ayr United
Queen's Park0 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers0 - 2Ayr United
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Ayr United have not lost to Arbroath in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arbroath since 2019
Arbroath
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
3 / 10
ARB
5
D
3
AYR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arbroath
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arbroath2 - 1
Arbroath2 - 0
0 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arbroath4 - 0
Arbroath2 - 1
0 - 3Ayr United
League games at Ayr United since 2019
Ayr United
Arbroath
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
ARB
1
D
5
AYR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United5 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Arbroath
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Arbroath 3rd Ayr United 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Arbroath will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Arbroath’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Ayr United’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Arbroath
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
ARB
AYR
4%
better
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score7
5
Scored first13
14
Goals scored32
30
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
ARB
AYR
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded30
27
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

Arbroath v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Arbroath Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24866
A McAdamsF MarshallR DowA Muirhead
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McAdams GLK24
-
F Marshall MID2481
4
-
J Wilkie DEF2312
2
1
H Cochrane MID2311
4
-
A Muirhead DEF222
6
-
T O'Brien DEF22
5
-
R Dow MID2116
2
-
R Flynn MID21
2
-
G Reilly FWD1941
2
-
J. MacIntyre MID1822
1
-
S Stewart MID17
2
-
C Watson DEF163
2
1
D Mebude FWD111
2
-
R Callachan MID71
-
V. Enem DEF52
-
D Gold MID51
-
S Robinson FWD32
-
C Hamilton DEF2
-
T Beadling DEF2
-
L Kenny DEF2
-
T Lang DEF1
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23747
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF2311
6
-
M McKenzie FWD2371
2
-
K Holt DEF202
3
-
M Rus MID2014
6
1
E Walker FWD1843
3
1
J Murphy FWD1851
4
-
S Bannigan MID17
5
-
B Dempsey MID172
1
-
A Dowds FWD1731
1
-
D Mitchell GLK16
-
L King DEF161
5
-
J. Bonnar MID161
2
-
D Watret DEF152
1
1
L Dick DEF15
3
-
N McAllister DEF1511
5
-
K. Ure MID131
2
-
G Oakley FWD10
1
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF5
2
-
G. Finney DEF2
1
-
B Summers MID2
-
M. Thompson GLK1
-