Dunfermline Athletic's team badge Inverness Caledonian This's team badge

Dunfermline Athletic v Inverness Caledonian This : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

East End Park, Dunfermline

Saturday afternoon at the East End Park, and it’s a Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Inverness Caledonian This. James McPake and Duncan Ferguson going all-out to claim victory. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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Dunfermline Athletic's next match is v Ayr United at 19:45 on Friday 3rd May
Inverness Caledonian This's next match is v Greenock at 19:45 on Friday 3rd May
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Dunfermline and Inverness was on Saturday 27th April 2024
Scottish Championship
April 27th 2024
Dunfermline 1
1 Inverness
 
K. Benedictus 41'75' A. Pepple
 
DUN
ICT
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
5
8
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
16
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
DunfermlineInverness
 
D. Mehmet
J. Edwards
S. Fisher
K. Benedictusfootball icon
M. Fagan-Walcott
M. Todd (A. Tod 62')
K. Ritchie-Hosler (M. Welch-Hayes 79')
P. Allan
C. Hamilton
O. Moffat (L. McCann 78')
C. Kane (A. Jakubiak 70')
M. Ridgers
C. Harper
C. Kerr
(A. Pepple 70') R. Savage
J. Carragher
M. Boyes
M. Anderson
S. McAllister
(S. Adeniran Lawal 79') L. Longstaff
(R. MacGregor 76') B. McKay
A. Samuel
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of Dunfermline and Inverness 3 goals or less combined during this Championship fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Inverness coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Dunfermline
28%
17/10
13%
7/4
10%
--
Draw
26%
23/10
6%
21/10--
Inverness
46%
11/8
1%
13/10
8%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1--
Inverness 1-0
12%
7/1
16%
6/1
7%
--
Inverness 2-1
9%
9/115/2
6%
--
Dunfermline 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
7/1
7%
--
Inverness 2-0
8%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
25%
7/1
6%
--
Dunfermline 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1--
Dunfermline 2-0
5%
12/111/1
9%
--
Inverness 3-1
4%
20/114/1
12%
--
Inverness 3-0
4%
22/116/1
11%
--
Dunfermline 3-1
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
--
Inverness 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
20/1--
Dunfermline 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
--
Dunfermline 3-0
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
21/20
14%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
3/4
13%
---
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/5
13%
---
Away 1st Goal
51%
5/6
6%
---
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
25%
---
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/64/5
3%
--
BTTS - No
49%
5/610/11
2%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1
20%
9/2
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
2%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/218/5
8%
--
Home/draw
54%
8/15
6%
11/20
8%
--
Away/draw
72%
4/92/5
5%
--
Home/away
74%
1/3
9%
3/10
2%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
9/4
4%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4
7%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
3%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
8%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19/2
5%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
3%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
20%
---
Home DNB
46%
1/1
9%
21/20
12%
--
Away DNB
64%
8/11
5%
7/10
8%
--
Dunfermline win to nil
15%
7/2
13%
---
Inverness win to nil
26%
3/1
8%
---
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
17%
7/2
13%
7/2
13%
--
Dunfermline / Inverness
3%
28/120/1--
Dunfermline / Draw
6%
14/111/1--
Draw / Dunfermline
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
--
Draw / Inverness
15%
5/19/2
4%
--
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5--
Inverness / Dunfermline
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
--
Inverness / Inverness
21%
3/111/4
11%
--
Inverness / Draw
6%
14/111/1--
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Dunfermline have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Dunfermline have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Dunfermline have played 17 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 24 goals at home.

Inverness are in 8th position in the Championship on 38 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 10 and won 5. Inverness have conceded 28 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Dunfermline
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Inverness
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Dundee Utd354772 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Raith Rovers351166 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Partick351255 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Airdrieonians35252 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-5A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Greenock 35-145 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
0-2F
-
-
-
-
 Dunfermline H35-544 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Ayr United35-843 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-2F
 Queen's Park35-840 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-4A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Inverness A35-139 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Arbroath35-4923 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Dunfermline 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Inverness 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dunfermline have drawn with Inverness in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Inverness have not lost to Dunfermline in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dunfermline since 2017
Dunfermline
Inverness
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
7 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
4 / 11
DUN
4
D
3
ICT
4
All league games since 2017
Dunfermline
Inverness
Goals: Scored
21
24
Games: Scored
12 / 21
17 / 21
Clean sheets
4 / 21
9 / 21
DUN
5
D
8
ICT
8
Goal Statistics

Inverness Caledonian This's defensive record is very strong, D. Ferguson's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Dunfermline Athletic makes sense in this context.

Dunfermline 6th Inverness 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Dunfermline will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Inverness will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Dunfermline have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Inverness’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264270/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dunfermline
PG (predicted goals)
Inverness
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
DUN
ICT
1%
better
view stats
Games scored24
23
Failed to score11
12
Scored first13
14
Goals scored40
38
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate10%
12%
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
DUN
ICT
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
28
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first19
17
Goals conceded45
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate11%
12%
KickOff rating
+3%

Dunfermline v Inverness Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33478
J EdwardsM ToddJ EdwardsC Hamilton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mehmet GLK26
1
-
S Fisher DEF211
4
-
K Benedictus DEF12
2
-
J Edwards DEF3327
3
-
M Fagan-Walcott DEF133
-
O Moffat DEF2631
1
-
C Hamilton MID292
8
-
M Todd MID1641
1
-
K Ritchie-Hosler MID1122
2
-
C Kane MID73
2
-
P Allan FWD2522
2
-
Subs
M Little GLK
-
R Breen DEF8
2
1
M Welch-Hayes DEF91
2
-
J Chalmers MID284
2
-
M O'Halloran MID2611
3
-
B Holmes MID11
-
L McCann FWD2941
3
-
A Jakubiak FWD2423
1
-
A. Tod FWD4
2
-
Inverness Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33895
M RidgersB McKayC HarperC Kerr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Ridgers GLK331
1
-
J Carragher DEF11
3
-
M Boyes DEF222
3
-
R. Savage DEF111
1
-
L Longstaff MID2311
1
-
S. McAllister MID511
-
M Anderson MID2823
2
1
C Kerr MID121
5
-
C Harper MID3329
1
-
B McKay MID3383
1
-
A Samuel  FWD1141
2
-
Subs
C Mackay GLK
-
W Duffy DEF192
5
-
D Devine DEF261
5
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID6
-
R MacGregor MID2
1
-
A Samuels FWD7
1
-
A Pepple FWD101
2
-