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Ayr United v Arbroath FC : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr United are in Championship action on Saturday afternoon, as Scott Brown aims to beat Colin Hamilton and his Arbroath FC side at the Somerset Park. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our extensive database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Ayr United's next match is v Ross County at 15:00 on Saturday 18th April
Arbroath FC's next match is v Raith Rovers at 15:00 on Saturday 18th April
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Arbroath was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Scottish Championship
April 11th 2026
Ayr United 1
0 Arbroath
 
J. Murphy 76'
 
AYR
ARB
Shots On
6
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
7
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
13
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
Ayr UnitedArbroath
 
D. Mitchell
L. Dick
K. Holt
S. Bannigan
B. Dempsey
B. Summers (L. McRoberts 82')
A. Dowds
J. Murphyfootball icon (J. Hislop 90')
L. King (S. Want 45')
S. McMann
M. Rus (D. Watret 90')
A. Mcadams
J. Wilkie
T. O'Brien
R. Dow
S. Stewart
C. Watson
(R. Flynn 65') T. Beadling
(J. MacIntyre 65') V. Enem
F. Marshall
(A. Mebude 83') H. Cochrane
(G. Reilly 65') S. Robinson

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Ayr United and Arbroath both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Arbroath coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
32%
23/201/50
Draw
29%
19/1010/1
Arbroath
38%
11/555/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/111/1
Arbroath 1-0
13%
7/119/4
Ayr United 1-0
12%
5/11/10
Draw 0-0
12%
11/24/7
Arbroath 2-1
8%
12/170/1
Arbroath 2-0
7%
14/125/1
Ayr United 2-1
7%
9/150/1
Ayr United 2-0
6%
17/29/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1150/1
Arbroath 3-1
3%
33/1100/1
Arbroath 3-0
3%
33/180/1
Ayr United 3-1
2%
20/1150/1
Ayr United 3-0
2%
20/155/1
Arbroath 3-2
1%
40/1125/1
Ayr United 3-2
1%
40/1125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
11/828/1
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/151/1000
Home 1st Goal
45%
5/627/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/818/5
No 1st Goal
8%
11/24/7
BTTS - Yes
43%
11/1010/1
BTTS - No
57%
4/61/33
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9/245/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/111/1
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/270/1
Home/draw
62%
2/71/1000
Away/draw
68%
4/710/1
Home/away
71%
3/101/40
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/919/4
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
13/81/10
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
7/280/1
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/61/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
15/21/50
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/201/50
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/801/50
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/106/5
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
11/24/7
Home DNB
53%
4/74/7
Away DNB
59%
5/413/10
Ayr United win to nil
20%
12/5-
Arbroath win to nil
25%
4/1-
Ayr United / Ayr United
23%
13/511/1
Ayr United / Arbroath
2%
40/150/1
Ayr United / Draw
6%
16/128/1
Draw / Ayr United
16%
4/12/1
Draw / Arbroath
11%
6/129/10
Draw / Draw
19%
10/36/4
Arbroath / Ayr United
3%
33/140/1
Arbroath / Arbroath
15%
9/214/1
Arbroath / Draw
5%
16/125/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Ayr United have conceded 30 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Arbroath lay in 3rd place on 47 points in the Championship league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 9 and losing 6 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arbroath have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Arbroath have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Arbroath
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone333768 
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-4F
l
 
1-0A
2
Partick331763 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
3
Dunfermline331147 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-5A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-2F
May 1
4
Arbroath33147 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
-
-
5
Raith Rovers33342 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
Apr 18
w
 
2-3F
6
Ayr United33-639 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
7
Queen's Park33-1139 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
8
Greenock 33-1236 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
9
Airdrieonians33-1531 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Ross County33-2528 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Hamilton
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 3St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Arbroath 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greenock 2 - 1Arbroath
Airdrieonians0 - 0Arbroath
Partick0 - 0Arbroath
Queen's Park2 - 1Arbroath
Raith Rovers2 - 3Arbroath
St. Johnstone1 - 0Arbroath
Ross County0 - 2Arbroath
Dunfermline1 - 2Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Greenock 1 - 0Arbroath
Airdrieonians1 - 0Arbroath
Partick1 - 1Arbroath
Raith Rovers3 - 0Arbroath
Ross County1 - 2Arbroath
St. Johnstone3 - 0Arbroath
Queen's Park1 - 3Arbroath
Raith Rovers5 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United5 - 0Arbroath
Inverness2 - 1Arbroath
Airdrieonians5 - 2Arbroath
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArbroath2 - 4St. Johnstone
AArbroath1 - 2Greenock
HArbroath1 - 0Queen's Park
AArbroath0 - 0Airdrieonians
HArbroath0 - 0Ross County
HArbroath1 - 1Ayr United
AArbroath0 - 0Partick
HArbroath4 - 2Dunfermline
AArbroath1 - 2Queen's Park
HArbroath1 - 1Greenock
AArbroath3 - 2Raith Rovers
AArbroath0 - 1St. Johnstone
HArbroath1 - 1Airdrieonians
AArbroath2 - 0Ross County
HArbroath2 - 1Partick
AArbroath2 - 1Dunfermline
HArbroath0 - 0Raith Rovers
AArbroath1 - 1Ayr United
AArbroath0 - 1Greenock
HArbroath3 - 0Ross County
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Ayr United have drawn with Arbroath in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Ayr United have not lost to Arbroath in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ayr United since 2019
Ayr United
Arbroath
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
AYR
3
D
5
ARB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United5 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Arbroath
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Arbroath since 2019
Arbroath
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
AYR
2
D
4
ARB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arbroath
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arbroath2 - 1
Arbroath2 - 0
0 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arbroath4 - 0
Arbroath2 - 1
0 - 3Ayr United
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Ayr United of late. It has been 9 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Arbroath FC.

Ayr United 6th Arbroath 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Arbroath will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Ayr United have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Arbroath’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Arbroath
1
1.1
Attack rating
AYR
ARB
6%
better
view stats
Games scored23
22
Failed to score9
10
Scored first15
17
Goals scored35
41
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
AYR
ARB
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
24
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded42
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+9%

Ayr United v Arbroath Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
337610
S McMannJ MurphyM RusM Rus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitchell GLK19
-
L Dick DEF
-
K Holt DEF302
4
-
S McMann DEF3311
8
-
L King DEF241
4
-
S Bannigan MID26
8
-
B Dempsey MID2631
7
-
J Murphy MID2171
5
-
M Rus MID2816
9
1
B Summers MID12
1
-
A Dowds FWD2351
1
-
Subs
M. Thompson GLK8
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF10
3
-
D Watret DEF152
1
1
F. Turley MID61
1
-
J. Hislop FWD4
-
L. McRoberts FWD6
-
Arbroath Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331186
A McAdamsF MarshallR DowT O'Brien
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McAdams GLK33
1
-
C Watson DEF
-
V. Enem DEF72
-
T O'Brien DEF3011
5
1
J Wilkie DEF3213
4
1
T Beadling DEF11
3
-
S Stewart DEF26
3
-
H Cochrane MID3211
5
-
F Marshall MID33112
5
-
R Dow MID3038
3
-
S Robinson MID1021
1
-
Subs
J Pettigrew GLK
-
C Hamilton DEF2
-
L. Gillie DEF
-
J. MacIntyre MID2622
1
1
D Gold MID51
-
R Flynn MID30
3
-
G Reilly FWD2851
3
-
D Mebude FWD161
2
-