Ayr United's team badge Dunfermline Athletic's team badge

Ayr United v Dunfermline Athletic : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr United and their boss Scott Brown will be looking to get one over on James McPake and his Dunfermline Athletic side on Friday evening, as the pair clash at the Somerset Park in the Championship. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Dunfermline was on Friday 3rd May 2024
Scottish Championship
May 3rd 2024
Ayr United 3
3 Dunfermline
 
M. McKenzie 21'35' C. Kane
L. McRoberts 68'42' C. Kane
A. Dowds 73'45' J. Edwards
 
AYR
DUN
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
3
4
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Ayr UnitedDunfermline
 
J. Clarke
S. McGinty (S. Tomlinson 46')
G. Stanger
F. Musonda
J. Sanders
B. Dempsey
H. McHugh (K. Willoughby 84')
L. Chalmers (P. Smith 84')
J. Murphy (F. Amartey 66')
M. McKenziefootball icon (L. McRoberts 65')
A. Dowdsfootball icon
 (M. Little 86') D. Mehmet
S. Fisher
football iconJ. Edwards
M. Welch-Hayes
R. Breen
(C. Hamilton 66') P. Allan
J. Chalmers
(C. Wighton 79') football iconfootball iconC. Kane
(K. Ritchie-Hosler 32') M. O'Halloran
(T. Sutherland 66') B. Holmes
(A. Jakubiak 66') O. Moffat
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market which jumps out ahead of the rest for this meeting: both teams to score. In Ayr United and Dunfermline we have two sides going head-to-head that can both score and concede, and we expect them to show themselves again on Friday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.62.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
43%
23/20
14%
11/10
2%
Draw
24%
13/5
6%
12/5
6%
Dunfermline
33%
15/8
15%
9/5
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
Ayr United 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
7/1
Dunfermline 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
Ayr United 1-0
8%
10/1
22%
15/2
21%
Dunfermline 1-0
7%
11/1
33%
9/1
18%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
Ayr United 2-0
6%
12/110/1
16%
Ayr United 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Dunfermline 2-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
36%
10/1
29%
Dunfermline 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Ayr United 3-2
3%
20/1
28%
16/1
11%
Ayr United 3-0
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
Dunfermline 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
17%
Dunfermline 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6
12%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
23/20
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5
13%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
9%
4/7
10%
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
13%
5/4
15%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
20%
11/4
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
9%
19/5
13%
Home/draw
67%
2/5
7%
4/11
Away/draw
57%
4/6
11%
13/20
2%
Home/away
76%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
24%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/1
9%
-
Home DNB
59%
4/6
9%
8/13
Away DNB
50%
11/10
15%
23/20
Ayr United win to nil
19%
10/3-
Dunfermline win to nil
15%
5/1
33%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
23%
5/2
13%
12/5
3%
Ayr United / Dunfermline
3%
28/120/1
9%
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Ayr United
14%
5/19/2
5%
Draw / Dunfermline
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
15%
Dunfermline / Ayr United
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
18%
7/2
13%
18/5
4%
Dunfermline / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Ayr United have conceded 42 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Dunfermline lay in 6th place on 44 points in the Championship league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dunfermline have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Dunfermline have played 17 away games, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Ayr United
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Dunfermline
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Dundee Utd365075 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
4-4F
 Raith Rovers361669 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
 Partick36955 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Airdrieonians36052 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
 Greenock 36-345 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-5A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Dunfermline A36-545 
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
 Ayr United H36-844 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-5F
 Queen's Park36-643 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Inverness36142 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Arbroath36-5423 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
see results
HOME FORM
Ayr United5 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United4 - 3Partick
Ayr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 2Dundee Utd
Ayr United2 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 3Inverness
Ayr United2 - 2Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 4Partick
Ayr United0 - 3Dundee Utd
Ayr United1 - 0Inverness
Ayr United1 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 0Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
AAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United0 - 1Dundee Utd
HAyr United5 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
HAyr United2 - 1Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 1Inverness
AAyr United0 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United4 - 3Partick
HAyr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United3 - 2Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Dundee Utd
AAyr United2 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United2 - 0Arbroath
AAyr United0 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United1 - 3Inverness
AAyr United0 - 3Greenock
HAyr United2 - 2Dunfermline
AAyr United4 - 4Raith Rovers
Dunfermline 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
AWAY FORM
Airdrieonians2 - 1Dunfermline
Arbroath2 - 3Dunfermline
Greenock 0 - 1Dunfermline
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Inverness0 - 0Dunfermline
Partick1 - 3Dunfermline
Dundee Utd0 - 0Dunfermline
Queen's Park2 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 2Dunfermline
Arbroath1 - 1Dunfermline
Airdrieonians1 - 2Dunfermline
Greenock 1 - 2Dunfermline
Raith Rovers1 - 0Dunfermline
Partick3 - 0Dunfermline
Queen's Park0 - 2Dunfermline
Inverness1 - 1Dunfermline
Dundee Utd1 - 1Dunfermline
Partick1 - 0Dunfermline
Kilmarnock2 - 0Dunfermline
Inverness2 - 0Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
HDunfermline1 - 1Inverness
HDunfermline0 - 0Queen's Park
ADunfermline1 - 2Airdrieonians
HDunfermline1 - 1Partick
ADunfermline3 - 2Arbroath
ADunfermline1 - 0Greenock
HDunfermline3 - 1Dundee Utd
ADunfermline0 - 2Raith Rovers
HDunfermline0 - 2Airdrieonians
HDunfermline2 - 0Ayr United
ADunfermline0 - 0Inverness
ADunfermline3 - 1Partick
HDunfermline1 - 1Arbroath
HDunfermline0 - 3Queen's Park
HDunfermline0 - 5Greenock
ADunfermline0 - 0Dundee Utd
ADunfermline1 - 2Queen's Park
HDunfermline1 - 2Raith Rovers
ADunfermline2 - 2Ayr United
ADunfermline1 - 1Arbroath
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Ayr United have not lost to Dunfermline in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
5 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
5 / 10
AYR
2
D
5
DUN
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Dunfermline
0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 2Dunfermline
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 2016
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
19
21
Games: Scored
12 / 21
13 / 21
Clean sheets
8 / 21
9 / 21
AYR
6
D
8
DUN
7
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Dunfermline2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Dunfermline3 - 0
Ayr United3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
0 - 1Dunfermline
Dunfermline3 - 2
0 - 1Ayr United
0 - 1Dunfermline
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 1Ayr United
0 - 2Dunfermline
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 7th Dunfermline 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Ayr United will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Dunfermline will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Dunfermline have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264273/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Dunfermline
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
15%
better
AYR
DUN
view stats
Games scored27
25
Failed to score9
11
Scored first16
13
Goals scored53
43
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate15%
11%
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
AYR
DUN
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
29
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first18
20
Goals conceded61
48
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate16%
12%
KickOff rating
+7%

Ayr United v Dunfermline Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2912103
S McGintyA DowdsJ MurphyF Musonda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Clarke GLK9
-
G Stanger DEF2311
1
-
J Sanders DEF111
1
-
S McGinty DEF291
1
F Musonda DEF172
3
-
J Murphy MID29610
3
-
H McHugh MID912
1
-
B Dempsey MID1932
3
-
L Chalmers MID2494
1
-
M McKenzie FWD2815
2
-
A Dowds FWD26125
2
-
Subs
C Albinson GLK18
-
K Willoughby MID93
-
F Amartey MID2511
1
-
P Smith MID14
3
-
S Tomlinson MID9
-
L. McRoberts FWD2
-
Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33578
J EdwardsC WightonJ EdwardsC Hamilton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mehmet GLK26
1
-
S Fisher DEF211
4
-
R Breen DEF8
2
1
M Welch-Hayes DEF91
2
-
M O'Halloran DEF2611
3
-
J Edwards DEF3327
3
-
P Allan MID2522
2
-
J Chalmers MID284
2
-
O Moffat MID2631
1
-
B Holmes FWD11
-
C Kane FWD73
2
-
Subs
M Little GLK
-
C Hamilton DEF292
8
-
M Todd MID1641
1
-
L McCann FWD2941
3
-
A Jakubiak FWD2423
1
-
T Sutherland FWD5
-
A. Tod FWD4
2
-
K Ritchie-Hosler FWD1122
2
-
C Wighton FWD1951
1
-
Scottish Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds