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Ayr United v Dunfermline Athletic : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Somerset Park, Ayr

Dunfermline Athletic, led by manager Neil Lennon, visit Gary Naysmith and his Ayr United side at the Somerset Park on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Ayr United's next match is v Partick at 19:30 on Friday 16th October
Dunfermline Athletic's next match is v Livingston at 15:00 on Saturday 17th October
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Ayr United and Dunfermline was on Saturday 10th October 2026
Scottish Championship
October 10th 2026
Ayr United 1
1 Dunfermline
 
K. Holt 58'52' J. Cooper
 
AYR
DUN
Shots On
3
9
Shots Off
4
9
Corners
2
10
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
7
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
Ayr UnitedDunfermline
 
H. Stone
L. Dick
K. Holtfootball icon
L. King
L. McBeth
R. Lyon (M. Rus 78')
O. Stirton (J. Landers 77')
D. Watret
O. Whyte
E. Walker (J. Murphy 78')
S. McMann
A. Oxborough
N. Abdulai
S. Harding
D. Lobban
A. Amade
(K. Bray 78') A. Oyirwoth
R. MacLeod
football iconJ. Cooper
R. Fraser
A. Tod
(O. Shaw 63') A. Olamilekan Alade

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Gary Naysmith and Neil Lennon to park the bus here, but we do not expect a glut of goals as Ayr United and Dunfermline go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.70 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
32%
2/1
3%
-
Draw
30%
11/5-
Dunfermline
37%
23/20
2%
-
Dunfermline 1-0
14%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
13%
17/2
12%
-
Ayr United 1-0
13%
17/2
6%
-
Dunfermline 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Dunfermline 2-1
7%
17/2-
Ayr United 2-1
7%
11/1-
Ayr United 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Dunfermline 3-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Dunfermline 3-1
3%
18/1-
Ayr United 3-1
2%
25/1
10%
-
Ayr United 3-0
2%
33/1-
Dunfermline 3-2
1%
28/1
15%
-
Ayr United 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
21/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
3/4
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/6
2%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
17/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
5/6-
BTTS - No
59%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
15/4
5%
-
Home/draw
63%
4/7
2%
-
Away/draw
68%
3/10
1%
-
Home/away
70%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
5/2
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
9/1
5%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/33
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
17/2
12%
-
Home DNB
53%
6/5
2%
-
Away DNB
59%
8/13
3%
-
Ayr United win to nil
21%
9/2-
Dunfermline win to nil
25%
11/4
7%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
17%
4/1-
Ayr United / Dunfermline
3%
28/1-
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Ayr United
12%
6/1-
Draw / Dunfermline
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Dunfermline / Ayr United
2%
33/1-
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
24%
13/5
3%
-
Dunfermline / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stenhousemuir9822 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 5
Feb 20
Apr 24
Dec 12
Oct 27
Apr 30
Feb 27
2
Raith Rovers10920 
Nov 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 3
Jan 23
w
 
1-0F
Nov 6
Dec 26
Mar 20
3
Partick9718 
Oct 16
l
 
1-0A
Mar 6
Dec 19
Oct 20
Dec 5
Feb 20
Apr 24
4
Livingston10313 
Dec 12
w
 
1-2F
Apr 30
Feb 27
Oct 17
l
 
2-0A
Mar 6
Dec 19
5
Dunfermline8213 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 10
Jan 30
-
-
-
-
6
Inverness10113 
l
 
1-3A
Nov 20
Feb 13
Apr 17
Oct 31
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 13
Jan 2
7
Ayr United10-112 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 30
Apr 10
8
Arbroath10-811 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 7
Jan 9
Mar 27
Nov 14
d
 
1-1A
Apr 17
Jan 23
9
Queen's Park10-107 
Oct 31
w
 
0-2F
Mar 20
Jan 2
w
 
2-0F
Oct 24
Jan 9
Mar 27
10
Greenock 10-114 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 24
Dec 23
Mar 13
Nov 21
w
 
0-1F
Apr 3
Feb 13
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United0 - 1Stenhousemuir
Ayr United1 - 3Inverness
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
Ayr United1 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United2 - 1Livingston
HAyr United0 - 1Stenhousemuir
AAyr United2 - 0Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 3Inverness
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
AAyr United1 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 2Ross County
HAyr United1 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
Dunfermline 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greenock 0 - 1Dunfermline
Arbroath1 - 1Dunfermline
Livingston2 - 0Dunfermline
Inverness0 - 0Dunfermline
Queen's Park0 - 2Dunfermline
Airdrieonians2 - 2Dunfermline
Partick2 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ross County2 - 2Dunfermline
Arbroath4 - 2Dunfermline
Greenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
St. Johnstone0 - 1Dunfermline
Raith Rovers1 - 2Dunfermline
Queen's Park1 - 1Dunfermline
Partick1 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ross County3 - 2Dunfermline
Airdrieonians0 - 4Dunfermline
St. Johnstone2 - 1Dunfermline
Arbroath0 - 5Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADunfermline1 - 0Greenock
HDunfermline2 - 0Queen's Park
ADunfermline1 - 1Arbroath
HDunfermline1 - 0Raith Rovers
ADunfermline0 - 2Livingston
HDunfermline1 - 1Ayr United
ADunfermline0 - 0Inverness
HDunfermline0 - 0Arbroath
ADunfermline2 - 0Queen's Park
HDunfermline0 - 2St. Johnstone
ADunfermline2 - 2Airdrieonians
ADunfermline0 - 2Partick
ADunfermline3 - 0Ayr United
HDunfermline3 - 1Greenock
ADunfermline2 - 2Ross County
HDunfermline3 - 0Raith Rovers
HDunfermline3 - 0Ross County
HDunfermline1 - 0Queen's Park
HDunfermline2 - 2Partick
ADunfermline2 - 4Arbroath
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
18
17
Games: Scored
8 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
7 / 15
AYR
4
D
6
DUN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
0 - 3Dunfermline
0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 0
Ayr United1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ayr United3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Dunfermline
0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United4 - 1
0 - 2Dunfermline
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Dunfermline since 2016
Dunfermline
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
8 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
8 / 16
AYR
7
D
5
DUN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dunfermline
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Ayr United
0 - 1Ayr United
0 - 2Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Dunfermline2 - 0
0 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 1
Dunfermline3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline3 - 2
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 7th Dunfermline 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Dunfermline will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Ayr United have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Dunfermline have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Dunfermline
1
1.1
Attack rating
11%
better
AYR
DUN
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score3
2
Scored first4
4
Goals scored9
6
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game6
11
Avg. shots per goal6
13
Conversion rate for17
8
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
AYR
DUN
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
3
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded10
4
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+46%

Ayr United v Dunfermline Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10213
H StoneL. McBethL KingL. McBeth
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK9
-
L Dick DEF7
-
K Holt DEF71
2
-
L King DEF61
1
S McMann MID91
2
-
L. McBeth MID92
3
-
R Lyon MID9
1
-
O. Whyte MID61
1
-
D Watret MID91
1
-
E Walker FWD3
-
O. Stirton FWD921
-
Subs
K Shanks2
2
-
J Murphy61
-
B Summers81
1
-
T. Hatton6
-
M Rus1
-
K. Mitchell4
-
L. Russell
-
H Landers
-
N McAllister7
2
-
Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8423
R FraserJ. CooperR FraserA Amade
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Oxborough GLK6
-
R Fraser DEF72
-
N. Abdulai DEF6
-
S. Harding DEF71
2
-
D Lobban DEF611
1
-
R Macleod MID41
1
-
A Amade MID7
3
-
A. Oyirwoth MID6
-
A. Tod MID71
1
-
J. Cooper MID74
-
A. Olamilekan Alade FWD71
2
-
Subs
C Morrison3
-
C Gilmour 51
1
-
Z Rudden5
-
O Shaw4
1
-
S. Kearney21
-
M. Dibaga Nimaga1
-
K Corbally2
-
K Bray5
-
A Donnelly1
-