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Ayr United v Inverness Caledonian This : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

Gary Bollan pays counterpart Gary Naysmith a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Inverness Caledonian This and Ayr United teams face each other at the Somerset Park. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Ayr United and Inverness have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
34%
2.70-
Draw
27%
3.10-
Inverness
39%
2.30-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50-
Inverness 1-0
10%
8.00-
Ayr United 1-0
10%
8.50-
Inverness 2-1
8%
10.00-
Ayr United 2-1
8%
11.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
9.00-
Inverness 2-0
7%
11.00-
Ayr United 2-0
6%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Inverness 3-1
4%
21.00-
Ayr United 3-1
3%
23.00-
Inverness 3-0
3%
23.00-
Ayr United 3-0
2%
29.00-
Inverness 3-2
2%
34.00-
Ayr United 3-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.08-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.73-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.10-
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.91-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.00-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.83-
BTTS - No
48%
1.83-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.00-
Home/draw
61%
1.50-
Away/draw
66%
1.36-
Home/away
73%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.25-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.00-
Home DNB
53%
2.00-
Away DNB
58%
1.73-
Ayr United win to nil
19%
4.50-
Inverness win to nil
21%
4.00-
Ayr United / Ayr United
18%
4.50-
Ayr United / Inverness
3%
29.00-
Ayr United / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Ayr United
13%
6.50-
Draw / Inverness
14%
6.00-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Inverness / Ayr United
2%
34.00-
Inverness / Inverness
22%
3.75-
Inverness / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Inverness
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stenhousemuir5713 
Sep 25
Dec 5
Feb 20
Apr 24
Oct 10
l
 
3-1A
Mar 6
Dec 19
2
Partick5411 
Oct 17
l
 
1-0A
Mar 6
Dec 19
d
 
1-1A
Nov 14
Jan 30
Apr 3
3
Raith Rovers5410 
Nov 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 3
Jan 23
l
 
0-2A
Oct 24
Jan 9
Apr 10
4
Arbroath508 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 7
Jan 9
Mar 27
Oct 17
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
Dec 23
5
Livingston506 
Dec 12
Oct 3
Apr 30
Feb 27
Nov 7
Sep 19
Mar 27
Jan 23
6
Dunfermline5-16 
Oct 10
d
 
1-1A
Apr 10
Jan 30
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 31
Jan 2
Mar 13
7
Ayr United5-15 
-
-
-
-
Nov 21
Sep 12
Apr 17
Feb 13
8
Queen's Park5-44 
Oct 31
Sep 18
Mar 20
Jan 2
Dec 12
Oct 3
Apr 30
Feb 27
9
Inverness5-43 
Sep 12
Nov 21
Feb 13
Apr 17
-
-
-
-
10
Greenock 5-51 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 24
Dec 23
Mar 13
Sep 25
Dec 5
Feb 20
Apr 24
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
Ayr United1 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 1St. Johnstone
AAyr United1 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 2Ross County
HAyr United1 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 3St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
Inverness 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stenhousemuir3 - 1Inverness
Arbroath0 - 0Inverness
Dunfermline1 - 1Inverness
Queen's Park0 - 1Inverness
Partick1 - 0Inverness
Dundee Utd1 - 1Inverness
Greenock 0 - 2Inverness
Arbroath1 - 1Inverness
Raith Rovers2 - 3Inverness
Ayr United1 - 3Inverness
Airdrieonians2 - 0Inverness
Partick1 - 1Inverness
Greenock 2 - 1Inverness
Queen's Park1 - 4Inverness
Dunfermline1 - 1Inverness
Dundee Utd1 - 1Inverness
Arbroath2 - 3Inverness
Raith Rovers1 - 0Inverness
Airdrieonians2 - 1Inverness
Ayr United1 - 0Inverness
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HInverness0 - 2Raith Rovers
AInverness1 - 3Stenhousemuir
HInverness1 - 1Partick
AInverness0 - 0Arbroath
HInverness0 - 0Dunfermline
HInverness3 - 1Greenock
AInverness1 - 1Dunfermline
HInverness0 - 1Raith Rovers
AInverness1 - 0Queen's Park
HInverness2 - 1Arbroath
AInverness0 - 1Partick
AInverness1 - 1Dundee Utd
HInverness1 - 2Ayr United
HInverness0 - 0Airdrieonians
AInverness2 - 0Greenock
HInverness0 - 0Dunfermline
AInverness1 - 1Arbroath
HInverness3 - 3Partick
HInverness0 - 1Queen's Park
AInverness3 - 2Raith Rovers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ayr United since 2019
Ayr United
Inverness
Goals: Scored
11
21
Games: Scored
8 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
4 / 12
AYR
2
D
2
ICT
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
1 - 3Inverness
Ayr United1 - 0
1 - 2Inverness
0 - 1Inverness
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Inverness
Ayr United1 - 0
0 - 2Inverness
1 - 3Inverness
0 - 1Inverness
2 - 3Inverness
League games at Inverness since 2018
Inverness
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
16
13
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
AYR
3
D
5
ICT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inverness
1 - 2Ayr United
Inverness3 - 1
1 - 2Ayr United
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Ayr United
Inverness1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Inverness2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Inverness1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 7th Inverness 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Inverness will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Ayr United have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Inverness’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Inverness
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
48%
better
AYR
ICT
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score1
2
Scored first2
0
Goals scored4
2
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.4
Avg. shots per game5
8
Avg. shots per goal6
20
Conversion rate for17
5
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
AYR
ICT
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded4
4
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+8%

Ayr United v Inverness Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
H StoneL. McBethR. TaylorL. McBeth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK4
-
L. McBeth DEF41
2
-
S McMann DEF4
-
D Watret DEF4
1
-
L Dick DEF4
-
K Holt DEF4
1
-
R Lyon MID4
-
R. Taylor MID411
-
B Summers MID41
1
-
O. Stirton FWD4
-
J Murphy FWD41
-
N McAllister DEF3
-
T. Hatton FWD3
-
L King DEF2
1
K. Mitchell FWD2
-
O. Whyte MID1
-
J. Landers FWD1
-
M McKenzie FWD1
-
Inverness Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
R MunroA BavidgeR DuncanA. Stewart
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Munro GLK4
-
N Boutin DEF4
-
D Devine DEF4
-
R. Savage DEF4
1
-
A. Stewart MID4
2
-
R Duncan MID41
-
G Shinnie MID4
2
-
P Allan MID41
-
A Mackinnon MID4
-
C Macleod MID4
1
-
A Bavidge FWD41
1
-
L Sole FWD41
1
-
D MacKay FWD3
1
-
L Longstaff FWD3
-
K Smith DEF2
-
Miller Keir FWD2
-
R MacGregor MID1
-