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Ayr United v Ross County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

Ross County, led by manager Stuart Kettlewell, visit Scott Brown and his Ayr United side at the Somerset Park on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Ayr United and Ross County combined during the standard 90 minutes. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
49%
9/10
7%
10/11
Draw
26%
9/4
2%
23/10
Ross County
26%
13/5
9%
5/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Ayr United 1-0
12%
6/16/1
Ayr United 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Ayr United 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
Ross County 1-0
8%
10/1
9%
17/2
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2
5%
8/1
Ross County 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Ayr United 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Ayr United 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Ross County 2-0
4%
18/1
19%
14/1
Ayr United 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Ross County 3-1
2%
33/1
15%
20/1
Ayr United 4-1
2%
33/1
21%
22/1
Ayr United 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
3%
17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
3%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6
4%
4/6
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/5
5%
29/20
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
5%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/64/5
BTTS - No
50%
5/610/11
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
4%
29/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
11/2
Home/draw
74%
2/9
4%
1/4
Away/draw
51%
4/5
6%
4/5
Home/away
74%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/7
2%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2
4%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
9/4
3%
21/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/3
1%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/1
8%
19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9
2%
1/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1
5%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2
5%
15/2
Home DNB
67%
2/5
3%
4/9
Away DNB
44%
7/4
4%
13/8
Ayr United win to nil
28%
9/4
5%
-
Ross County win to nil
14%
11/2
8%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
27%
2/1
7%
2/1
Ayr United / Ross County
2%
40/1
17%
25/1
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Ayr United
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Ross County
10%
7/1
12%
13/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
9%
4/1
Ross County / Ayr United
4%
25/118/1
Ross County / Ross County
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
Ross County / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 7 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Ayr United have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Ayr United have played 11 games at home winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 14 goals at home.

Ross County are in 10th position in the Championship on 22 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Ross County have conceded 39 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Ross County
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone242649 
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
2
Partick24944 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 27
3
Arbroath24237 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 7
4
Ayr United23332 
-
-
-
-
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
Feb 21
5
Greenock 25-530 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
6
Dunfermline23329 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
-
7
Raith Rovers25229 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 27
w
 
2-0F
l
 
6-0A
Feb 28
May 1
8
Queen's Park23-1124 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Mar 14
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 11
9
Airdrieonians25-1323 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
10
Ross County24-1622 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
-
-
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Hamilton
Ayr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Ayr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 0Greenock
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ross County 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queen's Park0 - 1Ross County
Greenock 2 - 1Ross County
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ross County
Raith Rovers6 - 0Ross County
Arbroath3 - 0Ross County
Partick1 - 0Ross County
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ross County
Greenock 1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Dunfermline2 - 2Ross County
Airdrieonians2 - 2Ross County
Dundee1 - 1Ross County
St. Johnstone2 - 1Ross County
Kilmarnock2 - 0Ross County
St. Mirren3 - 2Ross County
Hearts2 - 0Ross County
St. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
Motherwell0 - 3Ross County
Rangers4 - 0Ross County
Kilmarnock0 - 1Ross County
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRoss County0 - 1Queen's Park
ARoss County1 - 0Queen's Park
ARoss County1 - 2Greenock
ARoss County1 - 0Airdrieonians
HRoss County2 - 0Partick
HRoss County0 - 0St. Johnstone
HRoss County0 - 2Arbroath
ARoss County0 - 6Raith Rovers
HRoss County1 - 2Airdrieonians
HRoss County0 - 3Greenock
HRoss County3 - 3Ayr United
ARoss County0 - 3Arbroath
HRoss County3 - 2Dunfermline
ARoss County0 - 1Partick
ARoss County0 - 0St. Johnstone
HRoss County2 - 0Raith Rovers
ARoss County1 - 1Greenock
HRoss County1 - 2Queen's Park
ARoss County1 - 1Ayr United
HRoss County1 - 2Arbroath
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Ross County have not lost to Ayr United in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ayr United since 2018
Ayr United
Ross County
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
RSC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Ross County
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Ross County since 2018
Ross County
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
RSC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ross County
Draw3 - 3Draw
Ross County3 - 2
Ross County2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Ayr United have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Ross County on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ayr United 4th Ross County 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Ayr United will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ross County will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Ayr United’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Ross County have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Ross County
1.5
1
Attack rating
26%
better
AYR
RSC
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score5
9
Scored first14
7
Goals scored30
23
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
22%
better
AYR
RSC
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first6
15
Goals conceded27
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

Ayr United v Ross County Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23747
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF2311
6
-
M McKenzie FWD2371
2
-
K Holt DEF202
3
-
M Rus MID2014
6
1
E Walker FWD1843
3
1
J Murphy FWD1851
4
-
S Bannigan MID17
5
-
B Dempsey MID172
1
-
A Dowds FWD1731
1
-
D Mitchell GLK16
-
L King DEF161
5
-
J. Bonnar MID161
2
-
L Dick DEF15
3
-
N McAllister DEF1511
5
-
D Watret DEF152
1
1
K. Ure MID131
2
-
G Oakley FWD10
1
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF5
2
-
G. Finney DEF2
1
-
B Summers MID2
-
M. Thompson GLK1
-
Ross County Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21438
C RandallJ HendersonJ WhiteA Iacovitti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J White FWD2333
3
-
C Randall DEF211
4
-
A Iacovitti DEF2011
8
-
L. O'Sullivan DEF20
1
-
J Lindsay MID20
3
-
J Henderson MID1942
3
-
D Gallagher DEF183
4
1
R Docherty MID18
3
-
J Scott FWD18
1
-
T Carson GLK17
-
D Cornelius MID16
4
-
K Phillips FWD1621
2
-
A Wright DEF152
2
-
R Duncan MID142
-
D Smith DEF13
5
-
B. Crompton DEF9
2
-
R Laidlaw GLK7
-
M Thomson FWD611
-
L. Pitan DEF4
-
S Mackie DEF3
1
-
U Ikpeazu FWD21
1
-