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Ayr United v St. Johnstone : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 1st May, 19:45 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

the Somerset Park crowd welcome St. Johnstone's supporters on Friday evening, as Scott Brown's Ayr United go head to head with Simo Valakari's charges in the Championship. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our extensive database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
26%
--
Draw
27%
--
St. Johnstone
47%
--
St. Johnstone 1-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
St. Johnstone 2-0
9%
--
Ayr United 1-0
9%
--
St. Johnstone 2-1
9%
--
Ayr United 2-1
6%
--
Ayr United 2-0
4%
--
St. Johnstone 3-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
St. Johnstone 3-1
4%
--
St. Johnstone 3-2
2%
--
Ayr United 3-1
2%
--
St. Johnstone 4-0
1%
--
St. Johnstone 4-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
42%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
53%
--
Away/draw
74%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
45%
--
Away DNB
66%
--
Ayr United win to nil
15%
--
St. Johnstone win to nil
29%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 9 and won 5. Ayr United have conceded 30 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 17 games at home, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

St. Johnstone lay in 1st place on 68 points in the Championship league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 11 and losing 3 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St. Johnstone have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

St. Johnstone have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
St. Johnstone
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone333768 
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
l
 
3-1A
-
-
-
-
2
Partick341764 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
3
Arbroath34250 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
4
Dunfermline331147 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
5
Raith Rovers34242 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 24
d
 
0-00-0
6
Queen's Park34-1140 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Ayr United34-739 
-
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-4A
w
 
3-1F
May 1
8
Greenock 34-1237 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-2F
9
Airdrieonians34-1532 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Ross County34-2431 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United0 - 1Greenock
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 0Ross County
Ayr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Ayr United0 - 0Partick
Ayr United1 - 1Arbroath
Ayr United0 - 1Dunfermline
Ayr United2 - 1Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 1Ross County
Ayr United1 - 1Queen's Park
Ayr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United2 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 0Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United1 - 2Ross County
HAyr United1 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 3St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
St. Johnstone 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arbroath2 - 4St. Johnstone
Partick0 - 0St. Johnstone
Greenock 0 - 2St. Johnstone
Queen's Park1 - 1St. Johnstone
Raith Rovers0 - 0St. Johnstone
Airdrieonians0 - 1St. Johnstone
Ross County0 - 0St. Johnstone
Ayr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
Partick2 - 1St. Johnstone
Dunfermline2 - 2St. Johnstone
Greenock 0 - 4St. Johnstone
Arbroath3 - 1St. Johnstone
Queen's Park1 - 2St. Johnstone
Airdrieonians1 - 2St. Johnstone
Raith Rovers0 - 2St. Johnstone
Ross County0 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Motherwell3 - 2St. Johnstone
Dundee Utd1 - 0St. Johnstone
Hibernian3 - 0St. Johnstone
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Johnstone4 - 0Airdrieonians
ASt. Johnstone4 - 2Arbroath
HSt. Johnstone1 - 1Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone0 - 0Partick
HSt. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
ASt. Johnstone2 - 0Greenock
HSt. Johnstone3 - 1Ayr United
ASt. Johnstone1 - 1Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
ASt. Johnstone1 - 0Airdrieonians
HSt. Johnstone2 - 2Partick
HSt. Johnstone0 - 1Dunfermline
HSt. Johnstone1 - 0Arbroath
ASt. Johnstone0 - 0Ross County
HSt. Johnstone5 - 0Greenock
ASt. Johnstone4 - 2Ayr United
HSt. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
ASt. Johnstone1 - 2Partick
HSt. Johnstone4 - 3Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone2 - 2Dunfermline
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Ayr United of late. It has been 10 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against St. Johnstone.

Ayr United 7th St. Johnstone 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that St. Johnstone will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Ayr United have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
St. Johnstone’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
St. Johnstone
1
1.4
Attack rating
AYR
STU
23%
better
view stats
Games scored24
26
Failed to score9
7
Scored first16
17
Goals scored36
62
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
AYR
STU
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
16
Clean sheets8
17
Conceded first13
10
Goals conceded42
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+31%

Ayr United v St. Johnstone Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
347610
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF3411
9
-
K Holt DEF312
4
-
M McKenzie FWD3071
2
-
M Rus MID2916
9
1
B Dempsey MID2731
8
-
S Bannigan MID27
8
-
L Dick DEF2511
5
-
L King DEF251
4
-
A Dowds FWD2461
1
-
J Murphy FWD2271
5
-
J. Bonnar MID212
2
-
D Mitchell GLK20
-
N McAllister DEF2011
7
-
E Walker FWD1943
3
1
D Watret DEF172
1
1
K. Ure MID171
2
-
B Summers MID13
1
-
G Oakley FWD12
2
-
G. Finney DEF11
3
2
S Want DEF10
3
-
M. Thompson GLK8
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
F. Turley MID61
1
-
St. Johnstone Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3316128
T StewardJ McPakeJ GullanJ Holt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Steward GLK33
-
R McAlear MID3348
5
-
C Diabaté DEF3231
5
1
J Holt MID3213
8
-
J McPake MID31163
7
-
J Gullan FWD31912
5
-
M Boyes DEF2812
7
1
J Baird DEF253
4
-
L Smith DEF2331
2
-
S Stanton MID2322
1
-
M Foulds DEF201
1
-
K Fotheringham FWD2031
2
-
A. Forrester DEF171
4
-
S Mallan MID1223
-
J. Fowler FWD112
2
-
J Svedberg MID102
-
R Paton FWD104
2
-
R Tumilty DEF71
2
-
A. Agyeman FWD71
2
-
L LLoyd FWD5
-
F. Franczak MID4
-
T. Steven FWD4
-
B Mikulic DEF1
1
-